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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: K Stroud

Rotherham 1–0 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 3.75 fair 3.00
Draw 3.30 fair 4.26
Away 2.05 fair 2.31
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 2.57
Over 2.5 1.95 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Rotherham Middlesbrough
4 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 1
1 Corners 11
19 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (537 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.69
Home / Draw / Away
RotherhamDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 1–2 8.9% 2–1 7.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Rotherham before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
1.09scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 48:60
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.68points / match
1.89scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 83:54
Rotherham all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 1.89
1.36 Goals conceded 1.23
2.45 Total goals 3.11
8.86 Shots 12.61
2.95 Shots on target 4.36
14.25 Shots faced 10.18
4.05 Corners 6.00
6.11 Corners against 4.20
10.68 Fouls 10.23
1.95 Yellow cards 1.86
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

23% Wins 50%
36% Draws 18%
41% Losses 32%
86% Over 0.5 goals 95%
80% Over 1.5 goals 84%
50% Over 2.5 goals 68%
23% Over 3.5 goals 43%
5% Over 4.5 goals 16%
2% Over 5.5 goals 5%
50% Both teams scored 66%
27% Clean sheets 23%
36% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 34%
43% Draws 34%
27% Losses 32%
80% Over 0.5 goals 84%
32% Over 1.5 goals 39%
7% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rotherham all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Rotherham before this match, at home
1.36points / match
1.64scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 36:30
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.32points / match
1.73scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 38:36
Rotherham at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 1.73
1.36 Goals conceded 1.64
3.00 Total goals 3.36
10.50 Shots 12.32
3.86 Shots on target 3.95
11.86 Shots faced 11.68
4.68 Corners 5.91
5.09 Corners against 4.05
9.95 Fouls 10.14
1.55 Yellow cards 1.86
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

36% Wins 41%
27% Draws 9%
36% Losses 50%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
95% Over 1.5 goals 91%
64% Over 2.5 goals 77%
36% Over 3.5 goals 50%
5% Over 4.5 goals 14%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
64% Both teams scored 73%
23% Clean sheets 5%
18% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 23%
45% Draws 36%
23% Losses 41%
91% Over 0.5 goals 86%
50% Over 1.5 goals 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rotherham at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Rotherham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.23 Rotherham – Cardiff 1–2 (1–1) 2.803.002.70 2.30 1.62
22.04.23 Bristol City – Rotherham 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 1.98 1.88
18.04.23 Rotherham – Burnley 2–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.65 2.10 1.73
15.04.23 Rotherham – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.301.95 2.30 1.62
10.04.23 Norwich – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.006.50 1.93 1.93
07.04.23 Rotherham – West Brom 3–1 (1–1) 5.003.501.75 2.20 1.67
01.04.23 Hull – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 2.20 1.67
14.03.23 Rotherham – Preston 1–2 (1–2) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
11.03.23 Birmingham – Rotherham 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.504.20 2.20 1.67
04.03.23 Rotherham – QPR 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.202.50 2.10 1.73

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.23 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80
19.04.23 Middlesbrough – Hull 3–1 (0–1) 1.454.506.50 1.67 2.20
14.04.23 Middlesbrough – Norwich 5–1 (4–1) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
10.04.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.603.502.05 1.90 1.95
07.04.23 Middlesbrough – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 2.05 1.80
01.04.23 Huddersfield – Middlesbrough 4–2 (0–1) 5.003.751.70 2.02 1.83
18.03.23 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (1–0) 1.553.806.50 2.02 1.83
14.03.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 1.95
11.03.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.98 1.88
04.03.23 Middlesbrough – Reading 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.506.50 1.85 2.00

