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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Kitchen

Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.45 fair 2.04
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 3.79
Away 2.90 fair 4.05
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.78
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.29

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Middlesbrough
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
11 Corners 3
12 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (214 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.47 – 0.96
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13% 1–1 12.4% 2–0 9.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.28scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 23:6
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.78scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 32:21
Burnley all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 1.78
0.33 Goals conceded 1.17
1.61 Total goals 2.94
11.61 Shots 15.94
3.56 Shots on target 5.50
9.33 Shots faced 8.11
5.22 Corners 6.39
3.67 Corners against 4.33
13.50 Fouls 8.83
2.06 Yellow cards 1.56
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

56% Wins 50%
33% Draws 17%
11% Losses 33%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
44% Over 1.5 goals 67%
17% Over 2.5 goals 44%
11% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
22% Both teams scored 44%
67% Clean sheets 28%
33% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 39%
50% Draws 33%
17% Losses 28%
56% Over 0.5 goals 72%
17% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
2.25points / match
1.50scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:2
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.63points / match
2.13scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 17:10
Burnley at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 2.13
0.25 Goals conceded 1.25
1.75 Total goals 3.38
12.25 Shots 13.63
3.63 Shots on target 5.88
7.00 Shots faced 8.88
6.38 Corners 5.50
1.88 Corners against 4.88
12.88 Fouls 9.13
1.63 Yellow cards 1.75
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

63% Wins 50%
38% Draws 13%
0% Losses 38%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 63%
25% Over 2.5 goals 50%
13% Over 3.5 goals 38%
13% Over 4.5 goals 38%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
25% Both teams scored 50%
75% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 38%
63% Draws 38%
13% Losses 25%
50% Over 0.5 goals 63%
25% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Stoke – Burnley 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.20 1.67
26.11.24 Burnley – Coventry 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 2.20 1.67
23.11.24 Bristol City – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 2.30 1.62
10.11.24 Burnley – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.503.90 2.20 1.67
07.11.24 West Brom – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.25 2.38 1.57
03.11.24 Millwall – Burnley 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.75 1.44
26.10.24 Burnley – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 2.10 1.73
23.10.24 Hull – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Sheffield Weds – Burnley 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.60 2.20 1.67
05.10.24 Burnley – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.00 2.05 1.80

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Middlesbrough – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30
27.11.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Oxford – Middlesbrough 2–6 (1–3) 5.004.201.60 1.83 2.03
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 1.704.104.50 1.67 2.20
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
23.10.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.40 1.95 1.90
19.10.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 0–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.80 2.00
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.24 Burnley – Coventry 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 2.20 1.67
10.11.24 Burnley – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.503.90 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Burnley – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 2.10 1.73
05.10.24 Burnley – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.00 2.05 1.80
01.10.24 Burnley – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.756.50 1.57 2.38
21.09.24 Burnley – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.207.00 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Burnley – Blackburn 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.603.80 1.80 2.00
17.08.24 Burnley – Cardiff 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.207.00 1.73 2.08
19.05.24E0 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–2 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.53 2.50
04.05.24E0 Burnley – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24 Oxford – Middlesbrough 2–6 (1–3) 5.004.201.60 1.83 2.03
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 West Brom – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
27.04.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93
13.04.24 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.23E1 Middlesbrough – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 2.05 1.80
17.12.22E1 Burnley – Middlesbrough 3–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 1.98 1.88

