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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Swansea 1–0 Watford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 2.08
Draw 3.40 fair 3.89
Away 3.90 fair 3.80
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 1.83 fair 2.11

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swansea Watford
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 0
6 Corners 8
9 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (160 league matches this season so far).
Result Swansea to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
SwanseaDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 11.6% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Swansea before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
0.77scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 10:9
Watford before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.69scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 22:21
Swansea all matches all matches Watford

Per match

0.77 Goals scored 1.69
0.69 Goals conceded 1.62
1.46 Total goals 3.31
10.85 Shots 12.15
3.15 Shots on target 4.15
11.69 Shots faced 14.69
5.77 Corners 4.54
5.54 Corners against 6.15
9.62 Fouls 12.31
1.85 Yellow cards 2.23
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

31% Wins 54%
31% Draws 8%
38% Losses 38%
85% Over 0.5 goals 100%
38% Over 1.5 goals 85%
23% Over 2.5 goals 77%
0% Over 3.5 goals 23%
0% Over 4.5 goals 23%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
31% Both teams scored 62%
31% Clean sheets 15%
54% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 15%
23% Draws 46%
31% Losses 38%
77% Over 0.5 goals 69%
8% Over 1.5 goals 31%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea all matches
Watford all matches
Swansea before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:3
Watford before this match, away
0.86points / match
1.57scored / match
2.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:17
Swansea at home away Watford

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.57
0.50 Goals conceded 2.43
1.50 Total goals 4.00
12.17 Shots 10.29
4.33 Shots on target 3.86
9.33 Shots faced 17.00
4.83 Corners 4.29
6.00 Corners against 7.14
11.67 Fouls 13.43
1.17 Yellow cards 1.86
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 29%
50% Draws 0%
17% Losses 71%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 86%
17% Over 2.5 goals 86%
0% Over 3.5 goals 43%
0% Over 4.5 goals 43%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
33% Both teams scored 57%
50% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 14%
33% Draws 29%
0% Losses 57%
67% Over 0.5 goals 86%
0% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Oxford – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.88 2.20 1.67
22.10.24 Sheffield Weds – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.40 2.03 1.83
19.10.24 Blackburn – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Swansea – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.98 1.88
02.10.24 Sheffield United – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.50 1.85 2.00
29.09.24 Swansea – Bristol City 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.702.80 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Coventry – Swansea 1–2 (1–2) 1.703.605.00 1.73 2.10
14.09.24 Swansea – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.00 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 West Brom – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 1.98 1.88

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Watford 2–6 (1–1) 1.913.503.90 1.95 1.90
26.10.24 Watford – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.85 2.00
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
02.10.24 Preston – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
28.09.24 Watford – Sunderland 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.602.35 2.00 1.85
21.09.24 Norwich – Watford 4–1 (2–1) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Watford – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.83 2.03
01.09.24 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.33 1.83 2.03

Swansea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.88 2.20 1.67
05.10.24 Swansea – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.98 1.88
29.09.24 Swansea – Bristol City 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.702.80 1.90 1.95
14.09.24 Swansea – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.00 1.88 1.98
25.08.24 Swansea – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.503.90 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Swansea – Preston 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.90 2.10 1.70
04.05.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
13.04.24 Swansea – Rotherham 1–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.50 1.80 2.00
10.04.24 Swansea – Stoke 3–0 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 2.03 1.83
01.04.24 Swansea – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 2.08 1.73

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Watford 2–6 (1–1) 1.913.503.90 1.95 1.90
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
02.10.24 Preston – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
21.09.24 Norwich – Watford 4–1 (2–1) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
01.09.24 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.33 1.83 2.03
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
04.05.24 Middlesbrough – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
13.04.24 Southampton – Watford 3–2 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50
10.04.24 Ipswich – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swansea winsDrawsWatford wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.03.24E1 Watford – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.93 1.93
24.10.23E1 Swansea – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.05 1.75
30.12.22E1 Swansea – Watford 4–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.10 1.73
05.10.22E1 Watford – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.404.20 2.02 1.83

