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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: L Smith

Southampton 1–0 Norwich

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.28
Draw 3.50 fair 4.01
Away 3.75 fair 3.21
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.15
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Norwich
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 6
13 Fouls 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (454 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawNorwich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.3% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.62scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 60:48
Norwich before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.38scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 51:45
Southampton all matches all matches Norwich

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.38
1.30 Goals conceded 1.22
2.92 Total goals 2.59
14.30 Shots 12.30
5.24 Shots on target 4.27
12.65 Shots faced 12.43
5.62 Corners 5.03
4.73 Corners against 5.32
10.78 Fouls 9.76
1.89 Yellow cards 1.70
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.49

How often Full Time

41% Wins 41%
32% Draws 16%
27% Losses 43%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 84%
59% Over 2.5 goals 49%
32% Over 3.5 goals 16%
14% Over 4.5 goals 11%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
73% Both teams scored 59%
22% Clean sheets 22%
14% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 32%
49% Draws 43%
22% Losses 24%
62% Over 0.5 goals 62%
35% Over 1.5 goals 32%
14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Norwich all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
1.76points / match
1.53scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 26:14
Norwich before this match, away
1.44points / match
1.56scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 28:22
Southampton at home away Norwich

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.56
0.82 Goals conceded 1.22
2.35 Total goals 2.78
15.88 Shots 10.61
5.41 Shots on target 4.11
10.71 Shots faced 14.22
6.41 Corners 4.50
4.41 Corners against 6.28
9.29 Fouls 10.39
1.59 Yellow cards 2.28
0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

47% Wins 39%
35% Draws 28%
18% Losses 33%
82% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 89%
47% Over 2.5 goals 50%
24% Over 3.5 goals 22%
12% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 67%
41% Clean sheets 22%
24% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 39%
41% Draws 39%
24% Losses 22%
59% Over 0.5 goals 72%
35% Over 1.5 goals 39%
18% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Norwich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Coventry – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 1.713.804.10 1.67 2.20
11.03.26 West Brom – Southampton 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.502.35 1.98 1.88
28.02.26 Sheffield Weds – Southampton 1–3 (0–2) 9.505.251.27 1.57 2.38
24.02.26 Southampton – QPR 5–0 (2–0) 1.613.704.33 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Southampton – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 1.534.205.50 1.80 2.00
10.02.26 Leicester – Southampton 3–4 (3–0) 3.103.402.20 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Southampton – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.704.00 1.83 2.03
31.01.26 Stoke – Southampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.853.402.30 1.90 1.95
25.01.26 Portsmouth – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.10 1.91 1.91
21.01.26 Southampton – Sheffield United 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.65 1.67 2.20

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Norwich – Preston 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.004.75 1.85 2.00
11.03.26 Norwich – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.55 1.80 2.00
28.02.26 Leicester – Norwich 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.402.70 1.80 2.00
25.02.26 Norwich – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (2–0) 1.156.5015.00 1.50 2.63
21.02.26 Norwich – Birmingham 1–2 (0–2) 2.503.402.65 1.91 1.91
10.02.26 Oxford – Norwich 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.202.30 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Norwich – Blackburn 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.75 2.00 1.80
31.01.26 Middlesbrough – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.904.50 1.73 2.10
26.01.26 Norwich – Coventry 2–1 (0–1) 2.823.502.30 1.67 2.20
20.01.26 West Brom – Norwich 0–5 (0–1) 1.963.503.60 2.00 1.80

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.26 Southampton – QPR 5–0 (2–0) 1.613.704.33 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Southampton – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 1.534.205.50 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Southampton – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.704.00 1.83 2.03
21.01.26 Southampton – Sheffield United 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.65 1.67 2.20
17.01.26 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.663.804.75 1.67 2.20
01.01.26 Southampton – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.604.50 1.80 2.00
20.12.25 Southampton – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.702.57 1.62 2.30
09.12.25 Southampton – West Brom 3–2 (3–0) 1.793.753.90 1.73 2.10
06.12.25 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.253.502.85 1.93 1.93
25.11.25 Southampton – Leicester 3–0 (3–0) 1.963.603.70 1.80 2.00

