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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Millwall 2–0 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.70 fair 2.27
Draw 3.20 fair 3.83
Away 2.70 fair 3.36
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.66 fair 1.91
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.10

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Middlesbrough
9 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 1
0 Corners 7
15 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (142 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.44 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.08scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:17
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.17scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:16
Millwall all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.17
1.42 Goals conceded 1.33
2.50 Total goals 2.50
12.92 Shots 12.00
3.58 Shots on target 3.17
12.92 Shots faced 8.92
4.58 Corners 6.42
4.17 Corners against 4.00
11.17 Fouls 10.42
1.75 Yellow cards 2.25
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

33% Wins 25%
17% Draws 33%
50% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
92% Over 1.5 goals 58%
33% Over 2.5 goals 50%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
8% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 58%
17% Clean sheets 25%
42% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 33%
58% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
58% Over 0.5 goals 92%
42% Over 1.5 goals 50%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:6
Middlesbrough before this match, away
0.20points / match
1.00scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:9
Millwall at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.80
2.50 Total goals 2.80
13.83 Shots 12.60
4.67 Shots on target 3.20
9.83 Shots faced 10.40
4.67 Corners 6.60
3.50 Corners against 3.80
11.33 Fouls 11.60
1.50 Yellow cards 1.80
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.40

How often Full Time

67% Wins 0%
0% Draws 20%
33% Losses 80%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 60%
33% Over 2.5 goals 60%
17% Over 3.5 goals 40%
17% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 60%
33% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 0%
50% Draws 40%
33% Losses 60%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 60%
17% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.22 Rotherham – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.202.75 2.20 1.66
01.10.22 Blackburn – Millwall 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.30 2.20 1.66
17.09.22 Millwall – Blackpool 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.404.00 2.10 1.72
14.09.22 Millwall – QPR 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.30 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Millwall – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.53
30.08.22 Burnley – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.304.75 2.20 1.66
27.08.22 Millwall – Reading 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.75 2.10 1.72
19.08.22 Norwich – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
16.08.22 Swansea – Millwall 2–2 (2–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.61
13.08.22 Millwall – Coventry 3–2 (1–2) 2.453.203.00 2.37 1.57

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.22 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.755.75 2.02 1.83
01.10.22 Coventry – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.45 1.95 1.90
17.09.22 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.75 1.98 1.88
13.09.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–3 (0–3) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72
05.09.22 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 1.723.605.00 1.98 1.88
30.08.22 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
27.08.22 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.00 1.85
20.08.22 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.98 1.88
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
14.08.22 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 2–2 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22 Millwall – Blackpool 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.404.00 2.10 1.72
14.09.22 Millwall – QPR 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.30 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Millwall – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.53
27.08.22 Millwall – Reading 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.75 2.10 1.72
13.08.22 Millwall – Coventry 3–2 (1–2) 2.453.203.00 2.37 1.57
30.07.22 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.30 1.61
30.04.22 Millwall – Peterboro 3–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.00
18.04.22 Millwall – Hull 2–1 (0–0) 1.833.305.00 2.30 1.61
09.04.22 Millwall – Barnsley 4–1 (1–0) 1.703.505.25 2.30 1.61
05.04.22 Millwall – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.75 2.30 1.61

