Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: P Tierney

Stoke 1–0 Leeds

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.75 fair 2.84
Draw 3.60 fair 3.98
Away 1.95 fair 2.52
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Leeds
12 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 3
16 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (154 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 0–1 8.7% 1–2 8.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.08scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:18
Leeds before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
1.67scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 20:13
Stoke all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.67
1.50 Goals conceded 1.08
2.58 Total goals 2.75
12.58 Shots 16.42
2.92 Shots on target 5.42
12.67 Shots faced 9.58
6.58 Corners 6.58
4.67 Corners against 4.42
13.50 Fouls 10.50
2.92 Yellow cards 1.58
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.92 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

33% Wins 50%
8% Draws 33%
58% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
42% Over 2.5 goals 58%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
42% Both teams scored 50%
8% Clean sheets 42%
50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 25%
33% Draws 50%
58% Losses 25%
83% Over 0.5 goals 58%
42% Over 1.5 goals 42%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Leeds all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:8
Leeds before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.83scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:9
Stoke at home away Leeds

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.83
1.33 Goals conceded 1.50
2.67 Total goals 3.33
13.67 Shots 14.33
3.50 Shots on target 5.00
10.50 Shots faced 12.67
8.50 Corners 6.00
3.00 Corners against 6.67
16.67 Fouls 11.33
3.83 Yellow cards 1.67
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.17

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 17%
50% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 50%
17% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
50% Both teams scored 50%
17% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 33%
50% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Stoke – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.75 1.75 2.05
07.10.23 Leicester – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.70 2.10
03.10.23 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Bristol City – Stoke 2–3 (2–1) 2.303.253.20 2.03 1.83
24.09.23 Stoke – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.753.80 1.90 1.95
20.09.23 Huddersfield – Stoke 2–2 (1–1) 2.883.302.50 2.03 1.83
16.09.23 Norwich – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.20 1.83 2.03
02.09.23 Stoke – Preston 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.73
26.08.23 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Norwich – Leeds 2–3 (2–0) 3.003.502.25 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Leeds – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10
04.10.23 Leeds – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
20.09.23 Hull – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.401.91 1.73 2.10
17.09.23 Millwall – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.402.38 2.00 1.80
02.09.23 Leeds – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.507.50 1.67 2.20
26.08.23 Ipswich – Leeds 3–4 (2–3) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.73
18.08.23 Leeds – West Brom 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Stoke – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.75 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00
24.09.23 Stoke – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.753.80 1.90 1.95
02.09.23 Stoke – Preston 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.73
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
05.08.23 Stoke – Rotherham 4–1 (3–0) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.85
29.04.23 Stoke – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.02 1.82
18.04.23 Stoke – Wigan 0–1 (0–0) 1.553.806.50 2.02 1.83
15.04.23 Stoke – West Brom 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.73
07.04.23 Stoke – Bristol City 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 2.05 1.80

