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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Millwall 2–1 Bristol City

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.32 fair 2.83
Draw 3.25 fair 3.73
Away 2.95 fair 2.64
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.86
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.16

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Bristol City
8 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 8
15 Fouls 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (275 league matches this season so far).
Result Bristol City to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.24 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawBristol City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 0–1 10.3% 1–0 9.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.09scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 25:31
Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.39scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 32:25
Millwall all matches all matches Bristol City

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 1.39
1.35 Goals conceded 1.09
2.43 Total goals 2.48
12.57 Shots 13.70
4.04 Shots on target 4.35
12.35 Shots faced 13.96
5.22 Corners 5.17
5.22 Corners against 4.96
13.43 Fouls 9.83
1.78 Yellow cards 1.61
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.87
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 43%
26% Draws 26%
30% Losses 30%
96% Over 0.5 goals 91%
74% Over 1.5 goals 65%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
26% Over 3.5 goals 26%
4% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
43% Both teams scored 48%
35% Clean sheets 35%
26% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 48%
48% Draws 30%
26% Losses 22%
65% Over 0.5 goals 78%
35% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Bristol City all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.08scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:15
Bristol City before this match, away
1.64points / match
1.27scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 14:12
Millwall at home away Bristol City

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.27
1.25 Goals conceded 1.09
2.33 Total goals 2.36
14.17 Shots 13.09
4.50 Shots on target 4.82
10.83 Shots faced 12.73
5.67 Corners 5.27
4.75 Corners against 5.09
11.67 Fouls 10.18
1.33 Yellow cards 1.18
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

50% Wins 45%
17% Draws 27%
33% Losses 27%
92% Over 0.5 goals 91%
67% Over 1.5 goals 64%
42% Over 2.5 goals 36%
25% Over 3.5 goals 18%
8% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
25% Both teams scored 45%
50% Clean sheets 36%
33% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 45%
50% Draws 36%
17% Losses 18%
58% Over 0.5 goals 73%
25% Over 1.5 goals 45%
0% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Bristol City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.25 Millwall – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Blackburn – Millwall 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.303.40 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Millwall – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.70 1.91 1.91
10.12.25 Derby – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 2.502.952.95 2.50 1.53
06.12.25 Bristol City – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73
29.11.25 Millwall – Southampton 3–2 (0–0) 3.053.602.20 1.98 1.88
26.11.25 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.705.25 2.05 1.80
22.11.25 Portsmouth – Millwall 3–1 (1–0) 2.573.052.70 2.30 1.62
08.11.25 Millwall – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.25 2.30 1.62
04.11.25 Birmingham – Millwall 4–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.20 1.67

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.25 West Brom – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 2.013.403.50 1.98 1.88
20.12.25 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.653.402.45 1.85 2.00
13.12.25 Coventry – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.663.754.75 1.67 2.20
10.12.25 Bristol City – Leicester 2–2 (0–2) 2.253.253.05 2.00 1.85
06.12.25 Bristol City – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73
29.11.25 Portsmouth – Bristol City 0–1 (0–1) 2.853.402.35 2.00 1.80
26.11.25 Wrexham – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
22.11.25 Bristol City – Swansea 3–0 (2–0) 2.103.253.40 2.10 1.73
07.11.25 Watford – Bristol City 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.403.60 2.20 1.67
04.11.25 Bristol City – Blackburn 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.253.50 2.03 1.83

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.25 Millwall – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Millwall – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.70 1.91 1.91
29.11.25 Millwall – Southampton 3–2 (0–0) 3.053.602.20 1.98 1.88
26.11.25 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.705.25 2.05 1.80
08.11.25 Millwall – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.25 2.30 1.62
25.10.25 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.202.95 2.30 1.62
04.10.25 Millwall – West Brom 3–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.50 2.38 1.57
01.10.25 Millwall – Coventry 0–4 (0–1) 3.003.302.30 1.93 1.93
22.09.25 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.013.203.80 2.30 1.62

