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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Middlesbrough 4–0 Southampton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.20
Draw 3.50 fair 4.01
Away 3.20 fair 3.38
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Southampton
22 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
11 Corners 5
7 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (300 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawSouthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 1–0 9.7% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.72points / match
1.32scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 33:26
Southampton before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.52scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 38:34
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.52
1.04 Goals conceded 1.36
2.36 Total goals 2.88
14.28 Shots 14.60
4.08 Shots on target 5.20
10.24 Shots faced 12.96
6.28 Corners 5.56
4.32 Corners against 4.56
9.56 Fouls 10.72
1.64 Yellow cards 1.88
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.84
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

48% Wins 32%
28% Draws 36%
24% Losses 32%
92% Over 0.5 goals 88%
68% Over 1.5 goals 88%
48% Over 2.5 goals 64%
16% Over 3.5 goals 32%
8% Over 4.5 goals 12%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
56% Both teams scored 80%
24% Clean sheets 16%
28% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 28%
28% Draws 52%
40% Losses 20%
72% Over 0.5 goals 64%
28% Over 1.5 goals 36%
12% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Southampton all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.33scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:11
Southampton before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.62scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:23
Middlesbrough at home away Southampton

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.62
0.92 Goals conceded 1.77
2.25 Total goals 3.38
13.50 Shots 13.46
4.17 Shots on target 5.31
11.33 Shots faced 14.54
5.92 Corners 4.77
5.08 Corners against 4.69
9.67 Fouls 11.38
1.00 Yellow cards 2.23
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

58% Wins 23%
25% Draws 31%
17% Losses 46%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
58% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 77%
17% Over 3.5 goals 38%
8% Over 4.5 goals 15%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
58% Both teams scored 100%
33% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 23%
33% Draws 62%
33% Losses 15%
67% Over 0.5 goals 69%
25% Over 1.5 goals 38%
17% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Southampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.904.50 1.73 2.10
26.12.25 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.604.33 1.93 1.93
20.12.25 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.653.402.45 1.85 2.00
13.12.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 1.863.703.80 1.91 1.91
09.12.25 Charlton – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 3.303.252.10 2.10 1.73
05.12.25 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–4) 2.953.502.20 1.73 2.10
29.11.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.605.00 2.20 1.67
25.11.25 Middlesbrough – Coventry 2–4 (1–2) 2.573.402.55 1.93 1.93
22.11.25 Oxford – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.703.301.96 2.05 1.80

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.26 Southampton – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.604.50 1.80 2.00
29.12.25 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Oxford – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 3.903.801.76 1.73 2.10
20.12.25 Southampton – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.702.57 1.62 2.30
13.12.25 Norwich – Southampton 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.901.96 1.62 2.30
09.12.25 Southampton – West Brom 3–2 (3–0) 1.793.753.90 1.73 2.10
06.12.25 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.253.502.85 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Millwall – Southampton 3–2 (0–0) 3.053.602.20 1.98 1.88
25.11.25 Southampton – Leicester 3–0 (3–0) 1.963.603.70 1.80 2.00
22.11.25 Charlton – Southampton 1–5 (1–5) 2.653.052.65 2.10 1.73

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.25 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.904.50 1.73 2.10
26.12.25 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.604.33 1.93 1.93
13.12.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 1.863.703.80 1.91 1.91
29.11.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.605.00 2.20 1.67
25.11.25 Middlesbrough – Coventry 2–4 (1–2) 2.573.402.55 1.93 1.93
08.11.25 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
25.10.25 Middlesbrough – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.604.75 2.00 1.85
17.10.25 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 2.10 1.73
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
19.09.25 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73

Southampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.25 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Oxford – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 3.903.801.76 1.73 2.10
13.12.25 Norwich – Southampton 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.901.96 1.62 2.30
29.11.25 Millwall – Southampton 3–2 (0–0) 3.053.602.20 1.98 1.88
22.11.25 Charlton – Southampton 1–5 (1–5) 2.653.052.65 2.10 1.73
05.11.25 QPR – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.45 1.95 1.90
25.10.25 Blackburn – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.953.252.30 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Bristol City – Southampton 3–1 (1–1) 2.403.302.75 1.93 1.93
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Sheffield United – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.402.85 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsSouthampton wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25E1 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
29.03.24E1 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.25 1.48 2.60
23.09.23E1 Middlesbrough – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.73 2.10

