Sunderland 1–0 Millwall – England Championship, 29 Mar 2025

Match facts

Sunderland Millwall

13 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 1

14 Fouls 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (459 league matches this season so far).

Result Sunderland to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.77

Expected goals 1.46 – 0.83

Home / Draw / Away

52% 27% 21%

SunderlandDrawMillwall

Under / Over 2.5 goals

60% 40%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

57% 43%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

27% 2

20% 3

12% 4

8% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 14.7% 1–1 12.3% 2–0 10.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Sunderland before this match, all matches

1.82points / match

1.45scored / match

0.97conceded / match

19 12 7

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 55:37

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.34points / match

0.97scored / match

1.03conceded / match

13 12 13

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 37:39

Sunderland all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 0.97

0.97 Goals conceded 1.03

2.42 Total goals 2.00

13.42 Shots 11.24

4.39 Shots on target 3.61

10.68 Shots faced 10.47

5.29 Corners 4.87

4.61 Corners against 5.24

10.50 Fouls 12.32

2.08 Yellow cards 1.74

0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.37

0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 34%

32% Draws 32%

18% Losses 34%

89% Over 0.5 goals 92%

68% Over 1.5 goals 50%

50% Over 2.5 goals 26%

26% Over 3.5 goals 16%

8% Over 4.5 goals 8%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

53% Both teams scored 42%

37% Clean sheets 34%

21% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 24%

42% Draws 45%

16% Losses 32%

71% Over 0.5 goals 61%

26% Over 1.5 goals 21%

8% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland all matches

2

D

3

2

W

2

D

2

W

1

2

L

1

L

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

3

L

Millwall all matches

1

W

2

1

W

1

5

L

1

D

1

D

1

W

2

L

2

1

W

2

L

1

W

Sunderland before this match, at home

2.11points / match

1.63scored / match

0.79conceded / match

11 7 1

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 31:15

Millwall before this match, away

1.21points / match

0.89scored / match

1.16conceded / match

5 8 6

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 17:22

Sunderland at home away Millwall

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 0.89

0.79 Goals conceded 1.16

2.42 Total goals 2.05

15.11 Shots 10.37

4.58 Shots on target 3.53

8.68 Shots faced 11.84

5.84 Corners 4.74

3.74 Corners against 5.47

9.42 Fouls 12.74

1.84 Yellow cards 2.05

0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.26

0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

58% Wins 26%

37% Draws 42%

5% Losses 32%

95% Over 0.5 goals 84%

74% Over 1.5 goals 53%

47% Over 2.5 goals 26%

26% Over 3.5 goals 16%

0% Over 4.5 goals 11%

0% Over 5.5 goals 11%

53% Both teams scored 47%

42% Clean sheets 37%

11% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 21%

42% Draws 37%

11% Losses 42%

79% Over 0.5 goals 68%

37% Over 1.5 goals 21%

11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland at home

1

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

W

2

D

2

D

2

W

1

L

2

1

W

1

D

Millwall away

1

2

L

D

2

D

1

W

1

W

1

5

L

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Sunderland all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Coventry – Sunderland	3–0 (2–0)	2.60	3.25	2.70	2.05	1.80
11.03.25	Sunderland – Preston	1–1 (0–0)	1.65	3.70	5.50	2.32	1.53
08.03.25	Sunderland – Cardiff	2–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.90	1.95
28.02.25	Sheffield Weds – Sunderland	1–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.20	2.63	2.10	1.73
22.02.25	Sunderland – Hull	0–1 (0–1)	1.62	3.80	5.50	2.03	1.83
17.02.25	Leeds – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.00	6.00	1.93	1.93
12.02.25	Sunderland – Luton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
08.02.25	Sunderland – Watford	2–2 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.83	2.03
03.02.25	Middlesbrough – Sunderland	2–3 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
25.01.25	Sunderland – Plymouth	2–2 (0–0)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.57	2.38

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Millwall – Stoke	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
12.03.25	Leeds – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.25	10.00	1.98	1.88
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
04.03.25	Millwall – Bristol City	0–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.75	1.44
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40
18.02.25	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	2.88	3.30	3.20	1.36
15.02.25	Millwall – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.50	1.53
12.02.25	Plymouth – Millwall	5–1 (2–0)	3.40	3.10	2.20	2.50	1.53
01.02.25	Millwall – QPR	2–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.75	1.44
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50

