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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Ward

QPR 0–3 Luton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.25 fair 2.46
Draw 3.25 fair 3.59
Away ✓ 3.30 fair 3.18
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.72
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.39

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Luton
8 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 2
10 Fouls 20
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (286 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.27 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 1–0 12.1% 0–1 10.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.46points / match
1.13scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 27:27
Luton before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.13scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 26:25
QPR all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.13
1.13 Goals conceded 1.09
2.25 Total goals 2.22
13.46 Shots 12.30
4.25 Shots on target 3.65
11.08 Shots faced 12.26
5.17 Corners 6.39
4.88 Corners against 5.61
10.38 Fouls 11.78
1.54 Yellow cards 1.57
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

42% Wins 35%
21% Draws 39%
38% Losses 26%
88% Over 0.5 goals 87%
63% Over 1.5 goals 74%
46% Over 2.5 goals 35%
21% Over 3.5 goals 17%
8% Over 4.5 goals 4%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
42% Both teams scored 48%
29% Clean sheets 35%
42% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 39%
38% Draws 39%
38% Losses 22%
71% Over 0.5 goals 65%
50% Over 1.5 goals 30%
21% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Luton all matches
QPR before this match, at home
1.55points / match
1.36scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:13
Luton before this match, away
1.55points / match
0.91scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:12
QPR at home away Luton

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 0.91
1.18 Goals conceded 1.09
2.55 Total goals 2.00
15.09 Shots 9.73
5.18 Shots on target 3.00
9.18 Shots faced 13.45
5.91 Corners 5.00
4.45 Corners against 6.27
10.64 Fouls 12.82
1.36 Yellow cards 2.09
1.18 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

45% Wins 45%
18% Draws 18%
36% Losses 36%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
73% Over 1.5 goals 73%
64% Over 2.5 goals 27%
18% Over 3.5 goals 9%
9% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 27%
18% Clean sheets 45%
36% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 27%
36% Draws 45%
27% Losses 27%
82% Over 0.5 goals 64%
73% Over 1.5 goals 45%
36% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22 Cardiff – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.20 1.67
17.12.22 Preston – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
11.12.22 QPR – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
12.11.22 Coventry – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 2.373.253.10 2.10 1.72
08.11.22 QPR – Huddersfield 1–2 (1–2) 1.703.755.25 2.00 1.85
05.11.22 QPR – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.602.70 2.02 1.83
02.11.22 Norwich – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 1.85 2.00
28.10.22 Birmingham – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 QPR – Wigan 2–1 (2–1) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.72
19.10.22 QPR – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.403.40 2.10 1.72

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22 Luton – Norwich 2–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.73
10.12.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
12.11.22 Luton – Rotherham 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.755.25 1.95 1.90
08.11.22 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Blackpool – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.00 1.85
01.11.22 Luton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Luton – Sunderland 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.72
23.10.22 Watford – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
18.10.22 Norwich – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.00 1.85
15.10.22 Luton – QPR 3–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.72

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.22 QPR – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
08.11.22 QPR – Huddersfield 1–2 (1–2) 1.703.755.25 2.00 1.85
05.11.22 QPR – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.602.70 2.02 1.83
22.10.22 QPR – Wigan 2–1 (2–1) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.72
19.10.22 QPR – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.403.40 2.10 1.72
07.10.22 QPR – Reading 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.403.80 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 QPR – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
30.08.22 QPR – Hull 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.604.33 1.90 1.95
20.08.22 QPR – Rotherham 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.503.60 2.02 1.83
16.08.22 QPR – Blackpool 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.603.75 1.95 1.90

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
08.11.22 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Blackpool – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.00 1.85
23.10.22 Watford – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
18.10.22 Norwich – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.00 1.85
08.10.22 West Brom – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.98 1.88
30.09.22 Hull – Luton 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.72
30.08.22 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 2.50 1.53
20.08.22 Swansea – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.203.10 2.20 1.66
16.08.22 Bristol City – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.623.402.55 2.02 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsLuton wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22E1 Luton – QPR 3–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.72
13.03.22E1 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.20 1.66
19.11.21E1 QPR – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.95 1.90

