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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain Segunda Division ·

Burgos 1–1 Ceuta

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.79 fair 1.84
Draw ✓ 3.00 fair 4.06
Away 5.25 fair 4.76
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 2.40 fair 2.13

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burgos Ceuta
8 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 3
15 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (356 league matches this season so far).
Result Burgos to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.64 – 0.92
Home / Draw / Away
BurgosDrawCeuta
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.8% 1–1 11.7% 2–0 10.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burgos before this match, all matches
1.66points / match
1.16scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 37:26
Ceuta before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.28scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 41:51
Burgos all matches all matches Ceuta

Per match

1.16 Goals scored 1.28
0.81 Goals conceded 1.59
1.97 Total goals 2.88
10.09 Shots 11.00
3.06 Shots on target 3.84
11.59 Shots faced 12.28
3.66 Corners 4.34
4.88 Corners against 4.75
12.97 Fouls 13.94
2.63 Yellow cards 2.56
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

47% Wins 44%
25% Draws 16%
28% Losses 41%
84% Over 0.5 goals 94%
56% Over 1.5 goals 75%
34% Over 2.5 goals 59%
13% Over 3.5 goals 28%
6% Over 4.5 goals 19%
3% Over 5.5 goals 9%
38% Both teams scored 56%
41% Clean sheets 25%
38% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 34%
56% Draws 31%
22% Losses 34%
53% Over 0.5 goals 84%
28% Over 1.5 goals 44%
9% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burgos all matches
Ceuta all matches
Burgos before this match, at home
1.81points / match
1.31scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 21:10
Ceuta before this match, away
0.81points / match
1.00scored / match
2.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:33
Burgos at home away Ceuta

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 1.00
0.63 Goals conceded 2.06
1.94 Total goals 3.06
11.31 Shots 9.63
3.63 Shots on target 3.00
10.50 Shots faced 14.75
3.69 Corners 3.69
4.56 Corners against 5.25
13.00 Fouls 12.63
2.63 Yellow cards 2.38
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.19 1st-half goals conceded 1.13

How often Full Time

50% Wins 19%
31% Draws 25%
19% Losses 56%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
56% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 56%
13% Over 3.5 goals 38%
6% Over 4.5 goals 25%
6% Over 5.5 goals 19%
38% Both teams scored 50%
44% Clean sheets 25%
31% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 13%
69% Draws 38%
6% Losses 50%
44% Over 0.5 goals 81%
25% Over 1.5 goals 56%
6% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burgos at home
Ceuta away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burgos all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.03.26 Valladolid – Burgos 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.103.50 2.50 1.50
22.03.26 Burgos – Cordoba 4–0 (2–0) 2.253.003.40 2.25 1.62
15.03.26 Eibar – Burgos 0–0 (0–0) 2.013.104.10 2.88 1.40
07.03.26 Burgos – Mirandes 2–0 (1–0) 1.763.304.75 2.60 1.48
28.02.26 Zaragoza – Burgos 0–1 (0–0) 2.702.852.75 3.10 1.36
22.02.26 Santander – Burgos 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.404.20 2.15 1.67
14.02.26 Burgos – Cadiz 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.103.70 2.70 1.44
07.02.26 Las Palmas – Burgos 0–0 (0–0) 1.863.304.50 2.60 1.48
31.01.26 Burgos – Leganes 2–1 (0–0) 2.202.853.60 2.88 1.40
23.01.26 Malaga – Burgos 3–0 (2–0) 2.013.004.00 2.60 1.48

Ceuta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.03.26 Ceuta – Cadiz 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.20 2.05 1.75
21.03.26 Leganes – Ceuta 5–2 (1–1) 1.793.404.50 2.10 1.70
14.03.26 Ceuta – La Coruna 1–2 (1–1) 2.853.202.45 2.08 1.73
08.03.26 Las Palmas – Ceuta 4–0 (1–0) 1.613.705.25 2.10 1.70
01.03.26 Mirandes – Ceuta 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.10 2.10 1.70
25.02.26 Ceuta – Cordoba 3–2 (3–2) 2.753.302.45 1.93 1.88
20.02.26 Ceuta – Granada 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.102.85 2.25 1.62
15.02.26 Huesca – Ceuta 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.35 1.57
01.02.26 Almeria – Ceuta 4–2 (3–1) 1.683.704.75 1.80 2.00
26.01.26 Ceuta – Cultural Leonesa 3–1 (2–1) 1.963.403.75 2.08 1.73

