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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: R Madley

Middlesbrough 3–1 Norwich

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.56
Draw 3.50 fair 4.21
Away 3.00 fair 2.69
Under 2.5 2.08 fair 2.53
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Norwich
15 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 2
8 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (426 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.38scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 47:51
Norwich before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.71scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 60:51
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Norwich

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.71
1.50 Goals conceded 1.46
2.88 Total goals 3.17
13.82 Shots 13.69
5.00 Shots on target 4.34
11.76 Shots faced 14.49
6.26 Corners 5.20
4.97 Corners against 5.09
11.12 Fouls 10.14
1.68 Yellow cards 2.09
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.74
0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

38% Wins 46%
15% Draws 20%
47% Losses 34%
100% Over 0.5 goals 97%
85% Over 1.5 goals 80%
56% Over 2.5 goals 60%
26% Over 3.5 goals 40%
15% Over 4.5 goals 20%
6% Over 5.5 goals 9%
59% Both teams scored 66%
18% Clean sheets 23%
24% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 34%
41% Draws 37%
41% Losses 29%
68% Over 0.5 goals 77%
38% Over 1.5 goals 43%
15% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Norwich all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.24points / match
1.00scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 17:20
Norwich before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.65scored / match
1.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 28:33
Middlesbrough at home away Norwich

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.65
1.18 Goals conceded 1.94
2.18 Total goals 3.59
13.76 Shots 11.00
5.12 Shots on target 4.00
11.29 Shots faced 17.00
7.12 Corners 4.41
4.71 Corners against 6.12
11.59 Fouls 10.06
1.53 Yellow cards 2.18
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 1.18

How often Full Time

35% Wins 24%
18% Draws 29%
47% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
76% Over 1.5 goals 82%
29% Over 2.5 goals 71%
12% Over 3.5 goals 47%
0% Over 4.5 goals 24%
0% Over 5.5 goals 12%
41% Both teams scored 76%
29% Clean sheets 6%
29% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 29%
53% Draws 24%
29% Losses 47%
59% Over 0.5 goals 94%
35% Over 1.5 goals 53%
6% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Norwich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
24.02.24 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.507.00 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
14.02.24 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.50 1.95 1.90
04.02.24 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.85 2.00
20.01.24 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 1–1 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.62 2.25
13.01.24 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75
01.01.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 1–3 (1–1) 1.953.753.60 1.75 2.05
29.12.23 Huddersfield – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.95 1.90

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Norwich – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 1.83 2.03
24.02.24 Blackburn – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25
17.02.24 Norwich – Cardiff 4–1 (2–1) 1.803.604.50 1.88 1.98
13.02.24 Norwich – Watford 4–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.40 1.93 1.93
10.02.24 QPR – Norwich 2–2 (1–0) 2.633.502.60 2.00 1.85
03.02.24 Norwich – Coventry 2–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.88 1.70 2.10
24.01.24 Leeds – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.207.00 1.57 2.35
20.01.24 Norwich – West Brom 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.402.55 1.98 1.88
12.01.24 Hull – Norwich 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.603.10 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Norwich – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.70 2.10

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.507.00 1.53 2.40
10.02.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.50 1.95 1.90
04.02.24 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.85 2.00
20.01.24 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 1–1 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.62 2.25
01.01.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 1–3 (1–1) 1.953.753.60 1.75 2.05
23.12.23 Middlesbrough – West Brom 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.253.30 2.05 1.75
13.12.23 Middlesbrough – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.804.00 1.85 2.00
09.12.23 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.702.90 1.67 2.15
28.11.23 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.673.605.50 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.70 2.10

