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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Millwall 1–0 Stoke

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.41
Draw 3.25 fair 3.79
Away 3.20 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.91
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.10

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Stoke
17 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 7
15 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (37 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 10.5% 0–1 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 2:4
Stoke before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:3
Millwall all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.67
1.33 Goals conceded 1.00
2.00 Total goals 2.67
10.67 Shots 12.33
2.00 Shots on target 3.33
16.33 Shots faced 12.67
3.33 Corners 6.67
7.67 Corners against 3.67
11.33 Fouls 16.67
1.67 Yellow cards 3.33
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 67%
0% Draws 0%
67% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
67% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
33% Over 0.5 goals 67%
0% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Stoke all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:1
Stoke before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:2
Millwall at home away Stoke

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
1.00 Total goals 2.00
10.00 Shots 9.00
2.00 Shots on target 2.00
13.00 Shots faced 22.00
1.00 Corners 3.00
5.00 Corners against 7.00
13.00 Fouls 17.00
1.00 Yellow cards 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 0%
100% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
0% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.23 Norwich – Millwall 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 2.03 1.83
12.08.23 Millwall – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.73
05.08.23 Middlesbrough – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 2.00 1.80
08.05.23 Millwall – Blackburn 3–4 (3–1) 1.913.753.80 1.90 1.95
28.04.23 Blackpool – Millwall 2–3 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.00 1.80
22.04.23 Wigan – Millwall 2–1 (1–1) 3.803.402.00 2.38 1.57
18.04.23 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62
15.04.23 Millwall – Preston 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.50 2.50 1.53
10.04.23 Hull – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.38 1.57
07.04.23 Millwall – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.003.00 2.63 1.50

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
12.08.23 Ipswich – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.40 1.90 1.95
05.08.23 Stoke – Rotherham 4–1 (3–0) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.85
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
29.04.23 Stoke – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.02 1.82
22.04.23 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.253.00 2.10 1.73
18.04.23 Stoke – Wigan 0–1 (0–0) 1.553.806.50 2.02 1.83
15.04.23 Stoke – West Brom 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.20 1.67
07.04.23 Stoke – Bristol City 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 2.05 1.80

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.08.23 Millwall – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.73
08.05.23 Millwall – Blackburn 3–4 (3–1) 1.913.753.80 1.90 1.95
18.04.23 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62
15.04.23 Millwall – Preston 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.50 2.50 1.53
07.04.23 Millwall – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.003.00 2.63 1.50
18.03.23 Millwall – Huddersfield 0–1 (0–0) 1.533.758.00 2.20 1.67
14.03.23 Millwall – Swansea 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.80 2.20 1.67
04.03.23 Millwall – Norwich 2–3 (1–1) 2.603.102.88 2.20 1.67
21.02.23 Millwall – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.202.38 2.50 1.53
18.02.23 Millwall – Sheffield United 3–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.55 2.10 1.73