Sunderland at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.25	Sunderland – Preston	1–1 (0–0)	1.65	3.70	5.50	2.32	1.53
08.03.25	Sunderland – Cardiff	2–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.90	1.95
22.02.25	Sunderland – Hull	0–1 (0–1)	1.62	3.80	5.50	2.03	1.83
12.02.25	Sunderland – Luton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
08.02.25	Sunderland – Watford	2–2 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.83	2.03
25.01.25	Sunderland – Plymouth	2–2 (0–0)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.57	2.38
05.01.25	Sunderland – Portsmouth	1–0 (1–0)	1.48	4.50	6.00	1.80	2.00
01.01.25	Sunderland – Sheffield United	2–1 (2–1)	2.30	3.40	3.00	2.20	1.67
21.12.24	Sunderland – Norwich	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.50	4.33	1.93	1.93
10.12.24	Sunderland – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73

Millwall away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.25	Leeds – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.25	10.00	1.98	1.88
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40
18.02.25	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	2.88	3.30	3.20	1.36
12.02.25	Plymouth – Millwall	5–1 (2–0)	3.40	3.10	2.20	2.50	1.53
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
04.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Millwall	2–2 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.50	1.53
29.12.24	Coventry – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.70	4.33	2.20	1.67
26.12.24	Norwich – Millwall	2–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 3 1

Sunderland winsDrawsMillwall wins

5matches

2.00goals / match

20%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.11.24E1	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.38	1.57
20.04.24E1	Sunderland – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.67
02.12.23E1	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.38	1.98	1.88
04.02.23E1	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.20	1.67
03.12.22E1	Sunderland – Millwall	3–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.25	2.87	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	39	26	7	6	56	29	+27	85
2	Leeds	38	23	11	4	76	25	+51	80
3	Burnley	38	21	15	2	52	11	+41	78
4	Sunderland	38	19	12	7	55	37	+18	69
5	Coventry	39	17	8	14	56	51	+5	59
6	West Brom	38	13	18	7	48	34	+14	57
7	Bristol City	38	14	15	9	49	41	+8	57
8	Middlesbrough	38	15	9	14	57	48	+9	54
9	Watford	39	15	8	16	47	51	-4	53
10	Blackburn	38	15	7	16	42	40	+2	52
11	Millwall	38	13	12	13	37	39	-2	51
12	Sheffield Weds	38	14	9	15	53	59	-6	51
13	Norwich	38	12	13	13	60	54	+6	49
14	Preston	38	10	17	11	39	44	-5	47
15	QPR	38	11	12	15	44	50	-6	45
16	Swansea	38	12	8	18	38	49	-11	44
17	Portsmouth	38	11	9	18	46	61	-15	42
18	Oxford	38	10	12	16	39	55	-16	42
19	Hull	39	10	11	18	39	48	-9	41
20	Stoke	38	9	12	17	37	51	-14	39
21	Cardiff	38	9	12	17	42	62	-20	39
22	Derby	38	10	8	20	40	51	-11	38
23	Luton	39	10	8	21	35	60	-25	38
24	Plymouth	39	7	13	19	40	77	-37	34

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	19	15	3	1	47	9	+38	48
2	Sheffield United	20	14	3	3	30	15	+15	45
3	Sunderland	19	11	7	1	31	15	+16	40
4	Burnley	19	10	9	0	27	5	+22	39
5	Bristol City	19	10	6	3	28	15	+13	36
6	Coventry	19	11	3	5	34	22	+12	36
7	Watford	20	11	3	6	24	19	+5	36
8	West Brom	19	9	8	2	25	12	+13	35
9	Blackburn	19	10	3	6	26	17	+9	33
10	Portsmouth	19	9	5	5	28	18	+10	32
11	Middlesbrough	19	9	5	5	27	20	+7	32
12	Oxford	19	9	5	5	27	25	+2	32
13	Norwich	19	8	7	4	44	27	+17	31
14	Preston	19	7	10	2	21	15	+6	31
15	Millwall	19	8	4	7	20	17	+3	28
16	Derby	19	8	3	8	23	17	+6	27
17	QPR	19	7	6	6	29	26	+3	27
18	Luton	19	7	6	6	20	19	+1	27
19	Swansea	19	7	5	7	25	21	+4	26
20	Stoke	19	6	8	5	23	21	+2	26
21	Plymouth	19	6	7	6	32	34	-2	25
22	Cardiff	19	7	3	9	22	24	-2	24
23	Sheffield Weds	19	5	7	7	27	28	-1	22
24	Hull	20	4	7	9	21	25	-4	19