Bristol City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.25 West Brom – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 2.013.403.50 1.98 1.88
13.12.25 Coventry – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.663.754.75 1.67 2.20
29.11.25 Portsmouth – Bristol City 0–1 (0–1) 2.853.402.35 2.00 1.80
26.11.25 Wrexham – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
07.11.25 Watford – Bristol City 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.403.60 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Stoke – Bristol City 5–1 (3–0) 2.323.302.85 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Norwich – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.57 1.83 2.03
27.09.25 Preston – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.65 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Sheffield Weds – Bristol City 0–3 (0–3) 3.753.401.91 1.90 1.95
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsBristol City wins
9matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25E1 Bristol City – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73
04.03.25E1 Millwall – Bristol City 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.75 1.44
17.08.24E1 Bristol City – Millwall 4–3 (2–0) 2.003.204.10 2.35 1.57
01.01.24E1 Bristol City – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.20 1.65
12.08.23E1 Millwall – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.73
29.12.22E1 Millwall – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.05 1.80
15.10.22E1 Bristol City – Millwall 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.05 1.80
02.01.22E1 Bristol City – Millwall 3–2 (1–2) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.61
29.09.21E1 Millwall – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 24 15 6 3 54 25 +29 51
2 Middlesbrough 23 12 7 4 33 24 +9 43
3 Ipswich 24 11 8 5 40 23 +17 41
4 Hull 23 11 5 7 39 37 +2 38
5 Preston 23 9 10 4 30 23 +7 37
6 Bristol City 23 10 6 7 32 25 +7 36
7 Millwall 23 10 6 7 25 31 -6 36
8 Watford 23 9 8 6 33 29 +4 35
9 QPR 23 10 5 8 33 35 -2 35
10 Stoke 23 10 4 9 28 21 +7 34
11 Derby 23 8 8 7 32 31 +1 32
12 Southampton 23 8 7 8 37 33 +4 31
13 Wrexham 23 7 10 6 32 30 +2 31
14 Leicester 23 8 7 8 32 33 -1 31
15 Birmingham 23 8 6 9 31 30 +1 30
16 West Brom 23 8 4 11 26 31 -5 28
17 Charlton 22 7 6 9 21 27 -6 27
18 Blackburn 22 7 5 10 22 26 -4 26
19 Sheffield United 23 8 2 13 31 36 -5 26
20 Swansea 23 7 5 11 24 31 -7 26
21 Oxford 23 5 7 11 24 32 -8 22
22 Portsmouth 22 5 7 10 19 29 -10 22
23 Norwich 23 5 6 12 26 35 -9 21
24 Sheffield Weds 22 1 7 14 18 45 -27 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 12 9 2 1 27 9 +18 29
2 Ipswich 12 7 4 1 22 10 +12 25
3 Watford 12 7 4 1 20 12 +8 25
4 Middlesbrough 11 7 3 1 16 10 +6 24
5 Hull 12 7 2 3 19 18 +1 23
6 Birmingham 11 6 4 1 23 10 +13 22
7 Stoke 11 6 2 3 17 8 +9 20
8 QPR 11 6 2 3 20 15 +5 20
9 Wrexham 12 5 5 2 22 18 +4 20
10 Preston 12 5 5 2 16 12 +4 20
11 Millwall 12 6 2 4 13 15 -2 20
12 Southampton 11 5 4 2 17 11 +6 19
13 West Brom 11 5 4 2 14 10 +4 19
14 Bristol City 12 5 3 4 18 13 +5 18
15 Swansea 12 5 3 4 15 16 -1 18
16 Charlton 10 5 2 3 12 11 +1 17
17 Leicester 11 4 4 3 15 13 +2 16
18 Portsmouth 12 4 3 5 12 13 -1 15
19 Sheffield United 11 4 2 5 15 12 +3 14
20 Derby 12 3 5 4 15 18 -3 14
21 Oxford 11 3 4 4 13 16 -3 13
22 Norwich 11 3 1 7 12 16 -4 10
23 Blackburn 11 2 3 6 11 16 -5 9
24 Sheffield Weds 12 0 3 9 7 29 -22 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 12 6 4 2 27 16 +11 22
2 Middlesbrough 12 5 4 3 17 14 +3 19
3 Derby 11 5 3 3 17 13 +4 18
4 Bristol City 11 5 3 3 14 12 +2 18
5 Preston 11 4 5 2 14 11 +3 17
6 Blackburn 11 5 2 4 11 10 +1 17
7 Ipswich 12 4 4 4 18 13 +5 16
8 Millwall 11 4 4 3 12 16 -4 16
9 Hull 11 4 3 4 20 19 +1 15
10 Leicester 12 4 3 5 17 20 -3 15
11 QPR 12 4 3 5 13 20 -7 15
12 Stoke 12 4 2 6 11 13 -2 14
13 Southampton 12 3 3 6 20 22 -2 12
14 Sheffield United 12 4 0 8 16 24 -8 12
15 Wrexham 11 2 5 4 10 12 -2 11
16 Norwich 12 2 5 5 14 19 -5 11
17 Watford 11 2 4 5 13 17 -4 10
18 Charlton 12 2 4 6 9 16 -7 10
19 Oxford 12 2 3 7 11 16 -5 9
20 West Brom 12 3 0 9 12 21 -9 9
21 Swansea 11 2 2 7 9 15 -6 8
22 Birmingham 12 2 2 8 8 20 -12 8
23 Sheffield Weds 10 1 4 5 11 16 -5 7
24 Portsmouth 10 1 4 5 7 16 -9 7