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sheffield United 14 9 3 2 18 7 +11 30 WLLWWW
2 Sunderland 13 9 2 2 23 9 +14 29 WDWWWD
3 Leeds 13 7 5 1 22 8 +14 26 DDWWDW
4 Burnley 13 6 5 2 17 6 +11 23 WDWDDL
5 Watford 13 7 1 5 22 21 +1 22 LWLLWW
6 West Brom 13 5 6 2 14 8 +6 21 LDDDDD
7 Middlesbrough 14 6 3 5 18 16 +2 21 LLWDLW
8 Millwall 13 5 4 4 16 12 +4 19 LDDWWW
9 Blackburn 13 5 4 4 16 14 +2 19 LLWDLL
10 Bristol City 14 4 7 3 18 19 -1 19 DWDDWL
11 Norwich 14 4 6 4 23 20 +3 18 WDDDLL
12 Sheffield Weds 14 5 3 6 17 24 -7 18 WLDWLW
13 Oxford 14 4 5 5 17 17 0 17 DDDLLW
14 Swansea 13 4 4 5 10 9 +1 16 LDLDLW
15 Coventry 13 4 3 6 17 17 0 15 WLLDWW
16 Derby 13 4 3 6 16 17 -1 15 LWDDDL
17 Hull 14 3 6 5 15 18 -3 15 LLDDDL
18 Stoke 13 4 3 6 15 18 -3 15 WDDDLW
19 Cardiff 13 4 3 6 13 19 -6 15 WDWWDW
20 Preston 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14 WDWDDL
21 Luton 13 3 3 7 15 21 -6 12 DLWLLD
22 Plymouth 13 3 3 7 13 25 -12 12 LWLLDL
23 QPR 14 1 7 6 12 23 -11 10 LLDDDL
24 Portsmouth 13 1 6 6 13 26 -13 9 LDWLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leeds 7 5 1 1 15 5 +10 16 WLWWWW
2 Sunderland 6 5 1 0 12 2 +10 16 WWWWDW
3 Blackburn 7 5 1 1 12 5 +7 16 WWWWDL
4 Watford 6 5 1 0 11 4 +7 16 WWDWWW
5 Sheffield United 6 5 1 0 9 2 +7 16 DWWWWW
6 Oxford 8 4 3 1 10 5 +5 15 WDDDLW
7 Derby 6 4 1 1 10 4 +6 13 WWWLWD
8 Millwall 7 4 1 2 11 6 +5 13 WLWDWW
9 Burnley 6 3 3 0 9 2 +7 12 WDWWDD
10 Cardiff 7 4 0 3 10 7 +3 12 LLWWWW
11 Stoke 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11 LLWDDW
12 Plymouth 6 3 2 1 12 9 +3 11 DLWWWD
13 Preston 7 3 2 2 8 7 +1 11 WDWWDL
14 Sheffield Weds 8 3 2 3 12 13 -1 11 DWLDLW
15 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 7 8 -1 11 DDWLWL
16 Norwich 6 2 4 0 15 8 +7 10 DDWDWD
17 Bristol City 7 2 4 1 9 8 +1 10 DWDDDL
18 Swansea 6 2 3 1 6 3 +3 9 WDWDDL
19 Coventry 6 3 0 3 11 9 +2 9 WLLWLW
20 West Brom 6 2 3 1 2 1 +1 9 DWWLDD
21 Luton 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8 LWDWLD
22 Hull 7 1 4 2 7 7 0 7 DLWLDD
23 QPR 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4 DLLDDL
24 Portsmouth 6 0 3 3 3 9 -6 3 DLLDDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sheffield United 8 4 2 2 9 5 +4 14 WDLLWW
2 Sunderland 7 4 1 2 11 7 +4 13 WLLWWD
3 West Brom 7 3 3 1 12 7 +5 12 WWLDDD
4 Burnley 7 3 2 2 8 4 +4 11 LWDWDL
5 Leeds 6 2 4 0 7 3 +4 10 DWWDDD
6 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10 WLWLDW
7 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9 LLDWDW
8 Hull 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8 LWWLDL
9 Norwich 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8 LWDDLL
10 Swansea 7 2 1 4 4 6 -2 7 LWLLDW
11 Sheffield Weds 6 2 1 3 5 11 -6 7 LLLDWW
12 Millwall 6 1 3 2 5 6 -1 6 LDDLDW
13 Coventry 7 1 3 3 6 8 -2 6 DDLLDW
14 QPR 6 1 3 2 5 8 -3 6 DWDLLD
15 Watford 7 2 0 5 11 17 -6 6 LLLLLW
16 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 10 17 -7 6 DLLWLD
17 Luton 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4 DLWLLL
18 Stoke 6 1 1 4 1 8 -7 4 LWLLDL
19 Blackburn 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3 DDDLLL
20 Preston 6 0 3 3 6 13 -7 3 LLDLDD
21 Cardiff 6 0 3 3 3 12 -9 3 LDLLDD
22 Oxford 6 0 2 4 7 12 -5 2 LLLDDL
23 Derby 7 0 2 5 6 13 -7 2 LLLDDL
24 Plymouth 7 0 1 6 1 16 -15 1 DLLLLL

