Burgos 3–1 Ceuta – Spain Segunda Division, 11 Sep 2026

Match facts

Burgos Ceuta

7 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

0.82 Expected goals (xG) 0.79

1 Corners 7

21 Fouls 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (44 league matches this season so far).

Result Burgos to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.85

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.04

Home / Draw / Away

56% 23% 21%

BurgosDrawCeuta

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

46% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.8% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.9%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Burgos before this match, all matches

1.25points / match

1.25scored / match

1.25conceded / match

1 2 1

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5

Ceuta before this match, all matches

0.00points / match

0.25scored / match

3.00conceded / match

4

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 1:12

Burgos all matches all matches Ceuta

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.25

1.25 Goals conceded 3.00

2.50 Total goals 3.25

1.51 xG created 0.96

1.58 xG allowed 2.39

12.00 Shots 11.75

3.00 Shots on target 2.75

16.50 Shots faced 15.50

4.25 Corners 4.75

6.00 Corners against 3.25

16.25 Fouls 15.50

2.00 Yellow cards 2.25

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.00

1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

25% Wins 0%

50% Draws 0%

25% Losses 100%

75% Over 0.5 goals 100%

50% Over 1.5 goals 100%

50% Over 2.5 goals 50%

50% Over 3.5 goals 25%

25% Over 4.5 goals 25%

0% Over 5.5 goals 25%

50% Both teams scored 25%

25% Clean sheets 0%

50% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%

75% Draws 0%

25% Losses 100%

75% Over 0.5 goals 100%

50% Over 1.5 goals 0%

25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burgos all matches

1

D

1

W

2

W

1

W

3

2

W

1

L

2

D

Ceuta all matches

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

4

L

2

W

1

W

1

5

L

2

L

3

L

2

L

Burgos before this match, at home

2.00points / match

2.50scored / match

2.00conceded / match

1 1

WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:4

Ceuta before this match, away

0.00points / match

0.50scored / match

4.00conceded / match

2

WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:8

Burgos at home away Ceuta

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 0.50

2.00 Goals conceded 4.00

4.50 Total goals 4.50

2.03 xG created 0.73

2.01 xG allowed 3.04

12.50 Shots 5.00

4.50 Shots on target 0.50

17.50 Shots faced 19.00

3.50 Corners 2.50

5.50 Corners against 2.50

13.50 Fouls 11.00

1.00 Yellow cards 2.00

1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00

1.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%

50% Draws 0%

0% Losses 100%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 100%

100% Over 2.5 goals 100%

100% Over 3.5 goals 50%

50% Over 4.5 goals 50%

0% Over 5.5 goals 50%

100% Both teams scored 50%

0% Clean sheets 0%

0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%

100% Draws 0%

0% Losses 100%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 0%

50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burgos at home

1

D

2

W

4

W

1

D

1

W

1

D

1

W

3

2

W

2

D

Ceuta away

1

W

4

L

2

5

L

1

D

3

L

2

D

2

1

W

2

W

1

5

L

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Burgos all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.09.26	Oviedo – Burgos	0–0 (0–0)	1.86	3.25	4.33	2.60	1.48
31.08.26	Burgos – Sociedad B	2–2 (1–1)	1.76	3.40	4.75	2.15	1.67
23.08.26	Sp Gijon – Burgos	1–0 (1–0)	2.55	2.82	3.00	2.40	1.53
16.08.26	Burgos – Cordoba	3–2 (2–2)	2.35	3.20	3.00	2.25	1.62
31.05.26	Burgos – Andorra	1–0 (1–0)	1.49	4.20	5.75	1.95	1.85
24.05.26	Cultural Leonesa – Burgos	0–2 (0–2)	3.20	3.10	2.30	2.35	1.57
16.05.26	Granada – Burgos	0–1 (0–0)	2.85	3.00	2.55	2.60	1.48
09.05.26	Burgos – Almeria	0–0 (0–0)	2.57	3.25	2.57	1.98	1.83
03.05.26	Sociedad B – Burgos	0–0 (0–0)	2.85	3.25	2.40	2.25	1.62
25.04.26	Burgos – La Coruna	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	2.82	3.20	2.70	1.44

