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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Busby

Stoke 1–2 Luton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2021/2022

Home 2.10 fair 2.28
Draw 3.30 fair 3.82
Away ✓ 3.60 fair 3.34
Under 2.5 1.66 fair 1.91
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.10

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Luton
5 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 6
8 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (385 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.44 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.29scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 40:34
Luton before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.39scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 43:36
Stoke all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.39
1.10 Goals conceded 1.16
2.39 Total goals 2.55
12.06 Shots 10.81
4.06 Shots on target 3.45
10.35 Shots faced 10.97
5.35 Corners 5.00
5.26 Corners against 5.10
10.52 Fouls 12.00
2.19 Yellow cards 1.68
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

39% Wins 42%
26% Draws 29%
35% Losses 29%
94% Over 0.5 goals 87%
68% Over 1.5 goals 74%
45% Over 2.5 goals 48%
19% Over 3.5 goals 26%
10% Over 4.5 goals 16%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
48% Both teams scored 39%
35% Clean sheets 42%
23% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 32%
52% Draws 29%
19% Losses 39%
58% Over 0.5 goals 74%
23% Over 1.5 goals 29%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Luton all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.50scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 24:18
Luton before this match, away
1.27points / match
1.13scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:19
Stoke at home away Luton

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.13
1.13 Goals conceded 1.27
2.63 Total goals 2.40
10.81 Shots 10.60
3.81 Shots on target 3.33
9.13 Shots faced 12.00
5.19 Corners 4.67
4.81 Corners against 5.40
10.31 Fouls 12.13
2.06 Yellow cards 2.00
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

44% Wins 33%
25% Draws 27%
31% Losses 40%
94% Over 0.5 goals 93%
69% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 40%
25% Over 3.5 goals 20%
19% Over 4.5 goals 7%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 33%
38% Clean sheets 40%
19% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 27%
63% Draws 27%
13% Losses 47%
50% Over 0.5 goals 73%
31% Over 1.5 goals 27%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.22 Stoke – Birmingham 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.77
12.02.22 Nott'm Forest – Stoke 2–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.30 1.61
08.02.22 Stoke – Swansea 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.37 1.57
28.01.22 Huddersfield – Stoke 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.80 2.20 1.66
25.01.22 Coventry – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.60 2.30 1.61
22.01.22 Stoke – Fulham 2–3 (1–2) 4.333.401.90 2.10 1.72
16.01.22 Hull – Stoke 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 2.20 1.66
03.01.22 Stoke – Preston 1–2 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.30 1.61
30.12.21 Stoke – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.663.755.50 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Stoke – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.20 1.66

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.22 Luton – West Brom 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Birmingham – Luton 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.45 2.20 1.66
08.02.22 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.756.50 2.10 1.72
01.02.22 Swansea – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.37 1.57
29.01.22 Luton – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66
25.01.22 Luton – Bristol City 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.404.75 1.95 1.90
22.01.22 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.50 2.20 1.66
19.01.22 Reading – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83
15.01.22 Luton – Bournemouth 3–2 (2–0) 2.803.402.45 2.02 1.83
11.12.21 Luton – Fulham 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.72 2.10

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.22 Stoke – Birmingham 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.77
08.02.22 Stoke – Swansea 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.37 1.57
22.01.22 Stoke – Fulham 2–3 (1–2) 4.333.401.90 2.10 1.72
03.01.22 Stoke – Preston 1–2 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.30 1.61
30.12.21 Stoke – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.663.755.50 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Stoke – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.20 1.66
27.11.21 Stoke – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.02 1.83
20.11.21 Stoke – Peterboro 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.50 1.83 2.02
30.10.21 Stoke – Cardiff 3–3 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.00 1.80
19.10.21 Stoke – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.80 2.00 1.80

