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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Busby

Birmingham 2–1 Leicester

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.66 fair 2.00
Draw 3.80 fair 4.27
Away 4.50 fair 3.77
Under 2.5 1.91 fair 2.34
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.91 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Leicester
22 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
10 Corners 1
11 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (362 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawLeicester
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.37scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 41:38
Leicester before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.33scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 40:45
Birmingham all matches all matches Leicester

Per match

1.37 Goals scored 1.33
1.27 Goals conceded 1.50
2.63 Total goals 2.83
14.20 Shots 11.87
3.77 Shots on target 3.67
10.53 Shots faced 12.80
5.43 Corners 5.10
4.33 Corners against 5.20
11.37 Fouls 11.30
1.90 Yellow cards 1.87
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

37% Wins 33%
30% Draws 27%
33% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 97%
83% Over 1.5 goals 90%
47% Over 2.5 goals 63%
23% Over 3.5 goals 27%
10% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 77%
23% Clean sheets 10%
20% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 37%
20% Draws 20%
47% Losses 43%
83% Over 0.5 goals 87%
33% Over 1.5 goals 43%
13% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Leicester all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.93points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 28:14
Leicester before this match, away
1.07points / match
1.33scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:26
Birmingham at home away Leicester

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.33
1.00 Goals conceded 1.73
3.00 Total goals 3.07
18.21 Shots 10.67
5.36 Shots on target 3.67
9.00 Shots faced 14.67
5.93 Corners 3.87
4.36 Corners against 5.60
11.00 Fouls 11.47
2.00 Yellow cards 1.93
1.07 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 27%
43% Draws 27%
7% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 87%
50% Over 2.5 goals 73%
43% Over 3.5 goals 40%
21% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 80%
29% Clean sheets 7%
0% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 27%
29% Draws 20%
14% Losses 53%
79% Over 0.5 goals 80%
43% Over 1.5 goals 40%
21% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Leicester away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Oxford – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.402.05 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Birmingham – Stoke 1–1 (1–0) 1.813.604.00 2.10 1.73
20.01.26 Sheffield Weds – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.201.45 1.80 2.00
17.01.26 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.202.57 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Birmingham – Coventry 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.402.65 1.83 2.03
01.01.26 Watford – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 2.303.252.95 2.00 1.80
29.12.25 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Birmingham – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 1.863.404.20 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Sheffield United – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.502.95 1.93 1.93
13.12.25 Birmingham – Charlton 1–1 (1–0) 1.534.005.75 2.00 1.80

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Leicester – Charlton 0–2 (0–2) 2.103.303.50 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Leicester – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.863.504.00 1.91 1.91
20.01.26 Wrexham – Leicester 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.90 1.95
17.01.26 Coventry – Leicester 2–1 (0–1) 1.613.905.00 1.67 2.20
05.01.26 Leicester – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.65 2.03 1.83
01.01.26 Sheffield United – Leicester 3–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.85 2.00
29.12.25 Leicester – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.053.253.50 2.20 1.67
26.12.25 Leicester – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.05 1.95 1.90
20.12.25 QPR – Leicester 4–1 (4–0) 2.303.402.85 2.00 1.85
13.12.25 Leicester – Ipswich 3–1 (2–0) 3.253.502.10 1.91 1.91

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Birmingham – Stoke 1–1 (1–0) 1.813.604.00 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Birmingham – Coventry 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.402.65 1.83 2.03
29.12.25 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Birmingham – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 1.863.404.20 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Birmingham – Charlton 1–1 (1–0) 1.534.005.75 2.00 1.80
01.12.25 Birmingham – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.793.604.33 2.10 1.73
22.11.25 Birmingham – Norwich 4–1 (3–1) 1.623.705.00 1.90 1.95
04.11.25 Birmingham – Millwall 4–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Birmingham – Portsmouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Birmingham – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 1.713.754.50 2.03 1.83

Leicester away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.26 Wrexham – Leicester 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.90 1.95
17.01.26 Coventry – Leicester 2–1 (0–1) 1.613.905.00 1.67 2.20
01.01.26 Sheffield United – Leicester 3–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.85 2.00
20.12.25 QPR – Leicester 4–1 (4–0) 2.303.402.85 2.00 1.85
10.12.25 Bristol City – Leicester 2–2 (0–2) 2.253.253.05 2.00 1.85
06.12.25 Derby – Leicester 1–3 (0–3) 2.703.202.57 2.30 1.62
25.11.25 Southampton – Leicester 3–0 (3–0) 1.963.603.70 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 Norwich – Leicester 1–2 (0–0) 2.953.402.20 1.83 2.03
25.10.25 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Hull – Leicester 2–1 (2–0) 3.253.502.10 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsLeicester wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.25E1 Leicester – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.252.85 2.20 1.67
06.04.24E1 Leicester – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
18.12.23E1 Birmingham – Leicester 2–3 (1–2) 6.003.801.60 1.75 2.05

