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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Ward

Cardiff 1–1 Watford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.45 fair 2.04
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 4.22
Away 2.90 fair 3.68
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 2.30
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Watford
8 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
2 Corners 1
9 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (122 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.60scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:14
Watford before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.30scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:15
Cardiff all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.30
1.40 Goals conceded 1.50
3.00 Total goals 2.80
10.30 Shots 14.70
3.90 Shots on target 4.40
12.70 Shots faced 10.10
4.20 Corners 5.90
6.70 Corners against 4.40
9.60 Fouls 12.60
2.00 Yellow cards 2.10
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

50% Wins 20%
10% Draws 30%
40% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
90% Over 1.5 goals 70%
60% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
60% Both teams scored 30%
30% Clean sheets 30%
10% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 10%
70% Draws 70%
10% Losses 20%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
30% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Watford all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
2.40points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:5
Watford before this match, away
0.25points / match
0.75scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:9
Cardiff at home away Watford

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.75
1.00 Goals conceded 2.25
3.00 Total goals 3.00
12.00 Shots 9.75
4.60 Shots on target 3.25
8.20 Shots faced 13.75
5.80 Corners 2.75
5.80 Corners against 7.25
7.60 Fouls 15.00
1.40 Yellow cards 3.00
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

80% Wins 0%
0% Draws 25%
20% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
60% Over 2.5 goals 50%
20% Over 3.5 goals 25%
20% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
60% Both teams scored 25%
40% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
80% Draws 75%
20% Losses 25%
40% Over 0.5 goals 50%
20% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.754.00 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Cardiff – Rotherham 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.93 1.93
24.09.23 Sunderland – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 1.83 2.03
19.09.23 Cardiff – Coventry 3–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.63 2.03 1.83
16.09.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Ipswich – Cardiff 3–2 (0–1) 1.624.205.50 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 Cardiff – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.10 1.73
19.08.23 Leicester – Cardiff 2–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.50 1.83 2.03
12.08.23 Cardiff – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.75 2.10 1.73
06.08.23 Leeds – Cardiff 2–2 (0–2) 1.404.508.50 1.67 2.20

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
20.09.23 Watford – West Brom 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.40 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
02.09.23 Coventry – Watford 3–3 (1–1) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
27.08.23 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.90 1.95
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
12.08.23 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.83 2.03
05.08.23 Watford – QPR 4–0 (4–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Cardiff – Rotherham 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Cardiff – Coventry 3–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.63 2.03 1.83
16.09.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Cardiff – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.10 1.73
12.08.23 Cardiff – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.75 2.10 1.73
30.04.23 Cardiff – Huddersfield 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.30 2.20 1.67
22.04.23 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.253.00 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Cardiff – Sunderland 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.90 2.20 1.67
01.04.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.67
15.03.23 Cardiff – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.252.38 2.30 1.62

