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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Kitchen

Swansea 0–1 Watford

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.30 fair 2.17
Draw 3.30 fair 4.09
Away ✓ 3.10 fair 3.39
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 2.21
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swansea Watford
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 4
7 Fouls 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (143 league matches this season so far).
Result Swansea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
SwanseaDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swansea before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.58scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 19:17
Watford before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.25scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:16
Swansea all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 1.25
1.42 Goals conceded 1.33
3.00 Total goals 2.58
11.42 Shots 13.92
4.17 Shots on target 4.00
13.67 Shots faced 9.92
4.33 Corners 5.33
5.83 Corners against 4.25
10.67 Fouls 12.58
1.92 Yellow cards 2.08
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

33% Wins 25%
25% Draws 33%
42% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 42%
25% Over 3.5 goals 33%
8% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
75% Both teams scored 33%
17% Clean sheets 33%
8% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 8%
33% Draws 67%
25% Losses 25%
92% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea all matches
Watford all matches
Swansea before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.50scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:8
Watford before this match, away
0.40points / match
0.80scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:10
Swansea at home away Watford

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.80
1.33 Goals conceded 2.00
2.83 Total goals 2.80
12.67 Shots 9.40
4.67 Shots on target 2.80
13.33 Shots faced 12.60
4.17 Corners 2.40
6.00 Corners against 6.20
11.33 Fouls 14.00
2.33 Yellow cards 2.80
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
33% Draws 40%
33% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
67% Over 2.5 goals 40%
17% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
83% Both teams scored 40%
17% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
50% Draws 60%
17% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
50% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Swansea – Leicester 1–3 (1–1) 4.334.001.75 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Plymouth – Swansea 1–3 (1–0) 2.403.402.88 1.70 2.10
04.10.23 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.302.45 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Millwall – Swansea 0–3 (0–1) 2.103.303.75 2.08 1.73
23.09.23 Swansea – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.03 1.83
19.09.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.60 2.05 1.80
16.09.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Swansea – Bristol City 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.98 1.88
26.08.23 Preston – Swansea 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 2.20 1.67
19.08.23 Swansea – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.303.00 1.93 1.93

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Watford – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.605.25 2.05 1.75
07.10.23 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
04.10.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
20.09.23 Watford – West Brom 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.40 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
02.09.23 Coventry – Watford 3–3 (1–1) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
27.08.23 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.90 1.95
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83

Swansea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Swansea – Leicester 1–3 (1–1) 4.334.001.75 1.73 2.08
04.10.23 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.302.45 1.80 2.00
23.09.23 Swansea – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.03 1.83
02.09.23 Swansea – Bristol City 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.98 1.88
19.08.23 Swansea – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.303.00 1.93 1.93
05.08.23 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.93 1.93
08.05.23 Swansea – West Brom 3–2 (1–1) 3.203.402.20 1.80 2.00
19.04.23 Swansea – Preston 4–2 (3–0) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.73
15.04.23 Swansea – Huddersfield 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.93 1.93
07.04.23 Swansea – Coventry 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.25 2.05 1.80

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
04.10.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Coventry – Watford 3–3 (1–1) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
29.04.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
22.04.23 Hull – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Coventry – Watford 2–2 (0–2) 2.403.253.00 2.20 1.67
01.04.23 Luton – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 QPR – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swansea winsDrawsWatford wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.22E1 Swansea – Watford 4–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.10 1.73
05.10.22E1 Watford – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.404.20 2.02 1.83

