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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Ward

Millwall 1–0 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.75 fair 2.57
Draw 3.10 fair 3.54
Away 2.70 fair 3.04
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.69
Over 2.5 2.75 fair 2.46

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Burnley
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 0
2 Corners 3
17 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.22 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.2% 1–0 12.1% 0–1 10.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.25scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:12
Burnley before this match, all matches
1.92points / match
1.42scored / match
0.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:5
Millwall all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.42
1.00 Goals conceded 0.42
2.25 Total goals 1.83
12.92 Shots 12.08
4.50 Shots on target 3.42
10.08 Shots faced 9.33
5.83 Corners 5.42
5.42 Corners against 3.75
12.92 Fouls 14.00
2.50 Yellow cards 2.25
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 50%
33% Draws 42%
33% Losses 8%
83% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
33% Over 2.5 goals 25%
25% Over 3.5 goals 17%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 33%
42% Clean sheets 58%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 42%
50% Draws 33%
33% Losses 25%
58% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Burnley all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:6
Burnley before this match, away
1.83points / match
1.33scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:3
Millwall at home away Burnley

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.33
1.00 Goals conceded 0.50
2.67 Total goals 1.83
14.67 Shots 10.17
4.83 Shots on target 3.67
8.17 Shots faced 11.33
5.83 Corners 4.17
5.00 Corners against 5.50
12.50 Fouls 14.67
2.50 Yellow cards 2.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
17% Draws 33%
33% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 17%
33% Over 3.5 goals 17%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 50%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 50%
33% Draws 17%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 83%
17% Over 1.5 goals 17%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.88 2.20 1.67
23.10.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.105.25 1.80 2.00
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
05.10.24 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.30 1.62
01.10.24 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.63 1.50
28.09.24 Millwall – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.38 1.57
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
31.08.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73
24.08.24 Hull – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.05 1.75

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Burnley – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 2.10 1.73
23.10.24 Hull – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Sheffield Weds – Burnley 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.60 2.20 1.67
05.10.24 Burnley – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.00 2.05 1.80
01.10.24 Burnley – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.756.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Oxford – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.752.00 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 Burnley – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.207.00 1.73 2.10
14.09.24 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00
31.08.24 Burnley – Blackburn 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.603.80 1.80 2.00
24.08.24 Sunderland – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 1.90 1.95

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.105.25 1.80 2.00
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
28.09.24 Millwall – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.38 1.57
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
31.08.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
27.04.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.03 1.83
13.04.24 Millwall – Cardiff 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
09.04.24 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.751.67 2.00 1.85
29.03.24 Millwall – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.102.30 2.50 1.50

