Swansea 1–1 Birmingham – England Championship, 17 Jan 2026

Match facts

Swansea Birmingham

19 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 1

5 Corners 5

10 Fouls 14

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (318 league matches this season so far).

Result Swansea to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.93

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.14

Home / Draw / Away

44% 26% 30%

SwanseaDrawBirmingham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

53% 48%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.5% 1–0 11% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Swansea before this match, all matches

1.23points / match

1.04scored / match

1.27conceded / match

9 5 12

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 27:33

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.31points / match

1.35scored / match

1.38conceded / match

9 7 10

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 35:36

Swansea all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.04 Goals scored 1.35

1.27 Goals conceded 1.38

2.31 Total goals 2.73

11.58 Shots 13.96

3.77 Shots on target 3.77

12.54 Shots faced 10.50

4.69 Corners 5.27

4.85 Corners against 4.31

10.15 Fouls 11.46

2.12 Yellow cards 2.04

0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.62

0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

35% Wins 35%

19% Draws 27%

46% Losses 38%

96% Over 0.5 goals 100%

65% Over 1.5 goals 81%

46% Over 2.5 goals 54%

15% Over 3.5 goals 27%

8% Over 4.5 goals 12%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

54% Both teams scored 58%

27% Clean sheets 19%

23% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 31%

46% Draws 19%

42% Losses 50%

69% Over 0.5 goals 85%

27% Over 1.5 goals 38%

0% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea all matches

1

2

L

2

3

L

2

W

1

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

W

1

W

1

2

L

Birmingham all matches

1

D

2

1

W

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

3

L

1

D

1

D

3

L

3

2

W

Swansea before this match, at home

1.62points / match

1.23scored / match

1.23conceded / match

6 3 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:16

Birmingham before this match, away

0.62points / match

0.62scored / match

1.77conceded / match

2 2 9

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 8:23

Swansea at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 0.62

1.23 Goals conceded 1.77

2.46 Total goals 2.38

12.46 Shots 9.69

3.69 Shots on target 2.15

11.15 Shots faced 11.85

4.92 Corners 4.62

4.15 Corners against 4.38

9.38 Fouls 11.62

1.92 Yellow cards 2.00

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.15

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 1.15

How often Full Time

46% Wins 15%

23% Draws 15%

31% Losses 69%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

69% Over 1.5 goals 77%

46% Over 2.5 goals 54%

23% Over 3.5 goals 8%

8% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

62% Both teams scored 46%

31% Clean sheets 8%

8% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 8%

46% Draws 8%

46% Losses 85%

77% Over 0.5 goals 92%

31% Over 1.5 goals 31%

0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea at home

1

D

1

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

1

4

L

1

2

L

2

W

1

W

2

1

W

1

W

Birmingham away

3

L

1

D

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

3

L

1

2

L

3

L

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Swansea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.26	Millwall – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.25	3.60	2.20	1.67
01.01.26	Swansea – West Brom	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.55	2.20	1.67
29.12.25	Oxford – Swansea	0–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.05	2.55	2.10	1.73
26.12.25	Coventry – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	1.51	3.90	6.00	1.73	2.10
19.12.25	Swansea – Wrexham	2–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
13.12.25	Stoke – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.50	4.20	2.10	1.73
09.12.25	Swansea – Portsmouth	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.00	1.80
06.12.25	Swansea – Oxford	2–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.73
29.11.25	West Brom – Swansea	3–2 (0–2)	1.68	3.25	4.33	2.20	1.67
25.11.25	Swansea – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.05	3.60	2.50	1.53

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.26	Birmingham – Coventry	3–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.83	2.03
01.01.26	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.30	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80
29.12.25	Birmingham – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	2.85	1.80	2.00
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
20.12.25	Sheffield United – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.95	1.93	1.93
13.12.25	Birmingham – Charlton	1–1 (1–0)	1.53	4.00	5.75	2.00	1.80
09.12.25	QPR – Birmingham	2–1 (1–0)	2.85	3.30	2.35	1.98	1.88
06.12.25	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.85	1.93	1.93
01.12.25	Birmingham – Watford	2–1 (2–0)	1.79	3.60	4.33	2.10	1.73
26.11.25	West Brom – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.05	2.65	2.38	1.57

