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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Whitestone

Birmingham 1–3 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.10 fair 2.55
Draw 3.40 fair 3.79
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 2.90
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.08

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Middlesbrough
9 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 8
9 Corners 8
10 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (303 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 10% 0–1 9.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.04scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 26:26
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.52scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 38:32
Birmingham all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.04 Goals scored 1.52
1.04 Goals conceded 1.28
2.08 Total goals 2.80
10.40 Shots 12.32
3.12 Shots on target 3.80
11.84 Shots faced 9.40
4.92 Corners 5.80
4.92 Corners against 3.72
11.92 Fouls 10.16
2.12 Yellow cards 2.20
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

32% Wins 40%
32% Draws 24%
36% Losses 36%
84% Over 0.5 goals 92%
64% Over 1.5 goals 76%
40% Over 2.5 goals 64%
12% Over 3.5 goals 32%
8% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 68%
32% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 28%
40% Draws 36%
28% Losses 36%
64% Over 0.5 goals 88%
32% Over 1.5 goals 40%
8% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.31points / match
1.23scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:13
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.23points / match
1.62scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:20
Birmingham at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.62
1.00 Goals conceded 1.54
2.23 Total goals 3.15
11.69 Shots 11.23
3.62 Shots on target 3.38
11.15 Shots faced 10.38
5.38 Corners 5.31
5.23 Corners against 3.23
12.23 Fouls 10.46
1.85 Yellow cards 2.08
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.23 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

31% Wins 38%
38% Draws 8%
31% Losses 54%
85% Over 0.5 goals 100%
69% Over 1.5 goals 85%
46% Over 2.5 goals 77%
15% Over 3.5 goals 38%
8% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 69%
31% Clean sheets 8%
31% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 15%
46% Draws 38%
15% Losses 46%
54% Over 0.5 goals 92%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.22 Birmingham – Hull 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.20 1.67
27.12.22 Burnley – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.603.806.00 2.00 1.85
16.12.22 Birmingham – Reading 3–2 (3–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
10.12.22 Blackpool – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.63 2.10 1.73
11.11.22 Birmingham – Sunderland 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.66
08.11.22 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.252.70 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
02.11.22 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
28.10.22 Birmingham – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Blackburn – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 2.053.253.75 2.10 1.72

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.22 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.202.38 2.10 1.73
26.12.22 Middlesbrough – Wigan 4–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.02 1.83
17.12.22 Burnley – Middlesbrough 3–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 1.98 1.88
10.12.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
12.11.22 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90
08.11.22 Blackpool – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–1) 3.203.402.25 2.02 1.83
05.11.22 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.75 1.90 1.95
01.11.22 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.002.75 2.30 1.61
22.10.22 Middlesbrough – Huddersfield 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.755.50 2.00 1.85

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.22 Birmingham – Hull 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.20 1.67
16.12.22 Birmingham – Reading 3–2 (3–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
11.11.22 Birmingham – Sunderland 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.66
08.11.22 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.252.70 2.20 1.66
02.11.22 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
28.10.22 Birmingham – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.72
19.10.22 Birmingham – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Birmingham – Bristol City 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.252.60 1.95 1.90
17.09.22 Birmingham – Coventry 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.252.55 2.00 1.80
30.08.22 Birmingham – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.00 1.85

