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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Linington

QPR 4–2 Stoke

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.10 fair 3.00
Draw 3.40 fair 3.65
Away 2.30 fair 2.55
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 1.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 2.29

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Stoke
19 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 4
13 Corners 7
13 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (204 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.15 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 0–1 11.3% 1–0 10.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
0.59points / match
0.65scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 11:28
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
0.94scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 16:21
QPR all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

0.65 Goals scored 0.94
1.65 Goals conceded 1.24
2.29 Total goals 2.18
9.18 Shots 11.82
2.88 Shots on target 2.88
13.35 Shots faced 12.24
4.53 Corners 5.88
6.12 Corners against 4.65
12.71 Fouls 13.94
2.24 Yellow cards 2.47
0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

12% Wins 35%
24% Draws 18%
65% Losses 47%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 59%
47% Over 2.5 goals 35%
24% Over 3.5 goals 24%
0% Over 4.5 goals 12%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 29%
18% Clean sheets 29%
47% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 12%
53% Draws 41%
35% Losses 47%
65% Over 0.5 goals 71%
35% Over 1.5 goals 35%
12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Stoke all matches
QPR before this match, at home
0.29points / match
0.57scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 4:14
Stoke before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.88scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:10
QPR at home away Stoke

Per match

0.57 Goals scored 0.88
2.00 Goals conceded 1.25
2.57 Total goals 2.13
10.71 Shots 11.00
3.14 Shots on target 2.75
14.43 Shots faced 13.88
4.14 Corners 4.50
5.71 Corners against 6.25
12.57 Fouls 11.75
2.29 Yellow cards 1.88
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

0% Wins 25%
29% Draws 25%
71% Losses 50%
86% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 63%
57% Over 2.5 goals 25%
43% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 25%
14% Clean sheets 25%
43% Failed to score 63%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 13%
71% Draws 25%
29% Losses 63%
57% Over 0.5 goals 88%
43% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Norwich – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.804.50 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 QPR – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.63 2.10 1.70
04.11.23 Rotherham – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 QPR – Leicester 1–2 (1–1) 8.005.001.36 1.65 2.20
24.10.23 West Brom – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.95 1.90
21.10.23 Huddersfield – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 1.913.504.00 1.98 1.88
07.10.23 QPR – Blackburn 0–4 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.75 2.05
04.10.23 Leeds – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 QPR – Coventry 1–3 (0–0) 3.103.302.38 2.00 1.85
22.09.23 Birmingham – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.67

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Stoke – Blackburn 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Coventry – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.05 1.80
04.11.23 Stoke – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
25.10.23 Stoke – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Stoke – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.75 1.75 2.05
07.10.23 Leicester – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.70 2.10
03.10.23 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Bristol City – Stoke 2–3 (2–1) 2.303.253.20 2.03 1.83
24.09.23 Stoke – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.753.80 1.90 1.95

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 QPR – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.63 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 QPR – Leicester 1–2 (1–1) 8.005.001.36 1.65 2.20
07.10.23 QPR – Blackburn 0–4 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 QPR – Coventry 1–3 (0–0) 3.103.302.38 2.00 1.85
19.09.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.60 2.05 1.80
16.09.23 QPR – Sunderland 1–3 (1–1) 3.103.502.25 1.85 2.00
19.08.23 QPR – Ipswich 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.601.91 2.03 1.83
08.05.23 QPR – Bristol City 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.00 1.73 2.10
19.04.23 QPR – Norwich 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.402.15 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 QPR – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 2.903.102.60 2.10 1.73

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Coventry – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.05 1.80
28.10.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
07.10.23 Leicester – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Bristol City – Stoke 2–3 (2–1) 2.303.253.20 2.03 1.83
20.09.23 Huddersfield – Stoke 2–2 (1–1) 2.883.302.50 2.03 1.83
16.09.23 Norwich – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.20 1.83 2.03
26.08.23 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
12.08.23 Ipswich – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.40 1.90 1.95
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
22.04.23 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.253.00 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsStoke wins
4matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.04.23E1 Stoke – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.02 1.82
17.09.22E1 QPR – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
23.04.22E1 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.00 1.80
05.12.21E1 QPR – Stoke 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.10 2.05 1.80

