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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Madley

Leeds 3–0 Rotherham

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.17 fair 1.42
Draw 7.50 fair 5.59
Away 15.00 fair 8.50
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.44
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Rotherham
19 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 3
13 Fouls 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (357 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.98
Expected goals 2.26 – 0.80
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawRotherham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 11.9% 1–0 10.6% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.73scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 52:26
Rotherham before this match, all matches
0.66points / match
0.86scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 25:54
Leeds all matches all matches Rotherham

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 0.86
0.87 Goals conceded 1.86
2.60 Total goals 2.72
15.70 Shots 7.45
5.40 Shots on target 2.28
9.10 Shots faced 15.45
5.77 Corners 3.48
4.50 Corners against 7.48
9.90 Fouls 10.76
1.47 Yellow cards 1.83
0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

60% Wins 10%
20% Draws 34%
20% Losses 55%
93% Over 0.5 goals 97%
67% Over 1.5 goals 90%
53% Over 2.5 goals 48%
27% Over 3.5 goals 24%
13% Over 4.5 goals 14%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 59%
40% Clean sheets 10%
20% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 7%
47% Draws 55%
13% Losses 38%
63% Over 0.5 goals 66%
47% Over 1.5 goals 41%
20% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Rotherham all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.47points / match
2.13scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 32:11
Rotherham before this match, away
0.29points / match
0.64scored / match
2.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 9:34
Leeds at home away Rotherham

Per match

2.13 Goals scored 0.64
0.73 Goals conceded 2.43
2.87 Total goals 3.07
17.67 Shots 7.07
6.27 Shots on target 2.07
6.93 Shots faced 17.07
6.47 Corners 3.14
2.47 Corners against 7.36
10.13 Fouls 12.00
1.40 Yellow cards 2.21
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.21
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

73% Wins 0%
27% Draws 29%
0% Losses 71%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
80% Over 1.5 goals 93%
67% Over 2.5 goals 57%
33% Over 3.5 goals 36%
13% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 50%
40% Clean sheets 7%
7% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 0%
40% Draws 50%
7% Losses 50%
73% Over 0.5 goals 71%
60% Over 1.5 goals 50%
27% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Rotherham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 2.03 1.83
24.01.24 Leeds – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.207.00 1.57 2.35
21.01.24 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.15
13.01.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.201.62 1.93 1.93
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50
29.12.23 West Brom – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
26.12.23 Preston – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 5.754.201.57 1.83 2.03
23.12.23 Leeds – Ipswich 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.60 2.30
16.12.23 Leeds – Coventry 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.206.00 1.67 2.15
12.12.23 Sunderland – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.40 1.70 2.10

Rotherham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Rotherham – Southampton 0–2 (0–2) 9.505.001.33 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 1–1 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.62 2.25
13.01.24 Rotherham – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.91 2.03 1.83
01.01.24 Blackburn – Rotherham 2–2 (1–1) 1.504.506.00 1.57 2.35
29.12.23 Rotherham – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 6.504.201.53 1.93 1.93
26.12.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.75 2.05
23.12.23 Leicester – Rotherham 3–0 (0–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.44 2.70
16.12.23 Plymouth – Rotherham 3–2 (1–1) 1.673.805.25 1.70 2.10
12.12.23 Rotherham – West Brom 0–2 (0–0) 5.253.801.70 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Rotherham – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.98 1.88

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.24 Leeds – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.207.00 1.57 2.35
21.01.24 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.15
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50
23.12.23 Leeds – Ipswich 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.60 2.30
16.12.23 Leeds – Coventry 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.206.00 1.67 2.15
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Leeds – Plymouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.36 3.10
28.10.23 Leeds – Huddersfield 4–1 (4–0) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.25
07.10.23 Leeds – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10

Rotherham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 1–1 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.62 2.25
01.01.24 Blackburn – Rotherham 2–2 (1–1) 1.504.506.00 1.57 2.35
23.12.23 Leicester – Rotherham 3–0 (0–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.44 2.70
16.12.23 Plymouth – Rotherham 3–2 (1–1) 1.673.805.25 1.70 2.10
02.12.23 Birmingham – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
28.11.23 Hull – Rotherham 4–1 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.85 2.00
11.11.23 Watford – Rotherham 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.207.50 1.98 1.88
29.10.23 Sheffield Weds – Rotherham 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.33 2.30 1.60
07.10.23 Southampton – Rotherham 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 Cardiff – Rotherham 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsRotherham wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.23E1 Rotherham – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 7.505.001.36 1.67 2.15

