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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

Southampton 2–0 Cardiff

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 2.41
Draw 4.00 fair 4.12
Away 5.25 fair 2.92
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.35
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Cardiff
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 3
6 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (218 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 8.8% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
1.61scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 29:27
Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 27:21
Southampton all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.61 Goals scored 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded 1.17
3.11 Total goals 2.67
15.50 Shots 11.11
5.67 Shots on target 4.17
11.94 Shots faced 11.67
7.33 Corners 4.89
4.83 Corners against 5.72
10.00 Fouls 9.44
2.56 Yellow cards 1.61
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.22

How often Full Time

56% Wins 44%
22% Draws 17%
22% Losses 39%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
78% Over 1.5 goals 78%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 28%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
72% Both teams scored 50%
17% Clean sheets 33%
11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 33%
33% Draws 61%
22% Losses 6%
83% Over 0.5 goals 50%
44% Over 1.5 goals 28%
22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Cardiff all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
1.89points / match
1.89scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:14
Cardiff before this match, away
1.22points / match
1.33scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:11
Southampton at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.33
1.56 Goals conceded 1.22
3.44 Total goals 2.56
15.22 Shots 11.00
5.89 Shots on target 4.00
11.44 Shots faced 13.89
7.22 Corners 5.00
4.44 Corners against 6.44
9.78 Fouls 10.78
3.00 Yellow cards 2.00
1.22 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.11

How often Full Time

56% Wins 33%
22% Draws 22%
22% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 56%
44% Over 3.5 goals 33%
22% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 44%
11% Clean sheets 33%
11% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 33%
22% Draws 67%
33% Losses 0%
89% Over 0.5 goals 44%
56% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.23 Southampton – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.73 2.08
25.11.23 Huddersfield – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.801.70 1.83 2.03
11.11.23 Southampton – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
04.11.23 Millwall – Southampton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
25.10.23 Preston – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Hull – Southampton 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Southampton – Rotherham 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
03.10.23 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Cardiff – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.50 2.30 1.60
25.11.23 Preston – Cardiff 1–2 (0–0) 2.403.203.00 2.35 1.57
11.11.23 Cardiff – Norwich 2–3 (2–1) 2.003.503.60 1.85 2.00
04.11.23 Stoke – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 Cardiff – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 2.15 1.67
24.10.23 Huddersfield – Cardiff 0–4 (0–3) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70
21.10.23 Blackburn – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
03.10.23 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.754.00 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Cardiff – Rotherham 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.93 1.93

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.23 Southampton – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.73 2.08
11.11.23 Southampton – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
07.10.23 Southampton – Rotherham 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30
19.09.23 Southampton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.10 1.67 2.20
15.09.23 Southampton – Leicester 1–4 (1–3) 2.453.402.80 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 Southampton – QPR 2–1 (1–1) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.30
12.08.23 Southampton – Norwich 4–4 (2–3) 1.833.754.00 1.88 1.98
28.05.23E0 Southampton – Liverpool 4–4 (2–2) 6.504.751.44 1.40 3.00