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 17 14 0 3 31 10 +21 42
2 Ipswich 17 12 3 2 36 23 +13 39
3 Leeds 17 9 5 3 28 17 +11 32
4 Southampton 17 9 4 4 28 27 +1 31
5 West Brom 17 8 5 4 28 17 +11 29
6 Preston 17 8 4 5 24 26 -2 28
7 Cardiff 17 8 3 6 27 20 +7 27
8 Hull 17 7 6 4 24 21 +3 27
9 Sunderland 17 8 2 7 27 19 +8 26
10 Blackburn 17 8 1 8 27 26 +1 25
11 Bristol City 17 7 4 6 19 18 +1 25
12 Middlesbrough 17 7 3 7 25 26 -1 24
13 Norwich 17 7 2 8 30 32 -2 23
14 Birmingham 17 6 4 7 21 23 -2 22
15 Watford 17 5 6 6 23 20 +3 21
16 Stoke 17 6 3 8 16 21 -5 21
17 Swansea 17 5 5 7 24 23 +1 20
18 Millwall 17 5 5 7 19 22 -3 20
19 Plymouth 17 5 4 8 29 27 +2 19
20 Coventry 17 4 7 6 22 21 +1 19
21 Huddersfield 17 3 7 7 15 29 -14 16
22 Rotherham 17 2 6 9 16 33 -17 12
23 QPR 17 2 4 11 11 28 -17 10
24 Sheffield Weds 17 1 3 13 8 29 -21 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 8 7 0 1 25 15 +10 21
2 Leicester 9 7 0 2 13 4 +9 21
3 West Brom 9 6 2 1 16 7 +9 20
4 Leeds 8 5 3 0 15 6 +9 18
5 Birmingham 9 5 3 1 15 9 +6 18
6 Preston 9 5 2 2 15 15 0 17
7 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 22 13 +9 16
8 Cardiff 8 5 1 2 15 9 +6 16
9 Watford 9 4 3 2 18 8 +10 15
10 Sunderland 8 5 0 3 16 10 +6 15
11 Norwich 9 5 0 4 13 12 +1 15
12 Southampton 8 4 2 2 16 14 +2 14
13 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
14 Hull 8 3 4 1 10 7 +3 13
15 Middlesbrough 8 4 1 3 7 7 0 13
16 Stoke 9 4 1 4 9 11 -2 13
17 Coventry 8 2 5 1 9 7 +2 11
18 Rotherham 9 2 5 2 13 12 +1 11
19 Swansea 9 2 4 3 11 11 0 10
20 Huddersfield 9 2 4 3 8 14 -6 10
21 Blackburn 8 3 0 5 9 14 -5 9
22 Millwall 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
23 Sheffield Weds 8 1 2 5 4 12 -8 5
24 QPR 7 0 2 5 4 14 -10 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 8 7 0 1 18 6 +12 21
2 Ipswich 9 5 3 1 11 8 +3 18
3 Southampton 9 5 2 2 12 13 -1 17
4 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 18 12 +6 16
5 Leeds 9 4 2 3 13 11 +2 14
6 Hull 9 4 2 3 14 14 0 14
7 Millwall 8 3 4 1 12 7 +5 13
8 Sunderland 9 3 2 4 11 9 +2 11
9 Cardiff 9 3 2 4 12 11 +1 11
10 Middlesbrough 9 3 2 4 18 19 -1 11
11 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
12 Preston 8 3 2 3 9 11 -2 11
13 Swansea 8 3 1 4 13 12 +1 10
14 West Brom 8 2 3 3 12 10 +2 9
15 Coventry 9 2 2 5 13 14 -1 8
16 Norwich 8 2 2 4 17 20 -3 8
17 Stoke 8 2 2 4 7 10 -3 8
18 QPR 10 2 2 6 7 14 -7 8
19 Watford 8 1 3 4 5 12 -7 6
20 Huddersfield 8 1 3 4 7 15 -8 6
21 Birmingham 8 1 1 6 6 14 -8 4
22 Plymouth 8 0 3 5 7 14 -7 3
23 Sheffield Weds 9 0 1 8 4 17 -13 1
24 Rotherham 8 0 1 7 3 21 -18 1

