Norwich 4–2 Watford – England Championship, 13 Feb 2024

Match facts

Norwich Watford

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 4

13 Fouls 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (367 league matches this season so far).

Result Norwich to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.68

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.35

Home / Draw / Away

44% 24% 32%

NorwichDrawWatford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

43% 57%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

41% 59%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

15% 1

23% 2

22% 3

17% 4

18% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Norwich before this match, all matches

1.45points / match

1.61scored / match

1.52conceded / match

13 6 12

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 50:47

Watford before this match, all matches

1.32points / match

1.48scored / match

1.32conceded / match

10 11 10

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 46:41

Norwich all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.61 Goals scored 1.48

1.52 Goals conceded 1.32

3.13 Total goals 2.81

13.52 Shots 13.68

4.23 Shots on target 4.35

15.00 Shots faced 12.39

5.13 Corners 5.48

5.35 Corners against 4.74

10.19 Fouls 12.48

2.13 Yellow cards 2.35

0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.65

0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

42% Wins 32%

19% Draws 35%

39% Losses 32%

97% Over 0.5 goals 90%

81% Over 1.5 goals 74%

61% Over 2.5 goals 52%

39% Over 3.5 goals 32%

16% Over 4.5 goals 23%

6% Over 5.5 goals 10%

65% Both teams scored 55%

23% Clean sheets 26%

16% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 6%

39% Draws 68%

32% Losses 26%

77% Over 0.5 goals 61%

42% Over 1.5 goals 45%

16% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich all matches

2

D

2

W

1

L

1

L

1

D

2

1

W

2

W

1

L

2

1

W

2

D

Watford all matches

5

1

W

2

1

W

1

4

L

1

D

3

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

Norwich before this match, at home

1.93points / match

1.53scored / match

1.00conceded / match

9 2 4

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:15

Watford before this match, away

1.40points / match

1.33scored / match

1.33conceded / match

5 6 4

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:20

Norwich at home away Watford

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.33

1.00 Goals conceded 1.33

2.53 Total goals 2.67

15.93 Shots 11.40

4.40 Shots on target 3.40

12.40 Shots faced 15.67

6.00 Corners 3.67

4.53 Corners against 6.53

10.07 Fouls 13.40

2.07 Yellow cards 2.73

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.40

0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

60% Wins 33%

13% Draws 40%

27% Losses 27%

93% Over 0.5 goals 87%

80% Over 1.5 goals 73%

47% Over 2.5 goals 47%

27% Over 3.5 goals 20%

7% Over 4.5 goals 20%

0% Over 5.5 goals 20%

53% Both teams scored 53%

40% Clean sheets 20%

13% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%

53% Draws 73%

13% Losses 27%

60% Over 0.5 goals 53%

27% Over 1.5 goals 33%

0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich at home

2

3

L

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

W

D

3

1

W

2

W

1

D

2

W

2

1

W

Watford away

1

W

D

2

L

2

1

W

5

1

W

2

1

W

3

D

2

1

W

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Norwich all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.24	QPR – Norwich	2–2 (1–0)	2.63	3.50	2.60	2.00	1.85
03.02.24	Norwich – Coventry	2–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	1.70	2.10
24.01.24	Leeds – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	1.44	4.20	7.00	1.57	2.35
20.01.24	Norwich – West Brom	2–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.40	2.55	1.98	1.88
12.01.24	Hull – Norwich	1–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.60	3.10	1.75	2.05
01.01.24	Norwich – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.70	2.10
29.12.23	Millwall – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.50	2.80	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	West Brom – Norwich	1–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.80	4.00	1.80	2.00
23.12.23	Norwich – Huddersfield	2–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.73	2.08
16.12.23	Ipswich – Norwich	2–2 (1–1)	1.60	4.00	6.00	1.53	2.40

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.24	Watford – Leicester	1–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.00	1.70	1.75	2.05
03.02.24	Watford – Cardiff	0–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.03	1.83
31.01.24	Sheffield Weds – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	2.00	1.85
20.01.24	Bristol City – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	2.08	1.73
14.01.24	QPR – Watford	1–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	Plymouth – Watford	3–3 (3–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.67	2.15
29.12.23	Watford – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Watford – Bristol City	1–4 (0–2)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.70
23.12.23	Blackburn – Watford	1–2 (1–0)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.73	2.08
16.12.23	Preston – Watford	1–5 (1–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.25	1.62