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.22 Birmingham – Luton 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.45 2.20 1.66
01.02.22 Swansea – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.37 1.57
22.01.22 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.50 2.20 1.66
19.01.22 Reading – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83
04.12.21 Blackpool – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 2.803.102.70 2.20 1.66
23.11.21 Nott'm Forest – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.87 2.30 1.61
19.11.21 QPR – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.95 1.90
30.10.21 Preston – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.72
19.10.21 Derby – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.202.30 2.50 1.53
16.10.21 Millwall – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.25 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsLuton wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.21E1 Luton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 31 19 7 5 79 28 +51 64
2 Bournemouth 30 17 7 6 49 26 +23 58
3 Blackburn 32 15 9 8 45 33 +12 54
4 QPR 32 15 8 9 47 37 +10 53
5 Huddersfield 33 14 11 8 42 35 +7 53
6 Middlesbrough 32 15 7 10 41 32 +9 52
7 Sheffield United 31 14 8 9 43 33 +10 50
8 Coventry 32 14 8 10 42 37 +5 50
9 Nott'm Forest 32 13 9 10 43 33 +10 48
10 Luton 31 13 9 9 43 36 +7 48
11 West Brom 33 12 10 11 35 30 +5 46
12 Preston 34 11 13 10 37 38 -1 46
13 Stoke 31 12 8 11 40 34 +6 44
14 Millwall 31 11 10 10 33 33 0 43
15 Derby 32 10 12 10 33 35 -2 42
16 Blackpool 32 11 9 12 35 38 -3 42
17 Bristol City 34 11 7 16 45 61 -16 40
18 Swansea 31 10 8 13 32 43 -11 38
19 Birmingham 34 9 10 15 40 53 -13 37
20 Cardiff 32 10 6 16 39 51 -12 36
21 Reading 33 10 5 18 41 63 -22 35
22 Hull 34 9 7 18 27 39 -12 34
23 Peterboro 31 5 6 20 23 61 -38 21
24 Barnsley 32 4 8 20 21 46 -25 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 17 11 2 4 27 15 +12 35
2 Fulham 17 10 4 3 41 15 +26 34
3 Blackburn 16 10 3 3 31 19 +12 33
4 West Brom 15 8 6 1 21 8 +13 30
5 Coventry 16 9 3 4 24 14 +10 30
6 QPR 17 8 6 3 24 14 +10 30
7 Derby 16 8 6 2 22 14 +8 30
8 Luton 16 8 5 3 26 17 +9 29
9 Millwall 16 8 5 3 20 13 +7 29
10 Huddersfield 16 8 5 3 22 16 +6 29
11 Bournemouth 14 8 3 3 29 15 +14 27
12 Bristol City 18 7 5 6 23 23 0 26
13 Blackpool 17 8 2 7 17 18 -1 26
14 Stoke 16 7 4 5 24 18 +6 25
15 Swansea 15 7 4 4 19 14 +5 25
16 Sheffield United 14 7 3 4 23 11 +12 24
17 Preston 17 5 9 3 22 20 +2 24
18 Nott'm Forest 16 6 4 6 21 20 +1 22
19 Birmingham 16 6 4 6 21 21 0 22
20 Reading 17 5 4 8 25 35 -10 19
21 Hull 17 5 3 9 15 20 -5 18
22 Cardiff 16 5 2 9 18 21 -3 17
23 Peterboro 15 4 5 6 15 18 -3 17
24 Barnsley 15 3 4 8 9 17 -8 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 16 9 4 3 20 11 +9 31
2 Fulham 14 9 3 2 38 13 +25 30
3 Nott'm Forest 16 7 5 4 22 13 +9 26
4 Sheffield United 17 7 5 5 20 22 -2 26
5 Huddersfield 17 6 6 5 20 19 +1 24
6 QPR 15 7 2 6 23 23 0 23
7 Preston 17 6 4 7 15 18 -3 22
8 Blackburn 16 5 6 5 14 14 0 21
9 Coventry 16 5 5 6 18 23 -5 20
10 Stoke 15 5 4 6 16 16 0 19
11 Luton 15 5 4 6 17 19 -2 19
12 Cardiff 16 5 4 7 21 30 -9 19
13 Middlesbrough 15 4 5 6 14 17 -3 17
14 Blackpool 15 3 7 5 18 20 -2 16
15 Hull 17 4 4 9 12 19 -7 16
16 West Brom 18 4 4 10 14 22 -8 16
17 Reading 16 5 1 10 16 28 -12 16
18 Birmingham 18 3 6 9 19 32 -13 15
19 Millwall 15 3 5 7 13 20 -7 14
20 Bristol City 16 4 2 10 22 38 -16 14
21 Swansea 16 3 4 9 13 29 -16 13
22 Derby 16 2 6 8 11 21 -10 12
23 Barnsley 17 1 4 12 12 29 -17 7
24 Peterboro 16 1 1 14 8 43 -35 4