QPR   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Blackburn 17 4 13 1.6 1.5 8 1 8 27 26 25
2 4 Southampton 17 5 12 1.6 1.6 9 4 4 28 27 31
3 13 Norwich 17 5 12 1.8 1.9 7 2 8 30 32 23
4 19 Plymouth 17 5 12 1.7 1.6 5 4 8 29 27 19
5 6 Preston 17 6 11 1.4 1.5 8 4 5 24 26 28
6 9 Sunderland 17 6 11 1.6 1.1 8 2 7 27 19 26
7 2 Ipswich 17 7 10 2.1 1.4 12 3 2 36 23 39
8 17 Swansea 17 7 10 1.4 1.4 5 5 7 24 23 20
9 3 Leeds 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 9 5 3 28 17 32
10 5 West Brom 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 8 5 4 28 17 29
11 7 Cardiff 17 8 9 1.6 1.2 8 3 6 27 20 27
12 8 Hull 17 8 9 1.4 1.2 7 6 4 24 21 27
13 12 Middlesbrough 17 8 9 1.5 1.5 7 3 7 25 26 24
14 18 Millwall 17 8 9 1.1 1.3 5 5 7 19 22 20
15 22 Rotherham 17 8 9 0.9 1.9 2 6 9 16 33 12
16 1 Leicester 17 9 8 1.8 0.6 14 0 3 31 10 42
17 14 Birmingham 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 21 23 22
18 21 Huddersfield 17 9 8 0.9 1.7 3 7 7 15 29 16
19 23 QPR 17 9 8 0.6 1.6 2 4 11 11 28 10
20 24 Sheffield Weds 17 9 8 0.5 1.7 1 3 13 8 29 6
21 15 Watford 17 10 7 1.4 1.2 5 6 6 23 20 21
22 20 Coventry 17 10 7 1.3 1.2 4 7 6 22 21 19
23 11 Bristol City 17 11 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 6 19 18 25
24 16 Stoke 17 11 6 0.9 1.2 6 3 8 16 21 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Preston 9 1 8 1.7 1.7 5 2 2 15 15 17
2 2 Ipswich 8 1 7 3.1 1.9 7 0 1 25 15 21
3 19 Plymouth 9 2 7 2.4 1.4 5 1 3 22 13 16
4 4 Southampton 8 2 6 2.0 1.8 4 2 2 16 14 14
5 9 Sunderland 8 2 6 2.0 1.2 5 0 3 16 10 15
6 10 Blackburn 8 2 6 1.1 1.8 3 0 5 9 14 9
7 18 Millwall 9 3 6 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
8 3 Leeds 8 3 5 1.9 0.8 5 3 0 15 6 18
9 13 Norwich 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 5 0 4 13 12 15
10 14 Birmingham 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 5 3 1 15 9 18
11 15 Watford 9 4 5 2.0 0.9 4 3 2 18 8 15
12 17 Swansea 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 4 3 11 11 10
13 22 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 5 2 13 12 11
14 5 West Brom 9 5 4 1.8 0.8 6 2 1 16 7 20
15 7 Cardiff 8 4 4 1.9 1.1 5 1 2 15 9 16
16 16 Stoke 9 5 4 1.0 1.2 4 1 4 9 11 13
17 21 Huddersfield 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 4 3 8 14 10
18 23 QPR 7 3 4 0.6 2.0 0 2 5 4 14 2
19 1 Leicester 9 6 3 1.4 0.4 7 0 2 13 4 21
20 11 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 2 3 12 10 14
21 24 Sheffield Weds 8 5 3 0.5 1.5 1 2 5 4 12 5
22 8 Hull 8 6 2 1.2 0.9 3 4 1 10 7 13
23 20 Coventry 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 2 5 1 9 7 11
24 12 Middlesbrough 8 7 1 0.9 0.9 4 1 3 7 7 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Middlesbrough 9 1 8 2.0 2.1 3 2 4 18 19 11
2 8 Hull 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 2 3 14 14 14
3 10 Blackburn 9 2 7 2.0 1.3 5 1 3 18 12 16
4 13 Norwich 8 1 7 2.1 2.5 2 2 4 17 20 8
5 4 Southampton 9 3 6 1.3 1.4 5 2 2 12 13 17
6 1 Leicester 8 3 5 2.2 0.8 7 0 1 18 6 21
7 5 West Brom 8 3 5 1.5 1.2 2 3 3 12 10 9
8 7 Cardiff 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 2 4 12 11 11
9 9 Sunderland 9 4 5 1.2 1.0 3 2 4 11 9 11
10 17 Swansea 8 3 5 1.6 1.5 3 1 4 13 12 10
11 19 Plymouth 8 3 5 0.9 1.8 0 3 5 7 14 3
12 20 Coventry 9 4 5 1.4 1.6 2 2 5 13 14 8
13 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.4 1.9 0 1 8 4 17 1
14 3 Leeds 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 4 2 3 13 11 14
15 21 Huddersfield 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 1 3 4 7 15 6
16 22 Rotherham 8 4 4 0.4 2.6 0 1 7 3 21 1
17 23 QPR 10 6 4 0.7 1.4 2 2 6 7 14 8
18 2 Ipswich 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 5 3 1 11 8 18
19 6 Preston 8 5 3 1.1 1.4 3 2 3 9 11 11
20 11 Bristol City 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
21 14 Birmingham 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 6 6 14 4
22 18 Millwall 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 3 4 1 12 7 13
23 15 Watford 8 6 2 0.6 1.5 1 3 4 5 12 6
24 16 Stoke 8 6 2 0.9 1.2 2 2 4 7 10 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51