Norwich at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.24	Norwich – Coventry	2–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	1.70	2.10
20.01.24	Norwich – West Brom	2–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.40	2.55	1.98	1.88
01.01.24	Norwich – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.70	2.10
23.12.23	Norwich – Huddersfield	2–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.73	2.08
13.12.23	Norwich – Sheffield Weds	3–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.98	1.88
09.12.23	Norwich – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.90	1.95
25.11.23	Norwich – QPR	1–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.80	4.50	1.75	2.05
05.11.23	Norwich – Blackburn	1–3 (0–2)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.53	2.40
24.10.23	Norwich – Middlesbrough	1–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.60	2.45	1.67	2.15
21.10.23	Norwich – Leeds	2–3 (2–0)	3.00	3.50	2.25	1.70	2.10

Watford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.01.24	Sheffield Weds – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	2.00	1.85
20.01.24	Bristol City – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	2.08	1.73
14.01.24	QPR – Watford	1–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	Plymouth – Watford	3–3 (3–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.67	2.15
23.12.23	Blackburn – Watford	1–2 (1–0)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.73	2.08
16.12.23	Preston – Watford	1–5 (1–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.25	1.62
02.12.23	Hull – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.10	3.60	3.30	2.08	1.73
25.11.23	Leicester – Watford	2–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.20	5.50	1.93	1.93
04.11.23	Huddersfield – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.08	1.73
24.10.23	Swansea – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.10	2.05	1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 4

Norwich winsDrawsWatford wins

5matches

3.20goals / match

80%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.11.23E1	Watford – Norwich	3–2 (2–2)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.88	1.98
02.01.23E1	Norwich – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	3.80	1.98	1.88
15.10.22E1	Watford – Norwich	2–1 (2–1)	2.75	3.30	2.55	2.00	1.85
21.01.22E0	Watford – Norwich	0–3 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	1.94	1.96
18.09.21E0	Norwich – Watford	1–3 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	31	24	3	4	66	24	+42	75
2	Southampton	30	19	7	4	60	35	+25	64
3	Leeds	31	19	6	6	55	26	+29	63
4	Ipswich	30	17	9	4	55	40	+15	60
5	West Brom	30	14	7	9	43	29	+14	49
6	Coventry	31	12	11	8	48	35	+13	47
7	Sunderland	31	14	5	12	44	34	+10	47
8	Hull	30	13	6	11	43	39	+4	45
9	Norwich	31	13	6	12	50	47	+3	45
10	Preston	31	13	6	12	40	49	-9	45
11	Watford	31	10	11	10	46	41	+5	41
12	Middlesbrough	30	12	5	13	44	44	0	41
13	Bristol City	31	11	8	12	35	35	0	41
14	Cardiff	30	12	4	14	36	41	-5	40
15	Plymouth	30	9	9	12	49	50	-1	36
16	Swansea	31	9	9	13	40	48	-8	36
17	Blackburn	30	11	3	16	45	56	-11	36
18	Millwall	31	8	9	14	31	40	-9	33
19	Birmingham	30	8	8	14	34	47	-13	32
20	Stoke	31	8	8	15	29	45	-16	32
21	Huddersfield	31	6	13	12	36	52	-16	31
22	QPR	31	7	8	16	29	43	-14	29
23	Sheffield Weds	31	7	5	19	24	50	-26	26
24	Rotherham	30	3	10	17	25	57	-32	19