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Preston – Cardiff 1–2 (0–0) 2.403.203.00 2.35 1.57
04.11.23 Stoke – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
24.10.23 Huddersfield – Cardiff 0–4 (0–3) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70
21.10.23 Blackburn – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.70 2.10
03.10.23 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.754.00 1.80 2.00
24.09.23 Sunderland – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 1.83 2.03
02.09.23 Ipswich – Cardiff 3–2 (0–1) 1.624.205.50 1.73 2.10
19.08.23 Leicester – Cardiff 2–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.50 1.83 2.03
06.08.23 Leeds – Cardiff 2–2 (0–2) 1.404.508.50 1.67 2.20
08.05.23 Burnley – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 1.334.7510.00 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 19 15 1 3 34 12 +22 46
2 Ipswich 18 13 3 2 39 24 +15 42
3 Leeds 18 10 5 3 31 18 +13 35
4 Southampton 18 10 4 4 29 27 +2 34
5 West Brom 19 9 5 5 30 19 +11 32
6 Hull 18 8 6 4 28 22 +6 30
7 Blackburn 18 9 1 8 31 28 +3 28
8 Preston 19 8 4 7 24 32 -8 28
9 Cardiff 18 8 3 7 27 21 +6 27
10 Middlesbrough 18 8 3 7 29 26 +3 27
11 Sunderland 18 8 2 8 28 21 +7 26
12 Bristol City 18 7 4 7 19 19 0 25
13 Watford 18 6 6 6 26 22 +4 24
14 Norwich 18 7 2 9 32 35 -3 23
15 Coventry 18 5 7 6 23 21 +2 22
16 Birmingham 18 6 4 8 23 27 -4 22
17 Stoke 18 6 3 9 18 25 -7 21
18 Swansea 18 5 5 8 25 26 -1 20
19 Millwall 18 5 5 8 20 25 -5 20
20 Plymouth 18 5 4 9 29 28 +1 19
21 Huddersfield 18 4 7 7 17 30 -13 19
22 QPR 19 4 4 11 17 30 -13 16
23 Rotherham 18 2 6 10 17 37 -20 12
24 Sheffield Weds 18 1 4 13 9 30 -21 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 9 8 0 1 28 16 +12 24
2 Leeds 9 6 3 0 18 7 +11 21
3 Leicester 9 7 0 2 13 4 +9 21
4 West Brom 10 6 2 2 17 9 +8 20
5 Watford 10 5 3 2 21 10 +11 18
6 Birmingham 9 5 3 1 15 9 +6 18
7 Southampton 9 5 2 2 17 14 +3 17
8 Preston 10 5 2 3 15 17 -2 17
9 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 22 13 +9 16
10 Hull 9 4 4 1 14 8 +6 16
11 Cardiff 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
12 Middlesbrough 9 5 1 3 11 7 +4 16
13 Sunderland 9 5 0 4 17 12 +5 15
14 Norwich 9 5 0 4 13 12 +1 15
15 Coventry 9 3 5 1 10 7 +3 14
16 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
17 Stoke 9 4 1 4 9 11 -2 13
18 Blackburn 9 4 0 5 13 16 -3 12
19 Rotherham 9 2 5 2 13 12 +1 11
20 Swansea 9 2 4 3 11 11 0 10
21 Huddersfield 9 2 4 3 8 14 -6 10
22 Millwall 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
23 Sheffield Weds 9 1 3 5 5 13 -8 6
24 QPR 8 1 2 5 8 16 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25
2 Ipswich 9 5 3 1 11 8 +3 18
3 Southampton 9 5 2 2 12 13 -1 17
4 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 18 12 +6 16
5 Leeds 9 4 2 3 13 11 +2 14
6 Hull 9 4 2 3 14 14 0 14
7 Millwall 9 3 4 2 13 10 +3 13
8 West Brom 9 3 3 3 13 10 +3 12
9 Sunderland 9 3 2 4 11 9 +2 11
10 Cardiff 9 3 2 4 12 11 +1 11
11 Middlesbrough 9 3 2 4 18 19 -1 11
12 Bristol City 9 3 2 4 7 9 -2 11
13 QPR 11 3 2 6 9 14 -5 11
14 Preston 9 3 2 4 9 15 -6 11
15 Swansea 9 3 1 5 14 15 -1 10
16 Huddersfield 9 2 3 4 9 16 -7 9
17 Coventry 9 2 2 5 13 14 -1 8
18 Norwich 9 2 2 5 19 23 -4 8
19 Stoke 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
20 Watford 8 1 3 4 5 12 -7 6
21 Birmingham 9 1 1 7 8 18 -10 4
22 Plymouth 9 0 3 6 7 15 -8 3
23 Sheffield Weds 9 0 1 8 4 17 -13 1
24 Rotherham 9 0 1 8 4 25 -21 1