Swansea   Watford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Watford 13 3 10 1.7 1.6 7 1 5 22 21 22 OOOOUO
2 12 Sheffield Weds 14 6 8 1.2 1.7 5 3 6 17 24 18 OUUOOU
3 21 Luton 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 3 3 7 15 21 12 OUOOOU
4 24 Portsmouth 13 5 8 1.0 2.0 1 6 6 13 26 9 OUOUOU
5 10 Bristol City 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 4 7 3 18 19 19 UUOUOO
6 11 Norwich 14 7 7 1.6 1.4 4 6 4 23 20 18 OUOOOU
7 15 Coventry 13 6 7 1.3 1.3 4 3 6 17 17 15 OOUUOO
8 20 Preston 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14 OUUOOO
9 22 Plymouth 13 6 7 1.0 1.9 3 3 7 13 25 12 UOOUOO
10 2 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.8 0.7 9 2 2 23 9 29 UOUOUU
11 9 Blackburn 13 7 6 1.2 1.1 5 4 4 16 14 19 OOUUUU
12 13 Oxford 14 8 6 1.2 1.2 4 5 5 17 17 17 UUUUOU
13 18 Stoke 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 4 3 6 15 18 15 OUUOUO
14 23 QPR 14 8 6 0.9 1.6 1 7 6 12 23 10 UOUUUO
15 3 Leeds 13 8 5 1.7 0.6 7 5 1 22 8 26 UOUOUO
16 7 Middlesbrough 14 9 5 1.3 1.1 6 3 5 18 16 21 OUUOOO
17 16 Derby 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 4 3 6 16 17 15 UUUUUO
18 6 West Brom 13 9 4 1.1 0.6 5 6 2 14 8 21 UUUUUU
19 8 Millwall 13 9 4 1.2 0.9 5 4 4 16 12 19 UUUUUU
20 17 Hull 14 10 4 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 15 18 15 OUUUUU
21 19 Cardiff 13 9 4 1.0 1.5 4 3 6 13 19 15 UUOUUO
22 4 Burnley 13 10 3 1.3 0.5 6 5 2 17 6 23 UUUUUU
23 14 Swansea 13 10 3 0.8 0.7 4 4 5 10 9 16 UUUUUO
24 1 Sheffield United 14 12 2 1.3 0.5 9 3 2 18 7 30 UUUUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 21 Luton 7 1 6 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8 OOOOOU
2 15 Coventry 6 1 5 1.8 1.5 3 0 3 11 9 9 OUOOOO
3 18 Stoke 7 2 5 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11 OOOUOO
4 3 Leeds 7 3 4 2.1 0.7 5 1 1 15 5 16 UUOUOO
5 5 Watford 6 2 4 1.8 0.7 5 1 0 11 4 16 OOUOOU
6 11 Norwich 6 2 4 2.5 1.3 2 4 0 15 8 10 OUOUOO
7 22 Plymouth 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 3 2 1 12 9 11 UUOOOO
8 23 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4 UOOUUO
9 8 Millwall 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 1 2 11 6 13 OUOUUU
10 9 Blackburn 7 4 3 1.7 0.7 5 1 1 12 5 16 OOUUUU
11 10 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 2 4 1 9 8 10 UOUUUO
12 12 Sheffield Weds 8 5 3 1.5 1.6 3 2 3 12 13 11 UOUUOU
13 20 Preston 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 2 8 7 11 UUOUOO
