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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Derby 1–1 Southampton

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.50 fair 2.69
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 3.96
Away 2.05 fair 2.66
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Southampton
9 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 5
11 Fouls 9
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (99 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawSouthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 0–1 8.5% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
1.25scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:14
Southampton before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:11
Derby all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.25
1.75 Goals conceded 1.38
3.00 Total goals 2.63
8.13 Shots 14.63
2.38 Shots on target 4.25
13.75 Shots faced 10.25
3.38 Corners 6.00
5.50 Corners against 3.50
13.00 Fouls 13.25
3.13 Yellow cards 2.88
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

13% Wins 25%
50% Draws 50%
38% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
75% Over 1.5 goals 88%
38% Over 2.5 goals 63%
38% Over 3.5 goals 25%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 88%
13% Clean sheets 13%
13% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 13%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 38%
63% Over 0.5 goals 63%
13% Over 1.5 goals 13%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Southampton all matches
Derby before this match, at home
0.50points / match
1.25scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:8
Southampton before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.50scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:7
Derby at home away Southampton

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.50
2.00 Goals conceded 1.75
3.25 Total goals 3.25
10.75 Shots 12.25
2.75 Shots on target 4.75
13.00 Shots faced 10.75
4.50 Corners 5.25
4.00 Corners against 3.25
12.50 Fouls 15.25
2.25 Yellow cards 3.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

0% Wins 25%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
25% Over 2.5 goals 75%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 25%
25% Draws 25%
75% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Southampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.25 Derby – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.65 2.63 1.50
27.09.25 Wrexham – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.38 1.57
20.09.25 Derby – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.10 2.75 1.44
13.09.25 West Brom – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57
16.08.25 Derby – Coventry 3–5 (2–2) 3.103.202.38 2.30 1.62
09.08.25 Stoke – Derby 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.50 1.53
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
26.04.25 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.003.25 2.63 1.50

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.25 Sheffield United – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.402.85 1.93 1.93
27.09.25 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
20.09.25 Hull – Southampton 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.502.20 1.73 2.10
14.09.25 Southampton – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.904.50 1.85 2.00
30.08.25 Watford – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.302.35 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Southampton – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 1.733.804.50 1.98 1.88
17.08.25 Ipswich – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.503.30 1.88 1.98
09.08.25 Southampton – Wrexham 2–1 (0–1) 1.703.754.75 1.98 1.88
25.05.25E0 Southampton – Arsenal 1–2 (0–1) 8.506.001.30 1.50 2.63
18.05.25E0 Everton – Southampton 2–0 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.80 2.00

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.25 Derby – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.65 2.63 1.50
20.09.25 Derby – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.10 2.75 1.44
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57
16.08.25 Derby – Coventry 3–5 (2–2) 3.103.202.38 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
18.04.25 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44
08.04.25 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44
02.04.25 Derby – Preston 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.75 1.44
11.03.25 Derby – Coventry 2–0 (1–0) 3.403.202.20 2.32 1.53
08.03.25 Derby – Blackburn 2–1 (2–1) 2.703.002.75 2.38 1.57

Southampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.25 Sheffield United – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.402.85 1.93 1.93
20.09.25 Hull – Southampton 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.502.20 1.73 2.10
30.08.25 Watford – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.302.35 2.03 1.83
17.08.25 Ipswich – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.503.30 1.88 1.98
18.05.25E0 Everton – Southampton 2–0 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.80 2.00
03.05.25E0 Leicester – Southampton 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.602.88 1.68 2.05
19.04.25E0 West Ham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.336.50 1.73 2.10
06.04.25E0 Tottenham – Southampton 3–1 (2–0) 1.385.506.50 1.40 3.00
08.03.25E0 Liverpool – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.109.0019.00 1.29 3.75
25.02.25E0 Chelsea – Southampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.29 3.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 9 5 4 0 27 7 +20 19
2 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 0 12 5 +7 18
3 Stoke 9 4 3 2 11 6 +5 15
4 West Brom 8 4 2 2 9 7 +2 14
5 Bristol City 8 3 4 1 14 8 +6 13
6 Leicester 8 3 4 1 10 7 +3 13
7 Preston 8 3 4 1 9 7 +2 13
8 Swansea 8 3 3 2 9 7 +2 12
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 8 6 +2 12
10 Hull 9 3 3 3 14 16 -2 12
11 QPR 8 3 3 2 11 13 -2 12
12 Birmingham 9 3 3 3 8 11 -3 12
13 Millwall 8 3 2 3 6 12 -6 11
14 Ipswich 7 2 4 1 12 7 +5 10
15 Wrexham 9 2 4 3 14 15 -1 10
16 Southampton 8 2 4 2 10 11 -1 10
17 Watford 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
18 Portsmouth 8 2 3 3 7 9 -2 9
19 Norwich 8 2 2 4 10 11 -1 8
20 Derby 8 1 4 3 10 14 -4 7
21 Blackburn 8 2 1 5 7 11 -4 7
22 Oxford 8 1 3 4 9 11 -2 6
23 Sheffield Weds 9 1 3 5 8 20 -12 6
24 Sheffield United 9 1 0 8 3 16 -13 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0 4 1 +3 10
2 Hull 5 3 1 1 9 8 +1 10
3 Coventry 4 2 2 0 11 2 +9 8
4 Ipswich 4 2 2 0 10 4 +6 8
5 Leicester 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 QPR 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
7 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
8 Preston 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
9 Charlton 4 2 1 1 5 2 +3 7
10 Stoke 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
11 Watford 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
12 Swansea 4 1 3 0 5 4 +1 6
13 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
14 Southampton 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
15 West Brom 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
16 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
17 Wrexham 5 0 3 2 7 10 -3 3
18 Millwall 4 1 0 3 1 9 -8 3
19 Oxford 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2
20 Derby 4 0 2 2 5 8 -3 2
21 Blackburn 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
22 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 1 14 -13 1
23 Norwich 4 0 0 4 4 8 -4 0
24 Sheffield United 4 0 0 4 2 8 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 5 3 2 0 16 5 +11 11
2 West Brom 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
3 Bristol City 4 2 2 0 8 2 +6 8
4 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 0 8 4 +4 8
5 Norwich 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
6 Stoke 5 2 2 1 6 3 +3 8
7 Millwall 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
8 Wrexham 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
9 Swansea 4 2 0 2 4 3 +1 6
10 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
11 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 7 6 +1 5
12 Leicester 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
13 Preston 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
14 Portsmouth 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
15 Southampton 4 1 2 1 6 7 -1 5
16 Derby 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
17 Charlton 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
18 Oxford 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
19 QPR 4 1 1 2 6 11 -5 4
20 Birmingham 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
21 Sheffield United 5 1 0 4 1 8 -7 3
22 Ipswich 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
23 Watford 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
24 Hull 4 0 2 2 5 8 -3 2

