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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Attwell

Leeds 2–1 Sunderland

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.53 fair 1.71
Draw 4.00 fair 4.28
Away 6.00 fair 5.48
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 1.94
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.07

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Sunderland
21 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 6
10 Corners 0
11 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (391 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.75 – 0.86
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawSunderland
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.9% 2–0 11.2% 1–1 11.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
2.16points / match
2.06scored / match
0.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 66:19
Sunderland before this match, all matches
1.94points / match
1.53scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 49:28
Leeds all matches all matches Sunderland

Per match

2.06 Goals scored 1.53
0.59 Goals conceded 0.88
2.66 Total goals 2.41
16.88 Shots 13.47
5.88 Shots on target 4.63
6.28 Shots faced 10.19
7.41 Corners 5.47
3.16 Corners against 4.56
10.78 Fouls 10.56
1.56 Yellow cards 2.13
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.34 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

63% Wins 53%
28% Draws 34%
9% Losses 13%
91% Over 0.5 goals 88%
78% Over 1.5 goals 66%
41% Over 2.5 goals 47%
25% Over 3.5 goals 31%
13% Over 4.5 goals 9%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
28% Both teams scored 50%
63% Clean sheets 44%
19% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 44%
25% Draws 44%
25% Losses 13%
78% Over 0.5 goals 69%
31% Over 1.5 goals 25%
13% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Sunderland all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.56points / match
2.63scored / match
0.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 42:7
Sunderland before this match, away
1.63points / match
1.31scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 21:16
Leeds at home away Sunderland

Per match

2.63 Goals scored 1.31
0.44 Goals conceded 1.00
3.06 Total goals 2.31
18.63 Shots 12.50
6.88 Shots on target 4.31
5.25 Shots faced 11.88
8.75 Corners 5.00
2.63 Corners against 5.19
10.56 Fouls 11.56
1.31 Yellow cards 2.19
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.19 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

81% Wins 44%
13% Draws 31%
6% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 81%
94% Over 1.5 goals 56%
56% Over 2.5 goals 44%
25% Over 3.5 goals 31%
13% Over 4.5 goals 19%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 50%
69% Clean sheets 38%
6% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

69% Wins 31%
19% Draws 50%
13% Losses 19%
81% Over 0.5 goals 56%
38% Over 1.5 goals 13%
13% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Sunderland away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.25 Watford – Leeds 0–4 (0–3) 10.004.751.33 1.73 2.10
05.02.25 Coventry – Leeds 0–2 (0–2) 4.003.601.85 1.93 1.93
01.02.25 Leeds – Cardiff 7–0 (2–0) 1.295.509.00 1.73 2.10
27.01.25 Burnley – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.30 2.50 1.53
22.01.25 Leeds – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 1.384.508.00 1.68 2.05
19.01.25 Leeds – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.007.50 1.80 2.00
04.01.25 Hull – Leeds 3–3 (1–0) 5.504.201.55 1.93 1.93
01.01.25 Leeds – Blackburn 1–1 (0–0) 1.365.007.50 1.90 1.95
29.12.24 Derby – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.60 2.10 1.73
26.12.24 Stoke – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.201.50 1.90 1.95

Sunderland all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.25 Sunderland – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.805.00 2.00 1.85
08.02.25 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (1–1) 1.504.335.75 1.83 2.03
03.02.25 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 2–3 (1–1) 2.353.403.00 1.93 1.93
25.01.25 Sunderland – Plymouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.57 2.38
21.01.25 Derby – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.302.10 2.20 1.67
17.01.25 Burnley – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.40 2.63 1.50
05.01.25 Sunderland – Portsmouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.00 1.80 2.00
01.01.25 Sunderland – Sheffield United 2–1 (2–1) 2.303.403.00 2.20 1.67
29.12.24 Stoke – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Blackburn – Sunderland 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.252.50 2.20 1.67