Ceuta all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.09.26	Ceuta – Celta B	0–2 (0–1)	2.01	3.50	3.50	1.85	1.95
30.08.26	Mallorca – Ceuta	3–0 (1–0)	1.39	4.20	8.00	1.70	2.10
22.08.26	Ceuta – Las Palmas	0–2 (0–1)	2.85	3.20	2.45	2.05	1.75
15.08.26	Andorra – Ceuta	5–1 (1–0)	1.68	3.70	4.75	1.80	2.00
30.05.26	Ceuta – Albacete	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.20	3.10	1.80	2.00
24.05.26	Andorra – Ceuta	0–2 (0–1)	1.49	4.75	5.25	1.50	2.50
16.05.26	Ceuta – Malaga	1–4 (0–3)	3.75	3.75	1.86	1.67	2.15
09.05.26	Ceuta – Castellon	1–1 (0–0)	4.50	4.20	1.61	1.57	2.35
03.05.26	Sp Gijon – Ceuta	1–2 (1–2)	1.62	4.10	4.50	1.73	2.08
26.04.26	Ceuta – Santander	0–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.75	2.01	1.57	2.35

Burgos at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.08.26	Burgos – Sociedad B	2–2 (1–1)	1.76	3.40	4.75	2.15	1.67
16.08.26	Burgos – Cordoba	3–2 (2–2)	2.35	3.20	3.00	2.25	1.62
31.05.26	Burgos – Andorra	1–0 (1–0)	1.49	4.20	5.75	1.95	1.85
09.05.26	Burgos – Almeria	0–0 (0–0)	2.57	3.25	2.57	1.98	1.83
25.04.26	Burgos – La Coruna	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	2.82	3.20	2.70	1.44
11.04.26	Burgos – Sp Gijon	1–0 (0–0)	2.01	2.85	3.50	2.50	1.50
01.04.26	Burgos – Ceuta	1–1 (1–1)	1.79	3.00	5.25	2.40	1.53
22.03.26	Burgos – Cordoba	4–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.00	3.40	2.25	1.62
07.03.26	Burgos – Mirandes	2–0 (1–0)	1.76	3.30	4.75	2.60	1.48
14.02.26	Burgos – Cadiz	1–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.10	3.70	2.70	1.44

Ceuta away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.08.26	Mallorca – Ceuta	3–0 (1–0)	1.39	4.20	8.00	1.70	2.10
15.08.26	Andorra – Ceuta	5–1 (1–0)	1.68	3.70	4.75	1.80	2.00
24.05.26	Andorra – Ceuta	0–2 (0–1)	1.49	4.75	5.25	1.50	2.50
03.05.26	Sp Gijon – Ceuta	1–2 (1–2)	1.62	4.10	4.50	1.73	2.08
18.04.26	Zaragoza – Ceuta	2–2 (0–1)	1.66	3.80	4.50	1.85	1.95
05.04.26	Eibar – Ceuta	3–0 (1–0)	1.66	3.40	5.25	2.10	1.70
01.04.26	Burgos – Ceuta	1–1 (1–1)	1.79	3.00	5.25	2.40	1.53
21.03.26	Leganes – Ceuta	5–2 (1–1)	1.79	3.40	4.50	2.10	1.70
08.03.26	Las Palmas – Ceuta	4–0 (1–0)	1.61	3.70	5.25	2.10	1.70
01.03.26	Mirandes – Ceuta	0–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.20	3.10	2.10	1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1

Burgos winsDrawsCeuta wins

2matches

1.50goals / match

0%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.26SP2	Burgos – Ceuta	1–1 (1–1)	1.79	3.00	5.25	2.40	1.53
29.11.25SP2	Ceuta – Burgos	1–0 (1–0)	2.32	2.95	3.25	2.60	1.48

