Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

Birmingham 1–1 Stoke

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.81 fair 2.39
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 3.71
Away 4.00 fair 3.20
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.82
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.23

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Stoke
18 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 6
7 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (334 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 1–0 11.4% 0–1 9.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.36scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 38:37
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.46points / match
1.18scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 33:25
Birmingham all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.18
1.32 Goals conceded 0.89
2.68 Total goals 2.07
14.18 Shots 11.46
3.79 Shots on target 4.00
10.68 Shots faced 11.96
5.46 Corners 5.82
4.29 Corners against 4.75
11.50 Fouls 10.89
1.93 Yellow cards 2.00
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

36% Wins 43%
29% Draws 18%
36% Losses 39%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
82% Over 1.5 goals 57%
50% Over 2.5 goals 43%
25% Over 3.5 goals 11%
11% Over 4.5 goals 4%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
57% Both teams scored 36%
21% Clean sheets 39%
21% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 36%
21% Draws 43%
50% Losses 21%
82% Over 0.5 goals 57%
36% Over 1.5 goals 21%
14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Stoke all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.08scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 27:13
Stoke before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.00scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:13
Birmingham at home away Stoke

Per match

2.08 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 0.93
3.08 Total goals 1.93
18.23 Shots 10.86
5.38 Shots on target 3.64
9.15 Shots faced 13.86
5.92 Corners 5.43
4.23 Corners against 5.36
11.31 Fouls 11.00
2.08 Yellow cards 2.07
1.08 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

54% Wins 43%
38% Draws 14%
8% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
85% Over 1.5 goals 57%
54% Over 2.5 goals 36%
46% Over 3.5 goals 7%
23% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 21%
31% Clean sheets 43%
0% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 21%
31% Draws 50%
15% Losses 29%
77% Over 0.5 goals 50%
46% Over 1.5 goals 29%
23% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.26 Sheffield Weds – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.201.45 1.80 2.00
17.01.26 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.202.57 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Birmingham – Coventry 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.402.65 1.83 2.03
01.01.26 Watford – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 2.303.252.95 2.00 1.80
29.12.25 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Birmingham – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 1.863.404.20 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Sheffield United – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.502.95 1.93 1.93
13.12.25 Birmingham – Charlton 1–1 (1–0) 1.534.005.75 2.00 1.80
09.12.25 QPR – Birmingham 2–1 (1–0) 2.853.302.35 1.98 1.88
06.12.25 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.253.502.85 1.93 1.93

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.26 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80
17.01.26 Stoke – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Norwich – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.05 1.93 1.93
01.01.26 Hull – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.323.203.05 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Stoke – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.50 2.05 1.80
26.12.25 Stoke – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Watford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.203.20 1.91 1.91
13.12.25 Stoke – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 1.813.504.20 2.10 1.73
10.12.25 Ipswich – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.755.50 1.88 1.98
06.12.25 Sheffield United – Stoke 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.73

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Birmingham – Coventry 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.402.65 1.83 2.03
29.12.25 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Birmingham – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 1.863.404.20 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Birmingham – Charlton 1–1 (1–0) 1.534.005.75 2.00 1.80
01.12.25 Birmingham – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.793.604.33 2.10 1.73
22.11.25 Birmingham – Norwich 4–1 (3–1) 1.623.705.00 1.90 1.95
04.11.25 Birmingham – Millwall 4–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Birmingham – Portsmouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Birmingham – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 1.713.754.50 2.03 1.83
30.09.25 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (1–1) 1.454.007.50 1.93 1.93

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Norwich – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.05 1.93 1.93
01.01.26 Hull – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.323.203.05 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Watford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.203.20 1.91 1.91
10.12.25 Ipswich – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.755.50 1.88 1.98
06.12.25 Sheffield United – Stoke 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.73
22.11.25 Leicester – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 1.963.403.70 1.85 2.00
04.11.25 Oxford – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.052.30 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Portsmouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.57 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.202.95 2.30 1.62
04.10.25 Blackburn – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.70 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsStoke wins
7matches
2.14goals / match
57%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25E1 Stoke – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.35 2.30 1.62
20.01.24E1 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.80
26.12.23E1 Birmingham – Stoke 1–3 (0–2) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
10.04.23E1 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.20 1.67
05.11.22E1 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
19.02.22E1 Stoke – Birmingham 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.77
14.08.21E1 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.80 2.50 1.53