Southampton   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Blackburn 18 4 14 1.7 1.6 9 1 8 31 28 28
2 14 Norwich 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 7 2 9 32 35 23
3 4 Southampton 18 6 12 1.6 1.5 10 4 4 29 27 34
4 8 Preston 19 7 12 1.3 1.7 8 4 7 24 32 28
5 11 Sunderland 18 6 12 1.6 1.2 8 2 8 28 21 26
6 20 Plymouth 18 6 12 1.6 1.6 5 4 9 29 28 19
7 2 Ipswich 18 7 11 2.2 1.3 13 3 2 39 24 42
8 18 Swansea 18 7 11 1.4 1.4 5 5 8 25 26 20
9 3 Leeds 18 8 10 1.7 1.0 10 5 3 31 18 35
10 5 West Brom 19 9 10 1.6 1.0 9 5 5 30 19 32
11 6 Hull 18 8 10 1.6 1.2 8 6 4 28 22 30
12 10 Middlesbrough 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 8 3 7 29 26 27
13 19 Millwall 18 8 10 1.1 1.4 5 5 8 20 25 20
14 23 Rotherham 18 8 10 0.9 2.1 2 6 10 17 37 12
15 1 Leicester 19 10 9 1.8 0.6 15 1 3 34 12 46
16 9 Cardiff 18 9 9 1.5 1.2 8 3 7 27 21 27
17 16 Birmingham 18 9 9 1.3 1.5 6 4 8 23 27 22
18 21 Huddersfield 18 9 9 0.9 1.7 4 7 7 17 30 19
19 22 QPR 19 10 9 0.9 1.6 4 4 11 17 30 16
20 13 Watford 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 6 6 6 26 22 24
21 24 Sheffield Weds 18 10 8 0.5 1.7 1 4 13 9 30 7
22 15 Coventry 18 11 7 1.3 1.2 5 7 6 23 21 22
23 17 Stoke 18 11 7 1.0 1.4 6 3 9 18 25 21
24 12 Bristol City 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 7 19 19 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 9 1 8 3.1 1.8 8 0 1 28 16 24
2 8 Preston 10 2 8 1.5 1.7 5 2 3 15 17 17
3 7 Blackburn 9 2 7 1.4 1.8 4 0 5 13 16 12
4 11 Sunderland 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 5 0 4 17 12 15
5 20 Plymouth 9 2 7 2.4 1.4 5 1 3 22 13 16
6 3 Leeds 9 3 6 2.0 0.8 6 3 0 18 7 21
7 4 Southampton 9 3 6 1.9 1.6 5 2 2 17 14 17
8 13 Watford 10 4 6 2.1 1.0 5 3 2 21 10 18
9 19 Millwall 9 3 6 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
10 5 West Brom 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 6 2 2 17 9 20
11 14 Norwich 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 5 0 4 13 12 15
12 16 Birmingham 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 5 3 1 15 9 18
13 18 Swansea 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 4 3 11 11 10
14 22 QPR 8 3 5 1.0 2.0 1 2 5 8 16 5
15 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 5 2 13 12 11
16 9 Cardiff 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
17 17 Stoke 9 5 4 1.0 1.2 4 1 4 9 11 13
18 21 Huddersfield 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 4 3 8 14 10
19 1 Leicester 9 6 3 1.4 0.4 7 0 2 13 4 21
20 6 Hull 9 6 3 1.6 0.9 4 4 1 14 8 16
21 12 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 2 3 12 10 14
22 24 Sheffield Weds 9 6 3 0.6 1.4 1 3 5 5 13 6
23 10 Middlesbrough 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 5 1 3 11 7 16
24 15 Coventry 9 7 2 1.1 0.8 3 5 1 10 7 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Middlesbrough 9 1 8 2.0 2.1 3 2 4 18 19 11
2 14 Norwich 9 1 8 2.1 2.6 2 2 5 19 23 8
3 6 Hull 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 2 3 14 14 14
4 7 Blackburn 9 2 7 2.0 1.3 5 1 3 18 12 16
5 1 Leicester 10 4 6 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25
6 4 Southampton 9 3 6 1.3 1.4 5 2 2 12 13 17
7 18 Swansea 9 3 6 1.6 1.7 3 1 5 14 15 10
8 5 West Brom 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 3 3 3 13 10 12
9 9 Cardiff 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 2 4 12 11 11
10 11 Sunderland 9 4 5 1.2 1.0 3 2 4 11 9 11
11 15 Coventry 9 4 5 1.4 1.6 2 2 5 13 14 8
12 20 Plymouth 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 0 3 6 7 15 3
13 21 Huddersfield 9 4 5 1.0 1.8 2 3 4 9 16 9
14 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 0.4 2.8 0 1 8 4 25 1
15 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.4 1.9 0 1 8 4 17 1
16 3 Leeds 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 4 2 3 13 11 14
17 8 Preston 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 3 2 4 9 15 11
18 16 Birmingham 9 5 4 0.9 2.0 1 1 7 8 18 4
19 19 Millwall 9 5 4 1.4 1.1 3 4 2 13 10 13
20 22 QPR 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 3 2 6 9 14 11
21 2 Ipswich 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 5 3 1 11 8 18
22 12 Bristol City 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 3 2 4 7 9 11
23 17 Stoke 9 6 3 1.0 1.6 2 2 5 9 14 8
24 13 Watford 8 6 2 0.6 1.5 1 3 4 5 12 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51