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.22 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.202.38 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Burnley – Middlesbrough 3–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 1.98 1.88
12.11.22 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90
08.11.22 Blackpool – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–1) 3.203.402.25 2.02 1.83
01.11.22 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.002.75 2.30 1.61
19.10.22 Wigan – Middlesbrough 1–4 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 2.30 1.61
08.10.22 Millwall – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66
01.10.22 Coventry – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.45 1.95 1.90
30.08.22 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.22E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.755.75 2.02 1.83
15.03.22E1 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.05 2.10 1.72
30.10.21E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 25 15 8 2 50 24 +26 53
2 Sheffield United 25 15 5 5 43 22 +21 50
3 Blackburn 26 14 0 12 30 30 0 42
4 Millwall 25 11 6 8 32 26 +6 39
5 Luton 25 10 9 6 31 26 +5 39
6 Sunderland 26 10 8 8 38 29 +9 38
7 Watford 25 10 7 8 30 28 +2 37
8 Middlesbrough 25 10 6 9 38 32 +6 36
9 Norwich 25 10 6 9 32 28 +4 36
10 Reading 25 11 3 11 29 35 -6 36
11 West Brom 25 9 8 8 33 26 +7 35
12 Swansea 25 9 8 8 35 34 +1 35
13 Coventry 25 9 8 8 27 26 +1 35
14 QPR 25 10 5 10 27 30 -3 35
15 Preston 25 9 7 9 23 26 -3 34
16 Birmingham 25 8 8 9 26 26 0 32
17 Stoke 25 8 6 11 28 33 -5 30
18 Hull 25 8 6 11 28 41 -13 30
19 Bristol City 26 7 8 11 32 35 -3 29
20 Cardiff 26 7 7 12 20 29 -9 28
21 Rotherham 26 6 9 11 28 39 -11 27
22 Blackpool 26 6 8 12 28 38 -10 26
23 Huddersfield 25 7 4 14 24 32 -8 25
24 Wigan 25 6 6 13 25 42 -17 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 13 9 4 0 29 11 +18 31
2 Millwall 13 8 3 2 20 8 +12 27
3 Blackburn 13 9 0 4 20 13 +7 27
4 Reading 12 8 1 3 18 12 +6 25
5 Sheffield United 12 7 3 2 26 12 +14 24
6 Coventry 13 6 4 3 15 10 +5 22
7 Swansea 12 6 2 4 19 14 +5 20
8 Middlesbrough 12 5 5 2 17 12 +5 20
9 Watford 12 6 2 4 17 12 +5 20
10 West Brom 13 5 4 4 19 14 +5 19
11 Norwich 13 5 4 4 19 15 +4 19
12 Birmingham 13 4 5 4 16 13 +3 17
13 QPR 12 5 2 5 15 16 -1 17
14 Huddersfield 14 5 2 7 13 14 -1 17
15 Rotherham 12 4 4 4 20 17 +3 16
16 Luton 12 3 7 2 16 13 +3 16
17 Sunderland 12 4 4 4 16 13 +3 16
18 Cardiff 13 4 4 5 10 11 -1 16
19 Bristol City 13 4 3 6 14 14 0 15
20 Hull 13 4 2 7 13 22 -9 14
21 Preston 13 3 4 6 8 14 -6 13
22 Stoke 12 3 3 6 13 17 -4 12
23 Blackpool 13 3 3 7 14 19 -5 12
24 Wigan 13 2 3 8 10 24 -14 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 13 8 2 3 17 10 +7 26
2 Luton 13 7 2 4 15 13 +2 23
3 Burnley 12 6 4 2 21 13 +8 22
4 Sunderland 14 6 4 4 22 16 +6 22
5 Preston 12 6 3 3 15 12 +3 21
6 Stoke 13 5 3 5 15 16 -1 18
7 QPR 13 5 3 5 12 14 -2 18
8 Norwich 12 5 2 5 13 13 0 17
9 Watford 13 4 5 4 13 16 -3 17
10 West Brom 12 4 4 4 14 12 +2 16
11 Middlesbrough 13 5 1 7 21 20 +1 16
12 Hull 12 4 4 4 15 19 -4 16
13 Wigan 12 4 3 5 15 18 -3 15
14 Birmingham 12 4 3 5 10 13 -3 15
15 Swansea 13 3 6 4 16 20 -4 15
16 Blackburn 13 5 0 8 10 17 -7 15
17 Bristol City 13 3 5 5 18 21 -3 14
18 Blackpool 13 3 5 5 14 19 -5 14
19 Coventry 12 3 4 5 12 16 -4 13
20 Millwall 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12
21 Cardiff 13 3 3 7 10 18 -8 12
22 Reading 13 3 2 8 11 23 -12 11
23 Rotherham 14 2 5 7 8 22 -14 11
24 Huddersfield 11 2 2 7 11 18 -7 8