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 30 17 7 6 63 35 +28 58
2 Middlesbrough 30 17 7 6 47 29 +18 58
3 Ipswich 30 15 9 6 51 29 +22 54
4 Hull 30 16 6 8 48 40 +8 54
5 Millwall 30 14 8 8 37 36 +1 50
6 Wrexham 30 12 11 7 44 37 +7 47
7 Derby 31 12 9 10 45 39 +6 45
8 Watford 31 11 11 9 39 36 +3 44
9 Preston 30 11 11 8 37 34 +3 44
10 QPR 31 12 8 11 42 43 -1 44
11 Bristol City 30 12 7 11 40 36 +4 43
12 Southampton 31 11 10 10 44 41 +3 43
13 Stoke 30 12 6 12 34 28 +6 42
14 Birmingham 30 11 9 10 41 38 +3 42
15 Sheffield United 30 12 3 15 43 43 0 39
16 Swansea 30 11 6 13 34 37 -3 39
17 Leicester 30 10 8 12 40 45 -5 38
18 Norwich 31 10 6 15 39 42 -3 36
19 Charlton 30 9 9 12 29 38 -9 36
20 Portsmouth 28 8 9 11 27 37 -10 33
21 Blackburn 31 8 8 15 27 40 -13 32
22 West Brom 30 9 5 16 32 47 -15 32
23 Oxford 30 6 9 15 28 41 -13 27
24 Sheffield Weds 30 1 8 21 18 58 -40 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 14 11 2 1 31 11 +20 35
2 Ipswich 16 10 5 1 30 12 +18 35
3 Middlesbrough 15 10 3 2 25 11 +14 33
4 Millwall 16 9 3 4 22 18 +4 30
5 Watford 16 8 5 3 24 17 +7 29
6 Birmingham 14 7 6 1 28 14 +14 27
7 Hull 15 8 3 4 21 20 +1 27
8 QPR 15 8 2 5 28 21 +7 26
9 Southampton 15 7 5 3 20 13 +7 26
10 Swansea 15 7 4 4 20 18 +2 25
11 Bristol City 16 7 3 6 25 20 +5 24
12 Wrexham 15 6 6 3 26 22 +4 24
13 Sheffield United 14 7 2 5 24 15 +9 23
14 Preston 15 6 5 4 19 16 +3 23
15 Portsmouth 15 6 4 5 18 15 +3 22
16 Leicester 15 6 4 5 20 19 +1 22
17 Charlton 14 6 4 4 15 14 +1 22
18 West Brom 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22
19 Stoke 15 6 3 6 19 14 +5 21
20 Derby 16 4 6 6 19 23 -4 18
21 Norwich 15 5 1 9 16 20 -4 16
22 Oxford 15 3 6 6 13 19 -6 15
23 Blackburn 16 3 5 8 15 22 -7 14
24 Sheffield Weds 16 0 4 12 7 33 -26 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Derby 15 8 3 4 26 16 +10 27
2 Hull 15 8 3 4 27 20 +7 27
3 Middlesbrough 15 7 4 4 22 18 +4 25
4 Coventry 16 6 5 5 32 24 +8 23
5 Wrexham 15 6 5 4 18 15 +3 23
6 Stoke 15 6 3 6 15 14 +1 21
7 Preston 15 5 6 4 18 18 0 21
8 Norwich 16 5 5 6 23 22 +1 20
9 Millwall 14 5 5 4 15 18 -3 20
10 Ipswich 14 5 4 5 21 17 +4 19
11 Bristol City 14 5 4 5 15 16 -1 19
12 Blackburn 15 5 3 7 12 18 -6 18
13 QPR 16 4 6 6 14 22 -8 18
14 Southampton 16 4 5 7 24 28 -4 17
15 Leicester 15 4 4 7 20 26 -6 16
16 Sheffield United 16 5 1 10 19 28 -9 16
17 Watford 15 3 6 6 15 19 -4 15
18 Birmingham 16 4 3 9 13 24 -11 15
19 Swansea 15 4 2 9 14 19 -5 14
20 Charlton 16 3 5 8 14 24 -10 14
21 Oxford 15 3 3 9 15 22 -7 12
22 Portsmouth 13 2 5 6 9 22 -13 11
23 West Brom 16 3 1 12 14 28 -14 10
24 Sheffield Weds 14 1 4 9 11 25 -14 7