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Leeds – Cardiff 7–0 (2–0) 1.295.509.00 1.73 2.10
22.01.25 Leeds – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 1.384.508.00 1.68 2.05
19.01.25 Leeds – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.007.50 1.80 2.00
01.01.25 Leeds – Blackburn 1–1 (0–0) 1.365.007.50 1.90 1.95
21.12.24 Leeds – Oxford 4–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.53 2.50
10.12.24 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 1.703.704.75 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75

Sunderland away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.25 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 2–3 (1–1) 2.353.403.00 1.93 1.93
21.01.25 Derby – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.302.10 2.20 1.67
17.01.25 Burnley – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.40 2.63 1.50
29.12.24 Stoke – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Blackburn – Sunderland 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.252.50 2.20 1.67
14.12.24 Swansea – Sunderland 2–3 (2–1) 2.633.202.70 2.10 1.73
29.11.24 Sheffield United – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.303.90 2.38 1.57
23.11.24 Millwall – Sunderland 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.253.20 2.38 1.57
06.11.24 Preston – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.102.30 2.20 1.67
02.11.24 QPR – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsSunderland wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.24E1 Sunderland – Leeds 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.73
09.04.24E1 Leeds – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
12.12.23E1 Sunderland – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.40 1.70 2.10

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 33 22 6 5 47 23 +24 72
2 Leeds 32 20 9 3 66 19 +47 69
3 Burnley 33 17 14 2 39 9 +30 65
4 Sunderland 32 17 11 4 49 28 +21 62
5 Blackburn 33 15 6 12 39 31 +8 51
6 West Brom 33 11 15 7 42 31 +11 48
7 Coventry 33 13 8 12 44 41 +3 47
8 Bristol City 33 11 13 9 41 37 +4 46
9 Sheffield Weds 33 12 9 12 46 50 -4 45
10 Watford 33 13 6 14 43 48 -5 45
11 Middlesbrough 32 12 8 12 50 43 +7 44
12 Norwich 33 11 11 11 51 45 +6 44
13 QPR 33 11 11 11 39 41 -2 44
14 Millwall 32 10 11 11 32 33 -1 41
15 Preston 32 9 14 9 34 38 -4 41
16 Oxford 33 9 11 13 34 47 -13 38
17 Swansea 33 10 7 16 34 46 -12 37
18 Portsmouth 33 9 9 15 41 55 -14 36
19 Stoke 32 8 11 13 31 40 -9 35
20 Cardiff 32 7 11 14 35 54 -19 32
21 Hull 32 7 9 16 32 43 -11 30
22 Derby 33 7 8 18 33 46 -13 29
23 Plymouth 32 6 10 16 34 66 -32 28
24 Luton 32 7 6 19 30 52 -22 27
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 16 13 2 1 42 7 +35 41
2 Sheffield United 16 12 2 2 24 10 +14 38
3 Sunderland 16 10 6 0 28 12 +16 36
4 Burnley 16 8 8 0 18 4 +14 32
5 Blackburn 17 10 2 5 24 14 +10 32
6 Bristol City 16 8 5 3 23 12 +11 29
7 Watford 16 9 2 5 20 17 +3 29
8 Oxford 17 8 5 4 24 22 +2 29
9 West Brom 16 7 7 2 21 11 +10 28
10 Norwich 16 7 6 3 37 21 +16 27
11 Coventry 16 8 3 5 26 19 +7 27
12 Portsmouth 16 7 5 4 24 15 +9 26
13 Middlesbrough 17 7 5 5 24 19 +5 26
14 Preston 16 6 8 2 18 13 +5 26
15 QPR 17 7 5 5 26 22 +4 26
16 Millwall 17 7 4 6 19 15 +4 25
17 Plymouth 16 6 6 4 29 27 +2 24
18 Stoke 16 5 7 4 21 18 +3 22
19 Sheffield Weds 17 5 7 5 26 25 +1 22
20 Luton 16 6 4 6 18 18 0 22
21 Derby 16 6 3 7 19 15 +4 21
22 Cardiff 16 6 3 7 19 20 -1 21
23 Swansea 16 5 5 6 21 19 +2 20
24 Hull 17 2 7 8 17 23 -6 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 17 10 4 3 23 13 +10 34
2 Burnley 17 9 6 2 21 5 +16 33
3 Leeds 16 7 7 2 24 12 +12 28
4 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 21 16 +5 26
5 Sheffield Weds 16 7 2 7 20 25 -5 23
6 West Brom 17 4 8 5 21 20 +1 20
7 Coventry 17 5 5 7 18 22 -4 20
8 Blackburn 16 5 4 7 15 17 -2 19
9 Middlesbrough 15 5 3 7 26 24 +2 18
10 QPR 16 4 6 6 13 19 -6 18
11 Hull 15 5 2 8 15 20 -5 17
12 Bristol City 17 3 8 6 18 25 -7 17
13 Norwich 17 4 5 8 14 24 -10 17
14 Swansea 17 5 2 10 13 27 -14 17
15 Millwall 15 3 7 5 13 18 -5 16
16 Watford 17 4 4 9 23 31 -8 16
17 Preston 16 3 6 7 16 25 -9 15
18 Stoke 16 3 4 9 10 22 -12 13
19 Cardiff 16 1 8 7 16 34 -18 11
20 Portsmouth 17 2 4 11 17 40 -23 10
21 Oxford 16 1 6 9 10 25 -15 9
22 Derby 17 1 5 11 14 31 -17 8
23 Luton 16 1 2 13 12 34 -22 5
24 Plymouth 16 0 4 12 5 39 -34 4