Birmingham   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Middlesbrough 25 9 16 1.5 1.3 10 6 9 38 32 36
2 6 Sunderland 26 12 14 1.5 1.1 10 8 8 38 29 38
3 10 Reading 25 11 14 1.2 1.4 11 3 11 29 35 36
4 12 Swansea 25 11 14 1.4 1.4 9 8 8 35 34 35
5 3 Blackburn 26 13 13 1.2 1.2 14 0 12 30 30 42
6 18 Hull 25 12 13 1.1 1.6 8 6 11 28 41 30
7 21 Rotherham 26 13 13 1.1 1.5 6 9 11 28 39 27
8 24 Wigan 25 12 13 1.0 1.7 6 6 13 25 42 24
9 1 Burnley 25 13 12 2.0 1.0 15 8 2 50 24 53
10 9 Norwich 25 13 12 1.3 1.1 10 6 9 32 28 36
11 14 QPR 25 13 12 1.1 1.2 10 5 10 27 30 35
12 19 Bristol City 26 14 12 1.2 1.3 7 8 11 32 35 29
13 22 Blackpool 26 14 12 1.1 1.5 6 8 12 28 38 26
14 2 Sheffield United 25 14 11 1.7 0.9 15 5 5 43 22 50
15 7 Watford 25 14 11 1.2 1.1 10 7 8 30 28 37
16 17 Stoke 25 14 11 1.1 1.3 8 6 11 28 33 30
17 23 Huddersfield 25 14 11 1.0 1.3 7 4 14 24 32 25
18 4 Millwall 25 15 10 1.3 1.0 11 6 8 32 26 39
19 5 Luton 25 15 10 1.2 1.0 10 9 6 31 26 39
20 16 Birmingham 25 15 10 1.0 1.0 8 8 9 26 26 32
21 11 West Brom 25 17 8 1.3 1.0 9 8 8 33 26 35
22 13 Coventry 25 17 8 1.1 1.0 9 8 8 27 26 35
23 15 Preston 25 17 8 0.9 1.0 9 7 9 23 26 34
24 20 Cardiff 26 18 8 0.8 1.1 7 7 12 20 29 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 13 5 8 2.2 0.8 9 4 0 29 11 31
2 14 QPR 12 4 8 1.2 1.3 5 2 5 15 16 17
3 2 Sheffield United 12 5 7 2.2 1.0 7 3 2 26 12 24
4 3 Blackburn 13 6 7 1.5 1.0 9 0 4 20 13 27
5 6 Sunderland 12 5 7 1.3 1.1 4 4 4 16 13 16
6 10 Reading 12 5 7 1.5 1.0 8 1 3 18 12 25
7 12 Swansea 12 5 7 1.6 1.2 6 2 4 19 14 20
8 18 Hull 13 6 7 1.0 1.7 4 2 7 13 22 14
9 21 Rotherham 12 5 7 1.7 1.4 4 4 4 20 17 16
10 7 Watford 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 6 2 4 17 12 20
11 8 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 5 5 2 17 12 20
12 9 Norwich 13 7 6 1.5 1.2 5 4 4 19 15 19
13 16 Birmingham 13 7 6 1.2 1.0 4 5 4 16 13 17
14 22 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 3 7 14 19 12
15 24 Wigan 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 2 3 8 10 24 9
16 4 Millwall 13 8 5 1.5 0.6 8 3 2 20 8 27
17 5 Luton 12 7 5 1.3 1.1 3 7 2 16 13 16
18 17 Stoke 12 7 5 1.1 1.4 3 3 6 13 17 12
19 19 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.1 1.1 4 3 6 14 14 15
20 11 West Brom 13 9 4 1.5 1.1 5 4 4 19 14 19
21 23 Huddersfield 14 10 4 0.9 1.0 5 2 7 13 14 17
22 13 Coventry 13 10 3 1.2 0.8 6 4 3 15 10 22
23 15 Preston 13 10 3 0.6 1.1 3 4 6 8 14 13
24 20 Cardiff 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 4 4 5 10 11 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Middlesbrough 13 3 10 1.6 1.5 5 1 7 21 20 16
2 6 Sunderland 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 4 4 22 16 22
3 10 Reading 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 3 2 8 11 23 11
4 12 Swansea 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 3 6 4 16 20 15
5 19 Bristol City 13 6 7 1.4 1.6 3 5 5 18 21 14
6 23 Huddersfield 11 4 7 1.0 1.6 2 2 7 11 18 8
7 24 Wigan 12 5 7 1.2 1.5 4 3 5 15 18 15
8 3 Blackburn 13 7 6 0.8 1.3 5 0 8 10 17 15
9 9 Norwich 12 6 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 5 13 13 17
10 17 Stoke 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 3 5 15 16 18
11 18 Hull 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 4 4 4 15 19 16
12 21 Rotherham 14 8 6 0.6 1.6 2 5 7 8 22 11
13 22 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 19 14
14 4 Millwall 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 3 3 6 12 18 12
15 5 Luton 13 8 5 1.2 1.0 7 2 4 15 13 23
16 7 Watford 13 8 5 1.0 1.2 4 5 4 13 16 17
17 13 Coventry 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 3 4 5 12 16 13
18 15 Preston 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 6 3 3 15 12 21
19 20 Cardiff 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 3 3 7 10 18 12
20 1 Burnley 12 8 4 1.8 1.1 6 4 2 21 13 22
21 2 Sheffield United 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 8 2 3 17 10 26
22 11 West Brom 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 4 14 12 16
23 14 QPR 13 9 4 0.9 1.1 5 3 5 12 14 18
24 16 Birmingham 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 4 3 5 10 13 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38