Spain Segunda Division table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Castellon	4	3	1	0	5	1	+4	10
2	Eibar	4	3	0	1	6	3	+3	9
3	Sabadell	4	2	2	0	4	2	+2	8
4	Leganes	4	2	2	0	3	1	+2	8
5	Girona	4	2	1	1	9	5	+4	7
6	Celta B	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7
7	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	5	2	+3	7
8	Tenerife	4	2	1	1	5	3	+2	7
9	Granada	4	2	1	1	5	4	+1	7
10	Las Palmas	4	2	1	1	6	6	0	7
11	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	2	2	0	7
12	Almeria	4	2	0	2	6	4	+2	6
13	Burgos	4	1	2	1	5	5	0	5
14	Sociedad B	4	1	2	1	5	5	0	5
15	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	1	1	0	5
16	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	2	4	-2	4
17	Andorra	4	1	0	3	7	7	0	3
18	Cadiz	4	0	3	1	5	6	-1	3
19	Cordoba	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
20	Eldense	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2
21	Albacete	4	0	0	4	2	7	-5	0
22	Ceuta	4	0	0	4	1	12	-11	0

Promotion to La Liga
Promotion play-offs
Relegation to Primera Federación

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	5	0	+5	6
2	Almeria	2	2	0	0	6	2	+4	6
3	Eibar	3	2	0	1	5	3	+2	6
4	Sabadell	2	2	0	0	4	2	+2	6
5	Girona	2	1	1	0	6	3	+3	4
6	Castellon	2	1	1	0	2	0	+2	4
7	Burgos	2	1	1	0	5	4	+1	4
8	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4
9	Sp Gijon	3	1	1	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Andorra	2	1	0	1	5	2	+3	3
11	Granada	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
12	Celta B	2	1	0	1	5	4	+1	3
13	Leganes	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
14	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
15	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3
16	Cordoba	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3
17	Eldense	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2
18	Cadiz	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2
19	Oviedo	3	0	2	1	0	1	-1	2
20	Sociedad B	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
21	Albacete	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2	0
22	Ceuta	2	0	0	2	0	4	-4	0

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Castellon	2	2	0	0	3	1	+2	6
2	Leganes	3	1	2	0	2	1	+1	5
3	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	4	2	+2	4
4	Celta B	2	1	1	0	2	0	+2	4
5	Sociedad B	2	1	1	0	4	3	+1	4
6	Granada	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4
7	Girona	2	1	0	1	3	2	+1	3
8	Eibar	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
9	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
10	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
11	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3
12	Sabadell	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
13	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	4	5	-1	1
14	Burgos	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1
15	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1
16	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	1	4	-3	1
17	Cordoba	2	0	0	2	4	6	-2	0
18	Almeria	2	0	0	2	0	2	-2	0
19	Andorra	2	0	0	2	2	5	-3	0
20	Albacete	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0
21	Eldense	2	0	0	2	0	4	-4	0
22	Ceuta	2	0	0	2	1	8	-7	0

Burgos Ceuta

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Cordoba	4	0	4	1.8	2.5	1	0	3	7	10	3
2	2	Eibar	4	2	2	1.5	0.8	3	0	1	6	3	9
3	5	Girona	4	2	2	2.2	1.2	2	1	1	9	5	7
4	6	Celta B	4	2	2	1.8	1.0	2	1	1	7	4	7
5	9	Granada	4	2	2	1.2	1.0	2	1	1	5	4	7
6	10	Las Palmas	4	2	2	1.5	1.5	2	1	1	6	6	7
7	12	Almeria	4	2	2	1.5	1.0	2	0	2	6	4	6
8	13	Burgos	4	2	2	1.2	1.2	1	2	1	5	5	5
9	14	Sociedad B	4	2	2	1.2	1.2	1	2	1	5	5	5
10	17	Andorra	4	2	2	1.8	1.8	1	0	3	7	7	3
11	18	Cadiz	4	2	2	1.2	1.5	0	3	1	5	6	3
12	20	Eldense	4	2	2	0.5	1.5	0	2	2	2	6	2
13	21	Albacete	4	2	2	0.5	1.8	0	0	4	2	7	0
14	22	Ceuta	4	2	2	0.2	3.0	0	0	4	1	12	0
15	1	Castellon	4	3	1	1.2	0.2	3	1	0	5	1	10
16	3	Sabadell	4	3	1	1.0	0.5	2	2	0	4	2	8
17	7	Mallorca	4	3	1	1.2	0.5	2	1	1	5	2	7
18	8	Tenerife	4	3	1	1.2	0.8	2	1	1	5	3	7
19	4	Leganes	4	4	0	0.8	0.2	2	2	0	3	1	8
20	11	Sp Gijon	4	4	0	0.5	0.5	2	1	1	2	2	7
21	15	Oviedo	4	4	0	0.2	0.2	1	2	1	1	1	5
22	16	Valladolid	4	4	0	0.5	1.0	1	1	2	2	4	4