Rotherham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.23 Rotherham – Cardiff 1–2 (1–1) 2.803.002.70 2.30 1.62
18.04.23 Rotherham – Burnley 2–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.65 2.10 1.73
15.04.23 Rotherham – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.301.95 2.30 1.62
07.04.23 Rotherham – West Brom 3–1 (1–1) 5.003.501.75 2.20 1.67
14.03.23 Rotherham – Preston 1–2 (1–2) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
04.03.23 Rotherham – QPR 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.202.50 2.10 1.73
21.02.23 Rotherham – Sunderland 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.252.10 2.10 1.73
18.02.23 Rotherham – Coventry 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Rotherham – Sheffield United 0–0 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.95 1.90
14.01.23 Rotherham – Blackburn 4–0 (1–0) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.23 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80
10.04.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.603.502.05 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 Huddersfield – Middlesbrough 4–2 (0–1) 5.003.751.70 2.02 1.83
11.03.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.98 1.88
25.02.23 West Brom – Middlesbrough 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.303.00 2.02 1.83
15.02.23 Sheffield United – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.73
11.02.23 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–2) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
22.01.23 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 2–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.50 2.02 1.83
02.01.23 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.73
29.12.22 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.202.38 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Rotherham winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22E1 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.75 1.98 1.88

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 45 28 14 3 84 35 +49 98
2 Sheffield United 44 27 7 10 71 37 +34 88
3 Luton 44 21 15 8 56 38 +18 78
4 Middlesbrough 44 22 8 14 83 54 +29 74
5 Coventry 45 18 15 12 57 45 +12 69
6 Millwall 45 19 11 15 54 46 +8 68
7 Sunderland 45 17 15 13 65 55 +10 66
8 West Brom 45 18 12 15 57 50 +7 66
9 Blackburn 44 19 8 17 47 50 -3 65
10 Swansea 45 17 12 16 65 62 +3 63
11 Preston 45 17 12 16 45 56 -11 63
12 Norwich 45 17 11 17 57 53 +4 62
13 Watford 45 15 15 15 54 53 +1 60
14 Hull 45 14 15 16 51 61 -10 57
15 Bristol City 45 14 14 17 53 56 -3 56
16 Stoke 45 14 11 20 55 52 +3 53
17 Birmingham 45 14 11 20 46 56 -10 53
18 Reading 45 13 11 21 46 66 -20 50
19 QPR 45 13 11 21 44 69 -25 50
20 Cardiff 45 13 10 22 41 55 -14 49
21 Huddersfield 44 12 11 21 44 62 -18 47
22 Rotherham 44 10 16 18 48 60 -12 46
23 Wigan 45 10 14 21 38 65 -27 44
24 Blackpool 45 10 11 24 47 72 -25 41
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 22 15 6 1 46 15 +31 51
2 Sheffield United 23 16 3 4 47 19 +28 51
3 Middlesbrough 22 13 6 3 45 18 +27 45
4 Blackburn 22 13 3 6 26 18 +8 42
5 West Brom 23 11 7 5 31 20 +11 40
6 Coventry 23 11 7 5 30 24 +6 40
7 Millwall 22 11 6 5 31 18 +13 39
8 Luton 22 10 8 4 31 21 +10 38
9 Reading 23 10 8 5 31 24 +7 38
10 Watford 22 10 6 6 33 23 +10 36
11 Bristol City 23 9 7 7 30 24 +6 34
12 Swansea 22 10 4 8 35 30 +5 34
13 Hull 23 9 6 8 24 27 -3 33
14 Rotherham 22 8 6 8 36 30 +6 30
15 Sunderland 23 7 9 7 33 33 0 30
16 Norwich 22 8 5 9 27 26 +1 29
17 Preston 22 7 7 8 20 25 -5 28
18 Birmingham 22 7 6 9 23 22 +1 27
19 Huddersfield 21 7 6 8 23 25 -2 27
20 Cardiff 23 6 7 10 20 24 -4 25
21 Blackpool 23 6 6 11 28 34 -6 24
22 Stoke 23 6 5 12 25 27 -2 23
23 QPR 22 6 5 11 21 33 -12 23
24 Wigan 22 5 6 11 17 35 -18 21
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 23 13 8 2 38 20 +18 47
2 Luton 22 11 7 4 25 17 +8 40
3 Sheffield United 21 11 4 6 24 18 +6 37
4 Sunderland 22 10 6 6 32 22 +10 36
5 Preston 23 10 5 8 25 31 -6 35
6 Norwich 23 9 6 8 30 27 +3 33
7 Stoke 22 8 6 8 30 25 +5 30
8 Coventry 22 7 8 7 27 21 +6 29
9 Middlesbrough 22 9 2 11 38 36 +2 29
10 Swansea 23 7 8 8 30 32 -2 29
11 Millwall 23 8 5 10 23 28 -5 29
12 QPR 23 7 6 10 23 36 -13 27
13 West Brom 22 7 5 10 26 30 -4 26
14 Birmingham 23 7 5 11 23 34 -11 26
15 Hull 22 5 9 8 27 34 -7 24
16 Watford 23 5 9 9 21 30 -9 24
17 Cardiff 22 7 3 12 21 31 -10 24
18 Wigan 23 5 8 10 21 30 -9 23
19 Blackburn 22 6 5 11 21 32 -11 23
20 Bristol City 22 5 7 10 23 32 -9 22
21 Huddersfield 23 5 5 13 21 37 -16 20
22 Blackpool 22 4 5 13 19 38 -19 17
23 Rotherham 22 2 10 10 12 30 -18 16
24 Reading 22 3 3 16 15 42 -27 12

