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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Madley

Middlesbrough 4–0 Preston

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.51 fair 2.29
Draw 4.00 fair 3.74
Away 5.75 fair 3.38
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.21

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Preston
16 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 3
11 Fouls 19
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (332 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 11.6% 0–1 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
1.50scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 42:29
Preston before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.29scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 36:29
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Preston

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.29
1.04 Goals conceded 1.04
2.54 Total goals 2.32
14.43 Shots 11.43
4.25 Shots on target 3.79
10.50 Shots faced 13.54
6.18 Corners 4.32
4.36 Corners against 5.96
9.29 Fouls 10.43
1.50 Yellow cards 2.07
0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

54% Wins 39%
25% Draws 36%
21% Losses 25%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
71% Over 1.5 goals 75%
54% Over 2.5 goals 43%
21% Over 3.5 goals 14%
11% Over 4.5 goals 7%
4% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 57%
25% Clean sheets 29%
25% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 36%
29% Draws 32%
39% Losses 32%
71% Over 0.5 goals 79%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
11% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Preston all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
2.08points / match
1.54scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 20:11
Preston before this match, away
1.54points / match
1.31scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 17:13
Middlesbrough at home away Preston

Per match

1.54 Goals scored 1.31
0.85 Goals conceded 1.00
2.38 Total goals 2.31
14.15 Shots 10.85
4.23 Shots on target 3.92
11.69 Shots faced 13.77
6.31 Corners 3.77
5.08 Corners against 6.31
9.46 Fouls 10.46
0.92 Yellow cards 1.92
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

62% Wins 38%
23% Draws 38%
15% Losses 23%
85% Over 0.5 goals 92%
62% Over 1.5 goals 77%
54% Over 2.5 goals 38%
23% Over 3.5 goals 15%
8% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 62%
38% Clean sheets 31%
23% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 38%
38% Draws 23%
31% Losses 38%
62% Over 0.5 goals 92%
23% Over 1.5 goals 31%
15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Preston away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.26 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80
16.01.26 West Brom – Middlesbrough 2–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.904.50 1.73 2.10
26.12.25 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.604.33 1.93 1.93
20.12.25 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.653.402.45 1.85 2.00
13.12.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 1.863.703.80 1.91 1.91
09.12.25 Charlton – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 3.303.252.10 2.10 1.73
05.12.25 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–4) 2.953.502.20 1.73 2.10

Preston all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.26 Preston – Hull 0–3 (0–2) 2.253.203.20 2.10 1.73
17.01.26 Preston – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.38 1.57
04.01.26 Bristol City – Preston 0–2 (0–1) 1.813.404.33 2.00 1.80
01.01.26 Preston – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.464.007.00 1.85 2.00
29.12.25 Wrexham – Preston 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.253.50 2.10 1.73
26.12.25 Stoke – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Preston – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.05 1.88 1.98
13.12.25 Oxford – Preston 1–2 (0–1) 2.653.202.65 2.10 1.73
09.12.25 Preston – Coventry 1–1 (0–0) 3.753.701.86 1.80 2.00
06.12.25 Preston – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 2.323.053.05 2.20 1.67

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10
29.12.25 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.904.50 1.73 2.10
26.12.25 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.604.33 1.93 1.93
13.12.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 1.863.703.80 1.91 1.91
29.11.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.605.00 2.20 1.67
25.11.25 Middlesbrough – Coventry 2–4 (1–2) 2.573.402.55 1.93 1.93
08.11.25 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
25.10.25 Middlesbrough – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.604.75 2.00 1.85
17.10.25 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 2.10 1.73
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80