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 18 12 4 2 25 9 +16 40
2 Burnley 18 10 6 2 23 6 +17 36
3 Leeds 18 10 5 3 31 13 +18 35
4 Sunderland 18 9 6 3 26 13 +13 33
5 Middlesbrough 18 9 3 6 32 21 +11 30
6 Watford 18 9 3 6 26 24 +2 30
7 West Brom 18 6 10 2 19 12 +7 28
8 Blackburn 17 8 4 5 21 17 +4 28
9 Norwich 18 6 7 5 35 27 +8 25
10 Millwall 17 6 7 4 20 15 +5 25
11 Bristol City 18 6 7 5 24 21 +3 25
12 Sheffield Weds 18 7 4 7 22 27 -5 25
13 Swansea 18 6 5 7 18 17 +1 23
14 Stoke 18 5 6 7 19 22 -3 21
15 Derby 18 5 5 8 22 24 -2 20
16 Coventry 18 4 6 8 24 27 -3 18
17 Oxford 18 4 6 8 20 28 -8 18
18 Preston 18 3 9 6 17 25 -8 18
19 Luton 18 5 3 10 20 33 -13 18
20 Cardiff 18 4 5 9 17 28 -11 17
21 Plymouth 18 4 5 9 18 38 -20 17
22 Hull 18 3 6 9 17 26 -9 15
23 QPR 18 2 9 7 15 26 -11 15
24 Portsmouth 16 2 7 7 18 30 -12 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 9 8 1 0 14 2 +12 25
2 Watford 9 7 2 0 13 4 +9 23
3 Leeds 9 7 1 1 20 5 +15 22
4 Blackburn 9 6 1 2 13 7 +6 19
5 Sunderland 8 5 3 0 14 4 +10 18
6 Burnley 8 5 3 0 12 2 +10 18
7 Millwall 9 5 2 2 13 7 +6 17
8 Middlesbrough 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
9 Norwich 9 4 4 1 25 13 +12 16
10 Oxford 10 4 4 2 13 12 +1 16
11 Plymouth 8 4 3 1 15 11 +4 15
12 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 9 +4 14
13 Luton 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14
14 Preston 10 3 5 2 10 9 +1 14
15 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 13 9 +4 13
16 Swansea 9 3 4 2 12 9 +3 13
17 Stoke 10 3 4 3 15 13 +2 13
18 Sheffield Weds 9 3 3 3 13 14 -1 12
19 Cardiff 9 4 0 5 11 12 -1 12
20 Coventry 9 3 2 4 16 15 +1 11
21 West Brom 8 2 5 1 4 3 +1 11
22 Hull 9 1 4 4 8 11 -3 7
23 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 10 -4 6
24 QPR 9 0 5 4 8 16 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 10 5 3 2 11 4 +7 18
2 West Brom 10 4 5 1 15 9 +6 17
3 Sheffield United 9 4 3 2 11 7 +4 15
4 Sunderland 10 4 3 3 12 9 +3 15
5 Middlesbrough 8 4 1 3 17 10 +7 13
6 Leeds 9 3 4 2 11 8 +3 13
7 Sheffield Weds 9 4 1 4 9 13 -4 13
8 Bristol City 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12
9 Swansea 9 3 1 5 6 8 -2 10
10 QPR 9 2 4 3 7 10 -3 10
11 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
12 Norwich 9 2 3 4 10 14 -4 9
13 Millwall 8 1 5 2 7 8 -1 8
14 Stoke 8 2 2 4 4 9 -5 8
15 Hull 9 2 2 5 9 15 -6 8
16 Coventry 9 1 4 4 8 12 -4 7
17 Watford 9 2 1 6 13 20 -7 7
18 Portsmouth 9 1 4 4 12 20 -8 7
19 Derby 9 1 3 5 9 15 -6 6
20 Cardiff 9 0 5 4 6 16 -10 5
21 Preston 8 0 4 4 7 16 -9 4
22 Luton 9 1 1 7 7 21 -14 4
23 Oxford 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
24 Plymouth 10 0 2 8 3 27 -24 2