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Eibar	3	1	2	1.7	1.0	2	0	1	5	3	6
2	6	Celta B	2	0	2	2.5	2.0	1	0	1	5	4	3
3	12	Almeria	2	0	2	3.0	1.0	2	0	0	6	2	6
4	13	Burgos	2	0	2	2.5	2.0	1	1	0	5	4	4
5	19	Cordoba	2	0	2	1.5	2.0	1	0	1	3	4	3
6	3	Sabadell	2	1	1	2.0	1.0	2	0	0	4	2	6
7	5	Girona	2	1	1	3.0	1.5	1	1	0	6	3	4
8	7	Mallorca	2	1	1	2.5	0.0	2	0	0	5	0	6
9	10	Las Palmas	2	1	1	1.0	0.5	1	1	0	2	1	4
10	17	Andorra	2	1	1	2.5	1.0	1	0	1	5	2	3
11	20	Eldense	2	1	1	1.0	1.0	0	2	0	2	2	2
12	21	Albacete	2	1	1	0.5	1.5	0	0	2	1	3	0
13	1	Castellon	2	2	0	1.0	0.0	1	1	0	2	0	4
14	4	Leganes	1	1	0	1.0	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	3
15	8	Tenerife	2	2	0	0.5	0.5	1	0	1	1	1	3
16	9	Granada	1	1	0	2.0	0.0	1	0	0	2	0	3
17	11	Sp Gijon	3	3	0	0.3	0.7	1	1	1	1	2	4
18	14	Sociedad B	2	2	0	0.5	1.0	0	1	1	1	2	1
19	15	Oviedo	3	3	0	0.0	0.3	0	2	1	0	1	2
20	16	Valladolid	1	1	0	1.0	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	3
21	18	Cadiz	2	2	0	0.5	0.5	0	2	0	1	1	2
22	22	Ceuta	2	2	0	0.0	2.0	0	0	2	0	4	0

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Granada	3	1	2	1.0	1.3	1	1	1	3	4	4
2	14	Sociedad B	2	0	2	2.0	1.5	1	1	0	4	3	4
3	18	Cadiz	2	0	2	2.0	2.5	0	1	1	4	5	1
4	19	Cordoba	2	0	2	2.0	3.0	0	0	2	4	6	0
5	22	Ceuta	2	0	2	0.5	4.0	0	0	2	1	8	0
6	1	Castellon	2	1	1	1.5	0.5	2	0	0	3	1	6
7	5	Girona	2	1	1	1.5	1.0	1	0	1	3	2	3
8	8	Tenerife	2	1	1	2.0	1.0	1	1	0	4	2	4
9	10	Las Palmas	2	1	1	2.0	2.5	1	0	1	4	5	3
10	17	Andorra	2	1	1	1.0	2.5	0	0	2	2	5	0
11	20	Eldense	2	1	1	0.0	2.0	0	0	2	0	4	0
12	21	Albacete	2	1	1	0.5	2.0	0	0	2	1	4	0
13	2	Eibar	1	1	0	1.0	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	3
14	3	Sabadell	2	2	0	0.0	0.0	0	2	0	0	0	2
15	4	Leganes	3	3	0	0.7	0.3	1	2	0	2	1	5
16	6	Celta B	2	2	0	1.0	0.0	1	1	0	2	0	4
17	7	Mallorca	2	2	0	0.0	1.0	0	1	1	0	2	1
18	11	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	1.0	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	3
19	12	Almeria	2	2	0	0.0	1.0	0	0	2	0	2	0
20	13	Burgos	2	2	0	0.0	0.5	0	1	1	0	1	1
21	15	Oviedo	1	1	0	1.0	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	3
22	16	Valladolid	3	3	0	0.3	1.3	0	1	2	1	4	1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.