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 30 23 3 4 64 23 +41 72
2 Southampton 29 18 7 4 55 32 +23 61
3 Leeds 30 18 6 6 52 26 +26 60
4 Ipswich 30 17 9 4 55 40 +15 60
5 West Brom 30 14 7 9 43 29 +14 49
6 Hull 29 13 6 10 43 38 +5 45
7 Coventry 30 11 11 8 46 34 +12 44
8 Sunderland 30 13 5 12 41 33 +8 44
9 Norwich 30 13 5 12 48 45 +3 44
10 Preston 30 12 6 12 38 49 -11 42
11 Watford 30 10 11 9 45 39 +6 41
12 Middlesbrough 29 12 5 12 43 42 +1 41
13 Cardiff 29 12 4 13 36 39 -3 40
14 Bristol City 30 10 8 12 33 34 -1 38
15 Plymouth 29 9 9 11 48 47 +1 36
16 Millwall 30 8 9 13 30 38 -8 33
17 Swansea 30 8 9 13 39 48 -9 33
18 Blackburn 29 10 3 16 42 55 -13 33
19 Birmingham 30 8 8 14 34 47 -13 32
20 Stoke 30 8 8 14 28 42 -14 32
21 Huddersfield 30 6 13 11 33 47 -14 31
22 QPR 30 7 7 16 27 41 -14 28
23 Sheffield Weds 31 7 5 19 24 50 -26 26
24 Rotherham 29 3 10 16 25 54 -29 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 15 12 1 2 31 9 +22 37
2 Leeds 15 11 4 0 32 11 +21 37
3 Ipswich 15 10 4 1 37 23 +14 34
4 West Brom 15 10 3 2 25 11 +14 33
5 Southampton 14 10 2 2 34 15 +19 32
6 Norwich 15 9 2 4 23 15 +8 29
7 Plymouth 14 8 3 3 36 23 +13 27
8 Sunderland 15 9 0 6 25 18 +7 27
9 Coventry 15 6 8 1 22 13 +9 26
10 Preston 15 8 2 5 23 26 -3 26
11 Hull 15 7 4 4 23 15 +8 25
12 Birmingham 14 5 6 3 20 17 +3 21
13 Bristol City 15 6 3 6 18 17 +1 21
14 Middlesbrough 15 6 3 6 16 16 0 21
15 Watford 15 5 5 5 25 19 +6 20
16 Cardiff 14 6 2 6 18 18 0 20
17 Sheffield Weds 16 5 4 7 17 20 -3 19
18 Huddersfield 15 4 6 5 19 21 -2 18
19 Swansea 15 4 5 6 17 19 -2 17
20 Blackburn 15 5 2 8 20 26 -6 17
21 Millwall 15 4 4 7 14 21 -7 16
22 Stoke 15 4 4 7 11 20 -9 16
23 Rotherham 15 3 6 6 16 20 -4 15
24 QPR 15 3 4 8 15 22 -7 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 15 11 2 2 33 14 +19 35
2 Southampton 15 8 5 2 21 17 +4 29
3 Ipswich 15 7 5 3 18 17 +1 26
4 Leeds 15 7 2 6 20 15 +5 23
5 Watford 15 5 6 4 20 20 0 21
6 Middlesbrough 14 6 2 6 27 26 +1 20
7 Hull 14 6 2 6 20 23 -3 20
8 Cardiff 15 6 2 7 18 21 -3 20
9 Coventry 15 5 3 7 24 21 +3 18
10 Sunderland 15 4 5 6 16 15 +1 17
11 Millwall 15 4 5 6 16 17 -1 17
12 Bristol City 15 4 5 6 15 17 -2 17
13 West Brom 15 4 4 7 18 18 0 16
14 Stoke 15 4 4 7 17 22 -5 16
15 Blackburn 14 5 1 8 22 29 -7 16
16 Swansea 15 4 4 7 22 29 -7 16
17 Preston 15 4 4 7 15 23 -8 16
18 Norwich 15 4 3 8 25 30 -5 15
19 QPR 15 4 3 8 12 19 -7 15
20 Huddersfield 15 2 7 6 14 26 -12 13
21 Birmingham 16 3 2 11 14 30 -16 11
22 Plymouth 15 1 6 8 12 24 -12 9
23 Sheffield Weds 15 2 1 12 7 30 -23 7
24 Rotherham 14 0 4 10 9 34 -25 4