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 28 17 7 4 61 31 +30 58
2 Middlesbrough 29 16 7 6 46 29 +17 55
3 Ipswich 27 14 8 5 47 24 +23 50
4 Millwall 29 14 7 8 36 35 +1 49
5 Hull 27 14 5 8 45 39 +6 47
6 Preston 29 11 10 8 36 33 +3 43
7 Watford 27 11 9 7 38 32 +6 42
8 Derby 29 11 9 9 39 37 +2 42
9 Stoke 28 12 5 11 33 25 +8 41
10 Wrexham 28 10 11 7 40 35 +5 41
11 Bristol City 28 11 7 10 38 31 +7 40
12 QPR 28 11 7 10 38 39 -1 40
13 Birmingham 28 10 8 10 38 37 +1 38
14 Leicester 28 10 8 10 39 41 -2 38
15 Southampton 28 9 9 10 40 40 0 36
16 Swansea 28 10 6 12 31 35 -4 36
17 Sheffield United 27 10 2 15 36 40 -4 32
18 Charlton 28 8 8 12 27 38 -11 32
19 West Brom 29 9 5 15 32 44 -12 32
20 Norwich 28 8 6 14 35 40 -5 30
21 Portsmouth 26 7 8 11 23 36 -13 29
22 Blackburn 27 7 7 13 25 36 -11 28
23 Oxford 27 5 9 13 25 35 -10 24
24 Sheffield Weds 27 1 8 18 18 54 -36 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 14 11 2 1 31 11 +20 35
2 Ipswich 15 10 4 1 29 11 +18 34
3 Middlesbrough 14 9 3 2 24 11 +13 30
4 Watford 15 8 5 2 24 15 +9 29
5 Millwall 15 9 2 4 21 17 +4 29
6 Birmingham 13 7 5 1 27 13 +14 26
7 Swansea 15 7 4 4 20 18 +2 25
8 Wrexham 15 6 6 3 26 22 +4 24
9 QPR 13 7 2 4 24 17 +7 23
10 Southampton 14 6 5 3 19 13 +6 23
11 Preston 15 6 5 4 19 16 +3 23
12 Hull 13 7 2 4 19 19 0 23
13 Leicester 13 6 4 3 19 15 +4 22
14 West Brom 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22
15 Bristol City 14 6 3 5 23 15 +8 21
16 Stoke 14 6 3 5 19 12 +7 21
17 Charlton 13 6 3 4 15 14 +1 21
18 Portsmouth 13 5 3 5 14 14 0 18
19 Derby 15 4 6 5 18 21 -3 18
20 Sheffield United 12 5 2 5 18 13 +5 17
21 Oxford 14 3 6 5 13 17 -4 15
22 Blackburn 13 2 4 7 13 20 -7 10
23 Norwich 13 3 1 9 12 19 -7 10
24 Sheffield Weds 15 0 4 11 7 32 -25 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 15 7 4 4 22 18 +4 25
2 Hull 14 7 3 4 26 20 +6 24
3 Derby 14 7 3 4 21 16 +5 24
4 Coventry 14 6 5 3 30 20 +10 23
5 Norwich 15 5 5 5 23 21 +2 20
6 Stoke 14 6 2 6 14 13 +1 20
7 Preston 14 5 5 4 17 17 0 20
8 Millwall 14 5 5 4 15 18 -3 20
9 Bristol City 14 5 4 5 15 16 -1 19
10 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 12 16 -4 18
11 Wrexham 13 4 5 4 14 13 +1 17
12 QPR 15 4 5 6 14 22 -8 17
13 Ipswich 12 4 4 4 18 13 +5 16
14 Leicester 15 4 4 7 20 26 -6 16
15 Sheffield United 15 5 0 10 18 27 -9 15
16 Watford 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
17 Southampton 14 3 4 7 21 27 -6 13
18 Birmingham 15 3 3 9 11 24 -13 12
19 Swansea 13 3 2 8 11 17 -6 11
20 Charlton 15 2 5 8 12 24 -12 11
21 Portsmouth 13 2 5 6 9 22 -13 11
22 West Brom 15 3 1 11 14 25 -11 10
23 Oxford 13 2 3 8 12 18 -6 9
24 Sheffield Weds 12 1 4 7 11 22 -11 7