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.22 Coventry – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.45 1.95 1.90
30.08.22 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
20.08.22 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.98 1.88
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 QPR – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
07.05.22 Preston – Middlesbrough 4–1 (2–0) 5.003.801.70 1.72 2.10
23.04.22 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.02 1.83
15.04.22 Bournemouth – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.05 1.80
02.04.22 Peterboro – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 4.753.801.72 1.83 2.02
15.03.22 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.05 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
2matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.22E1 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.252.55 2.50 1.53
20.11.21E1 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.253.80 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 12 7 3 2 20 7 +13 24
2 Norwich 12 7 3 2 18 10 +8 24
3 QPR 13 7 3 3 19 13 +6 24
4 Reading 13 7 1 5 15 18 -3 22
5 Burnley 12 4 7 1 19 12 +7 19
6 Swansea 12 5 3 4 15 15 0 18
7 Blackburn 12 6 0 6 13 15 -2 18
8 Sunderland 12 4 5 3 16 11 +5 17
9 Luton 12 4 5 3 16 13 +3 17
10 Watford 12 4 5 3 16 13 +3 17
11 Preston 12 3 7 2 4 4 0 16
12 Wigan 11 4 4 3 12 13 -1 16
13 Rotherham 11 3 6 2 13 9 +4 15
14 Bristol City 12 4 3 5 20 18 +2 15
15 Cardiff 12 4 3 5 9 12 -3 15
16 Millwall 12 4 2 6 13 17 -4 14
17 Hull 12 4 2 6 13 24 -11 14
18 Middlesbrough 12 3 4 5 14 16 -2 13
19 Birmingham 12 3 4 5 9 12 -3 13
20 Stoke 12 3 4 5 12 16 -4 13
21 Blackpool 12 3 3 6 10 16 -6 12
22 West Brom 12 1 7 4 17 18 -1 10
23 Huddersfield 11 2 2 7 13 19 -6 8
24 Coventry 9 1 4 4 8 13 -5 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Reading 7 5 1 1 12 7 +5 16
2 Norwich 6 4 2 0 12 5 +7 14
3 Sheffield United 6 4 1 1 12 3 +9 13
4 Rotherham 7 3 3 1 12 5 +7 12
5 Blackburn 6 4 0 2 9 6 +3 12
6 Millwall 6 4 0 2 9 6 +3 12
7 Middlesbrough 7 3 3 1 9 7 +2 12
8 Hull 7 4 0 3 9 12 -3 12
9 QPR 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
10 Cardiff 6 3 2 1 5 3 +2 11
11 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
12 Burnley 6 2 4 0 10 7 +3 10
13 Watford 6 3 1 2 9 8 +1 10
14 Sunderland 6 1 4 1 6 4 +2 7
15 Luton 7 1 4 2 9 9 0 7
16 Huddersfield 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
17 Swansea 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7
18 Preston 7 1 4 2 2 4 -2 7
19 West Brom 6 1 3 2 11 10 +1 6
20 Birmingham 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
21 Stoke 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
22 Blackpool 5 1 1 3 4 6 -2 4
23 Coventry 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
24 Wigan 5 0 3 2 3 8 -5 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wigan 6 4 1 1 9 5 +4 13
2 QPR 7 4 1 2 10 7 +3 13
3 Sheffield United 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
4 Swansea 6 3 2 1 9 7 +2 11
5 Sunderland 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10
6 Luton 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
7 Norwich 6 3 1 2 6 5 +1 10
8 Burnley 6 2 3 1 9 5 +4 9
9 Preston 5 2 3 0 2 0 +2 9
10 Stoke 7 2 2 3 7 8 -1 8
11 Birmingham 7 2 2 3 5 7 -2 8
12 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8
13 Watford 6 1 4 1 7 5 +2 7
14 Blackburn 6 2 0 4 4 9 -5 6
15 Reading 6 2 0 4 3 11 -8 6
16 Bristol City 6 1 2 3 11 13 -2 5
17 West Brom 6 0 4 2 6 8 -2 4
18 Coventry 7 0 4 3 7 12 -5 4
19 Cardiff 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
20 Rotherham 4 0 3 1 1 4 -3 3
21 Millwall 6 0 2 4 4 11 -7 2
22 Hull 5 0 2 3 4 12 -8 2
23 Middlesbrough 5 0 1 4 5 9 -4 1
24 Huddersfield 5 0 1 4 6 12 -6 1

