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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Madley

Norwich 1–2 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.88 fair 2.61
Draw 3.20 fair 3.69
Away ✓ 2.50 fair 2.89
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.82
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.22

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Norwich Burnley
12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 5
14 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (247 league matches this season so far).
Result Norwich to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.28 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
NorwichDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 10.7% 0–1 10.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Norwich before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.75scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 35:30
Burnley before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
1.20scored / match
0.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 24:7
Norwich all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.20
1.50 Goals conceded 0.35
3.25 Total goals 1.55
11.20 Shots 11.90
4.30 Shots on target 3.60
12.50 Shots faced 9.20
4.70 Corners 5.55
5.30 Corners against 3.55
12.55 Fouls 13.15
2.25 Yellow cards 1.95
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

30% Wins 50%
40% Draws 40%
30% Losses 10%
95% Over 0.5 goals 75%
85% Over 1.5 goals 45%
55% Over 2.5 goals 15%
45% Over 3.5 goals 10%
25% Over 4.5 goals 10%
15% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 25%
15% Clean sheets 65%
30% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 30%
30% Draws 55%
40% Losses 15%
85% Over 0.5 goals 55%
55% Over 1.5 goals 20%
30% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich all matches
Burnley all matches
Norwich before this match, at home
1.78points / match
2.78scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 25:13
Burnley before this match, away
1.80points / match
1.10scored / match
0.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:4
Norwich at home away Burnley

Per match

2.78 Goals scored 1.10
1.44 Goals conceded 0.40
4.22 Total goals 1.50
13.22 Shots 11.10
5.44 Shots on target 3.50
12.00 Shots faced 11.20
4.78 Corners 4.30
4.67 Corners against 5.10
11.78 Fouls 14.00
2.11 Yellow cards 2.40
1.22 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

44% Wins 50%
44% Draws 30%
11% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
100% Over 1.5 goals 40%
67% Over 2.5 goals 10%
67% Over 3.5 goals 10%
44% Over 4.5 goals 10%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 20%
11% Clean sheets 60%
11% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 40%
11% Draws 40%
33% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
67% Over 1.5 goals 10%
44% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.24 Portsmouth – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.402.15 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 QPR – Norwich 3–0 (2–0) 3.003.302.35 1.93 1.93
30.11.24 Norwich – Luton 4–2 (2–1) 2.003.703.40 1.80 2.00
26.11.24 Norwich – Plymouth 6–1 (2–1) 1.454.506.50 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 West Brom – Norwich 2–2 (2–2) 1.833.604.20 2.03 1.83
09.11.24 Norwich – Bristol City 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.83 2.03
05.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Norwich 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.253.20 2.03 1.83
02.11.24 Cardiff – Norwich 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.73 2.10
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
22.10.24 Preston – Norwich 2–2 (2–1) 2.703.252.70 2.05 1.80

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.24 Burnley – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.25 2.63 1.50
06.12.24 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Stoke – Burnley 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.20 1.67
26.11.24 Burnley – Coventry 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 2.20 1.67
23.11.24 Bristol City – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 2.30 1.62
10.11.24 Burnley – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.503.90 2.20 1.67
07.11.24 West Brom – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.25 2.38 1.57
03.11.24 Millwall – Burnley 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.75 1.44
26.10.24 Burnley – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 2.10 1.73
23.10.24 Hull – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 2.10 1.73

Norwich at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Norwich – Luton 4–2 (2–1) 2.003.703.40 1.80 2.00
26.11.24 Norwich – Plymouth 6–1 (2–1) 1.454.506.50 1.57 2.38
09.11.24 Norwich – Bristol City 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.83 2.03
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Norwich – Hull 4–0 (2–0) 1.953.603.75 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 Norwich – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.401.95 1.88 1.98
21.09.24 Norwich – Watford 4–1 (2–1) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
24.08.24 Norwich – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Norwich – Blackburn 2–2 (0–1) 2.003.403.70 1.80 2.00
27.04.24 Norwich – Swansea 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.005.00 1.67 2.20

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Stoke – Burnley 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.20 1.67
23.11.24 Bristol City – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 2.30 1.62
07.11.24 West Brom – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.25 2.38 1.57
03.11.24 Millwall – Burnley 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.75 1.44
23.10.24 Hull – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Sheffield Weds – Burnley 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.60 2.20 1.67
28.09.24 Oxford – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.752.00 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00
24.08.24 Sunderland – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 1.90 1.95
12.08.24 Luton – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.383.402.88 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Norwich winsDrawsBurnley wins
4matches
1.50goals / match
25%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23E1 Norwich – Burnley 0–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.00 1.85
25.10.22E1 Burnley – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 1.90 1.95
10.04.22E0 Norwich – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 2.873.202.55 2.30 1.61
02.10.21E0 Burnley – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.33 1.90 1.90

