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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Ward

Derby 3–2 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 4.50 fair 3.43
Draw 3.50 fair 3.40
Away 1.80 fair 2.41
Under 2.5 1.61 fair 1.56
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.79

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Bournemouth
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 4
7 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (215 league matches this season so far).
Result Bournemouth to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.74
Expected goals 0.94 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 14.1% 1–1 13.3% 0–0 11.9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
0.76scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 13:16
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
2.35points / match
1.82scored / match
0.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 31:10
Derby all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

0.76 Goals scored 1.82
0.94 Goals conceded 0.59
1.71 Total goals 2.41
10.41 Shots 11.59
3.59 Shots on target 4.71
13.29 Shots faced 8.47
4.18 Corners 5.71
4.71 Corners against 4.59
9.94 Fouls 12.65
2.06 Yellow cards 1.88
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.06

How often Full Time

18% Wins 71%
53% Draws 24%
29% Losses 6%
76% Over 0.5 goals 88%
59% Over 1.5 goals 76%
29% Over 2.5 goals 59%
6% Over 3.5 goals 18%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 41%
35% Clean sheets 59%
35% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 53%
59% Draws 47%
18% Losses 0%
59% Over 0.5 goals 59%
29% Over 1.5 goals 35%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.38points / match
1.00scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:7
Bournemouth before this match, away
2.50points / match
1.25scored / match
0.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:1
Derby at home away Bournemouth

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.25
0.88 Goals conceded 0.13
1.88 Total goals 1.38
10.63 Shots 12.00
4.00 Shots on target 4.00
13.38 Shots faced 8.00
4.38 Corners 5.88
4.38 Corners against 4.88
11.63 Fouls 11.25
2.63 Yellow cards 1.38
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

25% Wins 75%
63% Draws 25%
13% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
63% Over 1.5 goals 50%
38% Over 2.5 goals 13%
13% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 13%
38% Clean sheets 88%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 38%
38% Draws 63%
13% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 38%
38% Over 1.5 goals 13%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 8 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.21 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.404.75 2.37 1.57
03.11.21 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.61
30.10.21 Derby – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.252.55 2.30 1.61
23.10.21 Coventry – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.72
19.10.21 Derby – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.202.30 2.50 1.53
16.10.21 Preston – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.20 2.30 1.61
02.10.21 Derby – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.37 1.57
29.09.21 Derby – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.66
25.09.21 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 2.10 1.72
18.09.21 Derby – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.21 Bournemouth – Swansea 4–0 (1–0) 1.723.605.00 2.05 1.80
03.11.21 Bournemouth – Preston 1–2 (0–0) 1.554.006.50 1.90 1.90
30.10.21 Reading – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 5.003.601.72 1.90 1.90
23.10.21 Bournemouth – Huddersfield 3–0 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.90 1.90
19.10.21 Stoke – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.80 2.00 1.80
16.10.21 Bristol City – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–2) 4.503.401.85 2.00 1.80
02.10.21 Bournemouth – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 2.10 1.72
29.09.21 Peterboro – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.751.66 1.90 1.90
25.09.21 Bournemouth – Luton 2–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.50 1.85 2.00
18.09.21 Cardiff – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.202.55 2.00 1.80

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.21 Derby – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.252.55 2.30 1.61
19.10.21 Derby – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.202.30 2.50 1.53
02.10.21 Derby – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.37 1.57
29.09.21 Derby – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.66
18.09.21 Derby – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57
28.08.21 Derby – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.103.10 2.50 1.53
21.08.21 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61
07.08.21 Derby – Huddersfield 1–1 (1–1) 4.503.751.72 2.10 1.72

