Luton 2–1 Middlesbrough – England Championship, 24 Apr 2023

Match facts

Luton Middlesbrough

8 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 1

4 Corners 5

10 Fouls 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (523 league matches this season so far).

Result Luton to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.77

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.32

Home / Draw / Away

41% 25% 34%

LutonDrawMiddlesbrough

Under / Over 2.5 goals

47% 53%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 57%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.9% 1–0 9% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

1.74points / match

1.26scored / match

0.86conceded / match

20 15 8

WonDrawnLost 43 played · 54:37

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.72points / match

1.91scored / match

1.21conceded / match

22 8 13

WonDrawnLost 43 played · 82:52

Luton all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.26 Goals scored 1.91

0.86 Goals conceded 1.21

2.12 Total goals 3.12

12.07 Shots 12.70

3.84 Shots on target 4.44

10.77 Shots faced 10.23

5.95 Corners 6.02

4.67 Corners against 4.21

12.63 Fouls 10.26

1.95 Yellow cards 1.91

0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.72

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

47% Wins 51%

35% Draws 19%

19% Losses 30%

91% Over 0.5 goals 95%

67% Over 1.5 goals 84%

30% Over 2.5 goals 67%

16% Over 3.5 goals 44%

5% Over 4.5 goals 16%

2% Over 5.5 goals 5%

44% Both teams scored 65%

44% Clean sheets 23%

21% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 33%

47% Draws 35%

14% Losses 33%

63% Over 0.5 goals 84%

26% Over 1.5 goals 40%

7% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches

2

D

1

W

1

W

1

W

1

D

2

W

D

3

1

W

2

W

1

D

Middlesbrough all matches

2

L

5

W

3

1

W

1

D

4

W

2

4

L

1

2

L

2

D

5

1

W

3

1

W

Luton before this match, at home

1.67points / match

1.38scored / match

0.95conceded / match

9 8 4

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 29:20

Middlesbrough before this match, away

1.38points / match

1.76scored / match

1.62conceded / match

9 2 10

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 37:34

Luton at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.76

0.95 Goals conceded 1.62

2.33 Total goals 3.38

14.24 Shots 12.48

4.24 Shots on target 4.10

10.33 Shots faced 11.86

7.33 Corners 5.95

4.57 Corners against 4.05

12.05 Fouls 10.19

1.48 Yellow cards 1.95

0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.52

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

43% Wins 43%

38% Draws 10%

19% Losses 48%

90% Over 0.5 goals 100%

62% Over 1.5 goals 90%

38% Over 2.5 goals 76%

29% Over 3.5 goals 52%

10% Over 4.5 goals 14%

5% Over 5.5 goals 5%

52% Both teams scored 71%

38% Clean sheets 5%

19% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 19%

33% Draws 38%

14% Losses 43%

71% Over 0.5 goals 86%

19% Over 1.5 goals 38%

14% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home

2

1

W

2

3

L

1

W

1

W

1

L

2

D

1

W

1

W

2

W

3

1

W

Middlesbrough away

1

3

L

2

1

W

3

1

W

2

L

3

1

W

3

1

W

2

L

3

1

W

2

4

L

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.04.23	Reading – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	4.75	3.40	1.80	2.30	1.62
15.04.23	Rotherham – Luton	0–2 (0–1)	4.33	3.30	1.95	2.30	1.62
10.04.23	Luton – Blackpool	3–1 (1–1)	1.53	4.00	7.00	2.00	1.80
07.04.23	Millwall – Luton	0–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.00	3.00	2.63	1.50
01.04.23	Luton – Watford	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.60	2.38	1.57
18.03.23	Sunderland – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.20	1.67
15.03.23	Luton – Bristol City	1–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.73
11.03.23	Sheffield United – Luton	0–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.20	1.67
04.03.23	Luton – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
28.02.23	Luton – Millwall	2–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.04.23	Middlesbrough – Hull	3–1 (0–1)	1.45	4.50	6.50	1.67	2.20
14.04.23	Middlesbrough – Norwich	5–1 (4–1)	1.91	3.75	3.80	1.80	2.00
10.04.23	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–2 (1–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.90	1.95
07.04.23	Middlesbrough – Burnley	1–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.40	2.55	2.05	1.80
01.04.23	Huddersfield – Middlesbrough	4–2 (0–1)	5.00	3.75	1.70	2.02	1.83
18.03.23	Middlesbrough – Preston	4–0 (1–0)	1.55	3.80	6.50	2.02	1.83
14.03.23	Middlesbrough – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	1.70	3.80	5.00	1.90	1.95
11.03.23	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–0)	3.25	3.60	2.15	1.98	1.88
04.03.23	Middlesbrough – Reading	5–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.50	6.50	1.85	2.00
25.02.23	West Brom – Middlesbrough	2–0 (2–0)	2.30	3.30	3.00	2.02	1.83