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Norwich – Leeds 2–3 (2–0) 3.003.502.25 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30
20.09.23 Hull – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.401.91 1.73 2.10
17.09.23 Millwall – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.402.38 2.00 1.80
26.08.23 Ipswich – Leeds 3–4 (2–3) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.73
12.08.23 Birmingham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.80 2.00
21.05.23E0 West Ham – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.403.502.88 1.80 2.00
06.05.23E0 Man City – Leeds 2–1 (2–0) 1.178.5015.00 1.30 3.50
30.04.23E0 Bournemouth – Leeds 4–1 (2–1) 2.553.502.70 1.80 2.00
22.04.23E0 Fulham – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.92 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 13 12 0 1 27 7 +20 36
2 Ipswich 12 10 1 1 26 13 +13 31
3 Leeds 12 6 4 2 20 13 +7 22
4 Preston 13 6 4 3 18 20 -2 22
5 Southampton 13 6 3 4 21 24 -3 21
6 West Brom 13 5 5 3 20 14 +6 20
7 Cardiff 13 6 2 5 21 16 +5 20
8 Hull 13 5 5 3 19 16 +3 20
9 Middlesbrough 13 6 2 5 19 18 +1 20
10 Sunderland 13 6 1 6 21 15 +6 19
11 Blackburn 13 6 1 6 20 22 -2 19
12 Birmingham 13 5 3 5 15 14 +1 18
13 Bristol City 13 5 3 5 15 14 +1 18
14 Norwich 13 5 2 6 24 24 0 17
15 Watford 13 4 4 5 16 16 0 16
16 Millwall 13 4 4 5 13 16 -3 16
17 Plymouth 13 4 3 6 21 19 +2 15
18 Swansea 13 4 3 6 19 18 +1 15
19 Coventry 13 3 6 4 17 16 +1 15
20 Huddersfield 13 3 5 5 13 23 -10 14
21 Stoke 12 4 1 7 13 18 -5 13
22 Rotherham 12 2 3 7 12 22 -10 9
23 QPR 13 2 2 9 9 24 -15 8
24 Sheffield Weds 13 0 3 10 5 22 -17 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 7 6 0 1 11 3 +8 18
2 Ipswich 6 5 0 1 19 11 +8 15
3 Birmingham 7 4 2 1 11 6 +5 14
4 West Brom 7 4 2 1 11 6 +5 14
5 Preston 7 4 2 1 11 11 0 14
6 Cardiff 6 4 1 1 11 6 +5 13
7 Plymouth 7 4 0 3 17 10 +7 12
8 Leeds 6 3 3 0 9 4 +5 12
9 Norwich 7 4 0 3 11 9 +2 12
10 Watford 7 3 2 2 11 6 +5 11
11 Coventry 6 2 4 0 9 5 +4 10
12 Middlesbrough 6 3 1 2 6 5 +1 10
13 Sunderland 6 3 0 3 10 8 +2 9
14 Stoke 6 3 0 3 8 8 0 9
15 Blackburn 6 3 0 3 8 11 -3 9
16 Rotherham 6 2 2 2 9 8 +1 8
17 Swansea 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8
18 Bristol City 7 2 2 3 8 8 0 8
19 Southampton 6 2 2 2 11 12 -1 8
20 Huddersfield 7 2 2 3 7 13 -6 8
21 Hull 6 1 4 1 8 7 +1 7
22 Millwall 7 2 1 4 7 11 -4 7
23 Sheffield Weds 6 0 2 4 2 8 -6 2
24 QPR 5 0 1 4 3 12 -9 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 6 6 0 0 16 4 +12 18
2 Ipswich 6 5 1 0 7 2 +5 16
3 Hull 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
4 Southampton 7 4 1 2 10 12 -2 13
5 Sunderland 7 3 1 3 11 7 +4 10
6 Leeds 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10
7 Blackburn 7 3 1 3 12 11 +1 10
8 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10
9 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 13 13 0 10
10 Millwall 6 2 3 1 6 5 +1 9
11 Preston 6 2 2 2 7 9 -2 8
12 Swansea 6 2 1 3 10 9 +1 7
13 Cardiff 7 2 1 4 10 10 0 7
14 QPR 8 2 1 5 6 12 -6 7
15 West Brom 6 1 3 2 9 8 +1 6
16 Huddersfield 6 1 3 2 6 10 -4 6
17 Norwich 6 1 2 3 13 15 -2 5
18 Coventry 7 1 2 4 8 11 -3 5
19 Watford 6 1 2 3 5 10 -5 5
20 Birmingham 6 1 1 4 4 8 -4 4
21 Stoke 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
22 Plymouth 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
23 Rotherham 6 0 1 5 3 14 -11 1
24 Sheffield Weds 7 0 1 6 3 14 -11 1