Burgos at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Burgos – Cordoba 4–0 (2–0) 2.253.003.40 2.25 1.62
07.03.26 Burgos – Mirandes 2–0 (1–0) 1.763.304.75 2.60 1.48
14.02.26 Burgos – Cadiz 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.103.70 2.70 1.44
31.01.26 Burgos – Leganes 2–1 (0–0) 2.202.853.60 2.88 1.40
18.01.26 Burgos – Huesca 1–0 (0–0) 2.052.854.10 3.10 1.36
10.01.26 Burgos – Eibar 1–0 (0–0) 2.552.823.10 3.10 1.36
21.12.25 Burgos – Zaragoza 1–1 (1–0) 2.152.853.80 2.88 1.40
08.12.25 Burgos – Albacete 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.053.50 2.30 1.60
23.11.25 Burgos – Santander 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.202.85 2.15 1.67
10.11.25 Burgos – Castellon 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.302.70 2.10 1.70

Ceuta away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Leganes – Ceuta 5–2 (1–1) 1.793.404.50 2.10 1.70
08.03.26 Las Palmas – Ceuta 4–0 (1–0) 1.613.705.25 2.10 1.70
01.03.26 Mirandes – Ceuta 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.10 2.10 1.70
15.02.26 Huesca – Ceuta 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.35 1.57
01.02.26 Almeria – Ceuta 4–2 (3–1) 1.683.704.75 1.80 2.00
11.01.26 Malaga – Ceuta 2–1 (2–1) 2.053.303.50 2.10 1.70
21.12.25 Sociedad B – Ceuta 1–3 (1–1) 2.703.052.57 2.25 1.62
07.12.25 Granada – Ceuta 1–1 (1–1) 1.963.403.75 2.20 1.65
23.11.25 La Coruna – Ceuta 2–1 (1–0) 1.574.004.75 1.98 1.83
02.11.25 Cordoba – Ceuta 2–0 (2–0) 1.863.304.20 1.98 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burgos winsDrawsCeuta wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25SP2 Ceuta – Burgos 1–0 (1–0) 2.322.953.25 2.60 1.48