Luton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.04.23	Luton – Blackpool	3–1 (1–1)	1.53	4.00	7.00	2.00	1.80
01.04.23	Luton – Watford	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.60	2.38	1.57
15.03.23	Luton – Bristol City	1–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.73
04.03.23	Luton – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
28.02.23	Luton – Millwall	2–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
18.02.23	Luton – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.20	2.20	1.67
04.02.23	Luton – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.67
31.01.23	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.62
14.01.23	Luton – West Brom	2–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.67
26.12.22	Luton – Norwich	2–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73

Middlesbrough away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.04.23	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–2 (1–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.90	1.95
01.04.23	Huddersfield – Middlesbrough	4–2 (0–1)	5.00	3.75	1.70	2.02	1.83
11.03.23	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–0)	3.25	3.60	2.15	1.98	1.88
25.02.23	West Brom – Middlesbrough	2–0 (2–0)	2.30	3.30	3.00	2.02	1.83
15.02.23	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.10	1.73
11.02.23	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–2)	3.60	3.40	2.10	2.10	1.73
22.01.23	Sunderland – Middlesbrough	2–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.40	2.50	2.02	1.83
02.01.23	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	1–3 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Blackburn – Middlesbrough	1–2 (1–0)	3.20	3.20	2.38	2.10	1.73
17.12.22	Burnley – Middlesbrough	3–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	1.98	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Luton winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins

3matches

3.33goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.12.22E1	Middlesbrough – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.02	1.83
05.03.22E1	Middlesbrough – Luton	2–1 (1–0)	1.75	3.60	5.00	2.10	1.72
02.11.21E1	Luton – Middlesbrough	3–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.00	1.80

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	43	26	14	3	81	34	+47	92
2	Sheffield United	42	25	7	10	65	36	+29	82
3	Luton	43	20	15	8	54	37	+17	75
4	Middlesbrough	43	22	8	13	82	52	+30	74
5	Coventry	44	17	15	12	55	45	+10	66
6	Sunderland	44	17	14	13	63	53	+10	65
7	Millwall	44	18	11	15	51	44	+7	65
8	Blackburn	43	19	8	16	47	49	-2	65
9	West Brom	43	17	12	14	55	47	+8	63
10	Preston	44	17	12	15	44	52	-8	63
11	Norwich	44	17	11	16	56	51	+5	62
12	Swansea	44	17	11	16	64	61	+3	62
13	Watford	44	15	14	15	52	51	+1	59
14	Bristol City	44	14	14	16	52	54	-2	56
15	Hull	44	14	14	16	50	60	-10	56
16	Stoke	44	14	11	19	55	51	+4	53
17	Birmingham	44	14	11	19	46	54	-8	53
18	Reading	44	13	10	21	45	65	-20	49
19	QPR	44	12	11	21	43	69	-26	47
20	Rotherham	43	10	16	17	47	58	-11	46
21	Cardiff	43	12	10	21	38	52	-14	46
22	Huddersfield	43	11	11	21	42	61	-19	44
23	Wigan	44	10	13	21	37	64	-27	43
24	Blackpool	44	10	11	23	45	69	-24	41