Preston away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Bristol City – Preston 0–2 (0–1) 1.813.404.33 2.00 1.80
29.12.25 Wrexham – Preston 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.253.50 2.10 1.73
26.12.25 Stoke – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Oxford – Preston 1–2 (0–1) 2.653.202.65 2.10 1.73
29.11.25 Sheffield Weds – Preston 2–3 (2–1) 3.403.252.15 2.10 1.73
25.11.25 Watford – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 1.813.604.20 2.10 1.73
08.11.25 Millwall – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.25 2.30 1.62
01.11.25 Southampton – Preston 0–2 (0–1) 1.683.904.33 1.88 1.98
18.10.25 West Brom – Preston 2–1 (1–0) 1.763.504.50 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Hull – Preston 2–2 (0–2) 2.053.503.40 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsPreston wins
9matches
3.44goals / match
89%over 2.5
78%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25E1 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.20 2.10 1.73
25.01.25E1 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.10 1.73
14.09.24E1 Middlesbrough – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 1.454.207.00 1.73 2.10
14.02.24E1 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.75
28.11.23E1 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.673.605.50 2.00 1.85
18.03.23E1 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (1–0) 1.553.806.50 2.02 1.83
29.10.22E1 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.002.75 2.30 1.61
07.05.22E1 Preston – Middlesbrough 4–1 (2–0) 5.003.801.70 1.72 2.10
23.11.21E1 Middlesbrough – Preston 1–2 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 28 17 7 4 61 31 +30 58
2 Middlesbrough 28 15 7 6 42 29 +13 52
3 Ipswich 27 14 8 5 47 24 +23 50
4 Hull 27 14 5 8 45 39 +6 47
5 Millwall 28 13 7 8 32 35 -3 46
6 Preston 28 11 10 7 36 29 +7 43
7 Watford 27 11 9 7 38 32 +6 42
8 Derby 29 11 9 9 39 37 +2 42
9 Stoke 28 12 5 11 33 25 +8 41
10 Wrexham 28 10 11 7 40 35 +5 41
11 Bristol City 28 11 7 10 38 31 +7 40
12 QPR 28 11 7 10 38 39 -1 40
13 Birmingham 28 10 8 10 38 37 +1 38
14 Leicester 28 10 8 10 39 41 -2 38
15 Southampton 28 9 9 10 40 40 0 36
16 Swansea 28 10 6 12 31 35 -4 36
17 Sheffield United 27 10 2 15 36 40 -4 32
18 Charlton 27 8 8 11 27 34 -7 32
19 West Brom 29 9 5 15 32 44 -12 32
20 Norwich 28 8 6 14 35 40 -5 30
21 Portsmouth 26 7 8 11 23 36 -13 29
22 Blackburn 27 7 7 13 25 36 -11 28
23 Oxford 27 5 9 13 25 35 -10 24
24 Sheffield Weds 27 1 8 18 18 54 -36 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 14 11 2 1 31 11 +20 35
2 Ipswich 15 10 4 1 29 11 +18 34
3 Watford 15 8 5 2 24 15 +9 29
4 Middlesbrough 13 8 3 2 20 11 +9 27
5 Birmingham 13 7 5 1 27 13 +14 26
6 Millwall 14 8 2 4 17 17 0 26
7 Swansea 15 7 4 4 20 18 +2 25
8 Wrexham 15 6 6 3 26 22 +4 24
9 QPR 13 7 2 4 24 17 +7 23
10 Southampton 14 6 5 3 19 13 +6 23
11 Preston 15 6 5 4 19 16 +3 23
12 Hull 13 7 2 4 19 19 0 23
13 Leicester 13 6 4 3 19 15 +4 22
14 West Brom 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22
15 Bristol City 14 6 3 5 23 15 +8 21
16 Stoke 14 6 3 5 19 12 +7 21
17 Charlton 13 6 3 4 15 14 +1 21
18 Portsmouth 13 5 3 5 14 14 0 18
19 Derby 15 4 6 5 18 21 -3 18
20 Sheffield United 12 5 2 5 18 13 +5 17
21 Oxford 14 3 6 5 13 17 -4 15
22 Blackburn 13 2 4 7 13 20 -7 10
23 Norwich 13 3 1 9 12 19 -7 10
24 Sheffield Weds 15 0 4 11 7 32 -25 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 15 7 4 4 22 18 +4 25
2 Hull 14 7 3 4 26 20 +6 24
3 Derby 14 7 3 4 21 16 +5 24
4 Coventry 14 6 5 3 30 20 +10 23
5 Preston 13 5 5 3 17 13 +4 20
6 Norwich 15 5 5 5 23 21 +2 20
7 Stoke 14 6 2 6 14 13 +1 20
8 Millwall 14 5 5 4 15 18 -3 20
9 Bristol City 14 5 4 5 15 16 -1 19
10 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 12 16 -4 18
11 Wrexham 13 4 5 4 14 13 +1 17
12 QPR 15 4 5 6 14 22 -8 17
13 Ipswich 12 4 4 4 18 13 +5 16
14 Leicester 15 4 4 7 20 26 -6 16
15 Sheffield United 15 5 0 10 18 27 -9 15
16 Watford 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
17 Southampton 14 3 4 7 21 27 -6 13
18 Birmingham 15 3 3 9 11 24 -13 12
19 Swansea 13 3 2 8 11 17 -6 11
20 Charlton 14 2 5 7 12 20 -8 11
21 Portsmouth 13 2 5 6 9 22 -13 11
22 West Brom 15 3 1 11 14 25 -11 10
23 Oxford 13 2 3 8 12 18 -6 9
24 Sheffield Weds 12 1 4 7 11 22 -11 7