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	19	12	4	3	26	14	+12	40
2	Burnley	19	11	6	2	25	6	+19	39
3	Leeds	19	8	8	3	29	16	+13	32
4	Sunderland	19	8	5	6	24	22	+2	29
5	Sheffield Weds	19	9	2	8	26	31	-5	29
6	Millwall	19	5	8	6	17	22	-5	23
7	Coventry	20	6	5	9	22	29	-7	23
8	Middlesbrough	19	6	4	9	30	28	+2	22
9	West Brom	19	4	10	5	23	22	+1	22
10	Hull	19	6	4	9	18	23	-5	22
11	Bristol City	19	4	9	6	21	26	-5	21
12	Blackburn	19	5	4	10	16	23	-7	19
13	QPR	19	4	6	9	15	24	-9	18
14	Norwich	19	4	6	9	16	27	-11	18
15	Swansea	19	5	3	11	13	28	-15	18
16	Watford	19	4	5	10	23	32	-9	17
17	Preston	19	3	7	9	18	29	-11	16
18	Cardiff	19	2	9	8	20	38	-18	15
19	Stoke	19	3	4	12	14	30	-16	13
20	Derby	19	2	5	12	17	34	-17	11
21	Luton	20	3	2	15	15	41	-26	11
22	Oxford	19	1	7	11	12	30	-18	10
23	Portsmouth	19	2	4	13	18	43	-25	10
24	Plymouth	20	1	6	13	8	43	-35	9

Sunderland Millwall

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	38	13	25	1.2	1.6	11	9	18	46	61	42
2	5	Coventry	39	17	22	1.4	1.3	17	8	14	56	51	59
3	9	Watford	39	17	22	1.2	1.3	15	8	16	47	51	53
4	12	Sheffield Weds	38	16	22	1.4	1.6	14	9	15	53	59	51
5	24	Plymouth	39	18	21	1.0	2.0	7	13	19	40	77	34
6	4	Sunderland	38	19	19	1.4	1.0	19	12	7	55	37	69
7	13	Norwich	38	19	19	1.6	1.4	12	13	13	60	54	49
8	15	QPR	38	19	19	1.2	1.3	11	12	15	44	50	45
9	8	Middlesbrough	38	20	18	1.5	1.3	15	9	14	57	48	54
10	21	Cardiff	38	20	18	1.1	1.6	9	12	17	42	62	39
11	23	Luton	39	21	18	0.9	1.5	10	8	21	35	60	38
12	16	Swansea	38	21	17	1.0	1.3	12	8	18	38	49	44
13	2	Leeds	38	22	16	2.0	0.7	23	11	4	76	25	80
14	14	Preston	38	22	16	1.0	1.2	10	17	11	39	44	47
15	22	Derby	38	22	16	1.1	1.3	10	8	20	40	51	38
16	7	Bristol City	38	23	15	1.3	1.1	14	15	9	49	41	57
17	10	Blackburn	38	23	15	1.1	1.1	15	7	16	42	40	52
18	20	Stoke	38	23	15	1.0	1.3	9	12	17	37	51	39
19	1	Sheffield United	39	25	14	1.4	0.7	26	7	6	56	29	85
20	18	Oxford	38	24	14	1.0	1.4	10	12	16	39	55	42
21	6	West Brom	38	25	13	1.3	0.9	13	18	7	48	34	57
22	19	Hull	39	26	13	1.0	1.2	10	11	18	39	48	41
23	11	Millwall	38	28	10	1.0	1.0	13	12	13	37	39	51
24	3	Burnley	38	29	9	1.4	0.3	21	15	2	52	11	78