Norwich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Blackburn – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25
10.02.24 QPR – Norwich 2–2 (1–0) 2.633.502.60 2.00 1.85
24.01.24 Leeds – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.207.00 1.57 2.35
12.01.24 Hull – Norwich 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.603.10 1.75 2.05
29.12.23 Millwall – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.502.80 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 West Brom – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.00 1.80 2.00
16.12.23 Ipswich – Norwich 2–2 (1–1) 1.604.006.00 1.53 2.40
03.12.23 Bristol City – Norwich 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.83 2.03
28.11.23 Watford – Norwich 3–2 (2–2) 2.153.503.30 1.88 1.98
11.11.23 Cardiff – Norwich 2–3 (2–1) 2.003.503.60 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsNorwich wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.23E1 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15
14.04.23E1 Middlesbrough – Norwich 5–1 (4–1) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
12.11.22E1 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 36 26 3 7 72 31 +41 81
2 Ipswich 36 23 9 4 73 47 +26 78
3 Leeds 36 23 7 6 66 28 +38 76
4 Southampton 35 21 7 7 69 45 +24 70
5 West Brom 35 17 8 10 51 33 +18 59
6 Hull 36 16 9 11 51 44 +7 57
7 Norwich 35 16 7 12 60 51 +9 55
8 Coventry 36 14 12 10 57 42 +15 54
9 Preston 35 15 8 12 47 52 -5 53
10 Sunderland 36 14 5 17 46 41 +5 47
11 Cardiff 35 14 5 16 40 48 -8 47
12 Watford 35 11 11 13 50 48 +2 44
13 Bristol City 36 12 8 16 41 43 -2 44
14 Middlesbrough 34 13 5 16 47 51 -4 44
15 Swansea 35 11 9 15 45 56 -11 42
16 Plymouth 36 10 10 16 53 60 -7 40
17 Blackburn 36 11 7 18 50 63 -13 40
18 Millwall 36 10 10 16 35 48 -13 40
19 Birmingham 35 10 9 16 42 56 -14 39
20 QPR 35 10 8 17 34 46 -12 38
21 Huddersfield 35 8 14 13 41 56 -15 38
22 Stoke 36 10 8 18 33 49 -16 38
23 Sheffield Weds 36 11 5 20 30 53 -23 38
24 Rotherham 36 3 10 23 30 72 -42 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 18 14 4 0 39 12 +27 46
2 Ipswich 18 13 4 1 47 29 +18 43
3 Leicester 18 13 1 4 35 13 +22 40
4 West Brom 18 12 3 3 29 14 +15 39
5 Norwich 18 12 2 4 32 18 +14 38
6 Southampton 17 11 2 4 41 22 +19 35
7 Coventry 18 8 8 2 29 17 +12 32
8 Preston 18 9 4 5 27 29 -2 31
9 Sunderland 18 10 0 8 29 22 +7 30
10 Plymouth 18 8 4 6 38 32 +6 28
11 Hull 18 7 6 5 25 18 +7 27
12 Birmingham 17 7 6 4 26 22 +4 27
13 Sheffield Weds 18 7 4 7 20 21 -1 25
14 Bristol City 18 7 3 8 21 20 +1 24
15 Cardiff 17 7 3 7 20 21 -1 24
16 Huddersfield 18 5 7 6 22 24 -2 22
17 Blackburn 18 6 4 8 25 29 -4 22
18 Stoke 18 6 4 8 14 21 -7 22
19 Middlesbrough 17 6 3 8 17 20 -3 21
20 Watford 17 5 5 7 27 23 +4 20
21 Swansea 18 5 5 8 20 26 -6 20
22 Millwall 18 5 4 9 15 27 -12 19
23 QPR 17 4 5 8 19 25 -6 17
24 Rotherham 18 3 6 9 17 24 -7 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 18 13 2 3 37 18 +19 41
2 Ipswich 18 10 5 3 26 18 +8 35
3 Southampton 18 10 5 3 28 23 +5 35
4 Leeds 18 9 3 6 27 16 +11 30
5 Hull 18 9 3 6 26 26 0 30
6 Watford 18 6 6 6 23 25 -2 24
7 Middlesbrough 17 7 2 8 30 31 -1 23
8 Cardiff 18 7 2 9 20 27 -7 23
9 Coventry 18 6 4 8 28 25 +3 22
10 Preston 17 6 4 7 20 23 -3 22
11 Swansea 17 6 4 7 25 30 -5 22
12 Millwall 18 5 6 7 20 21 -1 21
13 QPR 18 6 3 9 15 21 -6 21
14 West Brom 17 5 5 7 22 19 +3 20
15 Bristol City 18 5 5 8 20 23 -3 20
16 Blackburn 18 5 3 10 25 34 -9 18
17 Sunderland 18 4 5 9 17 19 -2 17
18 Norwich 17 4 5 8 28 33 -5 17
19 Stoke 18 4 4 10 19 28 -9 16
20 Huddersfield 17 3 7 7 19 32 -13 16
21 Sheffield Weds 18 4 1 13 10 32 -22 13
22 Plymouth 18 2 6 10 15 28 -13 12
23 Birmingham 18 3 3 12 16 34 -18 12
24 Rotherham 18 0 4 14 13 48 -35 4