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Coventry – Watford 3–3 (1–1) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
29.04.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
22.04.23 Hull – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Coventry – Watford 2–2 (0–2) 2.403.253.00 2.20 1.67
01.04.23 Luton – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 QPR – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.73
25.02.23 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.603.80 2.02 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsWatford wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.23E1 Watford – Cardiff 1–3 (1–3) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.67
02.11.22E1 Cardiff – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 10 9 0 1 21 6 +15 27
2 Ipswich 10 8 1 1 21 11 +10 25
3 Preston 10 6 2 2 13 13 0 20
4 Sunderland 11 6 1 4 20 12 +8 19
5 Birmingham 11 5 3 3 15 11 +4 18
6 Leeds 10 4 4 2 15 10 +5 16
7 West Brom 11 4 4 3 18 14 +4 16
8 Norwich 10 5 1 4 20 18 +2 16
9 Cardiff 10 5 1 4 16 14 +2 16
10 Hull 10 4 4 2 14 12 +2 16
11 Southampton 10 5 1 4 16 20 -4 16
12 Bristol City 10 4 3 3 13 11 +2 15
13 Coventry 10 3 5 2 16 12 +4 14
14 Middlesbrough 11 4 2 5 16 17 -1 14
15 Millwall 10 4 2 4 9 11 -2 14
16 Swansea 10 3 3 4 15 13 +2 12
17 Plymouth 10 3 2 5 17 16 +1 11
18 Stoke 10 3 1 6 11 15 -4 10
19 Huddersfield 10 2 4 4 11 18 -7 10
20 Blackburn 10 3 1 6 13 21 -8 10
21 Watford 10 2 3 5 13 15 -2 9
22 QPR 10 2 2 6 8 16 -8 8
23 Rotherham 10 1 2 7 9 21 -12 5
24 Sheffield Weds 10 0 2 8 5 18 -13 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 6 4 2 0 11 4 +7 14
2 Ipswich 5 4 0 1 15 9 +6 12
3 Cardiff 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12
4 Leicester 5 4 0 1 8 3 +5 12
5 Norwich 5 4 0 1 8 4 +4 12
6 Preston 5 4 0 1 8 8 0 12
7 West Brom 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
8 Plymouth 5 3 0 2 13 7 +6 9
9 Coventry 5 2 3 0 8 4 +4 9
10 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7 3 +4 9
11 Sunderland 6 3 0 3 10 8 +2 9
12 Watford 6 2 2 2 10 6 +4 8
13 Swansea 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8
14 Hull 5 1 4 0 7 5 +2 7
15 Middlesbrough 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
16 Southampton 5 2 1 2 10 11 -1 7
17 Stoke 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
18 Millwall 5 2 0 3 4 7 -3 6
19 Blackburn 5 2 0 3 7 11 -4 6
20 Bristol City 5 1 2 2 7 7 0 5
21 Rotherham 5 1 2 2 7 8 -1 5
22 Huddersfield 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
23 QPR 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
24 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 2 8 -6 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 5 5 0 0 13 3 +10 15
2 Ipswich 5 4 1 0 6 2 +4 13
3 Sunderland 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
4 Bristol City 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
5 Hull 5 3 0 2 7 7 0 9
6 Southampton 5 3 0 2 6 9 -3 9
7 Millwall 5 2 2 1 5 4 +1 8
8 Preston 5 2 2 1 5 5 0 8
9 Leeds 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
10 Middlesbrough 6 2 1 3 11 12 -1 7
11 QPR 6 2 1 3 5 8 -3 7
12 West Brom 6 1 3 2 9 8 +1 6
13 Coventry 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5
14 Huddersfield 5 1 2 2 6 10 -4 5
15 Swansea 5 1 1 3 7 8 -1 4
16 Norwich 5 1 1 3 12 14 -2 4
17 Cardiff 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 4
18 Stoke 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
19 Birmingham 5 1 1 3 4 7 -3 4
20 Blackburn 5 1 1 3 6 10 -4 4
21 Plymouth 5 0 2 3 4 9 -5 2
22 Watford 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
23 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 3 10 -7 1
24 Rotherham 5 0 0 5 2 13 -11 0