Leeds   Rotherham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Blackburn 29 6 23 1.4 1.9 10 3 16 42 55 33
2 15 Plymouth 29 9 20 1.7 1.6 9 9 11 48 47 36
3 17 Swansea 30 11 19 1.3 1.6 8 9 13 39 48 33
4 4 Ipswich 30 12 18 1.8 1.3 17 9 4 55 40 60
5 9 Norwich 30 12 18 1.6 1.5 13 5 12 48 45 44
6 10 Preston 30 12 18 1.3 1.6 12 6 12 38 49 42
7 1 Leicester 30 13 17 2.1 0.8 23 3 4 64 23 72
8 2 Southampton 29 12 17 1.9 1.1 18 7 4 55 32 61
9 6 Hull 29 12 17 1.5 1.3 13 6 10 43 38 45
10 3 Leeds 30 14 16 1.7 0.9 18 6 6 52 26 60
11 8 Sunderland 30 14 16 1.4 1.1 13 5 12 41 33 44
12 12 Middlesbrough 29 13 16 1.5 1.4 12 5 12 43 42 41
13 23 Sheffield Weds 31 15 16 0.8 1.6 7 5 19 24 50 26
14 7 Coventry 30 15 15 1.5 1.1 11 11 8 46 34 44
15 11 Watford 30 15 15 1.5 1.3 10 11 9 45 39 41
16 13 Cardiff 29 14 15 1.2 1.3 12 4 13 36 39 40
17 19 Birmingham 30 15 15 1.1 1.6 8 8 14 34 47 32
18 21 Huddersfield 30 16 14 1.1 1.6 6 13 11 33 47 31
19 24 Rotherham 29 15 14 0.9 1.9 3 10 16 25 54 19
20 5 West Brom 30 17 13 1.4 1.0 14 7 9 43 29 49
21 22 QPR 30 17 13 0.9 1.4 7 7 16 27 41 28
22 16 Millwall 30 18 12 1.0 1.3 8 9 13 30 38 33
23 20 Stoke 30 18 12 0.9 1.4 8 8 14 28 42 32
24 14 Bristol City 30 19 11 1.1 1.1 10 8 12 33 34 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Ipswich 15 3 12 2.5 1.5 10 4 1 37 23 34
2 15 Plymouth 14 2 12 2.6 1.6 8 3 3 36 23 27
3 10 Preston 15 4 11 1.5 1.7 8 2 5 23 26 26
4 18 Blackburn 15 4 11 1.3 1.7 5 2 8 20 26 17
5 2 Southampton 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 10 2 2 34 15 32
6 3 Leeds 15 5 10 2.1 0.7 11 4 0 32 11 37
7 8 Sunderland 15 5 10 1.7 1.2 9 0 6 25 18 27
8 1 Leicester 15 7 8 2.1 0.6 12 1 2 31 9 37
9 11 Watford 15 7 8 1.7 1.3 5 5 5 25 19 20
10 17 Swansea 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 4 5 6 17 19 17
11 19 Birmingham 14 6 8 1.4 1.2 5 6 3 20 17 21
12 21 Huddersfield 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 4 6 5 19 21 18
13 23 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 1.1 1.2 5 4 7 17 20 19
14 6 Hull 15 8 7 1.5 1.0 7 4 4 23 15 25
15 9 Norwich 15 8 7 1.5 1.0 9 2 4 23 15 29
16 16 Millwall 15 8 7 0.9 1.4 4 4 7 14 21 16
17 22 QPR 15 8 7 1.0 1.5 3 4 8 15 22 13
18 5 West Brom 15 9 6 1.7 0.7 10 3 2 25 11 33
19 13 Cardiff 14 8 6 1.3 1.3 6 2 6 18 18 20
20 20 Stoke 15 9 6 0.7 1.3 4 4 7 11 20 16
21 24 Rotherham 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 3 6 6 16 20 15
22 7 Coventry 15 10 5 1.5 0.9 6 8 1 22 13 26
23 14 Bristol City 15 10 5 1.2 1.1 6 3 6 18 17 21
24 12 Middlesbrough 15 11 4 1.1 1.1 6 3 6 16 16 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Middlesbrough 14 2 12 1.9 1.9 6 2 6 27 26 20
2 18 Blackburn 14 2 12 1.6 2.1 5 1 8 22 29 16
3 9 Norwich 15 4 11 1.7 2.0 4 3 8 25 30 15
4 17 Swansea 15 4 11 1.5 1.9 4 4 7 22 29 16
5 6 Hull 14 4 10 1.4 1.6 6 2 6 20 23 20
6 7 Coventry 15 5 10 1.6 1.4 5 3 7 24 21 18
7 1 Leicester 15 6 9 2.2 0.9 11 2 2 33 14 35
8 13 Cardiff 15 6 9 1.2 1.4 6 2 7 18 21 20
9 15 Plymouth 15 7 8 0.8 1.6 1 6 8 12 24 9
10 23 Sheffield Weds 15 7 8 0.5 2.0 2 1 12 7 30 7
11 24 Rotherham 14 6 8 0.6 2.4 0 4 10 9 34 4
12 2 Southampton 15 8 7 1.4 1.1 8 5 2 21 17 29
13 5 West Brom 15 8 7 1.2 1.2 4 4 7 18 18 16
14 10 Preston 15 8 7 1.0 1.5 4 4 7 15 23 16
15 11 Watford 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 6 4 20 20 21
16 19 Birmingham 16 9 7 0.9 1.9 3 2 11 14 30 11
17 3 Leeds 15 9 6 1.3 1.0 7 2 6 20 15 23
18 4 Ipswich 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 7 5 3 18 17 26
19 8 Sunderland 15 9 6 1.1 1.0 4 5 6 16 15 17
20 14 Bristol City 15 9 6 1.0 1.1 4 5 6 15 17 17
21 20 Stoke 15 9 6 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 17 22 16
22 21 Huddersfield 15 9 6 0.9 1.7 2 7 6 14 26 13
23 22 QPR 15 9 6 0.8 1.3 4 3 8 12 19 15
24 16 Millwall 15 10 5 1.1 1.1 4 5 6 16 17 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51