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.08.23 Ipswich – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.40 1.90 1.95
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
22.04.23 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.253.00 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.20 1.67
01.04.23 Coventry – Stoke 0–4 (0–2) 2.383.303.10 2.05 1.80
14.03.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 1.95
04.03.23 Sunderland – Stoke 1–5 (0–1) 2.253.253.25 2.10 1.73
21.02.23 Swansea – Stoke 1–3 (1–2) 2.203.253.50 2.10 1.73
18.02.23 Blackpool – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.302.38 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Luton – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsStoke wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
25%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.23E1 Stoke – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.38 1.57
30.07.22E1 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.30 1.61
19.03.22E1 Stoke – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 2.37 1.57
23.10.21E1 Millwall – Stoke 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 3 3 0 0 5 1 +4 9
2 Leicester 3 3 0 0 5 2 +3 9
3 Norwich 3 2 1 0 9 6 +3 7
4 Birmingham 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7
5 Hull 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
6 Southampton 3 2 1 0 8 6 +2 7
7 Preston 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
8 Stoke 3 2 0 1 5 3 +2 6
9 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
10 Watford 3 1 1 1 4 1 +3 4
11 Coventry 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
12 Plymouth 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
13 Blackburn 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
14 West Brom 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
15 Sunderland 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
16 Millwall 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
17 QPR 3 1 0 2 2 6 -4 3
18 Swansea 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
19 Leeds 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
20 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 4 6 -2 1
21 Huddersfield 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
22 Rotherham 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1
23 Middlesbrough 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1
24 Sheffield Weds 3 0 0 3 3 7 -4 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stoke 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
2 Norwich 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
3 Leicester 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
4 Watford 2 1 1 0 4 0 +4 4
5 Hull 2 1 1 0 5 3 +2 4
6 Coventry 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
7 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
8 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
9 West Brom 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
10 Preston 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
11 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
12 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
13 Sunderland 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
14 Leeds 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
15 Swansea 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
16 Southampton 1 0 1 0 4 4 0 1
17 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
18 Middlesbrough 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
19 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
20 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
21 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
22 Millwall 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
23 QPR 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
24 Sheffield Weds 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
2 Ipswich 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
3 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
4 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
5 Preston 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
6 Leicester 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
7 Hull 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
8 Millwall 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
9 QPR 2 1 0 1 2 5 -3 3
10 Norwich 1 0 1 0 4 4 0 1
11 Blackburn 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
12 Plymouth 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
13 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
14 Coventry 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
15 West Brom 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
16 Huddersfield 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
17 Swansea 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
18 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
19 Leeds 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
20 Watford 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
21 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 2 4 -2 0
22 Stoke 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
23 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
24 Rotherham 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0

Millwall   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Norwich 3 0 3 3.0 2.0 2 1 0 9 6 7
2 5 Hull 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
3 6 Southampton 3 0 3 2.7 2.0 2 1 0 8 6 7
4 13 Blackburn 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
5 15 Sunderland 3 0 3 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
6 20 Cardiff 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 0 1 2 4 6 1
7 22 Rotherham 3 0 3 1.3 2.7 0 1 2 4 8 1
8 2 Leicester 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 3 0 0 5 2 9
9 11 Coventry 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
10 12 Plymouth 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
11 14 West Brom 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
12 17 QPR 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 1 0 2 2 6 3
13 24 Sheffield Weds 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 0 3 3 7 0
14 1 Ipswich 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 3 0 0 5 1 9
15 7 Preston 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
16 8 Stoke 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 2 0 1 5 3 6
17 10 Watford 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 1 1 1 4 1 4
18 16 Millwall 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3
19 18 Swansea 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
20 19 Leeds 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
21 21 Huddersfield 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
22 23 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1
23 4 Birmingham 3 3 0 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7
24 9 Bristol City 4 4 0 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Leicester 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
2 3 Norwich 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
3 12 Plymouth 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
4 13 Blackburn 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
5 15 Sunderland 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
6 5 Hull 2 1 1 2.5 1.5 1 1 0 5 3 4
7 6 Southampton 1 0 1 4.0 4.0 0 1 0 4 4 1
8 7 Preston 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
9 8 Stoke 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
10 10 Watford 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 1 1 0 4 0 4
11 11 Coventry 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
12 14 West Brom 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
13 19 Leeds 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
14 20 Cardiff 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
15 22 Rotherham 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
16 24 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
17 1 Ipswich 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
18 4 Birmingham 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
19 9 Bristol City 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
20 16 Millwall 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
21 17 QPR 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
22 18 Swansea 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
23 21 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
24 23 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
2 6 Southampton 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
3 17 QPR 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 1 0 1 2 5 3
4 20 Cardiff 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
5 22 Rotherham 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
6 1 Ipswich 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
7 3 Norwich 1 0 1 4.0 4.0 0 1 0 4 4 1
8 11 Coventry 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
9 13 Blackburn 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
10 14 West Brom 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
11 15 Sunderland 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
12 16 Millwall 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
13 18 Swansea 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
14 21 Huddersfield 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
15 23 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
16 24 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 2.0 4.0 0 0 1 2 4 0
17 2 Leicester 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
18 4 Birmingham 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
19 7 Preston 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
20 8 Stoke 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
21 9 Bristol City 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
22 10 Watford 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
23 12 Plymouth 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
24 19 Leeds 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51