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 24 14 8 2 49 24 +25 50
2 Sheffield United 24 14 5 5 41 21 +20 47
3 Blackburn 24 13 0 11 28 28 0 39
4 Watford 24 10 7 7 30 24 +6 37
5 Norwich 24 10 5 9 31 27 +4 35
6 Millwall 23 10 5 8 29 26 +3 35
7 QPR 24 10 5 9 27 27 0 35
8 Reading 24 11 2 11 28 34 -6 35
9 Sunderland 24 9 7 8 33 27 +6 34
10 Preston 24 9 7 8 23 24 -1 34
11 Middlesbrough 24 9 6 9 36 31 +5 33
12 Coventry 23 9 6 8 26 25 +1 33
13 Luton 23 8 9 6 26 25 +1 33
14 West Brom 24 8 8 8 31 26 +5 32
15 Birmingham 24 8 8 8 26 25 +1 32
16 Swansea 24 8 8 8 31 34 -3 32
17 Stoke 24 8 6 10 28 32 -4 30
18 Bristol City 24 7 6 11 31 34 -3 27
19 Rotherham 24 6 9 9 28 34 -6 27
20 Cardiff 24 7 6 11 20 28 -8 27
21 Hull 24 7 6 11 27 41 -14 27
22 Blackpool 24 6 7 11 26 35 -9 25
23 Wigan 24 6 6 12 24 38 -14 24
24 Huddersfield 23 6 4 13 21 30 -9 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 13 9 4 0 29 11 +18 31
2 Reading 12 8 1 3 18 12 +6 25
3 Sheffield United 12 7 3 2 26 12 +14 24
4 Blackburn 11 8 0 3 18 11 +7 24
5 Millwall 11 7 2 2 17 8 +9 23
6 Middlesbrough 12 5 5 2 17 12 +5 20
7 Watford 12 6 2 4 17 12 +5 20
8 Coventry 11 6 2 3 14 9 +5 20
9 Norwich 12 5 3 4 18 14 +4 18
10 Birmingham 12 4 5 3 16 12 +4 17
11 QPR 11 5 2 4 15 13 +2 17
12 Swansea 11 5 2 4 15 14 +1 17
13 Rotherham 12 4 4 4 20 17 +3 16
14 West Brom 12 4 4 4 17 14 +3 16
15 Luton 12 3 7 2 16 13 +3 16
16 Sunderland 12 4 4 4 16 13 +3 16
17 Cardiff 13 4 4 5 10 11 -1 16
18 Bristol City 13 4 3 6 14 14 0 15
19 Huddersfield 12 4 2 6 10 12 -2 14
20 Hull 13 4 2 7 13 22 -9 14
21 Preston 13 3 4 6 8 14 -6 13
22 Stoke 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
23 Blackpool 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11
24 Wigan 12 2 3 7 9 20 -11 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 12 7 2 3 15 9 +6 23
2 Preston 11 6 3 2 15 10 +5 21
3 Burnley 11 5 4 2 20 13 +7 19
4 Sunderland 12 5 3 4 17 14 +3 18
5 Stoke 13 5 3 5 15 16 -1 18
6 QPR 13 5 3 5 12 14 -2 18
7 Watford 12 4 5 3 13 12 +1 17
8 Norwich 12 5 2 5 13 13 0 17
9 Luton 11 5 2 4 10 12 -2 17
10 West Brom 12 4 4 4 14 12 +2 16
11 Wigan 12 4 3 5 15 18 -3 15
12 Birmingham 12 4 3 5 10 13 -3 15
13 Swansea 13 3 6 4 16 20 -4 15
14 Blackburn 13 5 0 8 10 17 -7 15
15 Blackpool 13 3 5 5 14 19 -5 14
16 Middlesbrough 12 4 1 7 19 19 0 13
17 Coventry 12 3 4 5 12 16 -4 13
18 Hull 11 3 4 4 14 19 -5 13
19 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 17 20 -3 12
20 Millwall 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12
21 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 10 17 -7 11
22 Rotherham 12 2 5 5 8 17 -9 11
23 Reading 12 3 1 8 10 22 -12 10
24 Huddersfield 11 2 2 7 11 18 -7 8