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 26 15 7 4 57 29 +28 52
2 Ipswich 25 12 8 5 42 24 +18 44
3 Middlesbrough 25 12 7 6 33 26 +7 43
4 Watford 25 11 8 6 37 29 +8 41
5 Hull 25 12 5 8 40 38 +2 41
6 Preston 25 10 10 5 34 25 +9 40
7 Millwall 25 11 7 7 27 32 -5 40
8 Bristol City 25 11 6 8 38 27 +11 39
9 QPR 26 11 5 10 38 39 -1 38
10 Stoke 25 11 4 10 30 23 +7 37
11 Wrexham 25 9 10 6 36 31 +5 37
12 Derby 25 9 8 8 34 33 +1 35
13 Birmingham 26 9 7 10 35 36 -1 34
14 Leicester 25 9 7 9 35 37 -2 34
15 Southampton 25 8 9 8 38 34 +4 33
16 Sheffield United 25 10 2 13 36 38 -2 32
17 Swansea 25 9 5 11 26 31 -5 32
18 West Brom 25 9 4 12 28 33 -5 31
19 Charlton 24 7 7 10 23 30 -7 28
20 Blackburn 24 7 6 11 22 28 -6 27
21 Portsmouth 24 6 7 11 21 35 -14 25
22 Norwich 25 6 6 13 28 37 -9 24
23 Oxford 25 5 7 13 25 35 -10 22
24 Sheffield Weds 25 1 8 16 18 51 -33 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 12 9 2 1 27 9 +18 29
2 Ipswich 13 8 4 1 24 11 +13 28
3 Watford 13 8 4 1 23 12 +11 28
4 Birmingham 13 7 5 1 27 13 +14 26
5 Middlesbrough 12 7 3 2 16 11 +5 24
6 QPR 13 7 2 4 24 17 +7 23
7 Preston 13 6 5 2 19 12 +7 23
8 Wrexham 13 6 5 2 24 19 +5 23
9 Hull 13 7 2 4 19 19 0 23
10 Millwall 13 7 2 4 15 16 -1 23
11 West Brom 12 6 4 2 16 11 +5 22
12 Bristol City 13 6 3 4 23 13 +10 21
13 Swansea 13 6 3 4 16 16 0 21
14 Stoke 12 6 2 4 18 10 +8 20
15 Southampton 12 5 5 2 17 11 +6 20
16 Leicester 12 5 4 3 17 14 +3 19
17 Charlton 11 5 3 3 13 12 +1 18
18 Portsmouth 13 5 3 5 14 14 0 18
19 Sheffield United 12 5 2 5 18 13 +5 17
20 Derby 13 4 5 4 16 18 -2 17
21 Oxford 12 3 4 5 13 17 -4 13
22 Norwich 12 3 1 8 12 17 -5 10
23 Blackburn 12 2 3 7 11 18 -7 9
24 Sheffield Weds 13 0 4 9 7 29 -22 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 14 6 5 3 30 20 +10 23
2 Middlesbrough 13 5 4 4 17 15 +2 19
3 Derby 12 5 3 4 18 15 +3 18
4 Hull 12 5 3 4 21 19 +2 18
5 Bristol City 12 5 3 4 15 14 +1 18
6 Blackburn 12 5 3 4 11 10 +1 18
7 Preston 12 4 5 3 15 13 +2 17
8 Stoke 13 5 2 6 12 13 -1 17
9 Millwall 12 4 5 3 12 16 -4 17
10 Ipswich 12 4 4 4 18 13 +5 16
11 Leicester 13 4 3 6 18 23 -5 15
12 Sheffield United 13 5 0 8 18 25 -7 15
13 QPR 13 4 3 6 14 22 -8 15
14 Wrexham 12 3 5 4 12 12 0 14
15 Norwich 13 3 5 5 16 20 -4 14
16 Southampton 13 3 4 6 21 23 -2 13
17 Watford 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
18 Swansea 12 3 2 7 10 15 -5 11
19 Charlton 13 2 4 7 10 18 -8 10
20 Oxford 13 2 3 8 12 18 -6 9
21 West Brom 13 3 0 10 12 22 -10 9
22 Birmingham 13 2 2 9 8 23 -15 8
23 Sheffield Weds 12 1 4 7 11 22 -11 7
24 Portsmouth 11 1 4 6 7 21 -14 7