Stoke   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Southampton 13 3 10 1.6 1.8 6 3 4 21 24 21
2 11 Blackburn 13 3 10 1.5 1.7 6 1 6 20 22 19
3 10 Sunderland 13 4 9 1.6 1.2 6 1 6 21 15 19
4 14 Norwich 13 4 9 1.8 1.8 5 2 6 24 24 17
5 17 Plymouth 13 4 9 1.6 1.5 4 3 6 21 19 15
6 4 Preston 13 5 8 1.4 1.5 6 4 3 18 20 22
7 18 Swansea 13 5 8 1.5 1.4 4 3 6 19 18 15
8 1 Leicester 13 6 7 2.1 0.5 12 0 1 27 7 36
9 3 Leeds 12 5 7 1.7 1.1 6 4 2 20 13 22
10 6 West Brom 13 6 7 1.5 1.1 5 5 3 20 14 20
11 7 Cardiff 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 6 2 5 21 16 20
12 8 Hull 13 6 7 1.5 1.2 5 5 3 19 16 20
13 9 Middlesbrough 13 6 7 1.5 1.4 6 2 5 19 18 20
14 20 Huddersfield 13 6 7 1.0 1.8 3 5 5 13 23 14
15 22 Rotherham 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 2 3 7 12 22 9
16 23 QPR 13 6 7 0.7 1.8 2 2 9 9 24 8
17 2 Ipswich 12 6 6 2.2 1.1 10 1 1 26 13 31
18 16 Millwall 13 7 6 1.0 1.2 4 4 5 13 16 16
19 24 Sheffield Weds 13 7 6 0.4 1.7 0 3 10 5 22 3
20 13 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 5 3 5 15 14 18
21 15 Watford 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 4 4 5 16 16 16
22 19 Coventry 13 8 5 1.3 1.2 3 6 4 17 16 15
23 21 Stoke 12 7 5 1.1 1.5 4 1 7 13 18 13
24 12 Birmingham 13 9 4 1.2 1.1 5 3 5 15 14 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Preston 7 1 6 1.6 1.6 4 2 1 11 11 14
2 17 Plymouth 7 1 6 2.4 1.4 4 0 3 17 10 12
3 2 Ipswich 6 1 5 3.2 1.8 5 0 1 19 11 15
4 11 Blackburn 6 1 5 1.3 1.8 3 0 3 8 11 9
5 16 Millwall 7 2 5 1.0 1.6 2 1 4 7 11 7
6 5 Southampton 6 2 4 1.8 2.0 2 2 2 11 12 8
7 10 Sunderland 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 0 3 10 8 9
8 14 Norwich 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 4 0 3 11 9 12
9 18 Swansea 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8
10 20 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 2 2 3 7 13 8
11 22 Rotherham 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 2 2 2 9 8 8
12 1 Leicester 7 4 3 1.6 0.4 6 0 1 11 3 18
13 3 Leeds 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 3 3 0 9 4 12
14 6 West Brom 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 2 1 11 6 14
15 7 Cardiff 6 3 3 1.8 1.0 4 1 1 11 6 13
16 12 Birmingham 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 2 1 11 6 14
17 15 Watford 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 3 2 2 11 6 11
18 21 Stoke 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 3 0 3 8 8 9
19 23 QPR 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 1 4 3 12 1
20 8 Hull 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 1 4 1 8 7 7
21 13 Bristol City 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 2 2 3 8 8 8
22 19 Coventry 6 4 2 1.5 0.8 2 4 0 9 5 10
23 24 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 0.3 1.3 0 2 4 2 8 2
24 9 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 3 1 2 6 5 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Southampton 7 1 6 1.4 1.7 4 1 2 10 12 13
2 9 Middlesbrough 7 1 6 1.9 1.9 3 1 3 13 13 10
3 8 Hull 7 2 5 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
4 10 Sunderland 7 2 5 1.6 1.0 3 1 3 11 7 10
5 11 Blackburn 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 1 3 12 11 10
6 14 Norwich 6 1 5 2.2 2.5 1 2 3 13 15 5
7 1 Leicester 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 6 0 0 16 4 18
8 3 Leeds 6 2 4 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10
9 6 West Brom 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 1 3 2 9 8 6
10 7 Cardiff 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 2 1 4 10 10 7
11 18 Swansea 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 2 1 3 10 9 7
12 23 QPR 8 4 4 0.8 1.5 2 1 5 6 12 7
13 24 Sheffield Weds 7 3 4 0.4 2.0 0 1 6 3 14 1
14 13 Bristol City 6 3 3 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10
15 17 Plymouth 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
16 19 Coventry 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 1 2 4 8 11 5
17 20 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 1 3 2 6 10 6
18 22 Rotherham 6 3 3 0.5 2.3 0 1 5 3 14 1
19 4 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 2 2 7 9 8
20 15 Watford 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 2 3 5 10 5
21 21 Stoke 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4
22 2 Ipswich 6 5 1 1.2 0.3 5 1 0 7 2 16
23 12 Birmingham 6 5 1 0.7 1.3 1 1 4 4 8 4
24 16 Millwall 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 3 1 6 5 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51