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 21 14 5 2 30 11 +19 47
2 Leeds 21 12 6 3 37 15 +22 42
3 Sunderland 21 11 7 3 32 17 +15 40
4 Burnley 20 10 8 2 24 7 +17 38
5 Blackburn 20 11 4 5 25 17 +8 37
6 Middlesbrough 21 10 4 7 35 25 +10 34
7 Watford 20 10 4 6 29 26 +3 34
8 West Brom 21 7 11 3 24 16 +8 32
9 Sheffield Weds 21 8 5 8 26 30 -4 29
10 Swansea 21 7 6 8 23 22 +1 27
11 Bristol City 21 6 9 6 26 26 0 27
12 Norwich 20 6 8 6 35 30 +5 26
13 Millwall 20 6 7 7 20 18 +2 25
14 Derby 21 6 6 9 26 26 0 24
15 Coventry 21 6 6 9 27 30 -3 24
16 Preston 21 4 11 6 21 27 -6 23
17 Stoke 21 5 7 9 23 28 -5 22
18 QPR 21 4 10 7 21 27 -6 22
19 Luton 21 6 4 11 23 37 -14 22
20 Oxford 20 4 6 10 21 33 -12 18
21 Cardiff 20 4 6 10 19 32 -13 18
22 Portsmouth 19 3 8 8 21 34 -13 17
23 Plymouth 20 4 5 11 19 42 -23 17
24 Hull 21 3 7 11 19 30 -11 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 11 9 1 1 25 6 +19 28
2 Sheffield United 10 9 1 0 16 2 +14 28
3 Watford 10 8 2 0 15 5 +10 26
4 Sunderland 10 6 4 0 17 6 +11 22
5 Blackburn 10 7 1 2 15 7 +8 22
6 Burnley 10 5 5 0 13 3 +10 20
7 Middlesbrough 11 6 2 3 16 11 +5 20
8 Luton 11 5 3 3 16 14 +2 18
9 Derby 10 5 2 3 17 9 +8 17
10 Millwall 11 5 2 4 13 9 +4 17
11 Norwich 9 4 4 1 25 13 +12 16
12 Oxford 11 4 4 3 14 15 -1 16
13 Plymouth 9 4 3 2 16 13 +3 15
14 West Brom 10 3 6 1 8 5 +3 15
15 Preston 11 3 6 2 11 10 +1 15
16 Bristol City 10 3 5 2 14 10 +4 14
17 Coventry 10 4 2 4 18 16 +2 14
18 Stoke 11 3 5 3 17 15 +2 14
19 Swansea 10 3 4 3 14 12 +2 13
20 Sheffield Weds 11 3 4 4 14 16 -2 13
21 Cardiff 10 4 0 6 11 14 -3 12
22 QPR 11 2 5 4 13 16 -3 11
23 Portsmouth 9 2 4 3 9 10 -1 10
24 Hull 11 1 5 5 9 13 -4 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 11 5 4 2 14 9 +5 19
2 Burnley 10 5 3 2 11 4 +7 18
3 Sunderland 11 5 3 3 15 11 +4 18
4 West Brom 11 4 5 2 16 11 +5 17
5 Sheffield Weds 10 5 1 4 12 14 -2 16
6 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
7 Middlesbrough 10 4 2 4 19 14 +5 14
8 Leeds 10 3 5 2 12 9 +3 14
9 Swansea 11 4 2 5 9 10 -1 14
10 Bristol City 11 3 4 4 12 16 -4 13
11 QPR 10 2 5 3 8 11 -3 11
12 Coventry 11 2 4 5 9 14 -5 10
13 Norwich 11 2 4 5 10 17 -7 10
14 Millwall 9 1 5 3 7 9 -2 8
15 Watford 10 2 2 6 14 21 -7 8
16 Hull 10 2 2 6 10 17 -7 8
17 Preston 10 1 5 4 10 17 -7 8
18 Stoke 10 2 2 6 6 13 -7 8
19 Derby 11 1 4 6 9 17 -8 7
20 Portsmouth 10 1 4 5 12 24 -12 7
21 Cardiff 10 0 6 4 8 18 -10 6
22 Luton 10 1 1 8 7 23 -16 4
23 Oxford 9 0 2 7 7 18 -11 2
24 Plymouth 11 0 2 9 3 29 -26 2