Rotherham   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Middlesbrough 44 14 30 1.9 1.2 22 8 14 83 54 74
2 10 Swansea 45 20 25 1.4 1.4 17 12 16 65 62 63
3 7 Sunderland 45 21 24 1.4 1.2 17 15 13 65 55 66
4 1 Burnley 45 22 23 1.9 0.8 28 14 3 84 35 98
5 18 Reading 45 22 23 1.0 1.5 13 11 21 46 66 50
6 19 QPR 45 22 23 1.0 1.5 13 11 21 44 69 50
7 22 Rotherham 44 22 22 1.1 1.4 10 16 18 48 60 46
8 24 Blackpool 45 23 22 1.0 1.6 10 11 24 47 72 41
9 12 Norwich 45 24 21 1.3 1.2 17 11 17 57 53 62
10 16 Stoke 45 25 20 1.2 1.2 14 11 20 55 52 53
11 21 Huddersfield 44 24 20 1.0 1.4 12 11 21 44 62 47
12 11 Preston 45 26 19 1.0 1.2 17 12 16 45 56 63
13 14 Hull 45 26 19 1.1 1.4 14 15 16 51 61 57
14 2 Sheffield United 44 26 18 1.6 0.8 27 7 10 71 37 88
15 9 Blackburn 44 26 18 1.1 1.1 19 8 17 47 50 65
16 13 Watford 45 27 18 1.2 1.2 15 15 15 54 53 60
17 15 Bristol City 45 27 18 1.2 1.2 14 14 17 53 56 56
18 17 Birmingham 45 27 18 1.0 1.2 14 11 20 46 56 53
19 6 Millwall 45 28 17 1.2 1.0 19 11 15 54 46 68
20 23 Wigan 45 28 17 0.8 1.4 10 14 21 38 65 44
21 5 Coventry 45 29 16 1.3 1.0 18 15 12 57 45 69
22 8 West Brom 45 29 16 1.3 1.1 18 12 15 57 50 66
23 20 Cardiff 45 30 15 0.9 1.2 13 10 22 41 55 49
24 3 Luton 44 30 14 1.3 0.9 21 15 8 56 38 78
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 22 Rotherham 22 8 14 1.6 1.4 8 6 8 36 30 30
2 1 Burnley 22 9 13 2.1 0.7 15 6 1 46 15 51
3 4 Middlesbrough 22 9 13 2.0 0.8 13 6 3 45 18 45
4 7 Sunderland 23 10 13 1.4 1.4 7 9 7 33 33 30
5 10 Swansea 22 9 13 1.6 1.4 10 4 8 35 30 34
6 2 Sheffield United 23 11 12 2.0 0.8 16 3 4 47 19 51
7 19 QPR 22 10 12 1.0 1.5 6 5 11 21 33 23
8 18 Reading 23 12 11 1.3 1.0 10 8 5 31 24 38
9 24 Blackpool 23 12 11 1.2 1.5 6 6 11 28 34 24
10 12 Norwich 22 12 10 1.2 1.2 8 5 9 27 26 29
11 13 Watford 22 12 10 1.5 1.0 10 6 6 33 23 36
12 16 Stoke 23 13 10 1.1 1.2 6 5 12 25 27 23