Millwall   Bristol City

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 23 7 16 1.7 1.6 11 5 7 39 37 38
2 12 Southampton 23 7 16 1.6 1.4 8 7 8 37 33 31
3 1 Coventry 24 10 14 2.2 1.0 15 6 3 54 25 51
4 9 QPR 23 9 14 1.4 1.5 10 5 8 33 35 35
5 14 Leicester 23 9 14 1.4 1.4 8 7 8 32 33 31
6 24 Sheffield Weds 22 8 14 0.8 2.0 1 7 14 18 45 10
7 8 Watford 23 10 13 1.4 1.3 9 8 6 33 29 35
8 19 Sheffield United 23 10 13 1.3 1.6 8 2 13 31 36 26
9 2 Middlesbrough 23 11 12 1.4 1.0 12 7 4 33 24 43
10 3 Ipswich 24 12 12 1.7 1.0 11 8 5 40 23 41
11 15 Birmingham 23 11 12 1.3 1.3 8 6 9 31 30 30
12 21 Oxford 23 11 12 1.0 1.4 5 7 11 24 32 22
13 11 Derby 23 12 11 1.4 1.3 8 8 7 32 31 32
14 16 West Brom 23 12 11 1.1 1.3 8 4 11 26 31 28
15 20 Swansea 23 12 11 1.0 1.3 7 5 11 24 31 26
16 23 Norwich 23 12 11 1.1 1.5 5 6 12 26 35 21
17 6 Bristol City 23 13 10 1.4 1.1 10 6 7 32 25 36
18 7 Millwall 23 13 10 1.1 1.3 10 6 7 25 31 36
19 10 Stoke 23 13 10 1.2 0.9 10 4 9 28 21 34
20 5 Preston 23 14 9 1.3 1.0 9 10 4 30 23 37
21 13 Wrexham 23 14 9 1.4 1.3 7 10 6 32 30 31
22 18 Blackburn 22 13 9 1.0 1.2 7 5 10 22 26 26
23 22 Portsmouth 22 13 9 0.9 1.3 5 7 10 19 29 22
24 17 Charlton 22 14 8 1.0 1.2 7 6 9 21 27 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 QPR 11 3 8 1.8 1.4 6 2 3 20 15 20
2 24 Sheffield Weds 12 4 8 0.6 2.4 0 3 9 7 29 3
3 3 Ipswich 12 5 7 1.8 0.8 7 4 1 22 10 25
4 4 Hull 12 5 7 1.6 1.5 7 2 3 19 18 23
5 8 Watford 12 5 7 1.7 1.0 7 4 1 20 12 25
6 21 Oxford 11 4 7 1.2 1.5 3 4 4 13 16 13
7 1 Coventry 12 6 6 2.2 0.8 9 2 1 27 9 29
8 2 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 1.5 0.9 7 3 1 16 10 24
9 6 Bristol City 12 6 6 1.5 1.1 5 3 4 18 13 18
10 12 Southampton 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 5 4 2 17 11 19
11 13 Wrexham 12 6 6 1.8 1.5 5 5 2 22 18 20
12 15 Birmingham 11 5 6 2.1 0.9 6 4 1 23 10 22
13 19 Sheffield United 11 5 6 1.4 1.1 4 2 5 15 12 14