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 12 11 0 1 26 7 +19 33
2 Ipswich 11 9 1 1 25 13 +12 28
3 Leeds 12 6 4 2 20 13 +7 22
4 Preston 12 6 3 3 16 18 -2 21
5 Southampton 12 6 2 4 19 22 -3 20
6 Sunderland 12 6 1 5 21 14 +7 19
7 Birmingham 12 5 3 4 15 12 +3 18
8 Bristol City 12 5 3 4 15 13 +2 18
9 West Brom 12 4 5 3 18 14 +4 17
10 Norwich 12 5 2 5 23 22 +1 17
11 Cardiff 12 5 2 5 17 16 +1 17
12 Hull 12 4 5 3 17 16 +1 17
13 Middlesbrough 12 5 2 5 17 17 0 17
14 Millwall 12 4 4 4 12 14 -2 16
15 Blackburn 12 5 1 6 18 21 -3 16
16 Coventry 12 3 6 3 17 14 +3 15
17 Swansea 12 4 3 5 19 17 +2 15
18 Huddersfield 12 3 5 4 13 19 -6 14
19 Watford 12 3 4 5 15 16 -1 13
20 Stoke 12 4 1 7 13 18 -5 13
21 Plymouth 12 3 3 6 18 19 -1 12
22 QPR 12 2 2 8 9 22 -13 8
23 Rotherham 11 1 3 7 10 22 -12 6
24 Sheffield Weds 12 0 3 9 5 19 -14 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 6 5 0 1 19 11 +8 15
2 Leicester 6 5 0 1 10 3 +7 15
3 Birmingham 6 4 2 0 11 4 +7 14
4 Cardiff 6 4 1 1 11 6 +5 13
5 Preston 6 4 1 1 9 9 0 13
6 Leeds 6 3 3 0 9 4 +5 12
7 Norwich 6 4 0 2 10 7 +3 12
8 Watford 7 3 2 2 11 6 +5 11
9 West Brom 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
10 Coventry 6 2 4 0 9 5 +4 10
11 Middlesbrough 6 3 1 2 6 5 +1 10
12 Plymouth 6 3 0 3 14 10 +4 9
13 Sunderland 6 3 0 3 10 8 +2 9
14 Stoke 6 3 0 3 8 8 0 9
15 Blackburn 6 3 0 3 8 11 -3 9
16 Swansea 6 2 2 2 9 8 +1 8
17 Bristol City 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
18 Southampton 6 2 2 2 11 12 -1 8
19 Huddersfield 6 2 2 2 7 9 -2 8
20 Hull 6 1 4 1 8 7 +1 7
21 Millwall 6 2 1 3 6 9 -3 7
22 Rotherham 5 1 2 2 7 8 -1 5
23 Sheffield Weds 6 0 2 4 2 8 -6 2
24 QPR 5 0 1 4 3 12 -9 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 6 6 0 0 16 4 +12 18
2 Ipswich 5 4 1 0 6 2 +4 13
3 Southampton 6 4 0 2 8 10 -2 12
4 Sunderland 6 3 1 2 11 6 +5 10
5 Leeds 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10
6 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10
7 Hull 6 3 1 2 9 9 0 10
8 Millwall 6 2 3 1 6 5 +1 9
9 Preston 6 2 2 2 7 9 -2 8
10 Swansea 6 2 1 3 10 9 +1 7
11 Blackburn 6 2 1 3 10 10 0 7
12 Middlesbrough 6 2 1 3 11 12 -1 7
13 QPR 7 2 1 4 6 10 -4 7
14 West Brom 6 1 3 2 9 8 +1 6
15 Huddersfield 6 1 3 2 6 10 -4 6
16 Coventry 6 1 2 3 8 9 -1 5
17 Norwich 6 1 2 3 13 15 -2 5
18 Cardiff 6 1 1 4 6 10 -4 4
19 Birmingham 6 1 1 4 4 8 -4 4
20 Stoke 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
21 Plymouth 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
22 Watford 5 0 2 3 4 10 -6 2
23 Sheffield Weds 6 0 1 5 3 11 -8 1
24 Rotherham 6 0 1 5 3 14 -11 1