Birmingham   Leicester

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 30 11 19 2.1 1.2 17 7 6 63 35 58
2 4 Hull 30 11 19 1.6 1.3 16 6 8 48 40 54
3 10 QPR 31 12 19 1.4 1.4 12 8 11 42 43 44
4 17 Leicester 30 11 19 1.3 1.5 10 8 12 40 45 38
5 12 Southampton 31 13 18 1.4 1.3 11 10 10 44 41 43
6 15 Sheffield United 30 13 17 1.4 1.4 12 3 15 43 43 39
7 2 Middlesbrough 30 14 16 1.6 1.0 17 7 6 47 29 58
8 3 Ipswich 30 14 16 1.7 1.0 15 9 6 51 29 54
9 7 Derby 31 15 16 1.5 1.3 12 9 10 45 39 45
10 22 West Brom 30 14 16 1.1 1.6 9 5 16 32 47 32
11 24 Sheffield Weds 30 14 16 0.6 1.9 1 8 21 18 58 11
12 18 Norwich 31 16 15 1.3 1.4 10 6 15 39 42 36
13 23 Oxford 30 15 15 0.9 1.4 6 9 15 28 41 27
14 5 Millwall 30 16 14 1.2 1.2 14 8 8 37 36 50
15 8 Watford 31 17 14 1.3 1.2 11 11 9 39 36 44
16 14 Birmingham 30 16 14 1.4 1.3 11 9 10 41 38 42
17 16 Swansea 30 16 14 1.1 1.2 11 6 13 34 37 39
18 6 Wrexham 30 17 13 1.5 1.2 12 11 7 44 37 47
19 9 Preston 30 17 13 1.2 1.1 11 11 8 37 34 44
20 11 Bristol City 30 17 13 1.3 1.2 12 7 11 40 36 43
21 13 Stoke 30 18 12 1.1 0.9 12 6 12 34 28 42
22 19 Charlton 30 18 12 1.0 1.3 9 9 12 29 38 36
23 20 Portsmouth 28 16 12 1.0 1.3 8 9 11 27 37 33
24 21 Blackburn 31 19 12 0.9 1.3 8 8 15 27 40 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 QPR 15 3 12 1.9 1.4 8 2 5 28 21 26
2 3 Ipswich 16 7 9 1.9 0.8 10 5 1 30 12 35
3 15 Sheffield United 14 5 9 1.7 1.1 7 2 5 24 15 23
4 1 Coventry 14 6 8 2.2 0.8 11 2 1 31 11 35
5 2 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.7 0.7 10 3 2 25 11 33
6 4 Hull 15 7 8 1.4 1.3 8 3 4 21 20 27
7 5 Millwall 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 9 3 4 22 18 30
8 6 Wrexham 15 7 8 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 26 22 24
9 8 Watford 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 8 5 3 24 17 29
10 11 Bristol City 16 8 8 1.6 1.2 7 3 6 25 20 24
11 17 Leicester 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 6 4 5 20 19 22
12 24 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 0.4 2.1 0 4 12 7 33 4
13 9 Preston 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 5 4 19 16 23
14 12 Southampton 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 7 5 3 20 13 26
15 13 Stoke 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 6 3 6 19 14 21
16 14 Birmingham 14 7 7 2.0 1.0 7 6 1 28 14 27
17 16 Swansea 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 7 4 4 20 18 25
18 18 Norwich 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 5 1 9 16 20 16
19 20 Portsmouth 15 8 7 1.2 1.0 6 4 5 18 15 22
20 22 West Brom 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22
21 23 Oxford 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 3 6 6 13 19 15
22 7 Derby 16 10 6 1.2 1.4 4 6 6 19 23 18
23 21 Blackburn 16 10 6 0.9 1.4 3 5 8 15 22 14
24 19 Charlton 14 9 5 1.1 1.0 6 4 4 15 14 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 16 5 11 2.0 1.5 6 5 5 32 24 23
2 4 Hull 15 4 11 1.8 1.3 8 3 4 27 20 27
3 12 Southampton 16 5 11 1.5 1.8 4 5 7 24 28 17
4 17 Leicester 15 4 11 1.3 1.7 4 4 7 20 26 16
5 7 Derby 15 5 10 1.7 1.1 8 3 4 26 16 27
6 22 West Brom 16 7 9 0.9 1.8 3 1 12 14 28 10
7 2 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.5 1.2 7 4 4 22 18 25
8 15 Sheffield United 16 8 8 1.2 1.8 5 1 10 19 28 16
9 18 Norwich 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 5 6 23 22 20
10 23 Oxford 15 7 8 1.0 1.5 3 3 9 15 22 12
11 24 Sheffield Weds 14 6 8 0.8 1.8 1 4 9 11 25 7
12 3 Ipswich 14 7 7 1.5 1.2 5 4 5 21 17 19
13 10 QPR 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 6 6 14 22 18
14 14 Birmingham 16 9 7 0.8 1.5 4 3 9 13 24 15
15 16 Swansea 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 4 2 9 14 19 14
16 19 Charlton 16 9 7 0.9 1.5 3 5 8 14 24 14
17 5 Millwall 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 4 15 18 20
18 8 Watford 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 3 6 6 15 19 15
19 9 Preston 15 9 6 1.2 1.2 5 6 4 18 18 21
20 21 Blackburn 15 9 6 0.8 1.2 5 3 7 12 18 18
21 6 Wrexham 15 10 5 1.2 1.0 6 5 4 18 15 23
22 11 Bristol City 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 15 16 19
23 13 Stoke 15 10 5 1.0 0.9 6 3 6 15 14 21
24 20 Portsmouth 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 2 5 6 9 22 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40