Derby   Southampton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Hull 9 2 7 1.6 1.8 3 3 3 14 16 12
2 1 Coventry 9 3 6 3.0 0.8 5 4 0 27 7 19
3 23 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 0.9 2.2 1 3 5 8 20 6
4 15 Wrexham 9 4 5 1.6 1.7 2 4 3 14 15 10
5 16 Southampton 8 3 5 1.2 1.4 2 4 2 10 11 10
6 2 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 1.5 0.6 5 3 0 12 5 18
7 5 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.8 1.0 3 4 1 14 8 13
8 11 QPR 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 3 3 2 11 13 12
9 17 Watford 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
10 19 Norwich 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 2 2 4 10 11 8
11 21 Blackburn 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 2 1 5 7 11 7
12 22 Oxford 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 1 3 4 9 11 6
13 3 Stoke 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 4 3 2 11 6 15
14 6 Leicester 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 3 4 1 10 7 13
15 7 Preston 8 5 3 1.1 0.9 3 4 1 9 7 13
16 12 Birmingham 9 6 3 0.9 1.2 3 3 3 8 11 12
17 13 Millwall 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 3 2 3 6 12 11
18 14 Ipswich 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 2 4 1 12 7 10
19 18 Portsmouth 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 2 3 3 7 9 9
20 20 Derby 8 5 3 1.2 1.8 1 4 3 10 14 7
21 24 Sheffield United 9 6 3 0.3 1.8 1 0 8 3 16 3
22 4 West Brom 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 4 2 2 9 7 14
23 8 Swansea 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 3 2 9 7 12
24 9 Charlton 8 6 2 1.0 0.8 3 3 2 8 6 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Hull 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 3 1 1 9 8 10
2 14 Ipswich 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 2 2 0 10 4 8
3 15 Wrexham 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 0 3 2 7 10 3
4 17 Watford 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
5 19 Norwich 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 0 0 4 4 8 0
6 23 Sheffield Weds 5 2 3 0.2 2.8 0 1 4 1 14 1
7 1 Coventry 4 2 2 2.8 0.5 2 2 0 11 2 8
8 5 Bristol City 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
9 7 Preston 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
10 13 Millwall 4 2 2 0.2 2.2 1 0 3 1 9 3
11 16 Southampton 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
12 18 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
13 21 Blackburn 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
14 22 Oxford 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2
15 24 Sheffield United 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 0 4 2 8 0
16 2 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 1.0 0.2 3 1 0 4 1 10
17 3 Stoke 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
18 6 Leicester 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
19 8 Swansea 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 3 0 5 4 6
20 9 Charlton 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 1 1 5 2 7
21 11 QPR 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
22 12 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
23 20 Derby 4 3 1 1.2 2.0 0 2 2 5 8 2
24 4 West Brom 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 5 1 4 3.2 1.0 3 2 0 16 5 11
2 2 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 0 8 4 8
3 10 Hull 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 0 2 2 5 8 2
4 11 QPR 4 1 3 1.5 2.8 1 1 2 6 11 4
5 16 Southampton 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 2 1 6 7 5
6 23 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 1 2 1 7 6 5
7 3 Stoke 5 3 2 1.2 0.6 2 2 1 6 3 8
8 4 West Brom 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
9 5 Bristol City 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 2 2 0 8 2 8
10 6 Leicester 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
11 12 Birmingham 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
12 15 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
13 20 Derby 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5
14 21 Blackburn 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
15 22 Oxford 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
16 7 Preston 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
17 8 Swansea 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 0 2 4 3 6
18 9 Charlton 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
19 13 Millwall 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
20 17 Watford 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
21 18 Portsmouth 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
22 19 Norwich 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
23 24 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0.2 1.6 1 0 4 1 8 3
24 14 Ipswich 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51