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.24 Hull – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Sheffield Weds – Burnley 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.60 2.20 1.67
28.09.24 Oxford – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.752.00 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00
24.08.24 Sunderland – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 1.90 1.95
12.08.24 Luton – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.383.402.88 1.88 1.98
11.05.24E0 Tottenham – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.757.00 1.25 4.00
27.04.24E0 Man United – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.755.50 1.36 3.20
20.04.24E0 Sheffield United – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
06.04.24E0 Everton – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsBurnley wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.23E1 Millwall – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.202.38 2.50 1.53
30.08.22E1 Burnley – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.304.75 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 13 9 2 2 23 9 +14 29
2 Sheffield United 13 8 3 2 16 6 +10 27
3 Leeds 13 7 5 1 22 8 +14 26
4 Burnley 12 6 5 1 17 5 +12 23
5 Watford 13 7 1 5 22 21 +1 22
6 West Brom 13 5 6 2 14 8 +6 21
7 Blackburn 13 5 4 4 16 14 +2 19
8 Bristol City 13 4 7 2 17 17 0 19
9 Norwich 13 4 6 3 23 18 +5 18
10 Middlesbrough 13 5 3 5 14 15 -1 18
11 Millwall 12 4 4 4 15 12 +3 16
12 Swansea 13 4 4 5 10 9 +1 16
13 Coventry 13 4 3 6 17 17 0 15
14 Derby 13 4 3 6 16 17 -1 15
15 Hull 13 3 6 4 15 17 -2 15
16 Stoke 13 4 3 6 15 18 -3 15
17 Cardiff 13 4 3 6 13 19 -6 15
18 Sheffield Weds 13 4 3 6 15 24 -9 15
19 Oxford 13 3 5 5 16 17 -1 14
20 Preston 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
21 Luton 13 3 3 7 15 21 -6 12
22 Plymouth 13 3 3 7 13 25 -12 12
23 QPR 13 1 7 5 11 19 -8 10
24 Portsmouth 13 1 6 6 13 26 -13 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 7 5 1 1 15 5 +10 16
2 Sunderland 6 5 1 0 12 2 +10 16
3 Blackburn 7 5 1 1 12 5 +7 16
4 Watford 6 5 1 0 11 4 +7 16
5 Sheffield United 6 5 1 0 9 2 +7 16
6 Derby 6 4 1 1 10 4 +6 13
7 Burnley 6 3 3 0 9 2 +7 12
8 Oxford 7 3 3 1 9 5 +4 12
9 Cardiff 7 4 0 3 10 7 +3 12
10 Stoke 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
11 Plymouth 6 3 2 1 12 9 +3 11
12 Preston 7 3 2 2 8 7 +1 11
13 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 7 8 -1 11
14 Norwich 6 2 4 0 15 8 +7 10
15 Millwall 6 3 1 2 10 6 +4 10
16 Bristol City 6 2 4 0 8 6 +2 10
17 Swansea 6 2 3 1 6 3 +3 9
18 Coventry 6 3 0 3 11 9 +2 9
19 West Brom 6 2 3 1 2 1 +1 9
20 Luton 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
21 Sheffield Weds 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 8
22 Hull 7 1 4 2 7 7 0 7
23 QPR 7 0 4 3 6 11 -5 4
24 Portsmouth 6 0 3 3 3 9 -6 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 7 4 1 2 11 7 +4 13
2 West Brom 7 3 3 1 12 7 +5 12
3 Burnley 6 3 2 1 8 3 +5 11
4 Sheffield United 7 3 2 2 7 4 +3 11
5 Leeds 6 2 4 0 7 3 +4 10
6 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9
7 Hull 6 2 2 2 8 10 -2 8
8 Norwich 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
9 Middlesbrough 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
10 Swansea 7 2 1 4 4 6 -2 7
11 Sheffield Weds 6 2 1 3 5 11 -6 7
12 Millwall 6 1 3 2 5 6 -1 6
13 Coventry 7 1 3 3 6 8 -2 6
14 QPR 6 1 3 2 5 8 -3 6
15 Watford 7 2 0 5 11 17 -6 6
16 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 10 17 -7 6
17 Luton 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
18 Stoke 6 1 1 4 1 8 -7 4
19 Blackburn 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
20 Preston 6 0 3 3 6 13 -7 3
21 Cardiff 6 0 3 3 3 12 -9 3
22 Oxford 6 0 2 4 7 12 -5 2
23 Derby 7 0 2 5 6 13 -7 2
24 Plymouth 7 0 1 6 1 16 -15 1