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.21 Reading – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 5.003.601.72 1.90 1.90
19.10.21 Stoke – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.80 2.00 1.80
16.10.21 Bristol City – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–2) 4.503.401.85 2.00 1.80
29.09.21 Peterboro – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.751.66 1.90 1.90
18.09.21 Cardiff – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.202.55 2.00 1.80
28.08.21 Hull – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.72
18.08.21 Birmingham – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–0) 3.103.252.40 2.10 1.72
14.08.21 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 1–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.15 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 18 13 2 3 48 15 +33 41
2 Bournemouth 17 12 4 1 31 10 +21 40
3 West Brom 18 9 5 4 27 16 +11 32
4 Stoke 18 9 4 5 24 19 +5 31
5 Coventry 18 9 4 5 25 21 +4 31
6 QPR 18 8 5 5 30 24 +6 29
7 Huddersfield 18 8 4 6 22 20 +2 28
8 Blackburn 18 7 6 5 29 27 +2 27
9 Millwall 18 6 8 4 18 18 0 26
10 Blackpool 18 7 5 6 20 21 -1 26
11 Luton 18 6 6 6 26 24 +2 24
12 Swansea 18 6 6 6 21 23 -2 24
13 Nott'm Forest 18 6 5 7 24 23 +1 23
14 Middlesbrough 18 6 5 7 20 20 0 23
15 Reading 18 7 2 9 23 29 -6 23
16 Birmingham 18 6 4 8 18 21 -3 22
17 Preston 18 5 6 7 19 24 -5 21
18 Sheffield United 18 5 5 8 22 26 -4 20
19 Bristol City 18 5 5 8 20 28 -8 20
20 Derby 17 3 9 5 13 16 -3 18
21 Cardiff 18 5 3 10 19 32 -13 18
22 Hull 18 4 3 11 13 22 -9 15
23 Peterboro 18 4 3 11 17 34 -17 15
24 Barnsley 18 2 5 11 13 29 -16 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 9 7 1 1 23 6 +17 22
2 Coventry 9 7 1 1 19 8 +11 22
3 West Brom 9 6 3 0 16 5 +11 21
4 Bournemouth 9 6 2 1 21 9 +12 20
5 Stoke 9 6 2 1 15 8 +7 20
6 Huddersfield 9 6 1 2 13 9 +4 19
7 QPR 9 5 3 1 15 8 +7 18
8 Blackburn 9 5 2 2 19 16 +3 17
9 Swansea 9 4 4 1 11 5 +6 16
10 Luton 9 4 3 2 15 10 +5 15
11 Preston 9 4 3 2 12 10 +2 15
12 Millwall 9 4 3 2 10 9 +1 15
13 Middlesbrough 9 4 2 3 13 10 +3 14
14 Reading 9 4 2 3 15 14 +1 14
15 Blackpool 9 4 1 4 7 9 -2 13
16 Peterboro 9 3 3 3 12 10 +2 12
17 Sheffield United 9 3 2 4 13 11 +2 11
18 Derby 8 2 5 1 8 7 +1 11
19 Birmingham 9 3 2 4 9 12 -3 11
20 Bristol City 9 1 5 3 7 10 -3 8
21 Hull 9 2 2 5 7 11 -4 8
22 Nott'm Forest 9 2 2 5 10 15 -5 8
23 Barnsley 9 2 2 5 7 12 -5 8
24 Cardiff 9 2 1 6 7 14 -7 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 8 6 2 0 10 1 +9 20
2 Fulham 9 6 1 2 25 9 +16 19
3 Nott'm Forest 9 4 3 2 14 8 +6 15
4 Blackpool 9 3 4 2 13 12 +1 13
5 Bristol City 9 4 0 5 13 18 -5 12
6 West Brom 9 3 2 4 11 11 0 11
7 Birmingham 9 3 2 4 9 9 0 11
8 QPR 9 3 2 4 15 16 -1 11
9 Millwall 9 2 5 2 8 9 -1 11
10 Stoke 9 3 2 4 9 11 -2 11
11 Cardiff 9 3 2 4 12 18 -6 11
12 Blackburn 9 2 4 3 10 11 -1 10
13 Huddersfield 9 2 3 4 9 11 -2 9
14 Luton 9 2 3 4 11 14 -3 9
15 Middlesbrough 9 2 3 4 7 10 -3 9
16 Sheffield United 9 2 3 4 9 15 -6 9
17 Reading 9 3 0 6 8 15 -7 9
18 Coventry 9 2 3 4 6 13 -7 9
19 Swansea 9 2 2 5 10 18 -8 8
20 Derby 9 1 4 4 5 9 -4 7
21 Hull 9 2 1 6 6 11 -5 7
22 Preston 9 1 3 5 7 14 -7 6
23 Barnsley 9 0 3 6 6 17 -11 3
24 Peterboro 9 1 0 8 5 24 -19 3