Middlesbrough   Southampton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 QPR 26 9 17 1.5 1.5 11 5 10 38 39 38
2 5 Hull 25 9 16 1.6 1.5 12 5 8 40 38 41
3 14 Leicester 25 9 16 1.4 1.5 9 7 9 35 37 34
4 15 Southampton 25 9 16 1.5 1.4 8 9 8 38 34 33
5 24 Sheffield Weds 25 9 16 0.7 2.0 1 8 16 18 51 11
6 1 Coventry 26 11 15 2.2 1.1 15 7 4 57 29 52
7 16 Sheffield United 25 10 15 1.4 1.5 10 2 13 36 38 32
8 4 Watford 25 11 14 1.5 1.2 11 8 6 37 29 41
9 13 Birmingham 26 12 14 1.3 1.4 9 7 10 35 36 34
10 2 Ipswich 25 12 13 1.7 1.0 12 8 5 42 24 44
11 23 Oxford 25 12 13 1.0 1.4 5 7 13 25 35 22
12 3 Middlesbrough 25 13 12 1.3 1.0 12 7 6 33 26 43
13 8 Bristol City 25 13 12 1.5 1.1 11 6 8 38 27 39
14 12 Derby 25 13 12 1.4 1.3 9 8 8 34 33 35
15 18 West Brom 25 13 12 1.1 1.3 9 4 12 28 33 31
16 22 Norwich 25 13 12 1.1 1.5 6 6 13 28 37 24
17 6 Preston 25 14 11 1.4 1.0 10 10 5 34 25 40
18 7 Millwall 25 14 11 1.1 1.3 11 7 7 27 32 40
19 10 Stoke 25 14 11 1.2 0.9 11 4 10 30 23 37
20 17 Swansea 25 14 11 1.0 1.2 9 5 11 26 31 32
21 21 Portsmouth 24 13 11 0.9 1.5 6 7 11 21 35 25
22 11 Wrexham 25 15 10 1.4 1.2 9 10 6 36 31 37
23 19 Charlton 24 15 9 1.0 1.2 7 7 10 23 30 28
24 20 Blackburn 24 15 9 0.9 1.2 7 6 11 22 28 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 QPR 13 3 10 1.8 1.3 7 2 4 24 17 23
2 2 Ipswich 13 5 8 1.8 0.8 8 4 1 24 11 28
3 4 Watford 13 5 8 1.8 0.9 8 4 1 23 12 28
4 24 Sheffield Weds 13 5 8 0.5 2.2 0 4 9 7 29 4
5 5 Hull 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 7 2 4 19 19 23
6 8 Bristol City 13 6 7 1.8 1.0 6 3 4 23 13 21
7 11 Wrexham 13 6 7 1.8 1.5 6 5 2 24 19 23
8 13 Birmingham 13 6 7 2.1 1.0 7 5 1 27 13 26
9 16 Sheffield United 12 5 7 1.5 1.1 5 2 5 18 13 17
10 23 Oxford 12 5 7 1.1 1.4 3 4 5 13 17 13
11 1 Coventry 12 6 6 2.2 0.8 9 2 1 27 9 29
12 3 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.3 0.9 7 3 2 16 11 24
13 6 Preston 13 7 6 1.5 0.9 6 5 2 19 12 23
14 7 Millwall 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 7 2 4 15 16 23
15 10 Stoke 12 6 6 1.5 0.8 6 2 4 18 10 20
16 14 Leicester 12 6 6 1.4 1.2 5 4 3 17 14 19
17 15 Southampton 12 6 6 1.4 0.9 5 5 2 17 11 20
18 17 Swansea 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 6 3 4 16 16 21
19 21 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 5 3 5 14 14 18
20 22 Norwich 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 3 1 8 12 17 10
21 18 West Brom 12 7 5 1.3 0.9 6 4 2 16 11 22
22 20 Blackburn 12 7 5 0.9 1.5 2 3 7 11 18 9
23 12 Derby 13 9 4 1.2 1.4 4 5 4 16 18 17
24 19 Charlton 11 7 4 1.2 1.1 5 3 3 13 12 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Leicester 13 3 10 1.4 1.8 4 3 6 18 23 15
2 15 Southampton 13 3 10 1.6 1.8 3 4 6 21 23 13
3 1 Coventry 14 5 9 2.1 1.4 6 5 3 30 20 23
4 5 Hull 12 3 9 1.8 1.6 5 3 4 21 19 18
5 12 Derby 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 5 3 4 18 15 18
6 16 Sheffield United 13 5 8 1.4 1.9 5 0 8 18 25 15
7 24 Sheffield Weds 12 4 8 0.9 1.8 1 4 7 11 22 7
8 9 QPR 13 6 7 1.1 1.7 4 3 6 14 22 15
9 13 Birmingham 13 6 7 0.6 1.8 2 2 9 8 23 8
10 18 West Brom 13 6 7 0.9 1.7 3 0 10 12 22 9
11 3 Middlesbrough 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 5 4 4 17 15 19
12 4 Watford 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 4 5 14 17 13
13 22 Norwich 13 7 6 1.2 1.5 3 5 5 16 20 14
14 23 Oxford 13 7 6 0.9 1.4 2 3 8 12 18 9
15 2 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 4 18 13 16
16 6 Preston 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 4 5 3 15 13 17
17 7 Millwall 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 4 5 3 12 16 17
18 8 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 5 3 4 15 14 18
19 10 Stoke 13 8 5 0.9 1.0 5 2 6 12 13 17
20 17 Swansea 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 2 7 10 15 11
21 19 Charlton 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 2 4 7 10 18 10
22 21 Portsmouth 11 6 5 0.6 1.9 1 4 6 7 21 7
23 20 Blackburn 12 8 4 0.9 0.8 5 3 4 11 10 18
24 11 Wrexham 12 9 3 1.0 1.0 3 5 4 12 12 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51