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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Southampton 3–1 Birmingham

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 2.43
Draw 4.00 fair 4.03
Away 5.50 fair 2.94
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Birmingham
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 4
8 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 8.8% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.62scored / match
1.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:24
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.15scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:14
Southampton all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.15
1.85 Goals conceded 1.08
3.46 Total goals 2.23
16.31 Shots 12.08
5.92 Shots on target 3.85
12.77 Shots faced 13.00
7.69 Corners 4.23
4.85 Corners against 6.46
10.23 Fouls 13.77
2.85 Yellow cards 2.31
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.54
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.23

How often Full Time

46% Wins 38%
23% Draws 23%
31% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
85% Over 1.5 goals 77%
77% Over 2.5 goals 31%
38% Over 3.5 goals 15%
23% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
77% Both teams scored 46%
8% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%
31% Draws 46%
31% Losses 15%
92% Over 0.5 goals 54%
54% Over 1.5 goals 15%
31% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Birmingham all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.83scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:12
Birmingham before this match, away
0.67points / match
0.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 4:8
Southampton at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 0.67
2.00 Goals conceded 1.33
3.83 Total goals 2.00
17.00 Shots 11.33
6.67 Shots on target 3.83
11.83 Shots faced 14.17
8.67 Corners 2.67
3.83 Corners against 7.00
10.33 Fouls 13.17
3.50 Yellow cards 2.67
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.33
1.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%
33% Draws 17%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 83%
67% Over 2.5 goals 17%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
83% Both teams scored 33%
0% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
17% Draws 67%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 33%
67% Over 1.5 goals 0%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.23 Preston – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Hull – Southampton 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Southampton – Rotherham 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
03.10.23 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30
23.09.23 Middlesbrough – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.73 2.10
19.09.23 Southampton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.10 1.67 2.20
15.09.23 Southampton – Leicester 1–4 (1–3) 2.453.402.80 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Sunderland – Southampton 5–0 (3–0) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
26.08.23 Southampton – QPR 2–1 (1–1) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.30

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.23 Birmingham – Hull 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
06.10.23 Birmingham – West Brom 3–1 (2–1) 2.753.202.63 2.25 1.62
03.10.23 Birmingham – Huddersfield 4–1 (2–0) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
30.09.23 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93
22.09.23 Birmingham – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.67
19.09.23 Preston – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.383.103.30 2.30 1.62
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
02.09.23 Birmingham – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.25 2.38 1.57
26.08.23 Birmingham – Plymouth 2–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.33 2.00 1.80

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Southampton – Rotherham 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30
19.09.23 Southampton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.10 1.67 2.20
15.09.23 Southampton – Leicester 1–4 (1–3) 2.453.402.80 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 Southampton – QPR 2–1 (1–1) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.30
12.08.23 Southampton – Norwich 4–4 (2–3) 1.833.754.00 1.88 1.98
28.05.23E0 Southampton – Liverpool 4–4 (2–2) 6.504.751.44 1.40 3.00
13.05.23E0 Southampton – Fulham 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.302.50 1.91 1.99
27.04.23E0 Southampton – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.03 1.87
15.04.23E0 Southampton – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–0) 2.803.102.70 2.30 1.62