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	22	15	6	1	46	15	+31	51
2	Middlesbrough	22	13	6	3	45	18	+27	45
3	Sheffield United	21	14	3	4	41	18	+23	45
4	Blackburn	21	13	3	5	26	17	+9	42
5	Millwall	22	11	6	5	31	18	+13	39
6	West Brom	22	10	7	5	29	19	+10	37
7	Reading	22	10	7	5	30	23	+7	37
8	Coventry	22	10	7	5	28	24	+4	37
9	Watford	22	10	6	6	33	23	+10	36
10	Luton	21	9	8	4	29	20	+9	35
11	Bristol City	22	9	7	6	29	22	+7	34
12	Swansea	22	10	4	8	35	30	+5	34
13	Hull	22	9	5	8	23	26	-3	32
14	Rotherham	21	8	6	7	35	28	+7	30
15	Norwich	22	8	5	9	27	26	+1	29
16	Sunderland	22	7	8	7	31	31	0	29
17	Preston	22	7	7	8	20	25	-5	28
18	Birmingham	22	7	6	9	23	22	+1	27
19	Huddersfield	21	7	6	8	23	25	-2	27
20	Cardiff	22	6	7	9	19	22	-3	25
21	Blackpool	22	6	6	10	26	31	-5	24
22	Stoke	22	6	5	11	25	26	-1	23
23	QPR	22	6	5	11	21	33	-12	23
24	Wigan	22	5	6	11	17	35	-18	21

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	21	11	8	2	35	19	+16	41
2	Luton	22	11	7	4	25	17	+8	40
3	Sheffield United	21	11	4	6	24	18	+6	37
4	Sunderland	22	10	6	6	32	22	+10	36
5	Preston	22	10	5	7	24	27	-3	35
6	Norwich	22	9	6	7	29	25	+4	33
7	Stoke	22	8	6	8	30	25	+5	30
8	Coventry	22	7	8	7	27	21	+6	29
9	Middlesbrough	21	9	2	10	37	34	+3	29
10	Swansea	22	7	7	8	29	31	-2	28
11	West Brom	21	7	5	9	26	28	-2	26
12	Millwall	22	7	5	10	20	26	-6	26
13	Birmingham	22	7	5	10	23	32	-9	26
14	Hull	22	5	9	8	27	34	-7	24
15	QPR	22	6	6	10	22	36	-14	24
16	Watford	22	5	8	9	19	28	-9	23
17	Blackburn	22	6	5	11	21	32	-11	23
18	Bristol City	22	5	7	10	23	32	-9	22
19	Wigan	22	5	7	10	20	29	-9	22
20	Cardiff	21	6	3	12	19	30	-11	21
21	Huddersfield	22	4	5	13	19	36	-17	17
22	Blackpool	22	4	5	13	19	38	-19	17
23	Rotherham	22	2	10	10	12	30	-18	16
24	Reading	22	3	3	16	15	42	-27	12

Luton Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Middlesbrough	43	14	29	1.9	1.2	22	8	13	82	52	74
2	12	Swansea	44	19	25	1.5	1.4	17	11	16	64	61	62
3	6	Sunderland	44	21	23	1.4	1.2	17	14	13	63	53	65
4	18	Reading	44	21	23	1.0	1.5	13	10	21	45	65	49
5	19	QPR	44	21	23	1.0	1.6	12	11	21	43	69	47
6	1	Burnley	43	21	22	1.9	0.8	26	14	3	81	34	92
7	20	Rotherham	43	22	21	1.1	1.3	10	16	17	47	58	46
8	24	Blackpool	44	23	21	1.0	1.6	10	11	23	45	69	41
9	11	Norwich	44	24	20	1.3	1.2	17	11	16	56	51	62
10	16	Stoke	44	24	20	1.2	1.2	14	11	19	55	51	53
11	15	Hull	44	25	19	1.1	1.4	14	14	16	50	60	56
12	22	Huddersfield	43	24	19	1.0	1.4	11	11	21	42	61	44
13	8	Blackburn	43	25	18	1.1	1.1	19	8	16	47	49	65
14	10	Preston	44	26	18	1.0	1.2	17	12	15	44	52	63
15	17	Birmingham	44	26	18	1.0	1.2	14	11	19	46	54	53
16	2	Sheffield United	42	25	17	1.5	0.9	25	7	10	65	36	82
17	13	Watford	44	27	17	1.2	1.2	15	14	15	52	51	59
18	14	Bristol City	44	27	17	1.2	1.2	14	14	16	52	54	56
19	23	Wigan	44	27	17	0.8	1.5	10	13	21	37	64	43
20	5	Coventry	44	28	16	1.2	1.0	17	15	12	55	45	66
21	7	Millwall	44	28	16	1.2	1.0	18	11	15	51	44	65
22	9	West Brom	43	28	15	1.3	1.1	17	12	14	55	47	63
23	3	Luton	43	30	13	1.3	0.9	20	15	8	54	37	75
24	21	Cardiff	43	30	13	0.9	1.2	12	10	21	38	52	46

