Watford 1–2 Millwall – England Championship, 8 Mar 2025

Match facts

Watford Millwall

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

11 Corners 4

7 Fouls 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (421 league matches this season so far).

Result Watford to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.86

Expected goals 1.33 – 0.99

Home / Draw / Away

45% 28% 28%

WatfordDrawMillwall

Under / Over 2.5 goals

59% 41%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

54% 46%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13% 1–1 12.9% 0–0 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.40points / match

1.29scored / match

1.37conceded / match

14 7 14

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 45:48

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.29points / match

0.97scored / match

1.03conceded / match

11 12 12

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 34:36

Watford all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 0.97

1.37 Goals conceded 1.03

2.66 Total goals 2.00

11.20 Shots 11.46

3.80 Shots on target 3.69

13.23 Shots faced 10.31

5.03 Corners 4.89

5.31 Corners against 5.11

12.46 Fouls 12.60

2.14 Yellow cards 1.80

0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.40

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.49

How often Full Time

40% Wins 31%

20% Draws 34%

40% Losses 34%

94% Over 0.5 goals 91%

74% Over 1.5 goals 49%

60% Over 2.5 goals 26%

20% Over 3.5 goals 17%

9% Over 4.5 goals 9%

3% Over 5.5 goals 6%

57% Both teams scored 43%

26% Clean sheets 34%

23% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 26%

40% Draws 46%

40% Losses 29%

71% Over 0.5 goals 60%

31% Over 1.5 goals 23%

11% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

D

4

L

1

W

2

W

D

Millwall all matches

1

L

2

D

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

1

5

L

1

D

1

D

1

W

2

L

Watford before this match, at home

1.88points / match

1.29scored / match

1.00conceded / match

10 2 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 22:17

Millwall before this match, away

1.18points / match

0.88scored / match

1.12conceded / match

4 8 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 15:19

Watford at home away Millwall

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 0.88

1.00 Goals conceded 1.12

2.29 Total goals 2.00

12.00 Shots 10.71

4.24 Shots on target 3.71

12.29 Shots faced 11.35

5.41 Corners 4.88

4.59 Corners against 5.24

11.88 Fouls 13.12

2.18 Yellow cards 2.24

0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.29

0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

59% Wins 24%

12% Draws 47%

29% Losses 29%

94% Over 0.5 goals 82%

71% Over 1.5 goals 47%

59% Over 2.5 goals 24%

6% Over 3.5 goals 18%

0% Over 4.5 goals 12%

0% Over 5.5 goals 12%

53% Both teams scored 47%

35% Clean sheets 41%

18% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 24%

47% Draws 41%

35% Losses 35%

65% Over 0.5 goals 65%

29% Over 1.5 goals 24%

12% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

1

W

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

4

L

2

W

Millwall away

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

D

2

D

1

W

1

W

1

5

L

1

D

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Stoke – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.88	1.95	1.90
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
08.02.25	Sunderland – Watford	2–2 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.83	2.03
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Coventry – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.83	2.03
21.01.25	Watford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.20	1.67
18.01.25	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Millwall – Bristol City	0–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.75	1.44
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40
18.02.25	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	2.88	3.30	3.20	1.36
15.02.25	Millwall – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.50	1.53
12.02.25	Plymouth – Millwall	5–1 (2–0)	3.40	3.10	2.20	2.50	1.53
01.02.25	Millwall – QPR	2–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.75	1.44
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
21.01.25	Millwall – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.15	2.90	3.90	3.00	1.40
18.01.25	Millwall – Hull	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.50	1.53

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
21.01.25	Watford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.20	1.67
04.01.25	Watford – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.50	2.40	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Watford – Cardiff	1–2 (1–2)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98
26.12.24	Watford – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.33	1.85	2.00
15.12.24	Watford – West Brom	2–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Watford – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.00	1.93	1.93
26.11.24	Watford – Bristol City	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.25	2.00	1.85

Millwall away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40
18.02.25	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	2.88	3.30	3.20	1.36
12.02.25	Plymouth – Millwall	5–1 (2–0)	3.40	3.10	2.20	2.50	1.53
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
04.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Millwall	2–2 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.50	1.53
29.12.24	Coventry – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.70	4.33	2.20	1.67
26.12.24	Norwich – Millwall	2–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.67
14.12.24	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.80	4.75	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Oxford – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	3.40	3.50	2.10	2.38	1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 3