Leeds   Sunderland

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Portsmouth 33 11 22 1.2 1.7 9 9 15 41 55 36
2 10 Watford 33 12 21 1.3 1.5 13 6 14 43 48 45
3 9 Sheffield Weds 33 15 18 1.4 1.5 12 9 12 46 50 45
4 23 Plymouth 32 14 18 1.1 2.1 6 10 16 34 66 28
5 7 Coventry 33 16 17 1.3 1.2 13 8 12 44 41 47
6 12 Norwich 33 17 16 1.5 1.4 11 11 11 51 45 44
7 17 Swansea 33 17 16 1.0 1.4 10 7 16 34 46 37
8 24 Luton 32 16 16 0.9 1.6 7 6 19 30 52 27
9 4 Sunderland 32 17 15 1.5 0.9 17 11 4 49 28 62
10 11 Middlesbrough 32 17 15 1.6 1.3 12 8 12 50 43 44
11 13 QPR 33 18 15 1.2 1.2 11 11 11 39 41 44
12 15 Preston 32 18 14 1.1 1.2 9 14 9 34 38 41
13 20 Cardiff 32 18 14 1.1 1.7 7 11 14 35 54 32
14 22 Derby 33 19 14 1.0 1.4 7 8 18 33 46 29
15 2 Leeds 32 19 13 2.1 0.6 20 9 3 66 19 69
16 6 West Brom 33 20 13 1.3 0.9 11 15 7 42 31 48
17 8 Bristol City 33 20 13 1.2 1.1 11 13 9 41 37 46
18 5 Blackburn 33 21 12 1.2 0.9 15 6 12 39 31 51
19 16 Oxford 33 21 12 1.0 1.4 9 11 13 34 47 38
20 19 Stoke 32 20 12 1.0 1.2 8 11 13 31 40 35
21 21 Hull 32 20 12 1.0 1.3 7 9 16 32 43 30
22 1 Sheffield United 33 22 11 1.4 0.7 22 6 5 47 23 72
23 14 Millwall 32 23 9 1.0 1.0 10 11 11 32 33 41
24 3 Burnley 33 27 6 1.2 0.3 17 14 2 39 9 65
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Coventry 16 5 11 1.6 1.2 8 3 5 26 19 27
2 23 Plymouth 16 5 11 1.8 1.7 6 6 4 29 27 24
3 10 Watford 16 6 10 1.2 1.1 9 2 5 20 17 29
4 12 Norwich 16 6 10 2.3 1.3 7 6 3 37 21 27
5 13 QPR 17 7 10 1.5 1.3 7 5 5 26 22 26
6 18 Portsmouth 16 6 10 1.5 0.9 7 5 4 24 15 26
7 2 Leeds 16 7 9 2.6 0.4 13 2 1 42 7 41
8 4 Sunderland 16 8 8 1.8 0.8 10 6 0 28 12 36
9 24 Luton 16 8 8 1.1 1.1 6 4 6 18 18 22
10 9 Sheffield Weds 17 10 7 1.5 1.5 5 7 5 26 25 22
11 17 Swansea 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 5 5 6 21 19 20
12 19 Stoke 16 9 7 1.3 1.1 5 7 4 21 18 22