Middlesbrough   Norwich

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Blackburn 36 10 26 1.4 1.8 11 7 18 50 63 40
2 2 Ipswich 36 13 23 2.0 1.3 23 9 4 73 47 78
3 15 Swansea 35 12 23 1.3 1.6 11 9 15 45 56 42
4 16 Plymouth 36 13 23 1.5 1.7 10 10 16 53 60 40
5 4 Southampton 35 13 22 2.0 1.3 21 7 7 69 45 70
6 1 Leicester 36 15 21 2.0 0.9 26 3 7 72 31 81
7 7 Norwich 35 14 21 1.7 1.5 16 7 12 60 51 55
8 9 Preston 35 14 21 1.3 1.5 15 8 12 47 52 53
9 6 Hull 36 16 20 1.4 1.2 16 9 11 51 44 57
10 8 Coventry 36 16 20 1.6 1.2 14 12 10 57 42 54
11 3 Leeds 36 17 19 1.8 0.8 23 7 6 66 28 76
12 10 Sunderland 36 17 19 1.3 1.1 14 5 17 46 41 47
13 14 Middlesbrough 34 15 19 1.4 1.5 13 5 16 47 51 44
14 24 Rotherham 36 17 19 0.8 2.0 3 10 23 30 72 19
15 12 Watford 35 17 18 1.4 1.4 11 11 13 50 48 44
16 19 Birmingham 35 17 18 1.2 1.6 10 9 16 42 56 39
17 11 Cardiff 35 18 17 1.1 1.4 14 5 16 40 48 47
18 21 Huddersfield 35 18 17 1.2 1.6 8 14 13 41 56 38
19 23 Sheffield Weds 36 19 17 0.8 1.5 11 5 20 30 53 38
20 20 QPR 35 19 16 1.0 1.3 10 8 17 34 46 38
21 5 West Brom 35 20 15 1.5 0.9 17 8 10 51 33 59
22 13 Bristol City 36 21 15 1.1 1.2 12 8 16 41 43 44
23 18 Millwall 36 21 15 1.0 1.3 10 10 16 35 48 40
24 22 Stoke 36 22 14 0.9 1.4 10 8 18 33 49 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 18 3 15 2.6 1.6 13 4 1 47 29 43
2 16 Plymouth 18 4 14 2.1 1.8 8 4 6 38 32 28
3 4 Southampton 17 4 13 2.4 1.3 11 2 4 41 22 35
4 9 Preston 18 5 13 1.5 1.6 9 4 5 27 29 31
5 3 Leeds 18 6 12 2.2 0.7 14 4 0 39 12 46
6 10 Sunderland 18 6 12 1.6 1.2 10 0 8 29 22 30
7 17 Blackburn 18 6 12 1.4 1.6 6 4 8 25 29 22
8 15 Swansea 18 7 11 1.1 1.4 5 5 8 20 26 20
9 1 Leicester 18 8 10 1.9 0.7 13 1 4 35 13 40
10 12 Watford 17 7 10 1.6 1.4 5 5 7 27 23 20
11 19 Birmingham 17 7 10 1.5 1.3 7 6 4 26 22 27
12 7 Norwich 18 9 9 1.8 1.0 12 2 4 32 18 38
13 20 QPR 17 8 9 1.1 1.5 4 5 8 19 25 17
14 21 Huddersfield 18 9 9 1.2 1.3 5 7 6 22 24 22
15 23 Sheffield Weds 18 9 9 1.1 1.2 7 4 7 20 21 25
16 8 Coventry 18 10 8 1.6 0.9 8 8 2 29 17 32
17 18 Millwall 18 10 8 0.8 1.5 5 4 9 15 27 19
18 5 West Brom 18 11 7 1.6 0.8 12 3 3 29 14 39
19 6 Hull 18 11 7 1.4 1.0 7 6 5 25 18 27
20 11 Cardiff 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 7 3 7 20 21 24
21 24 Rotherham 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 3 6 9 17 24 15
22 13 Bristol City 18 12 6 1.2 1.1 7 3 8 21 20 24
23 22 Stoke 18 12 6 0.8 1.2 6 4 8 14 21 22
24 14 Middlesbrough 17 12 5 1.0 1.2 6 3 8 17 20 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Middlesbrough 17 3 14 1.8 1.8 7 2 8 30 31 23
2 17 Blackburn 18 4 14 1.4 1.9 5 3 10 25 34 18
3 6 Hull 18 5 13 1.4 1.4 9 3 6 26 26 30
4 7 Norwich 17 5 12 1.6 1.9 4 5 8 28 33 17
5 8 Coventry 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 6 4 8 28 25 22
6 15 Swansea 17 5 12 1.5 1.8 6 4 7 25 30 22
7 24 Rotherham 18 6 12 0.7 2.7 0 4 14 13 48 4
8 1 Leicester 18 7 11 2.1 1.0 13 2 3 37 18 41
9 11 Cardiff 18 8 10 1.1 1.5 7 2 9 20 27 23
10 4 Southampton 18 9 9 1.6 1.3 10 5 3 28 23 35
11 13 Bristol City 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 5 5 8 20 23 20
12 16 Plymouth 18 9 9 0.8 1.6 2 6 10 15 28 12
13 2 Ipswich 18 10 8 1.4 1.0 10 5 3 26 18 35
14 5 West Brom 17 9 8 1.3 1.1 5 5 7 22 19 20
15 9 Preston 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 20 23 22
16 12 Watford 18 10 8 1.3 1.4 6 6 6 23 25 24
17 19 Birmingham 18 10 8 0.9 1.9 3 3 12 16 34 12
18 21 Huddersfield 17 9 8 1.1 1.9 3 7 7 19 32 16
19 22 Stoke 18 10 8 1.1 1.6 4 4 10 19 28 16
20 23 Sheffield Weds 18 10 8 0.6 1.8 4 1 13 10 32 13
21 3 Leeds 18 11 7 1.5 0.9 9 3 6 27 16 30
22 10 Sunderland 18 11 7 0.9 1.1 4 5 9 17 19 17
23 18 Millwall 18 11 7 1.1 1.2 5 6 7 20 21 21
24 20 QPR 18 11 7 0.8 1.2 6 3 9 15 21 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51