Watford winsDrawsMillwall wins

5matches

3.00goals / match

60%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.08.24E1	Millwall – Watford	2–3 (0–1)	2.30	3.25	3.25	2.25	1.62
02.03.24E1	Millwall – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
28.10.23E1	Watford – Millwall	2–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.20	1.65
26.12.22E1	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.20	1.67
19.10.22E1	Millwall – Watford	3–0 (3–0)	2.60	3.20	2.80	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	35	22	10	3	72	22	+50	76
2	Sheffield United	35	23	6	6	50	27	+23	75
3	Burnley	35	19	14	2	45	10	+35	71
4	Sunderland	35	18	11	6	52	32	+20	65
5	Coventry	35	15	8	12	49	44	+5	53
6	West Brom	35	12	16	7	45	32	+13	52
7	Bristol City	35	13	13	9	45	38	+7	52
8	Blackburn	35	15	7	13	40	35	+5	52
9	Middlesbrough	35	14	8	13	55	46	+9	50
10	Norwich	36	12	13	11	57	49	+8	49
11	Watford	35	14	7	14	45	48	-3	49
12	Millwall	35	11	12	12	34	36	-2	45
13	Sheffield Weds	35	12	9	14	47	56	-9	45
14	QPR	35	11	11	13	41	45	-4	44
15	Preston	35	9	16	10	36	41	-5	43
16	Swansea	35	11	8	16	37	46	-9	41
17	Portsmouth	35	10	9	16	43	57	-14	39
18	Oxford	36	9	12	15	37	53	-16	39
19	Hull	35	9	9	17	35	44	-9	36
20	Stoke	35	8	12	15	34	47	-13	36
21	Cardiff	35	8	12	15	38	57	-19	36
22	Luton	35	8	7	20	32	55	-23	31
23	Plymouth	35	6	12	17	36	70	-34	30
24	Derby	35	7	8	20	33	48	-15	29

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	3	1	45	9	+36	45
2	Sheffield United	17	12	2	3	25	13	+12	38
3	Sunderland	17	10	6	1	28	13	+15	36
4	Burnley	17	9	8	0	22	4	+18	35
5	Blackburn	18	10	3	5	25	15	+10	33
6	Bristol City	17	9	5	3	25	13	+12	32
7	Watford	17	10	2	5	22	17	+5	32
8	Norwich	18	8	7	3	42	24	+18	31
9	West Brom	17	8	7	2	23	11	+12	31
10	Coventry	17	9	3	5	28	20	+8	30
11	Portsmouth	17	8	5	4	26	16	+10	29
12	Middlesbrough	18	8	5	5	25	19	+6	29
13	Oxford	18	8	5	5	26	25	+1	29
14	Preston	18	6	10	2	19	14	+5	28
15	QPR	18	7	5	6	27	24	+3	26
16	Luton	18	7	5	6	20	19	+1	26
17	Plymouth	17	6	7	4	30	28	+2	25
18	Millwall	18	7	4	7	19	17	+2	25
19	Cardiff	18	7	3	8	21	22	-1	24
20	Swansea	17	6	5	6	24	19	+5	23
21	Stoke	18	5	8	5	22	21	+1	23
22	Sheffield Weds	18	5	7	6	27	27	0	22
23	Derby	17	6	3	8	19	16	+3	21
24	Hull	18	3	7	8	19	23	-4	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	18	11	4	3	25	14	+11	37
2	Burnley	18	10	6	2	23	6	+17	36
3	Leeds	17	8	7	2	27	13	+14	31
4	Sunderland	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Coventry	18	6	5	7	21	24	-3	23
6	Sheffield Weds	17	7	2	8	20	29	-9	23
7	Middlesbrough	17	6	3	8	30	27	+3	21
8	West Brom	18	4	9	5	22	21	+1	21
9	Millwall	17	4	8	5	15	19	-4	20
10	Bristol City	18	4	8	6	20	25	-5	20
11	Hull	17	6	2	9	16	21	-5	20
12	Blackburn	17	5	4	8	15	20	-5	19
13	QPR	17	4	6	7	14	21	-7	18
14	Norwich	18	4	6	8	15	25	-10	18
15	Swansea	18	5	3	10	13	27	-14	18
16	Watford	18	4	5	9	23	31	-8	17
17	Preston	17	3	6	8	17	27	-10	15
18	Stoke	17	3	4	10	12	26	-14	13
19	Cardiff	17	1	9	7	17	35	-18	12
20	Oxford	18	1	7	10	11	28	-17	10
21	Portsmouth	18	2	4	12	17	41	-24	10
22	Derby	18	1	5	12	14	32	-18	8
23	Luton	17	1	2	14	12	36	-24	5
24	Plymouth	18	0	5	13	6	42	-36	5