Swansea at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.26	Swansea – West Brom	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.55	2.20	1.67
19.12.25	Swansea – Wrexham	2–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
09.12.25	Swansea – Portsmouth	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.00	1.80
06.12.25	Swansea – Oxford	2–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.73
25.11.25	Swansea – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.05	3.60	2.50	1.53
08.11.25	Swansea – Ipswich	1–4 (0–1)	3.50	3.50	2.01	2.05	1.80
25.10.25	Swansea – Norwich	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.25	3.20	1.93	1.93
22.10.25	Swansea – QPR	0–1 (0–1)	2.05	3.25	3.40	2.10	1.73
04.10.25	Swansea – Leicester	1–3 (0–1)	2.35	3.50	2.70	2.20	1.67
27.09.25	Swansea – Millwall	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.10	3.50	2.38	1.57

Birmingham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.26	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.30	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80
20.12.25	Sheffield United – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.95	1.93	1.93
09.12.25	QPR – Birmingham	2–1 (1–0)	2.85	3.30	2.35	1.98	1.88
06.12.25	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.85	1.93	1.93
26.11.25	West Brom – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.05	2.65	2.38	1.57
08.11.25	Middlesbrough – Birmingham	2–1 (2–1)	2.55	3.25	2.65	2.30	1.62
25.10.25	Bristol City – Birmingham	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.30	2.10	1.73
21.10.25	Preston – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	2.82	3.05	2.45	2.20	1.67
03.10.25	Wrexham – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	3.10	3.10	2.40	2.38	1.57
27.09.25	Coventry – Birmingham	3–0 (1–0)	1.96	3.50	3.60	1.98	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

4 3

Swansea winsDrawsBirmingham wins

7matches

3.00goals / match

57%over 2.5

71%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.09.25E1	Birmingham – Swansea	1–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.30	4.50	2.38	1.57
13.01.24E1	Birmingham – Swansea	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.80	2.00
05.08.23E1	Swansea – Birmingham	1–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.60	4.20	1.93	1.93
04.02.23E1	Swansea – Birmingham	3–4 (2–1)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.73
08.11.22E1	Birmingham – Swansea	2–2 (1–2)	2.70	3.25	2.70	2.20	1.66
19.03.22E1	Swansea – Birmingham	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.33	2.02	1.83
23.10.21E1	Birmingham – Swansea	2–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	3.10	2.50	1.53