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Burnley	22	9	13	2.1	0.7	15	6	1	46	15	51
2	4	Middlesbrough	22	9	13	2.0	0.8	13	6	3	45	18	45
3	12	Swansea	22	9	13	1.6	1.4	10	4	8	35	30	34
4	20	Rotherham	21	8	13	1.7	1.3	8	6	7	35	28	30
5	6	Sunderland	22	10	12	1.4	1.4	7	8	7	31	31	29
6	19	QPR	22	10	12	1.0	1.5	6	5	11	21	33	23
7	2	Sheffield United	21	10	11	2.0	0.9	14	3	4	41	18	45
8	18	Reading	22	11	11	1.4	1.0	10	7	5	30	23	37
9	11	Norwich	22	12	10	1.2	1.2	8	5	9	27	26	29
10	13	Watford	22	12	10	1.5	1.0	10	6	6	33	23	36
11	16	Stoke	22	12	10	1.1	1.2	6	5	11	25	26	23
12	24	Blackpool	22	12	10	1.2	1.4	6	6	10	26	31	24
13	15	Hull	22	13	9	1.0	1.2	9	5	8	23	26	32
14	3	Luton	21	13	8	1.4	1.0	9	8	4	29	20	35
15	5	Coventry	22	14	8	1.3	1.1	10	7	5	28	24	37
16	7	Millwall	22	14	8	1.4	0.8	11	6	5	31	18	39
17	8	Blackburn	21	13	8	1.2	0.8	13	3	5	26	17	42
18	10	Preston	22	14	8	0.9	1.1	7	7	8	20	25	28
19	14	Bristol City	22	14	8	1.3	1.0	9	7	6	29	22	34
20	17	Birmingham	22	14	8	1.0	1.0	7	6	9	23	22	27
21	22	Huddersfield	21	13	8	1.1	1.2	7	6	8	23	25	27
22	23	Wigan	22	14	8	0.8	1.6	5	6	11	17	35	21
23	9	West Brom	22	16	6	1.3	0.9	10	7	5	29	19	37
24	21	Cardiff	22	17	5	0.9	1.0	6	7	9	19	22	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Middlesbrough	21	5	16	1.8	1.6	9	2	10	37	34	29
2	12	Swansea	22	10	12	1.3	1.4	7	7	8	29	31	28
3	18	Reading	22	10	12	0.7	1.9	3	3	16	15	42	12
4	6	Sunderland	22	11	11	1.5	1.0	10	6	6	32	22	36
5	19	QPR	22	11	11	1.0	1.6	6	6	10	22	36	24
6	22	Huddersfield	22	11	11	0.9	1.6	4	5	13	19	36	17
7	24	Blackpool	22	11	11	0.9	1.7	4	5	13	19	38	17
8	8	Blackburn	22	12	10	1.0	1.5	6	5	11	21	32	23
9	10	Preston	22	12	10	1.1	1.2	10	5	7	24	27	35
10	11	Norwich	22	12	10	1.3	1.1	9	6	7	29	25	33
11	15	Hull	22	12	10	1.2	1.5	5	9	8	27	34	24
12	16	Stoke	22	12	10	1.4	1.1	8	6	8	30	25	30
13	17	Birmingham	22	12	10	1.0	1.5	7	5	10	23	32	26
14	1	Burnley	21	12	9	1.7	0.9	11	8	2	35	19	41
15	9	West Brom	21	12	9	1.2	1.3	7	5	9	26	28	26
16	14	Bristol City	22	13	9	1.0	1.5	5	7	10	23	32	22
17	23	Wigan	22	13	9	0.9	1.3	5	7	10	20	29	22
18	5	Coventry	22	14	8	1.2	1.0	7	8	7	27	21	29
19	7	Millwall	22	14	8	0.9	1.2	7	5	10	20	26	26
20	20	Rotherham	22	14	8	0.5	1.4	2	10	10	12	30	16
21	21	Cardiff	21	13	8	0.9	1.4	6	3	12	19	30	21
22	13	Watford	22	15	7	0.9	1.3	5	8	9	19	28	23
23	2	Sheffield United	21	15	6	1.1	0.9	11	4	6	24	18	37
24	3	Luton	22	17	5	1.1	0.8	11	7	4	25	17	40

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.