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	16	12	4	0	35	11	+24	40
2	Leicester	15	12	1	2	31	9	+22	37
3	Southampton	15	11	2	2	39	18	+21	35
4	Ipswich	15	10	4	1	37	23	+14	34
5	West Brom	15	10	3	2	25	11	+14	33
6	Sunderland	16	10	0	6	28	19	+9	30
7	Coventry	16	7	8	1	24	14	+10	29
8	Norwich	15	9	2	4	23	15	+8	29
9	Plymouth	14	8	3	3	36	23	+13	27
10	Preston	15	8	2	5	23	26	-3	26
11	Hull	16	7	4	5	23	16	+7	25
12	Birmingham	14	5	6	3	20	17	+3	21
13	Bristol City	15	6	3	6	18	17	+1	21
14	Middlesbrough	16	6	3	7	17	18	-1	21
15	Watford	16	5	5	6	26	21	+5	20
16	Cardiff	15	6	2	7	18	20	-2	20
17	Blackburn	16	6	2	8	23	27	-4	20
18	Sheffield Weds	16	5	4	7	17	20	-3	19
19	Huddersfield	15	4	6	5	19	21	-2	18
20	Swansea	15	4	5	6	17	19	-2	17
21	Millwall	15	4	4	7	14	21	-7	16
22	Stoke	15	4	4	7	11	20	-9	16
23	Rotherham	15	3	6	6	16	20	-4	15
24	QPR	16	3	5	8	17	24	-7	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	16	12	2	2	35	15	+20	38
2	Southampton	15	8	5	2	21	17	+4	29
3	Ipswich	15	7	5	3	18	17	+1	26
4	Leeds	15	7	2	6	20	15	+5	23
5	Watford	15	5	6	4	20	20	0	21
6	Middlesbrough	14	6	2	6	27	26	+1	20
7	Bristol City	16	5	5	6	17	18	-1	20
8	Hull	14	6	2	6	20	23	-3	20
9	Cardiff	15	6	2	7	18	21	-3	20
10	Swansea	16	5	4	7	23	29	-6	19
11	Preston	16	5	4	7	17	23	-6	19
12	Coventry	15	5	3	7	24	21	+3	18
13	Sunderland	15	4	5	6	16	15	+1	17
14	Millwall	16	4	5	7	17	19	-2	17
15	West Brom	15	4	4	7	18	18	0	16
16	Norwich	16	4	4	8	27	32	-5	16
17	Blackburn	14	5	1	8	22	29	-7	16
18	Stoke	16	4	4	8	18	25	-7	16
19	QPR	15	4	3	8	12	19	-7	15
20	Huddersfield	16	2	7	7	17	31	-14	13
21	Birmingham	16	3	2	11	14	30	-16	11
22	Plymouth	16	1	6	9	13	27	-14	9
23	Sheffield Weds	15	2	1	12	7	30	-23	7
24	Rotherham	15	0	4	11	9	37	-28	4

Norwich Watford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Blackburn	30	6	24	1.5	1.9	11	3	16	45	56	36
2	15	Plymouth	30	9	21	1.6	1.7	9	9	12	49	50	36
3	9	Norwich	31	12	19	1.6	1.5	13	6	12	50	47	45
4	16	Swansea	31	12	19	1.3	1.5	9	9	13	40	48	36
5	1	Leicester	31	13	18	2.1	0.8	24	3	4	66	24	75
6	2	Southampton	30	12	18	2.0	1.2	19	7	4	60	35	64
7	4	Ipswich	30	12	18	1.8	1.3	17	9	4	55	40	60
8	10	Preston	31	13	18	1.3	1.6	13	6	12	40	49	45
9	3	Leeds	31	14	17	1.8	0.8	19	6	6	55	26	63
10	7	Sunderland	31	14	17	1.4	1.1	14	5	12	44	34	47
11	8	Hull	30	13	17	1.4	1.3	13	6	11	43	39	45
12	12	Middlesbrough	30	13	17	1.5	1.5	12	5	13	44	44	41
13	6	Coventry	31	15	16	1.5	1.1	12	11	8	48	35	47
14	11	Watford	31	15	16	1.5	1.3	10	11	10	46	41	41
15	23	Sheffield Weds	31	15	16	0.8	1.6	7	5	19	24	50	26
16	14	Cardiff	30	15	15	1.2	1.4	12	4	14	36	41	40
17	19	Birmingham	30	15	15	1.1	1.6	8	8	14	34	47	32
18	21	Huddersfield	31	16	15	1.2	1.7	6	13	12	36	52	31
19	24	Rotherham	30	15	15	0.8	1.9	3	10	17	25	57	19
20	22	QPR	31	17	14	0.9	1.4	7	8	16	29	43	29
21	5	West Brom	30	17	13	1.4	1.0	14	7	9	43	29	49
22	18	Millwall	31	18	13	1.0	1.3	8	9	14	31	40	33
23	20	Stoke	31	18	13	0.9	1.5	8	8	15	29	45	32
24	13	Bristol City	31	19	12	1.1	1.1	11	8	12	35	35	41