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	27	16	7	4	59	30	+29	55
2	Middlesbrough	27	14	7	6	40	28	+12	49
3	Ipswich	26	13	8	5	45	24	+21	47
4	Millwall	27	13	7	7	31	33	-2	46
5	Hull	26	13	5	8	42	39	+3	44
6	Preston	27	11	10	6	36	26	+10	43
7	Stoke	27	12	5	10	32	23	+9	41
8	Watford	26	11	8	7	37	31	+6	41
9	Bristol City	27	11	7	9	38	29	+9	40
10	Wrexham	27	10	10	7	39	34	+5	40
11	QPR	27	11	6	10	38	39	-1	39
12	Derby	27	10	8	9	36	35	+1	38
13	Leicester	27	10	7	10	38	40	-2	37
14	Birmingham	26	9	7	10	35	36	-1	34
15	Southampton	27	8	9	10	39	40	-1	33
16	Sheffield United	26	10	2	14	36	39	-3	32
17	Swansea	26	9	5	12	27	33	-6	32
18	Charlton	26	8	8	10	26	32	-6	32
19	West Brom	27	9	4	14	31	38	-7	31
20	Blackburn	26	7	7	12	24	33	-9	28
21	Portsmouth	25	7	7	11	22	35	-13	28
22	Norwich	27	7	6	14	30	40	-10	27
23	Oxford	26	5	8	13	25	35	-10	23
24	Sheffield Weds	26	1	8	17	18	52	-34	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	13	10	2	1	29	10	+19	32
2	Ipswich	14	9	4	1	27	11	+16	31
3	Watford	14	8	4	2	23	14	+9	28
4	Middlesbrough	13	8	3	2	20	11	+9	27
5	Birmingham	13	7	5	1	27	13	+14	26
6	Millwall	14	8	2	4	17	17	0	26
7	QPR	13	7	2	4	24	17	+7	23
8	Preston	14	6	5	3	19	13	+6	23
9	Wrexham	14	6	5	3	25	21	+4	23
10	Hull	13	7	2	4	19	19	0	23
11	Leicester	13	6	4	3	19	15	+4	22
12	West Brom	13	6	4	3	18	14	+4	22
13	Bristol City	14	6	3	5	23	15	+8	21
14	Stoke	13	6	3	4	18	10	+8	21
15	Charlton	12	6	3	3	14	12	+2	21
16	Swansea	13	6	3	4	16	16	0	21
17	Southampton	13	5	5	3	18	13	+5	20
18	Portsmouth	13	5	3	5	14	14	0	18
19	Sheffield United	12	5	2	5	18	13	+5	17
20	Derby	14	4	5	5	17	20	-3	17
21	Oxford	13	3	5	5	13	17	-4	14
22	Blackburn	13	2	4	7	13	20	-7	10
23	Norwich	13	3	1	9	12	19	-7	10
24	Sheffield Weds	14	0	4	10	7	30	-23	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	14	6	5	3	30	20	+10	23
2	Middlesbrough	14	6	4	4	20	17	+3	22
3	Derby	13	6	3	4	19	15	+4	21
4	Hull	13	6	3	4	23	20	+3	21
5	Preston	13	5	5	3	17	13	+4	20
6	Stoke	14	6	2	6	14	13	+1	20
7	Millwall	13	5	5	3	14	16	-2	20
8	Bristol City	13	5	4	4	15	14	+1	19
9	Blackburn	13	5	3	5	11	13	-2	18
10	Wrexham	13	4	5	4	14	13	+1	17
11	Norwich	14	4	5	5	18	21	-3	17
12	Ipswich	12	4	4	4	18	13	+5	16
13	QPR	14	4	4	6	14	22	-8	16
14	Leicester	14	4	3	7	19	25	-6	15
15	Sheffield United	14	5	0	9	18	26	-8	15
16	Watford	12	3	4	5	14	17	-3	13
17	Southampton	14	3	4	7	21	27	-6	13
18	Swansea	13	3	2	8	11	17	-6	11
19	Charlton	14	2	5	7	12	20	-8	11
20	Portsmouth	12	2	4	6	8	21	-13	10
21	Oxford	13	2	3	8	12	18	-6	9
22	West Brom	14	3	0	11	13	24	-11	9
23	Birmingham	13	2	2	9	8	23	-15	8
24	Sheffield Weds	12	1	4	7	11	22	-11	7

Swansea Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Leicester	27	9	18	1.4	1.5	10	7	10	38	40	37
2	15	Southampton	27	9	18	1.4	1.5	8	9	10	39	40	33
3	5	Hull	26	9	17	1.6	1.5	13	5	8	42	39	44
4	11	QPR	27	10	17	1.4	1.4	11	6	10	38	39	39
5	1	Coventry	27	11	16	2.2	1.1	16	7	4	59	30	55
6	24	Sheffield Weds	26	10	16	0.7	2.0	1	8	17	18	52	11
7	16	Sheffield United	26	11	15	1.4	1.5	10	2	14	36	39	32
8	2	Middlesbrough	27	13	14	1.5	1.0	14	7	6	40	28	49
9	3	Ipswich	26	12	14	1.7	0.9	13	8	5	45	24	47
10	8	Watford	26	12	14	1.4	1.2	11	8	7	37	31	41
11	14	Birmingham	26	12	14	1.3	1.4	9	7	10	35	36	34
12	19	West Brom	27	13	14	1.1	1.4	9	4	14	31	38	31
13	12	Derby	27	14	13	1.3	1.3	10	8	9	36	35	38
14	22	Norwich	27	14	13	1.1	1.5	7	6	14	30	40	27
15	23	Oxford	26	13	13	1.0	1.3	5	8	13	25	35	23
16	4	Millwall	27	15	12	1.1	1.2	13	7	7	31	33	46
17	9	Bristol City	27	15	12	1.4	1.1	11	7	9	38	29	40
18	10	Wrexham	27	15	12	1.4	1.3	10	10	7	39	34	40
19	17	Swansea	26	14	12	1.0	1.3	9	5	12	27	33	32
20	6	Preston	27	16	11	1.3	1.0	11	10	6	36	26	43
21	7	Stoke	27	16	11	1.2	0.9	12	5	10	32	23	41
22	20	Blackburn	26	15	11	0.9	1.3	7	7	12	24	33	28
23	21	Portsmouth	25	14	11	0.9	1.4	7	7	11	22	35	28
24	18	Charlton	26	16	10	1.0	1.2	8	8	10	26	32	32