Cardiff   Watford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sunderland 11 3 8 1.8 1.1 6 1 4 20 12 19
2 11 Southampton 10 2 8 1.6 2.0 5 1 4 16 20 16
3 20 Blackburn 10 2 8 1.3 2.1 3 1 6 13 21 10
4 7 West Brom 11 4 7 1.6 1.3 4 4 3 18 14 16
5 8 Norwich 10 3 7 2.0 1.8 5 1 4 20 18 16
6 17 Plymouth 10 3 7 1.7 1.6 3 2 5 17 16 11
7 23 Rotherham 10 3 7 0.9 2.1 1 2 7 9 21 5
8 1 Leicester 10 4 6 2.1 0.6 9 0 1 21 6 27
9 3 Preston 10 4 6 1.3 1.3 6 2 2 13 13 20
10 9 Cardiff 10 4 6 1.6 1.4 5 1 4 16 14 16
11 14 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 4 2 5 16 17 14
12 16 Swansea 10 4 6 1.5 1.3 3 3 4 15 13 12
13 2 Ipswich 10 5 5 2.1 1.1 8 1 1 21 11 25
14 6 Leeds 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 4 4 2 15 10 16
15 10 Hull 10 5 5 1.4 1.2 4 4 2 14 12 16
16 13 Coventry 10 5 5 1.6 1.2 3 5 2 16 12 14
17 19 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.1 1.8 2 4 4 11 18 10
18 21 Watford 10 5 5 1.3 1.5 2 3 5 13 15 9
19 22 QPR 10 5 5 0.8 1.6 2 2 6 8 16 8
20 24 Sheffield Weds 10 5 5 0.5 1.8 0 2 8 5 18 2
21 5 Birmingham 11 7 4 1.4 1.0 5 3 3 15 11 18
22 12 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 4 3 3 13 11 15
23 15 Millwall 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 4 2 4 9 11 14
24 18 Stoke 10 6 4 1.1 1.5 3 1 6 11 15 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Preston 5 0 5 1.6 1.6 4 0 1 8 8 12
2 20 Blackburn 5 0 5 1.4 2.2 2 0 3 7 11 6
3 2 Ipswich 5 1 4 3.0 1.8 4 0 1 15 9 12
4 4 Sunderland 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 0 3 10 8 9
5 11 Southampton 5 1 4 2.0 2.2 2 1 2 10 11 7
6 17 Plymouth 5 1 4 2.6 1.4 3 0 2 13 7 9
7 23 Rotherham 5 1 4 1.4 1.6 1 2 2 7 8 5
8 1 Leicester 5 2 3 1.6 0.6 4 0 1 8 3 12
9 5 Birmingham 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 4 2 0 11 4 14
10 7 West Brom 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
11 9 Cardiff 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12
12 15 Millwall 5 2 3 0.8 1.4 2 0 3 4 7 6
13 16 Swansea 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8
14 21 Watford 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 2 2 2 10 6 8
15 6 Leeds 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 2 3 0 7 3 9
16 8 Norwich 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 4 0 1 8 4 12
17 12 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 1 2 2 7 7 5
18 13 Coventry 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 2 3 0 8 4 9
19 18 Stoke 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
20 19 Huddersfield 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
21 22 QPR 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
22 24 Sheffield Weds 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 1 4 2 8 1
23 10 Hull 5 4 1 1.4 1.0 1 4 0 7 5 7
24 14 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Norwich 5 0 5 2.4 2.8 1 1 3 12 14 4
2 14 Middlesbrough 6 1 5 1.8 2.0 2 1 3 11 12 7
3 4 Sunderland 5 1 4 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
4 7 West Brom 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 1 3 2 9 8 6
5 10 Hull 5 1 4 1.4 1.4 3 0 2 7 7 9
6 11 Southampton 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 3 0 2 6 9 9
7 1 Leicester 5 2 3 2.6 0.6 5 0 0 13 3 15
8 6 Leeds 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
9 9 Cardiff 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 3 6 9 4
10 13 Coventry 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 1 2 2 8 8 5
11 16 Swansea 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 1 3 7 8 4
12 17 Plymouth 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 2 3 4 9 2
13 19 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 2 2 6 10 5
14 20 Blackburn 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 3 6 10 4
15 22 QPR 6 3 3 0.8 1.3 2 1 3 5 8 7
16 23 Rotherham 5 2 3 0.4 2.6 0 0 5 2 13 0
17 24 Sheffield Weds 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 0 1 4 3 10 1
18 12 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
19 18 Stoke 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
20 21 Watford 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
21 2 Ipswich 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 4 1 0 6 2 13
22 3 Preston 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 2 2 1 5 5 8
23 5 Birmingham 5 4 1 0.8 1.4 1 1 3 4 7 4
24 15 Millwall 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 1 5 4 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51