Spain Segunda Division table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Santander 32 18 5 9 62 46 +16 59
2 La Coruna 33 17 8 8 51 36 +15 59
3 Almeria 32 17 7 8 64 44 +20 58
4 Malaga 33 16 8 9 55 40 +15 56
5 Burgos 32 15 8 9 37 26 +11 53
6 Las Palmas 32 13 12 7 41 27 +14 51
7 Castellon 32 14 9 9 51 39 +12 51
8 Eibar 32 13 9 10 36 31 +5 48
9 Ceuta 32 14 5 13 41 51 -10 47
10 Sp Gijon 32 13 7 12 43 40 +3 46
11 Albacete 33 11 11 11 41 42 -1 44
12 Andorra 33 11 10 12 44 45 -1 43
13 Granada 32 10 12 10 41 36 +5 42
14 Cordoba 33 11 9 13 43 51 -8 42
15 Sociedad B 32 11 7 14 45 48 -3 40
16 Valladolid 33 10 9 14 39 46 -7 39
17 Leganes 32 9 11 12 36 34 +2 38
18 Cadiz 33 10 8 15 32 44 -12 38
19 Zaragoza 32 8 9 15 29 43 -14 33
20 Huesca 32 8 7 17 32 49 -17 31
21 Mirandes 33 7 8 18 33 53 -20 29
22 Cultural Leonesa 32 7 7 18 29 54 -25 28
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Eibar 17 11 4 2 28 12 +16 37
2 Malaga 17 10 6 1 35 19 +16 36
3 Almeria 16 11 2 3 41 23 +18 35
4 Ceuta 16 11 1 4 25 18 +7 34
5 Santander 16 10 2 4 35 23 +12 32
6 Castellon 15 9 3 3 30 18 +12 30
7 Sp Gijon 17 8 6 3 27 19 +8 30
8 Las Palmas 16 8 5 3 24 11 +13 29
9 Burgos 16 8 5 3 21 10 +11 29
10 La Coruna 16 8 4 4 22 16 +6 28
11 Sociedad B 16 7 5 4 25 20 +5 26
12 Granada 17 5 8 4 24 18 +6 23
13 Huesca 16 6 5 5 19 19 0 23
14 Valladolid 17 6 4 7 20 19 +1 22
15 Cordoba 16 6 4 6 21 23 -2 22
16 Albacete 16 6 4 6 19 23 -4 22
17 Andorra 16 5 6 5 19 19 0 21
18 Cadiz 16 6 2 8 16 21 -5 20
19 Leganes 15 5 4 6 18 15 +3 19
20 Zaragoza 16 4 5 7 14 21 -7 17
21 Mirandes 17 4 4 9 15 26 -11 16
22 Cultural Leonesa 16 2 4 10 9 25 -16 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 La Coruna 17 9 4 4 29 20 +9 31
2 Santander 16 8 3 5 27 23 +4 27
3 Burgos 16 7 3 6 16 16 0 24
4 Almeria 16 6 5 5 23 21 +2 23
5 Albacete 17 5 7 5 22 19 +3 22
6 Las Palmas 16 5 7 4 17 16 +1 22
7 Andorra 17 6 4 7 25 26 -1 22
8 Castellon 17 5 6 6 21 21 0 21
9 Malaga 16 6 2 8 20 21 -1 20
10 Cordoba 17 5 5 7 22 28 -6 20
11 Leganes 17 4 7 6 18 19 -1 19
12 Granada 15 5 4 6 17 18 -1 19
13 Cadiz 17 4 6 7 16 23 -7 18
14 Cultural Leonesa 16 5 3 8 20 29 -9 18
15 Valladolid 16 4 5 7 19 27 -8 17
16 Sp Gijon 15 5 1 9 16 21 -5 16
17 Zaragoza 16 4 4 8 15 22 -7 16
18 Sociedad B 16 4 2 10 20 28 -8 14
19 Mirandes 16 3 4 9 18 27 -9 13
20 Ceuta 16 3 4 9 16 33 -17 13
21 Eibar 15 2 5 8 8 19 -11 11
22 Huesca 16 2 2 12 13 30 -17 8