13 5 Blackburn 17 11 6 1.4 0.8 10 2 5 24 14 32
14 8 Bristol City 16 10 6 1.4 0.8 8 5 3 23 12 29
15 11 Middlesbrough 17 11 6 1.4 1.1 7 5 5 24 19 26
16 16 Oxford 17 11 6 1.4 1.3 8 5 4 24 22 29
17 21 Hull 17 11 6 1.0 1.4 2 7 8 17 23 13
18 22 Derby 16 10 6 1.2 0.9 6 3 7 19 15 21
19 1 Sheffield United 16 11 5 1.5 0.6 12 2 2 24 10 38
20 6 West Brom 16 11 5 1.3 0.7 7 7 2 21 11 28
21 14 Millwall 17 12 5 1.1 0.9 7 4 6 19 15 25
22 15 Preston 16 11 5 1.1 0.8 6 8 2 18 13 26
23 20 Cardiff 16 11 5 1.2 1.2 6 3 7 19 20 21
24 3 Burnley 16 13 3 1.1 0.2 8 8 0 18 4 32
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Portsmouth 17 5 12 1.0 2.4 2 4 11 17 40 10
2 9 Sheffield Weds 16 5 11 1.2 1.6 7 2 7 20 25 23
3 10 Watford 17 6 11 1.4 1.8 4 4 9 23 31 16
4 11 Middlesbrough 15 6 9 1.7 1.6 5 3 7 26 24 18
5 15 Preston 16 7 9 1.0 1.6 3 6 7 16 25 15
6 17 Swansea 17 8 9 0.8 1.6 5 2 10 13 27 17
7 20 Cardiff 16 7 9 1.0 2.1 1 8 7 16 34 11
8 6 West Brom 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 4 8 5 21 20 20
9 22 Derby 17 9 8 0.8 1.8 1 5 11 14 31 8
10 24 Luton 16 8 8 0.8 2.1 1 2 13 12 34 5
11 4 Sunderland 16 9 7 1.3 1.0 7 5 4 21 16 26
12 8 Bristol City 17 10 7 1.1 1.5 3 8 6 18 25 17
13 23 Plymouth 16 9 7 0.3 2.4 0 4 12 5 39 4
14 1 Sheffield United 17 11 6 1.4 0.8 10 4 3 23 13 34
15 5 Blackburn 16 10 6 0.9 1.1 5 4 7 15 17 19
16 7 Coventry 17 11 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 7 18 22 20
17 12 Norwich 17 11 6 0.8 1.4 4 5 8 14 24 17
18 16 Oxford 16 10 6 0.6 1.6 1 6 9 10 25 9
19 21 Hull 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 5 2 8 15 20 17
20 13 QPR 16 11 5 0.8 1.2 4 6 6 13 19 18
21 19 Stoke 16 11 5 0.6 1.4 3 4 9 10 22 13
22 2 Leeds 16 12 4 1.5 0.8 7 7 2 24 12 28
23 14 Millwall 15 11 4 0.9 1.2 3 7 5 13 18 16
24 3 Burnley 17 14 3 1.2 0.3 9 6 2 21 5 33

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38