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Coventry	19	5	14	1.8	1.2	11	3	5	34	22	36
2	24	Plymouth	19	6	13	1.7	1.8	6	7	6	32	34	25
3	13	Norwich	19	7	12	2.3	1.4	8	7	4	44	27	31
4	15	QPR	19	7	12	1.5	1.4	7	6	6	29	26	27
5	17	Portsmouth	19	7	12	1.5	0.9	9	5	5	28	18	32
6	9	Watford	20	9	11	1.2	0.9	11	3	6	24	19	36
7	2	Leeds	19	9	10	2.5	0.5	15	3	1	47	9	48
8	4	Sunderland	19	10	9	1.6	0.8	11	7	1	31	15	40
9	7	Bristol City	19	11	8	1.5	0.8	10	6	3	28	15	36
10	12	Sheffield Weds	19	11	8	1.4	1.5	5	7	7	27	28	22
11	16	Swansea	19	11	8	1.3	1.1	7	5	7	25	21	26
12	20	Stoke	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	6	8	5	23	21	26
13	23	Luton	19	11	8	1.1	1.0	7	6	6	20	19	27
14	1	Sheffield United	20	13	7	1.5	0.8	14	3	3	30	15	45
15	8	Middlesbrough	19	12	7	1.4	1.1	9	5	5	27	20	32
16	10	Blackburn	19	12	7	1.4	0.9	10	3	6	26	17	33
17	18	Oxford	19	12	7	1.4	1.3	9	5	5	27	25	32
18	19	Hull	20	13	7	1.1	1.2	4	7	9	21	25	19
19	21	Cardiff	19	12	7	1.2	1.3	7	3	9	22	24	24
20	22	Derby	19	12	7	1.2	0.9	8	3	8	23	17	27
21	14	Preston	19	13	6	1.1	0.8	7	10	2	21	15	31
22	3	Burnley	19	14	5	1.4	0.3	10	9	0	27	5	39
23	6	West Brom	19	14	5	1.3	0.6	9	8	2	25	12	35
24	11	Millwall	19	14	5	1.1	0.9	8	4	7	20	17	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Sheffield Weds	19	5	14	1.4	1.6	9	2	8	26	31	29
2	17	Portsmouth	19	6	13	0.9	2.3	2	4	13	18	43	10
3	8	Middlesbrough	19	8	11	1.6	1.5	6	4	9	30	28	22
4	9	Watford	19	8	11	1.2	1.7	4	5	10	23	32	17
5	21	Cardiff	19	8	11	1.1	2.0	2	9	8	20	38	15
6	4	Sunderland	19	9	10	1.3	1.2	8	5	6	24	22	29
7	14	Preston	19	9	10	0.9	1.5	3	7	9	18	29	16
8	23	Luton	20	10	10	0.8	2.0	3	2	15	15	41	11
9	16	Swansea	19	10	9	0.7	1.5	5	3	11	13	28	18
10	22	Derby	19	10	9	0.9	1.8	2	5	12	17	34	11
11	5	Coventry	20	12	8	1.1	1.4	6	5	9	22	29	23
12	6	West Brom	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	4	10	5	23	22	22
13	10	Blackburn	19	11	8	0.8	1.2	5	4	10	16	23	19
14	24	Plymouth	20	12	8	0.4	2.1	1	6	13	8	43	9
15	1	Sheffield United	19	12	7	1.4	0.7	12	4	3	26	14	40
16	7	Bristol City	19	12	7	1.1	1.4	4	9	6	21	26	21
17	13	Norwich	19	12	7	0.8	1.4	4	6	9	16	27	18
18	15	QPR	19	12	7	0.8	1.3	4	6	9	15	24	18
19	18	Oxford	19	12	7	0.6	1.6	1	7	11	12	30	10
20	20	Stoke	19	12	7	0.7	1.6	3	4	12	14	30	13
21	2	Leeds	19	13	6	1.5	0.8	8	8	3	29	16	32
22	19	Hull	19	13	6	0.9	1.2	6	4	9	18	23	22
23	11	Millwall	19	14	5	0.9	1.2	5	8	6	17	22	23
24	3	Burnley	19	15	4	1.3	0.3	11	6	2	25	6	39

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.