Burgos   Ceuta

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Almeria 32 9 23 2.0 1.4 17 7 8 64 44 58
2 1 Santander 32 10 22 1.9 1.4 18 5 9 62 46 59
3 4 Malaga 33 13 20 1.7 1.2 16 8 9 55 40 56
4 14 Cordoba 33 13 20 1.3 1.5 11 9 13 43 51 42
5 9 Ceuta 32 13 19 1.3 1.6 14 5 13 41 51 47
6 12 Andorra 33 15 18 1.3 1.4 11 10 12 44 45 43
7 2 La Coruna 33 16 17 1.5 1.1 17 8 8 51 36 59
8 21 Mirandes 33 16 17 1.0 1.6 7 8 18 33 53 29
9 16 Valladolid 33 17 16 1.2 1.4 10 9 14 39 46 39
10 18 Cadiz 33 17 16 1.0 1.3 10 8 15 32 44 38
11 22 Cultural Leonesa 32 16 16 0.9 1.7 7 7 18 29 54 28
12 7 Castellon 32 17 15 1.6 1.2 14 9 9 51 39 51
13 10 Sp Gijon 32 17 15 1.3 1.2 13 7 12 43 40 46
14 15 Sociedad B 32 17 15 1.4 1.5 11 7 14 45 48 40
15 8 Eibar 32 18 14 1.1 1.0 13 9 10 36 31 48
16 11 Albacete 33 19 14 1.2 1.3 11 11 11 41 42 44
17 20 Huesca 32 18 14 1.0 1.5 8 7 17 32 49 31
18 6 Las Palmas 32 19 13 1.3 0.8 13 12 7 41 27 51
19 13 Granada 32 19 13 1.3 1.1 10 12 10 41 36 42
20 17 Leganes 32 19 13 1.1 1.1 9 11 12 36 34 38
21 5 Burgos 32 21 11 1.2 0.8 15 8 9 37 26 53
22 19 Zaragoza 32 21 11 0.9 1.3 8 9 15 29 43 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Almeria 16 2 14 2.6 1.4 11 2 3 41 23 35
2 1 Santander 16 4 12 2.2 1.4 10 2 4 35 23 32
3 4 Malaga 17 6 11 2.1 1.1 10 6 1 35 19 36
4 8 Eibar 17 7 10 1.6 0.7 11 4 2 28 12 37
5 9 Ceuta 16 6 10 1.6 1.1 11 1 4 25 18 34
6 10 Sp Gijon 17 8 9 1.6 1.1 8 6 3 27 19 30
7 14 Cordoba 16 7 9 1.3 1.4 6 4 6 21 23 22
8 2 La Coruna 16 8 8 1.4 1.0 8 4 4 22 16 28
9 12 Andorra 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 5 6 5 19 19 21
10 15 Sociedad B 16 8 8 1.6 1.2 7 5 4 25 20 26
11 18 Cadiz 16 8 8 1.0 1.3 6 2 8 16 21 20
12 21 Mirandes 17 9 8 0.9 1.5 4 4 9 15 26 16
13 6 Las Palmas 16 9 7 1.5 0.7 8 5 3 24 11 29
14 7 Castellon 15 8 7 2.0 1.2 9 3 3 30 18 30
15 11 Albacete 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 6 4 6 19 23 22
16 16 Valladolid 17 10 7 1.2 1.1 6 4 7 20 19 22
17 20 Huesca 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 6 5 5 19 19 23
18 13 Granada 17 11 6 1.4 1.1 5 8 4 24 18 23
19 22 Cultural Leonesa 16 10 6 0.6 1.6 2 4 10 9 25 10
20 17 Leganes 15 10 5 1.2 1.0 5 4 6 18 15 19
21 19 Zaragoza 16 11 5 0.9 1.3 4 5 7 14 21 17
22 5 Burgos 16 12 4 1.3 0.6 8 5 3 21 10 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Cordoba 17 6 11 1.3 1.6 5 5 7 22 28 20
2 1 Santander 16 6 10 1.7 1.4 8 3 5 27 23 27
3 12 Andorra 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 6 4 7 25 26 22
4 22 Cultural Leonesa 16 6 10 1.2 1.8 5 3 8 20 29 18
5 2 La Coruna 17 8 9 1.7 1.2 9 4 4 29 20 31
6 3 Almeria 16 7 9 1.4 1.3 6 5 5 23 21 23
7 4 Malaga 16 7 9 1.2 1.3 6 2 8 20 21 20
8 9 Ceuta 16 7 9 1.0 2.1 3 4 9 16 33 13
9 16 Valladolid 16 7 9 1.2 1.7 4 5 7 19 27 17
10 21 Mirandes 16 7 9 1.1 1.7 3 4 9 18 27 13
11 7 Castellon 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 5 6 6 21 21 21
12 17 Leganes 17 9 8 1.1 1.1 4 7 6 18 19 19
13 18 Cadiz 17 9 8 0.9 1.4 4 6 7 16 23 18
14 5 Burgos 16 9 7 1.0 1.0 7 3 6 16 16 24
15 11 Albacete 17 10 7 1.3 1.1 5 7 5 22 19 22
16 13 Granada 15 8 7 1.1 1.2 5 4 6 17 18 19
17 15 Sociedad B 16 9 7 1.2 1.8 4 2 10 20 28 14
18 20 Huesca 16 9 7 0.8 1.9 2 2 12 13 30 8
19 6 Las Palmas 16 10 6 1.1 1.0 5 7 4 17 16 22
20 10 Sp Gijon 15 9 6 1.1 1.4 5 1 9 16 21 16
21 19 Zaragoza 16 10 6 0.9 1.4 4 4 8 15 22 16
22 8 Eibar 15 11 4 0.5 1.3 2 5 8 8 19 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51