13 3 Luton 22 13 9 1.4 1.0 10 8 4 31 21 38
14 14 Hull 23 14 9 1.0 1.2 9 6 8 24 27 33
15 15 Bristol City 23 14 9 1.3 1.0 9 7 7 30 24 34
16 5 Coventry 23 15 8 1.3 1.0 11 7 5 30 24 40
17 6 Millwall 22 14 8 1.4 0.8 11 6 5 31 18 39
18 9 Blackburn 22 14 8 1.2 0.8 13 3 6 26 18 42
19 11 Preston 22 14 8 0.9 1.1 7 7 8 20 25 28
20 17 Birmingham 22 14 8 1.0 1.0 7 6 9 23 22 27
21 21 Huddersfield 21 13 8 1.1 1.2 7 6 8 23 25 27
22 23 Wigan 22 14 8 0.8 1.6 5 6 11 17 35 21
23 8 West Brom 23 16 7 1.3 0.9 11 7 5 31 20 40
24 20 Cardiff 23 17 6 0.9 1.0 6 7 10 20 24 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Middlesbrough 22 5 17 1.7 1.6 9 2 11 38 36 29
2 10 Swansea 23 11 12 1.3 1.4 7 8 8 30 32 29
3 18 Reading 22 10 12 0.7 1.9 3 3 16 15 42 12
4 21 Huddersfield 23 11 12 0.9 1.6 5 5 13 21 37 20
5 7 Sunderland 22 11 11 1.5 1.0 10 6 6 32 22 36
6 11 Preston 23 12 11 1.1 1.3 10 5 8 25 31 35
7 12 Norwich 23 12 11 1.3 1.2 9 6 8 30 27 33
8 19 QPR 23 12 11 1.0 1.6 7 6 10 23 36 27
9 24 Blackpool 22 11 11 0.9 1.7 4 5 13 19 38 17
10 1 Burnley 23 13 10 1.7 0.9 13 8 2 38 20 47
11 9 Blackburn 22 12 10 1.0 1.5 6 5 11 21 32 23
12 14 Hull 22 12 10 1.2 1.5 5 9 8 27 34 24
13 16 Stoke 22 12 10 1.4 1.1 8 6 8 30 25 30
14 17 Birmingham 23 13 10 1.0 1.5 7 5 11 23 34 26
15 6 Millwall 23 14 9 1.0 1.2 8 5 10 23 28 29
16 8 West Brom 22 13 9 1.2 1.4 7 5 10 26 30 26
17 15 Bristol City 22 13 9 1.0 1.5 5 7 10 23 32 22
18 20 Cardiff 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 7 3 12 21 31 24
19 23 Wigan 23 14 9 0.9 1.3 5 8 10 21 30 23
20 5 Coventry 22 14 8 1.2 1.0 7 8 7 27 21 29
21 13 Watford 23 15 8 0.9 1.3 5 9 9 21 30 24
22 22 Rotherham 22 14 8 0.5 1.4 2 10 10 12 30 16
23 2 Sheffield United 21 15 6 1.1 0.9 11 4 6 24 18 37
24 3 Luton 22 17 5 1.1 0.8 11 7 4 25 17 40

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40