Norwich   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 20 8 12 1.4 1.3 10 4 6 29 26 34
2 15 Coventry 21 9 12 1.3 1.4 6 6 9 27 30 24
3 19 Luton 21 9 12 1.1 1.8 6 4 11 23 37 22
4 22 Portsmouth 19 7 12 1.1 1.8 3 8 8 21 34 17
5 12 Norwich 20 9 11 1.8 1.5 6 8 6 35 30 26
6 23 Plymouth 20 9 11 0.9 2.1 4 5 11 19 42 17
7 9 Sheffield Weds 21 11 10 1.2 1.4 8 5 8 26 30 29
8 3 Sunderland 21 12 9 1.5 0.8 11 7 3 32 17 40
9 6 Middlesbrough 21 12 9 1.7 1.2 10 4 7 35 25 34
10 11 Bristol City 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 6 9 6 26 26 27
11 14 Derby 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 6 6 9 26 26 24
12 17 Stoke 21 12 9 1.1 1.3 5 7 9 23 28 22
13 20 Oxford 20 11 9 1.1 1.6 4 6 10 21 33 18
14 2 Leeds 21 13 8 1.8 0.7 12 6 3 37 15 42
15 8 West Brom 21 13 8 1.1 0.8 7 11 3 24 16 32
16 10 Swansea 21 13 8 1.1 1.0 7 6 8 23 22 27
17 16 Preston 21 13 8 1.0 1.3 4 11 6 21 27 23
18 5 Blackburn 20 13 7 1.2 0.8 11 4 5 25 17 37
19 18 QPR 21 14 7 1.0 1.3 4 10 7 21 27 22
20 21 Cardiff 20 13 7 0.9 1.6 4 6 10 19 32 18
21 24 Hull 21 14 7 0.9 1.4 3 7 11 19 30 16
22 1 Sheffield United 21 16 5 1.4 0.5 14 5 2 30 11 47
23 13 Millwall 20 16 4 1.0 0.9 6 7 7 20 18 25
24 4 Burnley 20 17 3 1.2 0.3 10 8 2 24 7 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Coventry 10 1 9 1.8 1.6 4 2 4 18 16 14
2 19 Luton 11 4 7 1.5 1.3 5 3 3 16 14 18
3 2 Leeds 11 5 6 2.3 0.5 9 1 1 25 6 28
4 12 Norwich 9 3 6 2.8 1.4 4 4 1 25 13 16
5 17 Stoke 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 3 5 3 17 15 14
6 23 Plymouth 9 3 6 1.8 1.4 4 3 2 16 13 15
7 7 Watford 10 5 5 1.5 0.5 8 2 0 15 5 26
8 14 Derby 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 5 2 3 17 9 17
9 18 QPR 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 2 5 4 13 16 11
10 22 Portsmouth 9 4 5 1.0 1.1 2 4 3 9 10 10
11 3 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.7 0.6 6 4 0 17 6 22
12 6 Middlesbrough 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 16 11 20
13 10 Swansea 10 6 4 1.4 1.2 3 4 3 14 12 13
14 11 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.4 1.0 3 5 2 14 10 14
15 20 Oxford 11 7 4 1.3 1.4 4 4 3 14 15 16
16 5 Blackburn 10 7 3 1.5 0.7 7 1 2 15 7 22
17 9 Sheffield Weds 11 8 3 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 16 13
18 13 Millwall 11 8 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 4 13 9 17
19 16 Preston 11 8 3 1.0 0.9 3 6 2 11 10 15
20 21 Cardiff 10 7 3 1.1 1.4 4 0 6 11 14 12
21 1 Sheffield United 10 8 2 1.6 0.2 9 1 0 16 2 28
22 4 Burnley 10 8 2 1.3 0.3 5 5 0 13 3 20
23 8 West Brom 10 8 2 0.8 0.5 3 6 1 8 5 15
24 24 Hull 11 9 2 0.8 1.2 1 5 5 9 13 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 10 3 7 1.4 2.1 2 2 6 14 21 8
2 9 Sheffield Weds 10 3 7 1.2 1.4 5 1 4 12 14 16
3 22 Portsmouth 10 3 7 1.2 2.4 1 4 5 12 24 7
4 8 West Brom 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 4 5 2 16 11 17
5 3 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 5 3 3 15 11 18
6 6 Middlesbrough 10 5 5 1.9 1.4 4 2 4 19 14 14
7 11 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 16 13
8 12 Norwich 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 4 5 10 17 10
9 16 Preston 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 1 5 4 10 17 8
10 19 Luton 10 5 5 0.7 2.3 1 1 8 7 23 4
11 20 Oxford 9 4 5 0.8 2.0 0 2 7 7 18 2
12 23 Plymouth 11 6 5 0.3 2.6 0 2 9 3 29 2
13 24 Hull 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 2 6 10 17 8
14 5 Blackburn 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
15 10 Swansea 11 7 4 0.8 0.9 4 2 5 9 10 14
16 14 Derby 11 7 4 0.8 1.5 1 4 6 9 17 7
17 21 Cardiff 10 6 4 0.8 1.8 0 6 4 8 18 6
18 1 Sheffield United 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 2 14 9 19
19 15 Coventry 11 8 3 0.8 1.3 2 4 5 9 14 10
20 17 Stoke 10 7 3 0.6 1.3 2 2 6 6 13 8
21 2 Leeds 10 8 2 1.2 0.9 3 5 2 12 9 14
22 18 QPR 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 2 5 3 8 11 11
23 4 Burnley 10 9 1 1.1 0.4 5 3 2 11 4 18
24 13 Millwall 9 8 1 0.8 1.0 1 5 3 7 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51