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
30.09.23 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Preston – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.383.103.30 2.30 1.62
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
19.08.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.62
05.08.23 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.93 1.93
29.04.23 Coventry – Birmingham 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.336.50 1.93 1.93
18.04.23 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62
15.04.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73
07.04.23 Reading – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.002.63 2.63 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 13 12 0 1 27 7 +20 36
2 Ipswich 12 10 1 1 26 13 +13 31
3 Leeds 13 6 4 3 20 14 +6 22
4 Preston 13 6 4 3 18 20 -2 22
5 Southampton 13 6 3 4 21 24 -3 21
6 West Brom 13 5 5 3 20 14 +6 20
7 Cardiff 13 6 2 5 21 16 +5 20
8 Hull 13 5 5 3 19 16 +3 20
9 Middlesbrough 13 6 2 5 19 18 +1 20
10 Sunderland 13 6 1 6 21 15 +6 19
11 Blackburn 13 6 1 6 20 22 -2 19
12 Birmingham 13 5 3 5 15 14 +1 18
13 Bristol City 13 5 3 5 15 14 +1 18
14 Norwich 13 5 2 6 24 24 0 17
15 Watford 13 4 4 5 16 16 0 16
16 Millwall 13 4 4 5 13 16 -3 16
17 Stoke 13 5 1 7 14 18 -4 16
18 Plymouth 13 4 3 6 21 19 +2 15
19 Swansea 13 4 3 6 19 18 +1 15
20 Coventry 13 3 6 4 17 16 +1 15
21 Huddersfield 13 3 5 5 13 23 -10 14
22 Rotherham 12 2 3 7 12 22 -10 9
23 QPR 13 2 2 9 9 24 -15 8
24 Sheffield Weds 13 0 3 10 5 22 -17 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 7 6 0 1 11 3 +8 18
2 Ipswich 6 5 0 1 19 11 +8 15
3 Birmingham 7 4 2 1 11 6 +5 14
4 West Brom 7 4 2 1 11 6 +5 14
5 Preston 7 4 2 1 11 11 0 14
6 Cardiff 6 4 1 1 11 6 +5 13
7 Plymouth 7 4 0 3 17 10 +7 12
8 Leeds 6 3 3 0 9 4 +5 12
9 Norwich 7 4 0 3 11 9 +2 12
10 Stoke 7 4 0 3 9 8 +1 12
11 Watford 7 3 2 2 11 6 +5 11
12 Coventry 6 2 4 0 9 5 +4 10
13 Middlesbrough 6 3 1 2 6 5 +1 10
14 Sunderland 6 3 0 3 10 8 +2 9
15 Blackburn 6 3 0 3 8 11 -3 9
16 Rotherham 6 2 2 2 9 8 +1 8
17 Swansea 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8
18 Bristol City 7 2 2 3 8 8 0 8
19 Southampton 6 2 2 2 11 12 -1 8
20 Huddersfield 7 2 2 3 7 13 -6 8
21 Hull 6 1 4 1 8 7 +1 7
22 Millwall 7 2 1 4 7 11 -4 7
23 Sheffield Weds 6 0 2 4 2 8 -6 2
24 QPR 5 0 1 4 3 12 -9 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 6 6 0 0 16 4 +12 18
2 Ipswich 6 5 1 0 7 2 +5 16
3 Hull 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
4 Southampton 7 4 1 2 10 12 -2 13
5 Sunderland 7 3 1 3 11 7 +4 10
6 Blackburn 7 3 1 3 12 11 +1 10
7 Leeds 7 3 1 3 11 10 +1 10
8 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10
9 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 13 13 0 10
10 Millwall 6 2 3 1 6 5 +1 9
11 Preston 6 2 2 2 7 9 -2 8
12 Swansea 6 2 1 3 10 9 +1 7
13 Cardiff 7 2 1 4 10 10 0 7
14 QPR 8 2 1 5 6 12 -6 7
15 West Brom 6 1 3 2 9 8 +1 6
16 Huddersfield 6 1 3 2 6 10 -4 6
17 Norwich 6 1 2 3 13 15 -2 5
18 Coventry 7 1 2 4 8 11 -3 5
19 Watford 6 1 2 3 5 10 -5 5
20 Birmingham 6 1 1 4 4 8 -4 4
21 Stoke 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
22 Plymouth 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
23 Rotherham 6 0 1 5 3 14 -11 1
24 Sheffield Weds 7 0 1 6 3 14 -11 1