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Ipswich	15	3	12	2.5	1.5	10	4	1	37	23	34
2	15	Plymouth	14	2	12	2.6	1.6	8	3	3	36	23	27
3	17	Blackburn	16	4	12	1.4	1.7	6	2	8	23	27	20
4	2	Southampton	15	4	11	2.6	1.2	11	2	2	39	18	35
5	3	Leeds	16	5	11	2.2	0.7	12	4	0	35	11	40
6	7	Sunderland	16	5	11	1.8	1.2	10	0	6	28	19	30
7	10	Preston	15	4	11	1.5	1.7	8	2	5	23	26	26
8	11	Watford	16	7	9	1.6	1.3	5	5	6	26	21	20
9	1	Leicester	15	7	8	2.1	0.6	12	1	2	31	9	37
10	16	Swansea	15	7	8	1.1	1.3	4	5	6	17	19	17
11	19	Birmingham	14	6	8	1.4	1.2	5	6	3	20	17	21
12	21	Huddersfield	15	7	8	1.3	1.4	4	6	5	19	21	18
13	22	QPR	16	8	8	1.1	1.5	3	5	8	17	24	14
14	23	Sheffield Weds	16	8	8	1.1	1.2	5	4	7	17	20	19
15	8	Hull	16	9	7	1.4	1.0	7	4	5	23	16	25
16	9	Norwich	15	8	7	1.5	1.0	9	2	4	23	15	29
17	18	Millwall	15	8	7	0.9	1.4	4	4	7	14	21	16
18	5	West Brom	15	9	6	1.7	0.7	10	3	2	25	11	33
19	6	Coventry	16	10	6	1.5	0.9	7	8	1	24	14	29
20	14	Cardiff	15	9	6	1.2	1.3	6	2	7	18	20	20
21	20	Stoke	15	9	6	0.7	1.3	4	4	7	11	20	16
22	24	Rotherham	15	9	6	1.1	1.3	3	6	6	16	20	15
23	12	Middlesbrough	16	11	5	1.1	1.1	6	3	7	17	18	21
24	13	Bristol City	15	10	5	1.2	1.1	6	3	6	18	17	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Norwich	16	4	12	1.7	2.0	4	4	8	27	32	16
2	12	Middlesbrough	14	2	12	1.9	1.9	6	2	6	27	26	20
3	17	Blackburn	14	2	12	1.6	2.1	5	1	8	22	29	16
4	16	Swansea	16	5	11	1.4	1.8	5	4	7	23	29	19
5	1	Leicester	16	6	10	2.2	0.9	12	2	2	35	15	38
6	6	Coventry	15	5	10	1.6	1.4	5	3	7	24	21	18
7	8	Hull	14	4	10	1.4	1.6	6	2	6	20	23	20
8	14	Cardiff	15	6	9	1.2	1.4	6	2	7	18	21	20
9	15	Plymouth	16	7	9	0.8	1.7	1	6	9	13	27	9
10	24	Rotherham	15	6	9	0.6	2.5	0	4	11	9	37	4
11	23	Sheffield Weds	15	7	8	0.5	2.0	2	1	12	7	30	7
12	2	Southampton	15	8	7	1.4	1.1	8	5	2	21	17	29
13	5	West Brom	15	8	7	1.2	1.2	4	4	7	18	18	16
14	10	Preston	16	9	7	1.1	1.4	5	4	7	17	23	19
15	11	Watford	15	8	7	1.3	1.3	5	6	4	20	20	21
16	13	Bristol City	16	9	7	1.1	1.1	5	5	6	17	18	20
17	19	Birmingham	16	9	7	0.9	1.9	3	2	11	14	30	11
18	20	Stoke	16	9	7	1.1	1.6	4	4	8	18	25	16
19	21	Huddersfield	16	9	7	1.1	1.9	2	7	7	17	31	13
20	3	Leeds	15	9	6	1.3	1.0	7	2	6	20	15	23
21	4	Ipswich	15	9	6	1.2	1.1	7	5	3	18	17	26
22	7	Sunderland	15	9	6	1.1	1.0	4	5	6	16	15	17
23	18	Millwall	16	10	6	1.1	1.2	4	5	7	17	19	17
24	22	QPR	15	9	6	0.8	1.3	4	3	8	12	19	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.