Watford Millwall

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	35	12	23	1.2	1.6	10	9	16	43	57	39
2	11	Watford	35	14	21	1.3	1.4	14	7	14	45	48	49
3	13	Sheffield Weds	35	15	20	1.3	1.6	12	9	14	47	56	45
4	5	Coventry	35	16	19	1.4	1.3	15	8	12	49	44	53
5	23	Plymouth	35	17	18	1.0	2.0	6	12	17	36	70	30
6	4	Sunderland	35	18	17	1.5	0.9	18	11	6	52	32	65
7	9	Middlesbrough	35	18	17	1.6	1.3	14	8	13	55	46	50
8	10	Norwich	36	19	17	1.6	1.4	12	13	11	57	49	49
9	14	QPR	35	18	17	1.2	1.3	11	11	13	41	45	44
10	16	Swansea	35	18	17	1.1	1.3	11	8	16	37	46	41
11	22	Luton	35	19	16	0.9	1.6	8	7	20	32	55	31
12	1	Leeds	35	20	15	2.1	0.6	22	10	3	72	22	76
13	15	Preston	35	20	15	1.0	1.2	9	16	10	36	41	43
14	21	Cardiff	35	20	15	1.1	1.6	8	12	15	38	57	36
15	7	Bristol City	35	21	14	1.3	1.1	13	13	9	45	38	52
16	20	Stoke	35	21	14	1.0	1.3	8	12	15	34	47	36
17	24	Derby	35	21	14	0.9	1.4	7	8	20	33	48	29
18	2	Sheffield United	35	22	13	1.4	0.8	23	6	6	50	27	75
19	6	West Brom	35	22	13	1.3	0.9	12	16	7	45	32	52
20	8	Blackburn	35	22	13	1.1	1.0	15	7	13	40	35	52
21	18	Oxford	36	23	13	1.0	1.5	9	12	15	37	53	39
22	19	Hull	35	23	12	1.0	1.3	9	9	17	35	44	36
23	12	Millwall	35	26	9	1.0	1.0	11	12	12	34	36	45
24	3	Burnley	35	27	8	1.3	0.3	19	14	2	45	10	71

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Coventry	17	5	12	1.6	1.2	9	3	5	28	20	30
2	10	Norwich	18	7	11	2.3	1.3	8	7	3	42	24	31
3	14	QPR	18	7	11	1.5	1.3	7	5	6	27	24	26
4	17	Portsmouth	17	6	11	1.5	0.9	8	5	4	26	16	29
5	23	Plymouth	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	7	4	30	28	25
6	1	Leeds	18	8	10	2.5	0.5	14	3	1	45	9	45
7	11	Watford	17	7	10	1.3	1.0	10	2	5	22	17	32
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.6	0.8	10	6	1	28	13	36
9	13	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	1.5	1.5	5	7	6	27	27	22
10	16	Swansea	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	6	5	6	24	19	23
11	20	Stoke	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	5	8	5	22	21	23
12	22	Luton	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	7	5	6	20	19	26
13	7	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.5	0.8	9	5	3	25	13	32
14	18	Oxford	18	11	7	1.4	1.4	8	5	5	26	25	29
15	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.5	0.8	12	2	3	25	13	38
16	8	Blackburn	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	10	3	5	25	15	33
17	9	Middlesbrough	18	12	6	1.4	1.1	8	5	5	25	19	29
18	19	Hull	18	12	6	1.1	1.3	3	7	8	19	23	16
19	21	Cardiff	18	12	6	1.2	1.2	7	3	8	21	22	24
20	24	Derby	17	11	6	1.1	0.9	6	3	8	19	16	21
21	6	West Brom	17	12	5	1.4	0.6	8	7	2	23	11	31
22	12	Millwall	18	13	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	7	19	17	25
23	15	Preston	18	13	5	1.1	0.8	6	10	2	19	14	28
24	3	Burnley	17	13	4	1.3	0.2	9	8	0	22	4	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Sheffield Weds	17	5	12	1.2	1.7	7	2	8	20	29	23
2	17	Portsmouth	18	6	12	0.9	2.3	2	4	12	17	41	10
3	9	Middlesbrough	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	3	8	30	27	21
4	11	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	4	5	9	23	31	17
5	15	Preston	17	7	10	1.0	1.6	3	6	8	17	27	15
6	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
7	16	Swansea	18	9	9	0.7	1.5	5	3	10	13	27	18
8	21	Cardiff	17	8	9	1.0	2.1	1	9	7	17	35	12
9	6	West Brom	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	4	9	5	22	21	21
10	22	Luton	17	9	8	0.7	2.1	1	2	14	12	36	5
11	24	Derby	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	12	14	32	8
12	2	Sheffield United	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	11	4	3	25	14	37
13	5	Coventry	18	11	7	1.2	1.3	6	5	7	21	24	23
14	7	Bristol City	18	11	7	1.1	1.4	4	8	6	20	25	20
15	8	Blackburn	17	10	7	0.9	1.2	5	4	8	15	20	19
16	23	Plymouth	18	11	7	0.3	2.3	0	5	13	6	42	5
17	10	Norwich	18	12	6	0.8	1.4	4	6	8	15	25	18
18	14	QPR	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	4	6	7	14	21	18
19	18	Oxford	18	12	6	0.6	1.6	1	7	10	11	28	10
20	19	Hull	17	11	6	0.9	1.2	6	2	9	16	21	20
21	20	Stoke	17	11	6	0.7	1.5	3	4	10	12	26	13
22	1	Leeds	17	12	5	1.6	0.8	8	7	2	27	13	31
23	3	Burnley	18	14	4	1.3	0.3	10	6	2	23	6	36
24	12	Millwall	17	13	4	0.9	1.1	4	8	5	15	19	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.