QPR   Luton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Middlesbrough 24 9 15 1.5 1.3 9 6 9 36 31 33
2 8 Reading 24 10 14 1.2 1.4 11 2 11 28 34 35
3 9 Sunderland 24 11 13 1.4 1.1 9 7 8 33 27 34
4 16 Swansea 24 11 13 1.3 1.4 8 8 8 31 34 32
5 21 Hull 24 11 13 1.1 1.7 7 6 11 27 41 27
6 1 Burnley 24 12 12 2.0 1.0 14 8 2 49 24 50
7 3 Blackburn 24 12 12 1.2 1.2 13 0 11 28 28 39
8 5 Norwich 24 12 12 1.3 1.1 10 5 9 31 27 35
9 18 Bristol City 24 12 12 1.3 1.4 7 6 11 31 34 27
10 19 Rotherham 24 12 12 1.2 1.4 6 9 9 28 34 27
11 23 Wigan 24 12 12 1.0 1.6 6 6 12 24 38 24
12 7 QPR 24 13 11 1.1 1.1 10 5 9 27 27 35
13 17 Stoke 24 13 11 1.2 1.3 8 6 10 28 32 30
14 22 Blackpool 24 13 11 1.1 1.5 6 7 11 26 35 25
15 2 Sheffield United 24 14 10 1.7 0.9 14 5 5 41 21 47
16 4 Watford 24 14 10 1.2 1.0 10 7 7 30 24 37
17 15 Birmingham 24 14 10 1.1 1.0 8 8 8 26 25 32
18 24 Huddersfield 23 13 10 0.9 1.3 6 4 13 21 30 22
19 6 Millwall 23 14 9 1.3 1.1 10 5 8 29 26 35
20 10 Preston 24 16 8 1.0 1.0 9 7 8 23 24 34
21 12 Coventry 23 15 8 1.1 1.1 9 6 8 26 25 33
22 13 Luton 23 15 8 1.1 1.1 8 9 6 26 25 33
23 14 West Brom 24 16 8 1.3 1.1 8 8 8 31 26 32
24 20 Cardiff 24 16 8 0.8 1.2 7 6 11 20 28 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 13 5 8 2.2 0.8 9 4 0 29 11 31
2 2 Sheffield United 12 5 7 2.2 1.0 7 3 2 26 12 24
3 7 QPR 11 4 7 1.4 1.2 5 2 4 15 13 17
4 8 Reading 12 5 7 1.5 1.0 8 1 3 18 12 25
5 9 Sunderland 12 5 7 1.3 1.1 4 4 4 16 13 16
6 19 Rotherham 12 5 7 1.7 1.4 4 4 4 20 17 16
7 21 Hull 13 6 7 1.0 1.7 4 2 7 13 22 14
8 3 Blackburn 11 5 6 1.6 1.0 8 0 3 18 11 24
9 4 Watford 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 6 2 4 17 12 20
10 5 Norwich 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 5 3 4 18 14 18
11 11 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 5 5 2 17 12 20
12 15 Birmingham 12 6 6 1.3 1.0 4 5 3 16 12 17
13 16 Swansea 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 2 4 15 14 17
14 13 Luton 12 7 5 1.3 1.1 3 7 2 16 13 16
15 17 Stoke 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 16 12
16 18 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.1 1.1 4 3 6 14 14 15
17 22 Blackpool 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11
18 23 Wigan 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 2 3 7 9 20 9
19 6 Millwall 11 7 4 1.5 0.7 7 2 2 17 8 23
20 14 West Brom 12 8 4 1.4 1.2 4 4 4 17 14 16
21 10 Preston 13 10 3 0.6 1.1 3 4 6 8 14 13
22 12 Coventry 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 6 2 3 14 9 20
23 20 Cardiff 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 4 4 5 10 11 16
24 24 Huddersfield 12 9 3 0.8 1.0 4 2 6 10 12 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Middlesbrough 12 3 9 1.6 1.6 4 1 7 19 19 13
2 8 Reading 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 3 1 8 10 22 10
3 16 Swansea 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 3 6 4 16 20 15
4 18 Bristol City 11 4 7 1.5 1.8 3 3 5 17 20 12
5 23 Wigan 12 5 7 1.2 1.5 4 3 5 15 18 15
6 24 Huddersfield 11 4 7 1.0 1.6 2 2 7 11 18 8
7 3 Blackburn 13 7 6 0.8 1.3 5 0 8 10 17 15
8 5 Norwich 12 6 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 5 13 13 17
9 9 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.4 1.2 5 3 4 17 14 18
10 17 Stoke 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 3 5 15 16 18
11 21 Hull 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 3 4 4 14 19 13
12 22 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 19 14
13 6 Millwall 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 3 3 6 12 18 12
14 10 Preston 11 6 5 1.4 0.9 6 3 2 15 10 21
15 12 Coventry 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 3 4 5 12 16 13
16 19 Rotherham 12 7 5 0.7 1.4 2 5 5 8 17 11
17 20 Cardiff 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 6 10 17 11
18 1 Burnley 11 7 4 1.8 1.2 5 4 2 20 13 19
19 4 Watford 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 4 5 3 13 12 17
20 7 QPR 13 9 4 0.9 1.1 5 3 5 12 14 18
21 14 West Brom 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 4 14 12 16
22 15 Birmingham 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 4 3 5 10 13 15
23 2 Sheffield United 12 9 3 1.2 0.8 7 2 3 15 9 23
24 13 Luton 11 8 3 0.9 1.1 5 2 4 10 12 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51