Middlesbrough   Preston

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 27 9 18 1.7 1.4 14 5 8 45 39 47
2 14 Leicester 28 10 18 1.4 1.5 10 8 10 39 41 38
3 15 Southampton 28 10 18 1.4 1.4 9 9 10 40 40 36
4 1 Coventry 28 11 17 2.2 1.1 17 7 4 61 31 58
5 12 QPR 28 11 17 1.4 1.4 11 7 10 38 39 40
6 24 Sheffield Weds 27 11 16 0.7 2.0 1 8 18 18 54 11
7 2 Middlesbrough 28 13 15 1.5 1.0 15 7 6 42 29 52
8 17 Sheffield United 27 12 15 1.3 1.5 10 2 15 36 40 32
9 19 West Brom 29 14 15 1.1 1.5 9 5 15 32 44 32
10 3 Ipswich 27 13 14 1.7 0.9 14 8 5 47 24 50
11 7 Watford 27 13 14 1.4 1.2 11 9 7 38 32 42
12 8 Derby 29 15 14 1.3 1.3 11 9 9 39 37 42
13 13 Birmingham 28 14 14 1.4 1.3 10 8 10 38 37 38
14 20 Norwich 28 14 14 1.2 1.4 8 6 14 35 40 30
15 5 Millwall 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 13 7 8 32 35 46
16 16 Swansea 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 10 6 12 31 35 36
17 23 Oxford 27 14 13 0.9 1.3 5 9 13 25 35 24
18 6 Preston 28 16 12 1.3 1.0 11 10 7 36 29 43
19 9 Stoke 28 16 12 1.2 0.9 12 5 11 33 25 41
20 10 Wrexham 28 16 12 1.4 1.2 10 11 7 40 35 41
21 11 Bristol City 28 16 12 1.4 1.1 11 7 10 38 31 40
22 22 Blackburn 27 15 12 0.9 1.3 7 7 13 25 36 28
23 18 Charlton 27 16 11 1.0 1.3 8 8 11 27 34 32
24 21 Portsmouth 26 15 11 0.9 1.4 7 8 11 23 36 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 QPR 13 3 10 1.8 1.3 7 2 4 24 17 23
2 3 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.9 0.7 10 4 1 29 11 34
3 1 Coventry 14 6 8 2.2 0.8 11 2 1 31 11 35
4 7 Watford 15 7 8 1.6 1.0 8 5 2 24 15 29
5 10 Wrexham 15 7 8 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 26 22 24
6 24 Sheffield Weds 15 7 8 0.5 2.1 0 4 11 7 32 4
7 2 Middlesbrough 13 6 7 1.5 0.8 8 3 2 20 11 27
8 4 Hull 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 7 2 4 19 19 23
9 5 Millwall 14 7 7 1.2 1.2 8 2 4 17 17 26
10 6 Preston 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 5 4 19 16 23
11 9 Stoke 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 6 3 5 19 12 21
12 11 Bristol City 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 3 5 23 15 21
13 13 Birmingham 13 6 7 2.1 1.0 7 5 1 27 13 26
14 14 Leicester 13 6 7 1.5 1.2 6 4 3 19 15 22
15 15 Southampton 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 6 5 3 19 13 23
16 16 Swansea 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 7 4 4 20 18 25
17 17 Sheffield United 12 5 7 1.5 1.1 5 2 5 18 13 17
18 19 West Brom 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22
19 23 Oxford 14 7 7 0.9 1.2 3 6 5 13 17 15
20 20 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 1 9 12 19 10
21 21 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 5 3 5 14 14 18
22 22 Blackburn 13 7 6 1.0 1.5 2 4 7 13 20 10
23 8 Derby 15 10 5 1.2 1.4 4 6 5 18 21 18
24 18 Charlton 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 6 3 4 15 14 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 14 3 11 1.9 1.4 7 3 4 26 20 24
2 14 Leicester 15 4 11 1.3 1.7 4 4 7 20 26 16
3 15 Southampton 14 3 11 1.5 1.9 3 4 7 21 27 13
4 1 Coventry 14 5 9 2.1 1.4 6 5 3 30 20 23
5 8 Derby 14 5 9 1.5 1.1 7 3 4 21 16 24
6 2 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.5 1.2 7 4 4 22 18 25
7 17 Sheffield United 15 7 8 1.2 1.8 5 0 10 18 27 15
8 19 West Brom 15 7 8 0.9 1.7 3 1 11 14 25 10
9 20 Norwich 15 7 8 1.5 1.4 5 5 5 23 21 20
10 24 Sheffield Weds 12 4 8 0.9 1.8 1 4 7 11 22 7
11 12 QPR 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 4 5 6 14 22 17
12 13 Birmingham 15 8 7 0.7 1.6 3 3 9 11 24 12
13 5 Millwall 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 4 15 18 20
14 7 Watford 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 4 5 14 17 13
15 16 Swansea 13 7 6 0.8 1.3 3 2 8 11 17 11
16 18 Charlton 14 8 6 0.9 1.4 2 5 7 12 20 11
17 22 Blackburn 14 8 6 0.9 1.1 5 3 6 12 16 18
18 23 Oxford 13 7 6 0.9 1.4 2 3 8 12 18 9
19 3 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 4 18 13 16
20 6 Preston 13 8 5 1.3 1.0 5 5 3 17 13 20
21 9 Stoke 14 9 5 1.0 0.9 6 2 6 14 13 20
22 11 Bristol City 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 15 16 19
23 21 Portsmouth 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 2 5 6 9 22 11
24 10 Wrexham 13 9 4 1.1 1.0 4 5 4 14 13 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51