Burnley   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 9 3 6 26 24 30
2 16 Coventry 18 7 11 1.3 1.5 4 6 8 24 27 18
3 19 Luton 18 7 11 1.1 1.8 5 3 10 20 33 18
4 9 Norwich 18 8 10 1.9 1.5 6 7 5 35 27 25
5 21 Plymouth 18 8 10 1.0 2.1 4 5 9 18 38 17
6 24 Portsmouth 16 6 10 1.1 1.9 2 7 7 18 30 13
7 12 Sheffield Weds 18 9 9 1.2 1.5 7 4 7 22 27 25
8 5 Middlesbrough 18 10 8 1.8 1.2 9 3 6 32 21 30
9 11 Bristol City 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 6 7 5 24 21 25
10 15 Derby 18 10 8 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 22 24 20
11 17 Oxford 18 10 8 1.1 1.6 4 6 8 20 28 18
12 18 Preston 18 10 8 0.9 1.4 3 9 6 17 25 18
13 3 Leeds 18 11 7 1.7 0.7 10 5 3 31 13 35
14 4 Sunderland 18 11 7 1.4 0.7 9 6 3 26 13 33
15 8 Blackburn 17 10 7 1.2 1.0 8 4 5 21 17 28
16 7 West Brom 18 12 6 1.1 0.7 6 10 2 19 12 28
17 13 Swansea 18 12 6 1.0 0.9 6 5 7 18 17 23
18 14 Stoke 18 12 6 1.1 1.2 5 6 7 19 22 21
19 20 Cardiff 18 12 6 0.9 1.6 4 5 9 17 28 17
20 22 Hull 18 12 6 0.9 1.4 3 6 9 17 26 15
21 23 QPR 18 12 6 0.8 1.4 2 9 7 15 26 15
22 1 Sheffield United 18 14 4 1.4 0.5 12 4 2 25 9 40
23 10 Millwall 17 13 4 1.2 0.9 6 7 4 20 15 25
24 2 Burnley 18 15 3 1.3 0.3 10 6 2 23 6 36
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 9 1 8 1.8 1.7 3 2 4 16 15 11
2 9 Norwich 9 3 6 2.8 1.4 4 4 1 25 13 16
3 19 Luton 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14
4 3 Leeds 9 4 5 2.2 0.6 7 1 1 20 5 22
5 14 Stoke 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 3 4 3 15 13 13
6 21 Plymouth 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 4 3 1 15 11 15
7 5 Middlesbrough 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
8 6 Watford 9 5 4 1.4 0.4 7 2 0 13 4 23
9 11 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 3 4 2 13 9 13
10 15 Derby 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 2 3 13 9 14
11 23 QPR 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 0 5 4 8 16 5
12 24 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 3 6 10 6
13 4 Sunderland 8 5 3 1.8 0.5 5 3 0 14 4 18
14 8 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 6 1 2 13 7 19
15 10 Millwall 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 5 2 2 13 7 17
16 12 Sheffield Weds 9 6 3 1.4 1.6 3 3 3 13 14 12
17 13 Swansea 9 6 3 1.3 1.0 3 4 2 12 9 13
18 17 Oxford 10 7 3 1.3 1.2 4 4 2 13 12 16
19 18 Preston 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 3 5 2 10 9 14
20 20 Cardiff 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 4 0 5 11 12 12
21 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.6 0.2 8 1 0 14 2 25
22 2 Burnley 8 6 2 1.5 0.2 5 3 0 12 2 18
23 22 Hull 9 7 2 0.9 1.2 1 4 4 8 11 7
24 7 West Brom 8 7 1 0.5 0.4 2 5 1 4 3 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 9 2 7 1.4 2.2 2 1 6 13 20 7
2 12 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 4 9 13 13
3 24 Portsmouth 9 3 6 1.3 2.2 1 4 4 12 20 7
4 7 West Brom 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 5 1 15 9 17
5 17 Oxford 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
6 18 Preston 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 4 4 7 16 4
7 19 Luton 9 4 5 0.8 2.3 1 1 7 7 21 4
8 21 Plymouth 10 5 5 0.3 2.7 0 2 8 3 27 2
9 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 4 3 3 12 9 15
10 5 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 2.1 1.2 4 1 3 17 10 13
11 8 Blackburn 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 3 3 8 10 9
12 9 Norwich 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 4 10 14 9
13 11 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 3 3 3 11 12 12
14 15 Derby 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 5 9 15 6
15 22 Hull 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 2 2 5 9 15 8
16 13 Swansea 9 6 3 0.7 0.9 3 1 5 6 8 10
17 16 Coventry 9 6 3 0.9 1.3 1 4 4 8 12 7
18 20 Cardiff 9 6 3 0.7 1.8 0 5 4 6 16 5
19 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 4 3 2 11 7 15
20 3 Leeds 9 7 2 1.2 0.9 3 4 2 11 8 13
21 23 QPR 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 2 4 3 7 10 10
22 2 Burnley 10 9 1 1.1 0.4 5 3 2 11 4 18
23 10 Millwall 8 7 1 0.9 1.0 1 5 2 7 8 8
24 14 Stoke 8 7 1 0.5 1.1 2 2 4 4 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38