Derby   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Fulham 18 6 12 2.7 0.8 13 2 3 48 15 41
2 8 Blackburn 18 7 11 1.6 1.5 7 6 5 29 27 27
3 12 Swansea 18 7 11 1.2 1.3 6 6 6 21 23 24
4 23 Peterboro 18 7 11 0.9 1.9 4 3 11 17 34 15
5 2 Bournemouth 17 7 10 1.8 0.6 12 4 1 31 10 40
6 6 QPR 18 8 10 1.7 1.3 8 5 5 30 24 29
7 13 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 6 5 7 24 23 23
8 15 Reading 18 8 10 1.3 1.6 7 2 9 23 29 23
9 18 Sheffield United 18 8 10 1.2 1.4 5 5 8 22 26 20
10 19 Bristol City 18 8 10 1.1 1.6 5 5 8 20 28 20
11 21 Cardiff 18 8 10 1.1 1.8 5 3 10 19 32 18
12 3 West Brom 18 9 9 1.5 0.9 9 5 4 27 16 32
13 5 Coventry 18 9 9 1.4 1.2 9 4 5 25 21 31
14 11 Luton 18 9 9 1.4 1.3 6 6 6 26 24 24
15 17 Preston 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 5 6 7 19 24 21
16 4 Stoke 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 9 4 5 24 19 31
17 7 Huddersfield 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 8 4 6 22 20 28
18 10 Blackpool 18 11 7 1.1 1.2 7 5 6 20 21 26
19 16 Birmingham 18 11 7 1.0 1.2 6 4 8 18 21 22
20 24 Barnsley 18 11 7 0.7 1.6 2 5 11 13 29 11
21 9 Millwall 18 13 5 1.0 1.0 6 8 4 18 18 26
22 20 Derby 17 12 5 0.8 0.9 3 9 5 13 16 18
23 14 Middlesbrough 18 14 4 1.1 1.1 6 5 7 20 20 23
24 22 Hull 18 14 4 0.7 1.2 4 3 11 13 22 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 9 0 9 2.3 1.0 6 2 1 21 9 20
2 8 Blackburn 9 2 7 2.1 1.8 5 2 2 19 16 17
3 1 Fulham 9 3 6 2.6 0.7 7 1 1 23 6 22
4 5 Coventry 9 3 6 2.1 0.9 7 1 1 19 8 22
5 13 Nott'm Forest 9 3 6 1.1 1.7 2 2 5 10 15 8
6 11 Luton 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 4 3 2 15 10 15
7 15 Reading 9 4 5 1.7 1.6 4 2 3 15 14 14
8 16 Birmingham 9 4 5 1.0 1.3 3 2 4 9 12 11
9 18 Sheffield United 9 4 5 1.4 1.2 3 2 4 13 11 11
10 23 Peterboro 9 4 5 1.3 1.1 3 3 3 12 10 12
11 3 West Brom 9 5 4 1.8 0.6 6 3 0 16 5 21
12 12 Swansea 9 5 4 1.2 0.6 4 4 1 11 5 16
13 17 Preston 9 5 4 1.3 1.1 4 3 2 12 10 15
14 21 Cardiff 9 5 4 0.8 1.6 2 1 6 7 14 7
15 4 Stoke 9 6 3 1.7 0.9 6 2 1 15 8 20
16 6 QPR 9 6 3 1.7 0.9 5 3 1 15 8 18
17 7 Huddersfield 9 6 3 1.4 1.0 6 1 2 13 9 19
18 9 Millwall 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 3 2 10 9 15
19 14 Middlesbrough 9 6 3 1.4 1.1 4 2 3 13 10 14
20 20 Derby 8 5 3 1.0 0.9 2 5 1 8 7 11
21 22 Hull 9 6 3 0.8 1.2 2 2 5 7 11 8
22 24 Barnsley 9 6 3 0.8 1.3 2 2 5 7 12 8
23 10 Blackpool 9 7 2 0.8 1.0 4 1 4 7 9 13
24 19 Bristol City 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 1 5 3 7 10 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Bristol City 9 1 8 1.4 2.0 4 0 5 13 18 12
2 6 QPR 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 3 2 4 15 16 11
3 12 Swansea 9 2 7 1.1 2.0 2 2 5 10 18 8
4 1 Fulham 9 3 6 2.8 1.0 6 1 2 25 9 19
5 21 Cardiff 9 3 6 1.3 2.0 3 2 4 12 18 11
6 23 Peterboro 9 3 6 0.6 2.7 1 0 8 5 24 3
7 3 West Brom 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 3 2 4 11 11 11
8 4 Stoke 9 4 5 1.0 1.2 3 2 4 9 11 11
9 7 Huddersfield 9 4 5 1.0 1.2 2 3 4 9 11 9
10 10 Blackpool 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 3 4 2 13 12 13
11 15 Reading 9 4 5 0.9 1.7 3 0 6 8 15 9
12 17 Preston 9 4 5 0.8 1.6 1 3 5 7 14 6
13 18 Sheffield United 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 2 3 4 9 15 9
14 8 Blackburn 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 2 4 3 10 11 10
15 11 Luton 9 5 4 1.2 1.6 2 3 4 11 14 9
16 13 Nott'm Forest 9 5 4 1.6 0.9 4 3 2 14 8 15
17 24 Barnsley 9 5 4 0.7 1.9 0 3 6 6 17 3
18 5 Coventry 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 2 3 4 6 13 9
19 9 Millwall 9 7 2 0.9 1.0 2 5 2 8 9 11
20 16 Birmingham 9 7 2 1.0 1.0 3 2 4 9 9 11
21 20 Derby 9 7 2 0.6 1.0 1 4 4 5 9 7
22 2 Bournemouth 8 7 1 1.2 0.1 6 2 0 10 1 20
23 14 Middlesbrough 9 8 1 0.8 1.1 2 3 4 7 10 9
24 22 Hull 9 8 1 0.7 1.2 2 1 6 6 11 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38