Birmingham   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 27 9 18 1.7 1.4 14 5 8 45 39 47
2 14 Leicester 28 10 18 1.4 1.5 10 8 10 39 41 38
3 15 Southampton 28 10 18 1.4 1.4 9 9 10 40 40 36
4 1 Coventry 28 11 17 2.2 1.1 17 7 4 61 31 58
5 12 QPR 28 11 17 1.4 1.4 11 7 10 38 39 40
6 2 Middlesbrough 29 13 16 1.6 1.0 16 7 6 46 29 55
7 24 Sheffield Weds 27 11 16 0.7 2.0 1 8 18 18 54 11
8 17 Sheffield United 27 12 15 1.3 1.5 10 2 15 36 40 32
9 19 West Brom 29 14 15 1.1 1.5 9 5 15 32 44 32
10 3 Ipswich 27 13 14 1.7 0.9 14 8 5 47 24 50
11 4 Millwall 29 15 14 1.2 1.2 14 7 8 36 35 49
12 7 Watford 27 13 14 1.4 1.2 11 9 7 38 32 42
13 8 Derby 29 15 14 1.3 1.3 11 9 9 39 37 42
14 13 Birmingham 28 14 14 1.4 1.3 10 8 10 38 37 38
15 20 Norwich 28 14 14 1.2 1.4 8 6 14 35 40 30
16 6 Preston 29 16 13 1.2 1.1 11 10 8 36 33 43
17 16 Swansea 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 10 6 12 31 35 36
18 23 Oxford 27 14 13 0.9 1.3 5 9 13 25 35 24
19 9 Stoke 28 16 12 1.2 0.9 12 5 11 33 25 41
20 10 Wrexham 28 16 12 1.4 1.2 10 11 7 40 35 41
21 11 Bristol City 28 16 12 1.4 1.1 11 7 10 38 31 40
22 18 Charlton 28 16 12 1.0 1.4 8 8 12 27 38 32
23 22 Blackburn 27 15 12 0.9 1.3 7 7 13 25 36 28
24 21 Portsmouth 26 15 11 0.9 1.4 7 8 11 23 36 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 QPR 13 3 10 1.8 1.3 7 2 4 24 17 23
2 3 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.9 0.7 10 4 1 29 11 34
3 1 Coventry 14 6 8 2.2 0.8 11 2 1 31 11 35
4 2 Middlesbrough 14 6 8 1.7 0.8 9 3 2 24 11 30
5 4 Millwall 15 7 8 1.4 1.1 9 2 4 21 17 29
6 7 Watford 15 7 8 1.6 1.0 8 5 2 24 15 29
7 10 Wrexham 15 7 8 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 26 22 24
8 24 Sheffield Weds 15 7 8 0.5 2.1 0 4 11 7 32 4
9 5 Hull 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 7 2 4 19 19 23
10 6 Preston 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 5 4 19 16 23
11 9 Stoke 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 6 3 5 19 12 21
12 11 Bristol City 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 3 5 23 15 21
13 13 Birmingham 13 6 7 2.1 1.0 7 5 1 27 13 26
14 14 Leicester 13 6 7 1.5 1.2 6 4 3 19 15 22
15 15 Southampton 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 6 5 3 19 13 23
16 16 Swansea 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 7 4 4 20 18 25
17 17 Sheffield United 12 5 7 1.5 1.1 5 2 5 18 13 17
18 19 West Brom 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22
19 23 Oxford 14 7 7 0.9 1.2 3 6 5 13 17 15
20 20 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 1 9 12 19 10
21 21 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 5 3 5 14 14 18
22 22 Blackburn 13 7 6 1.0 1.5 2 4 7 13 20 10
23 8 Derby 15 10 5 1.2 1.4 4 6 5 18 21 18
24 18 Charlton 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 6 3 4 15 14 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 14 3 11 1.9 1.4 7 3 4 26 20 24
2 14 Leicester 15 4 11 1.3 1.7 4 4 7 20 26 16
3 15 Southampton 14 3 11 1.5 1.9 3 4 7 21 27 13
4 1 Coventry 14 5 9 2.1 1.4 6 5 3 30 20 23
5 8 Derby 14 5 9 1.5 1.1 7 3 4 21 16 24
6 2 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.5 1.2 7 4 4 22 18 25
7 17 Sheffield United 15 7 8 1.2 1.8 5 0 10 18 27 15
8 19 West Brom 15 7 8 0.9 1.7 3 1 11 14 25 10
9 20 Norwich 15 7 8 1.5 1.4 5 5 5 23 21 20
10 24 Sheffield Weds 12 4 8 0.9 1.8 1 4 7 11 22 7
11 12 QPR 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 4 5 6 14 22 17
12 13 Birmingham 15 8 7 0.7 1.6 3 3 9 11 24 12
13 18 Charlton 15 8 7 0.8 1.6 2 5 8 12 24 11
14 4 Millwall 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 4 15 18 20
15 6 Preston 14 8 6 1.2 1.2 5 5 4 17 17 20
16 7 Watford 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 4 5 14 17 13
17 16 Swansea 13 7 6 0.8 1.3 3 2 8 11 17 11
18 22 Blackburn 14 8 6 0.9 1.1 5 3 6 12 16 18
19 23 Oxford 13 7 6 0.9 1.4 2 3 8 12 18 9
20 3 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 4 18 13 16
21 9 Stoke 14 9 5 1.0 0.9 6 2 6 14 13 20
22 11 Bristol City 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 15 16 19
23 21 Portsmouth 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 2 5 6 9 22 11
24 10 Wrexham 13 9 4 1.1 1.0 4 5 4 14 13 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51