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	QPR	13	3	10	1.8	1.3	7	2	4	24	17	23
2	3	Ipswich	14	5	9	1.9	0.8	9	4	1	27	11	31
3	8	Watford	14	6	8	1.6	1.0	8	4	2	23	14	28
4	10	Wrexham	14	6	8	1.8	1.5	6	5	3	25	21	23
5	24	Sheffield Weds	14	6	8	0.5	2.1	0	4	10	7	30	4
6	1	Coventry	13	6	7	2.2	0.8	10	2	1	29	10	32
7	2	Middlesbrough	13	6	7	1.5	0.8	8	3	2	20	11	27
8	4	Millwall	14	7	7	1.2	1.2	8	2	4	17	17	26
9	5	Hull	13	6	7	1.5	1.5	7	2	4	19	19	23
10	9	Bristol City	14	7	7	1.6	1.1	6	3	5	23	15	21
11	13	Leicester	13	6	7	1.5	1.2	6	4	3	19	15	22
12	14	Birmingham	13	6	7	2.1	1.0	7	5	1	27	13	26
13	15	Southampton	13	6	7	1.4	1.0	5	5	3	18	13	20
14	16	Sheffield United	12	5	7	1.5	1.1	5	2	5	18	13	17
15	23	Oxford	13	6	7	1.0	1.3	3	5	5	13	17	14
16	6	Preston	14	8	6	1.4	0.9	6	5	3	19	13	23
17	7	Stoke	13	7	6	1.4	0.8	6	3	4	18	10	21
18	17	Swansea	13	7	6	1.2	1.2	6	3	4	16	16	21
19	19	West Brom	13	7	6	1.4	1.1	6	4	3	18	14	22
20	20	Blackburn	13	7	6	1.0	1.5	2	4	7	13	20	10
21	21	Portsmouth	13	7	6	1.1	1.1	5	3	5	14	14	18
22	22	Norwich	13	7	6	0.9	1.5	3	1	9	12	19	10
23	12	Derby	14	9	5	1.2	1.4	4	5	5	17	20	17
24	18	Charlton	12	8	4	1.2	1.0	6	3	3	14	12	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Leicester	14	3	11	1.4	1.8	4	3	7	19	25	15
2	15	Southampton	14	3	11	1.5	1.9	3	4	7	21	27	13
3	5	Hull	13	3	10	1.8	1.5	6	3	4	23	20	21
4	1	Coventry	14	5	9	2.1	1.4	6	5	3	30	20	23
5	12	Derby	13	5	8	1.5	1.2	6	3	4	19	15	21
6	16	Sheffield United	14	6	8	1.3	1.9	5	0	9	18	26	15
7	19	West Brom	14	6	8	0.9	1.7	3	0	11	13	24	9
8	24	Sheffield Weds	12	4	8	0.9	1.8	1	4	7	11	22	7
9	2	Middlesbrough	14	7	7	1.4	1.2	6	4	4	20	17	22
10	11	QPR	14	7	7	1.0	1.6	4	4	6	14	22	16
11	14	Birmingham	13	6	7	0.6	1.8	2	2	9	8	23	8
12	22	Norwich	14	7	7	1.3	1.5	4	5	5	18	21	17
13	8	Watford	12	6	6	1.2	1.4	3	4	5	14	17	13
14	17	Swansea	13	7	6	0.8	1.3	3	2	8	11	17	11
15	18	Charlton	14	8	6	0.9	1.4	2	5	7	12	20	11
16	23	Oxford	13	7	6	0.9	1.4	2	3	8	12	18	9
17	3	Ipswich	12	7	5	1.5	1.1	4	4	4	18	13	16
18	4	Millwall	13	8	5	1.1	1.2	5	5	3	14	16	20
19	6	Preston	13	8	5	1.3	1.0	5	5	3	17	13	20
20	7	Stoke	14	9	5	1.0	0.9	6	2	6	14	13	20
21	9	Bristol City	13	8	5	1.2	1.1	5	4	4	15	14	19
22	20	Blackburn	13	8	5	0.8	1.0	5	3	5	11	13	18
23	21	Portsmouth	12	7	5	0.7	1.8	2	4	6	8	21	10
24	10	Wrexham	13	9	4	1.1	1.0	4	5	4	14	13	17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.