Swansea   Watford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Southampton 12 3 9 1.6 1.8 6 2 4 19 22 20
2 6 Sunderland 12 3 9 1.8 1.2 6 1 5 21 14 19
3 15 Blackburn 12 3 9 1.5 1.8 5 1 6 18 21 16
4 10 Norwich 12 4 8 1.9 1.8 5 2 5 23 22 17
5 17 Swansea 12 4 8 1.6 1.4 4 3 5 19 17 15
6 21 Plymouth 12 4 8 1.5 1.6 3 3 6 18 19 12
7 1 Leicester 12 5 7 2.2 0.6 11 0 1 26 7 33
8 3 Leeds 12 5 7 1.7 1.1 6 4 2 20 13 22
9 4 Preston 12 5 7 1.3 1.5 6 3 3 16 18 21
10 9 West Brom 12 5 7 1.5 1.2 4 5 3 18 14 17
11 12 Hull 12 5 7 1.4 1.3 4 5 3 17 16 17
12 22 QPR 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 2 2 8 9 22 8
13 23 Rotherham 11 4 7 0.9 2.0 1 3 7 10 22 6
14 2 Ipswich 11 5 6 2.3 1.2 9 1 1 25 13 28
15 11 Cardiff 12 6 6 1.4 1.3 5 2 5 17 16 17
16 13 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.4 1.4 5 2 5 17 17 17
17 18 Huddersfield 12 6 6 1.1 1.6 3 5 4 13 19 14
18 8 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 5 3 4 15 13 18
19 14 Millwall 12 7 5 1.0 1.2 4 4 4 12 14 16
20 16 Coventry 12 7 5 1.4 1.2 3 6 3 17 14 15
21 19 Watford 12 7 5 1.2 1.3 3 4 5 15 16 13
22 20 Stoke 12 7 5 1.1 1.5 4 1 7 13 18 13
23 24 Sheffield Weds 12 7 5 0.4 1.6 0 3 9 5 19 3
24 7 Birmingham 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 5 3 4 15 12 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 6 1 5 3.2 1.8 5 0 1 19 11 15
2 4 Preston 6 1 5 1.5 1.5 4 1 1 9 9 13
3 15 Blackburn 6 1 5 1.3 1.8 3 0 3 8 11 9
4 21 Plymouth 6 1 5 2.3 1.7 3 0 3 14 10 9
5 5 Southampton 6 2 4 1.8 2.0 2 2 2 11 12 8
6 6 Sunderland 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 0 3 10 8 9
7 14 Millwall 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 2 1 3 6 9 7
8 17 Swansea 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 2 2 2 9 8 8
9 23 Rotherham 5 1 4 1.4 1.6 1 2 2 7 8 5
10 1 Leicester 6 3 3 1.7 0.5 5 0 1 10 3 15
11 3 Leeds 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 3 3 0 9 4 12
12 7 Birmingham 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 4 2 0 11 4 14
13 9 West Brom 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
14 10 Norwich 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 4 0 2 10 7 12
15 11 Cardiff 6 3 3 1.8 1.0 4 1 1 11 6 13
16 18 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 2 2 2 7 9 8
17 19 Watford 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 3 2 2 11 6 11
18 20 Stoke 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 3 0 3 8 8 9
19 22 QPR 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 1 4 3 12 1
20 8 Bristol City 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
21 12 Hull 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 1 4 1 8 7 7
22 16 Coventry 6 4 2 1.5 0.8 2 4 0 9 5 10
23 24 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 0.3 1.3 0 2 4 2 8 2
24 13 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 3 1 2 6 5 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Southampton 6 1 5 1.3 1.7 4 0 2 8 10 12
2 6 Sunderland 6 1 5 1.8 1.0 3 1 2 11 6 10
3 10 Norwich 6 1 5 2.2 2.5 1 2 3 13 15 5
4 12 Hull 6 1 5 1.5 1.5 3 1 2 9 9 10
5 13 Middlesbrough 6 1 5 1.8 2.0 2 1 3 11 12 7
6 1 Leicester 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 6 0 0 16 4 18
7 3 Leeds 6 2 4 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10
8 9 West Brom 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 1 3 2 9 8 6
9 15 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 2 1 3 10 10 7
10 17 Swansea 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 2 1 3 10 9 7
11 22 QPR 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 2 1 4 6 10 7
12 8 Bristol City 6 3 3 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10
13 11 Cardiff 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 1 1 4 6 10 4
14 16 Coventry 6 3 3 1.3 1.5 1 2 3 8 9 5
15 18 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 1 3 2 6 10 6
16 21 Plymouth 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
17 23 Rotherham 6 3 3 0.5 2.3 0 1 5 3 14 1
18 24 Sheffield Weds 6 3 3 0.5 1.8 0 1 5 3 11 1
19 4 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 2 2 7 9 8
20 19 Watford 5 3 2 0.8 2.0 0 2 3 4 10 2
21 20 Stoke 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4
22 2 Ipswich 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 4 1 0 6 2 13
23 7 Birmingham 6 5 1 0.7 1.3 1 1 4 4 8 4
24 14 Millwall 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 3 1 6 5 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44