Stoke   Luton

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Bristol City 34 11 23 1.3 1.8 11 7 16 45 61 40
2 19 Birmingham 34 14 20 1.2 1.6 9 10 15 40 53 37
3 21 Reading 33 13 20 1.2 1.9 10 5 18 41 63 35
4 1 Fulham 31 13 18 2.5 0.9 19 7 5 79 28 64
5 20 Cardiff 32 14 18 1.2 1.6 10 6 16 39 51 36
6 23 Peterboro 31 13 18 0.7 2.0 5 6 20 23 61 21
7 2 Bournemouth 30 14 16 1.6 0.9 17 7 6 49 26 58
8 4 QPR 32 16 16 1.5 1.2 15 8 9 47 37 53
9 9 Nott'm Forest 32 16 16 1.3 1.0 13 9 10 43 33 48
10 18 Swansea 31 15 16 1.0 1.4 10 8 13 32 43 38
11 8 Coventry 32 17 15 1.3 1.2 14 8 10 42 37 50
12 10 Luton 31 16 15 1.4 1.2 13 9 9 43 36 48
13 12 Preston 34 19 15 1.1 1.1 11 13 10 37 38 46
14 3 Blackburn 32 18 14 1.4 1.0 15 9 8 45 33 54
15 7 Sheffield United 31 17 14 1.4 1.1 14 8 9 43 33 50
16 13 Stoke 31 17 14 1.3 1.1 12 8 11 40 34 44
17 5 Huddersfield 33 20 13 1.3 1.1 14 11 8 42 35 53
18 15 Derby 32 19 13 1.0 1.1 10 12 10 33 35 42
19 16 Blackpool 32 19 13 1.1 1.2 11 9 12 35 38 42
20 6 Middlesbrough 32 20 12 1.3 1.0 15 7 10 41 32 52
21 11 West Brom 33 21 12 1.1 0.9 12 10 11 35 30 46
22 24 Barnsley 32 20 12 0.7 1.4 4 8 20 21 46 20
23 14 Millwall 31 20 11 1.1 1.1 11 10 10 33 33 43
24 22 Hull 34 26 8 0.8 1.1 9 7 18 27 39 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 14 2 12 2.1 1.1 8 3 3 29 15 27
2 19 Birmingham 16 5 11 1.3 1.3 6 4 6 21 21 22
3 1 Fulham 17 7 10 2.4 0.9 10 4 3 41 15 34
4 3 Blackburn 16 6 10 1.9 1.2 10 3 3 31 19 33
5 9 Nott'm Forest 16 6 10 1.3 1.2 6 4 6 21 20 22
6 21 Reading 17 7 10 1.5 2.1 5 4 8 25 35 19
7 10 Luton 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 8 5 3 26 17 29
8 17 Bristol City 18 9 9 1.3 1.3 7 5 6 23 23 26
9 8 Coventry 16 8 8 1.5 0.9 9 3 4 24 14 30
10 12 Preston 17 9 8 1.3 1.2 5 9 3 22 20 24
11 13 Stoke 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 7 4 5 24 18 25
12 6 Middlesbrough 17 10 7 1.6 0.9 11 2 4 27 15 35
13 15 Derby 16 9 7 1.4 0.9 8 6 2 22 14 30
14 16 Blackpool 17 10 7 1.0 1.1 8 2 7 17 18 26
15 18 Swansea 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 7 4 4 19 14 25
16 20 Cardiff 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 5 2 9 18 21 17
17 23 Peterboro 15 8 7 1.0 1.2 4 5 6 15 18 17
18 7 Sheffield United 14 8 6 1.6 0.8 7 3 4 23 11 24
19 4 QPR 17 12 5 1.4 0.8 8 6 3 24 14 30
20 5 Huddersfield 16 11 5 1.4 1.0 8 5 3 22 16 29
21 11 West Brom 15 10 5 1.4 0.5 8 6 1 21 8 30
22 14 Millwall 16 11 5 1.2 0.8 8 5 3 20 13 29
23 22 Hull 17 12 5 0.9 1.2 5 3 9 15 20 18
24 24 Barnsley 15 12 3 0.6 1.1 3 4 8 9 17 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Bristol City 16 2 14 1.4 2.4 4 2 10 22 38 14
2 4 QPR 15 4 11 1.5 1.5 7 2 6 23 23 23
3 20 Cardiff 16 5 11 1.3 1.9 5 4 7 21 30 19
4 23 Peterboro 16 5 11 0.5 2.7 1 1 14 8 43 4
5 21 Reading 16 6 10 1.0 1.8 5 1 10 16 28 16
6 18 Swansea 16 7 9 0.8 1.8 3 4 9 13 29 13
7 19 Birmingham 18 9 9 1.1 1.8 3 6 9 19 32 15
8 24 Barnsley 17 8 9 0.7 1.7 1 4 12 12 29 7
9 1 Fulham 14 6 8 2.7 0.9 9 3 2 38 13 30
10 5 Huddersfield 17 9 8 1.2 1.1 6 6 5 20 19 24
11 7 Sheffield United 17 9 8 1.2 1.3 7 5 5 20 22 26
12 8 Coventry 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 5 5 6 18 23 20
13 11 West Brom 18 11 7 0.8 1.2 4 4 10 14 22 16
14 12 Preston 17 10 7 0.9 1.1 6 4 7 15 18 22
15 9 Nott'm Forest 16 10 6 1.4 0.8 7 5 4 22 13 26
16 10 Luton 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 5 4 6 17 19 19
17 13 Stoke 15 9 6 1.1 1.1 5 4 6 16 16 19
18 14 Millwall 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 3 5 7 13 20 14
19 15 Derby 16 10 6 0.7 1.3 2 6 8 11 21 12
20 16 Blackpool 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 3 7 5 18 20 16
21 6 Middlesbrough 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 4 5 6 14 17 17
22 2 Bournemouth 16 12 4 1.2 0.7 9 4 3 20 11 31
23 3 Blackburn 16 12 4 0.9 0.9 5 6 5 14 14 21
24 22 Hull 17 14 3 0.7 1.1 4 4 9 12 19 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51