Millwall   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 13 3 10 1.7 1.6 7 1 5 22 21 22
2 18 Sheffield Weds 13 5 8 1.2 1.8 4 3 6 15 24 15
3 21 Luton 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 3 3 7 15 21 12
4 24 Portsmouth 13 5 8 1.0 2.0 1 6 6 13 26 9
5 9 Norwich 13 6 7 1.8 1.4 4 6 3 23 18 18
6 13 Coventry 13 6 7 1.3 1.3 4 3 6 17 17 15
7 20 Preston 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
8 22 Plymouth 13 6 7 1.0 1.9 3 3 7 13 25 12
9 1 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.8 0.7 9 2 2 23 9 29
10 7 Blackburn 13 7 6 1.2 1.1 5 4 4 16 14 19
11 8 Bristol City 13 7 6 1.3 1.3 4 7 2 17 17 19
12 16 Stoke 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 4 3 6 15 18 15
13 19 Oxford 13 7 6 1.2 1.3 3 5 5 16 17 14
14 3 Leeds 13 8 5 1.7 0.6 7 5 1 22 8 26
15 14 Derby 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 4 3 6 16 17 15
16 23 QPR 13 8 5 0.8 1.5 1 7 5 11 19 10
17 6 West Brom 13 9 4 1.1 0.6 5 6 2 14 8 21
18 10 Middlesbrough 13 9 4 1.1 1.2 5 3 5 14 15 18
19 11 Millwall 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 4 15 12 16
20 15 Hull 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 3 6 4 15 17 15
21 17 Cardiff 13 9 4 1.0 1.5 4 3 6 13 19 15
22 4 Burnley 12 9 3 1.4 0.4 6 5 1 17 5 23
23 12 Swansea 13 10 3 0.8 0.7 4 4 5 10 9 16
24 2 Sheffield United 13 12 1 1.2 0.5 8 3 2 16 6 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Luton 7 1 6 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
2 13 Coventry 6 1 5 1.8 1.5 3 0 3 11 9 9
3 16 Stoke 7 2 5 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
4 3 Leeds 7 3 4 2.1 0.7 5 1 1 15 5 16
5 5 Watford 6 2 4 1.8 0.7 5 1 0 11 4 16
6 9 Norwich 6 2 4 2.5 1.3 2 4 0 15 8 10
7 22 Plymouth 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 3 2 1 12 9 11
8 7 Blackburn 7 4 3 1.7 0.7 5 1 1 12 5 16
9 11 Millwall 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 3 1 2 10 6 10
10 18 Sheffield Weds 7 4 3 1.4 1.9 2 2 3 10 13 8
11 20 Preston 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 2 8 7 11
12 23 QPR 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 0 4 3 6 11 4
13 24 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0.5 1.5 0 3 3 3 9 3
14 1 Sunderland 6 4 2 2.0 0.3 5 1 0 12 2 16
15 4 Burnley 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 3 3 0 9 2 12
16 8 Bristol City 6 4 2 1.3 1.0 2 4 0 8 6 10
17 10 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 3 2 2 7 8 11
18 14 Derby 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 4 1 1 10 4 13
19 17 Cardiff 7 5 2 1.4 1.0 4 0 3 10 7 12
20 19 Oxford 7 5 2 1.3 0.7 3 3 1 9 5 12
21 2 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.5 0.3 5 1 0 9 2 16
22 12 Swansea 6 5 1 1.0 0.5 2 3 1 6 3 9
23 15 Hull 7 6 1 1.0 1.0 1 4 2 7 7 7
24 6 West Brom 6 6 0 0.3 0.2 2 3 1 2 1 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 7 1 6 1.6 2.4 2 0 5 11 17 6
2 18 Sheffield Weds 6 1 5 0.8 1.8 2 1 3 5 11 7
3 24 Portsmouth 7 2 5 1.4 2.4 1 3 3 10 17 6
4 1 Sunderland 7 3 4 1.6 1.0 4 1 2 11 7 13
5 6 West Brom 7 3 4 1.7 1.0 3 3 1 12 7 12
6 8 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9
7 19 Oxford 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 0 2 4 7 12 2
8 20 Preston 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 0 3 3 6 13 3
9 7 Blackburn 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
10 9 Norwich 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
11 14 Derby 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 0 2 5 6 13 2
12 15 Hull 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 2 2 2 8 10 8
13 22 Plymouth 7 4 3 0.1 2.3 0 1 6 1 16 1
14 10 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
15 12 Swansea 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 1 4 4 6 7
16 13 Coventry 7 5 2 0.9 1.1 1 3 3 6 8 6
17 17 Cardiff 6 4 2 0.5 2.0 0 3 3 3 12 3
18 21 Luton 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
19 23 QPR 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 3 2 5 8 6
20 3 Leeds 6 5 1 1.2 0.5 2 4 0 7 3 10
21 4 Burnley 6 5 1 1.3 0.5 3 2 1 8 3 11
22 11 Millwall 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 1 3 2 5 6 6
23 16 Stoke 6 5 1 0.2 1.3 1 1 4 1 8 4
24 2 Sheffield United 7 7 0 1.0 0.6 3 2 2 7 4 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51