Southampton   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Southampton 13 3 10 1.6 1.8 6 3 4 21 24 21
2 11 Blackburn 13 3 10 1.5 1.7 6 1 6 20 22 19
3 10 Sunderland 13 4 9 1.6 1.2 6 1 6 21 15 19
4 14 Norwich 13 4 9 1.8 1.8 5 2 6 24 24 17
5 18 Plymouth 13 4 9 1.6 1.5 4 3 6 21 19 15
6 4 Preston 13 5 8 1.4 1.5 6 4 3 18 20 22
7 19 Swansea 13 5 8 1.5 1.4 4 3 6 19 18 15
8 1 Leicester 13 6 7 2.1 0.5 12 0 1 27 7 36
9 3 Leeds 13 6 7 1.5 1.1 6 4 3 20 14 22
10 6 West Brom 13 6 7 1.5 1.1 5 5 3 20 14 20
11 7 Cardiff 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 6 2 5 21 16 20
12 8 Hull 13 6 7 1.5 1.2 5 5 3 19 16 20
13 9 Middlesbrough 13 6 7 1.5 1.4 6 2 5 19 18 20
14 21 Huddersfield 13 6 7 1.0 1.8 3 5 5 13 23 14
15 22 Rotherham 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 2 3 7 12 22 9
16 23 QPR 13 6 7 0.7 1.8 2 2 9 9 24 8
17 2 Ipswich 12 6 6 2.2 1.1 10 1 1 26 13 31
18 16 Millwall 13 7 6 1.0 1.2 4 4 5 13 16 16
19 24 Sheffield Weds 13 7 6 0.4 1.7 0 3 10 5 22 3
20 13 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 5 3 5 15 14 18
21 15 Watford 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 4 4 5 16 16 16
22 17 Stoke 13 8 5 1.1 1.4 5 1 7 14 18 16
23 20 Coventry 13 8 5 1.3 1.2 3 6 4 17 16 15
24 12 Birmingham 13 9 4 1.2 1.1 5 3 5 15 14 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Preston 7 1 6 1.6 1.6 4 2 1 11 11 14
2 18 Plymouth 7 1 6 2.4 1.4 4 0 3 17 10 12
3 2 Ipswich 6 1 5 3.2 1.8 5 0 1 19 11 15
4 11 Blackburn 6 1 5 1.3 1.8 3 0 3 8 11 9
5 16 Millwall 7 2 5 1.0 1.6 2 1 4 7 11 7
6 5 Southampton 6 2 4 1.8 2.0 2 2 2 11 12 8
7 10 Sunderland 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 0 3 10 8 9
8 14 Norwich 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 4 0 3 11 9 12
9 19 Swansea 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8
10 21 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 2 2 3 7 13 8
11 22 Rotherham 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 2 2 2 9 8 8
12 1 Leicester 7 4 3 1.6 0.4 6 0 1 11 3 18
13 3 Leeds 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 3 3 0 9 4 12
14 6 West Brom 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 2 1 11 6 14
15 7 Cardiff 6 3 3 1.8 1.0 4 1 1 11 6 13
16 12 Birmingham 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 2 1 11 6 14
17 15 Watford 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 3 2 2 11 6 11
18 17 Stoke 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 4 0 3 9 8 12
19 23 QPR 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 1 4 3 12 1
20 8 Hull 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 1 4 1 8 7 7
21 13 Bristol City 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 2 2 3 8 8 8
22 20 Coventry 6 4 2 1.5 0.8 2 4 0 9 5 10
23 24 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 0.3 1.3 0 2 4 2 8 2
24 9 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 3 1 2 6 5 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Southampton 7 1 6 1.4 1.7 4 1 2 10 12 13
2 9 Middlesbrough 7 1 6 1.9 1.9 3 1 3 13 13 10
3 8 Hull 7 2 5 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
4 10 Sunderland 7 2 5 1.6 1.0 3 1 3 11 7 10
5 11 Blackburn 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 1 3 12 11 10
6 14 Norwich 6 1 5 2.2 2.5 1 2 3 13 15 5
7 1 Leicester 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 6 0 0 16 4 18
8 3 Leeds 7 3 4 1.6 1.4 3 1 3 11 10 10
9 6 West Brom 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 1 3 2 9 8 6
10 7 Cardiff 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 2 1 4 10 10 7
11 19 Swansea 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 2 1 3 10 9 7
12 23 QPR 8 4 4 0.8 1.5 2 1 5 6 12 7
13 24 Sheffield Weds 7 3 4 0.4 2.0 0 1 6 3 14 1
14 13 Bristol City 6 3 3 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10
15 18 Plymouth 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
16 20 Coventry 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 1 2 4 8 11 5
17 21 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 1 3 2 6 10 6
18 22 Rotherham 6 3 3 0.5 2.3 0 1 5 3 14 1
19 4 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 2 2 7 9 8
20 15 Watford 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 2 3 5 10 5
21 17 Stoke 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4
22 2 Ipswich 6 5 1 1.2 0.3 5 1 0 7 2 16
23 12 Birmingham 6 5 1 0.7 1.3 1 1 4 4 8 4
24 16 Millwall 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 3 1 6 5 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51