14 24 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0.5 1.5 0 3 3 3 9 3 UOOUUO
15 2 Sunderland 6 4 2 2.0 0.3 5 1 0 12 2 16 OUUUOU
16 4 Burnley 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 3 3 0 9 2 12 OUOUUU
17 7 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 3 2 2 7 8 11 OUUUUO
18 13 Oxford 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 3 1 10 5 15 UUUUOU
19 16 Derby 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 4 1 1 10 4 13 UOUOUU
20 19 Cardiff 7 5 2 1.4 1.0 4 0 3 10 7 12 UUUOUO
21 1 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.5 0.3 5 1 0 9 2 16 OUUUUU
22 14 Swansea 6 5 1 1.0 0.5 2 3 1 6 3 9 OUUUUU
23 17 Hull 7 6 1 1.0 1.0 1 4 2 7 7 7 UUOUUU
24 6 West Brom 6 6 0 0.3 0.2 2 3 1 2 1 9 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Watford 7 1 6 1.6 2.4 2 0 5 11 17 6 UOOOOO
2 12 Sheffield Weds 6 1 5 0.8 1.8 2 1 3 5 11 7 OOOUOO
3 24 Portsmouth 7 2 5 1.4 2.4 1 3 3 10 17 6 OOOOUU
4 2 Sunderland 7 3 4 1.6 1.0 4 1 2 11 7 13 OOOUOU
5 6 West Brom 7 3 4 1.7 1.0 3 3 1 12 7 12 OOOUUU
6 10 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9 OOUUOO
7 13 Oxford 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 0 2 4 7 12 2 OOOOUU
8 20 Preston 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 0 3 3 6 13 3 OOUOUO
9 7 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10 UUUOOO
10 9 Blackburn 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3 OUUOOU
11 11 Norwich 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8 UOUOOU
12 16 Derby 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 0 2 5 6 13 2 OUUUUO
13 17 Hull 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8 UOOOUU
14 22 Plymouth 7 4 3 0.1 2.3 0 1 6 1 16 1 UUUOUO
15 14 Swansea 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 1 4 4 6 7 UOUUUO
16 15 Coventry 7 5 2 0.9 1.1 1 3 3 6 8 6 UUOUUO
17 19 Cardiff 6 4 2 0.5 2.0 0 3 3 3 12 3 OUUOUU
18 21 Luton 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4 UUUOUO
19 23 QPR 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 3 2 5 8 6 OOUUUU
20 1 Sheffield United 8 7 1 1.1 0.6 4 2 2 9 5 14 UUUUUO
21 3 Leeds 6 5 1 1.2 0.5 2 4 0 7 3 10 UUUUOU
22 4 Burnley 7 6 1 1.1 0.6 3 2 2 8 4 11 UUUUUU
23 8 Millwall 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 1 3 2 5 6 6 OUUUUU
24 18 Stoke 6 5 1 0.2 1.3 1 1 4 1 8 4 OUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47