14 20 Swansea 12 6 6 1.2 1.3 5 3 4 15 16 18
15 23 Norwich 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 1 7 12 16 10
16 5 Preston 12 7 5 1.3 1.0 5 5 2 16 12 20
17 7 Millwall 12 7 5 1.1 1.2 6 2 4 13 15 20
18 10 Stoke 11 6 5 1.5 0.7 6 2 3 17 8 20
19 14 Leicester 11 6 5 1.4 1.2 4 4 3 15 13 16
20 18 Blackburn 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 2 3 6 11 16 9
21 22 Portsmouth 12 7 5 1.0 1.1 4 3 5 12 13 15
22 11 Derby 12 8 4 1.2 1.5 3 5 4 15 18 14
23 16 West Brom 11 7 4 1.3 0.9 5 4 2 14 10 19
24 17 Charlton 10 6 4 1.2 1.1 5 2 3 12 11 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Southampton 12 2 10 1.7 1.8 3 3 6 20 22 12
2 4 Hull 11 2 9 1.8 1.7 4 3 4 20 19 15
3 14 Leicester 12 3 9 1.4 1.7 4 3 5 17 20 15
4 1 Coventry 12 4 8 2.2 1.3 6 4 2 27 16 22
5 11 Derby 11 4 7 1.5 1.2 5 3 3 17 13 18
6 16 West Brom 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 3 0 9 12 21 9
7 19 Sheffield United 12 5 7 1.3 2.0 4 0 8 16 24 12
8 2 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.4 1.2 5 4 3 17 14 19
9 8 Watford 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 2 4 5 13 17 10
10 9 QPR 12 6 6 1.1 1.7 4 3 5 13 20 15
11 15 Birmingham 12 6 6 0.7 1.7 2 2 8 8 20 8
12 24 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 1.1 1.6 1 4 5 11 16 7
13 3 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 4 18 13 16
14 7 Millwall 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 4 4 3 12 16 16
15 10 Stoke 12 7 5 0.9 1.1 4 2 6 11 13 14
16 20 Swansea 11 6 5 0.8 1.4 2 2 7 9 15 8
17 21 Oxford 12 7 5 0.9 1.3 2 3 7 11 16 9
18 23 Norwich 12 7 5 1.2 1.6 2 5 5 14 19 11
19 5 Preston 11 7 4 1.3 1.0 4 5 2 14 11 17
20 6 Bristol City 11 7 4 1.3 1.1 5 3 3 14 12 18
21 17 Charlton 12 8 4 0.8 1.3 2 4 6 9 16 10
22 18 Blackburn 11 7 4 1.0 0.9 5 2 4 11 10 17
23 22 Portsmouth 10 6 4 0.7 1.6 1 4 5 7 16 7
24 13 Wrexham 11 8 3 0.9 1.1 2 5 4 10 12 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51