Millwall   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Reading 13 5 8 1.2 1.4 7 1 5 15 18 22
2 17 Hull 12 4 8 1.1 2.0 4 2 6 13 24 14
3 14 Bristol City 12 5 7 1.7 1.5 4 3 5 20 18 15
4 23 Huddersfield 11 4 7 1.2 1.7 2 2 7 13 19 8
5 3 QPR 13 7 6 1.5 1.0 7 3 3 19 13 24
6 6 Swansea 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 5 3 4 15 15 18
7 7 Blackburn 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 6 0 6 13 15 18
8 8 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.3 0.9 4 5 3 16 11 17
9 18 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.2 1.3 3 4 5 14 16 13
10 2 Norwich 12 7 5 1.5 0.8 7 3 2 18 10 24
11 10 Watford 12 7 5 1.3 1.1 4 5 3 16 13 17
12 20 Stoke 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 3 4 5 12 16 13
13 22 West Brom 12 7 5 1.4 1.5 1 7 4 17 18 10
14 1 Sheffield United 12 8 4 1.7 0.6 7 3 2 20 7 24
15 9 Luton 12 8 4 1.3 1.1 4 5 3 16 13 17
16 12 Wigan 11 7 4 1.1 1.2 4 4 3 12 13 16
17 16 Millwall 12 8 4 1.1 1.4 4 2 6 13 17 14
18 21 Blackpool 12 8 4 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 10 16 12
19 24 Coventry 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 1 4 4 8 13 7
20 5 Burnley 12 9 3 1.6 1.0 4 7 1 19 12 19
21 13 Rotherham 11 8 3 1.2 0.8 3 6 2 13 9 15
22 15 Cardiff 12 9 3 0.8 1.0 4 3 5 9 12 15
23 19 Birmingham 12 9 3 0.8 1.0 3 4 5 9 12 13
24 11 Preston 12 12 0 0.3 0.3 3 7 2 4 4 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Reading 7 2 5 1.7 1.0 5 1 1 12 7 16
2 17 Hull 7 2 5 1.3 1.7 4 0 3 9 12 12
3 10 Watford 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 3 1 2 9 8 10
4 1 Sheffield United 6 3 3 2.0 0.5 4 1 1 12 3 13
5 2 Norwich 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 2 0 12 5 14
6 3 QPR 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
7 6 Swansea 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7
8 7 Blackburn 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 4 0 2 9 6 12
9 9 Luton 7 4 3 1.3 1.3 1 4 2 9 9 7
10 18 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 3 3 1 9 7 12
11 22 West Brom 6 3 3 1.8 1.7 1 3 2 11 10 6
12 23 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
13 5 Burnley 6 4 2 1.7 1.2 2 4 0 10 7 10
14 8 Sunderland 6 4 2 1.0 0.7 1 4 1 6 4 7
15 13 Rotherham 7 5 2 1.7 0.7 3 3 1 12 5 12
16 14 Bristol City 6 4 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
17 16 Millwall 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 4 0 2 9 6 12
18 19 Birmingham 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
19 20 Stoke 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
20 12 Wigan 5 4 1 0.6 1.6 0 3 2 3 8 3
21 15 Cardiff 6 5 1 0.8 0.5 3 2 1 5 3 11
22 21 Blackpool 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 3 4 6 4
23 11 Preston 7 7 0 0.3 0.6 1 4 2 2 4 7
24 24 Coventry 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Bristol City 6 1 5 1.8 2.2 1 2 3 11 13 5
2 8 Sunderland 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10
3 23 Huddersfield 5 1 4 1.2 2.4 0 1 4 6 12 1
4 24 Coventry 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 0 4 3 7 12 4
5 3 QPR 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 4 1 2 10 7 13
6 4 Reading 6 3 3 0.5 1.8 2 0 4 3 11 6
7 6 Swansea 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 3 2 1 9 7 11
8 7 Blackburn 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 2 0 4 4 9 6
9 12 Wigan 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 4 1 1 9 5 13
10 17 Hull 5 2 3 0.8 2.4 0 2 3 4 12 2
11 18 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 4 5 9 1
12 20 Stoke 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 2 2 3 7 8 8
13 21 Blackpool 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8
14 2 Norwich 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 3 1 2 6 5 10
15 15 Cardiff 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
16 16 Millwall 6 4 2 0.7 1.8 0 2 4 4 11 2
17 22 West Brom 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 0 4 2 6 8 4
18 1 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
19 5 Burnley 6 5 1 1.5 0.8 2 3 1 9 5 9
20 9 Luton 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
21 10 Watford 6 5 1 1.2 0.8 1 4 1 7 5 7
22 13 Rotherham 4 3 1 0.2 1.0 0 3 1 1 4 3
23 19 Birmingham 7 6 1 0.7 1.0 2 2 3 5 7 8
24 11 Preston 5 5 0 0.4 0.0 2 3 0 2 0 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51