Norwich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Leicester – Norwich 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.402.70 1.80 2.00
10.02.26 Oxford – Norwich 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.202.30 2.20 1.67
31.01.26 Middlesbrough – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.904.50 1.73 2.10
20.01.26 West Brom – Norwich 0–5 (0–1) 1.963.503.60 2.00 1.80
17.01.26 Wrexham – Norwich 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.403.10 1.91 1.91
01.01.26 QPR – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.40 1.91 1.91
20.12.25 Preston – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.05 1.88 1.98
09.12.25 Sheffield United – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 1.563.905.25 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Watford – Norwich 3–2 (1–2) 1.863.603.80 1.85 2.00
22.11.25 Birmingham – Norwich 4–1 (3–1) 1.623.705.00 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsNorwich wins
5matches
3.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25E1 Norwich – Southampton 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.901.96 1.62 2.30
01.01.24E1 Norwich – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.70 2.10
12.08.23E1 Southampton – Norwich 4–4 (2–3) 1.833.754.00 1.88 1.98
25.02.22E0 Southampton – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.336.00 1.72 2.10
20.11.21E0 Norwich – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 3.603.502.05 2.03 1.87

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 38 23 8 7 78 40 +38 77
2 Middlesbrough 38 20 10 8 59 37 +22 70
3 Ipswich 37 19 11 7 66 38 +28 68
4 Millwall 38 20 8 10 52 43 +9 68
5 Hull 38 19 6 13 59 56 +3 63
6 Wrexham 38 16 12 10 58 50 +8 60
7 Southampton 37 15 12 10 60 48 +12 57
8 Derby 38 16 9 13 55 48 +7 57
9 Watford 38 14 13 11 50 46 +4 55
10 Birmingham 38 14 11 13 48 48 0 53
11 Swansea 38 15 7 16 44 46 -2 52
12 Norwich 37 15 6 16 51 45 +6 51
13 Stoke 38 14 9 15 45 40 +5 51
14 Bristol City 38 14 9 15 49 49 0 51
15 Sheffield United 38 15 5 18 53 52 +1 50
16 QPR 38 14 8 16 49 60 -11 50
17 Preston 38 12 13 13 42 48 -6 49
18 Charlton 38 12 12 14 36 45 -9 48
19 Leicester 38 11 11 16 51 60 -9 44
20 Blackburn 38 11 9 18 36 49 -13 42
21 Portsmouth 37 10 10 17 36 48 -12 40
22 West Brom 38 10 10 18 39 54 -15 40
23 Oxford 38 9 12 17 36 49 -13 39
24 Sheffield Weds 38 1 9 28 23 76 -53 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 19 14 3 2 40 15 +25 45
2 Ipswich 19 12 6 1 35 13 +22 42
3 Middlesbrough 19 10 6 3 27 14 +13 36
4 Millwall 20 11 3 6 28 23 +5 36
5 Birmingham 19 9 8 2 33 19 +14 35
6 Watford 19 10 5 4 29 20 +9 35
7 Swansea 19 10 5 4 28 19 +9 35
8 Wrexham 20 9 6 5 36 30 +6 33
9 Southampton 17 8 6 3 26 14 +12 30
10 Hull 19 9 3 7 29 31 -2 30
11 Stoke 19 8 5 6 29 21 +8 29
12 West Brom 19 7 7 5 23 23 0 28
13 Charlton 18 8 4 6 18 18 0 28
14 Sheffield United 18 8 3 7 29 21 +8 27
15 Derby 19 7 6 6 26 25 +1 27
16 Preston 19 7 6 6 23 23 0 27
17 QPR 18 8 2 8 29 30 -1 26
18 Bristol City 19 7 4 8 28 26 +2 25
19 Norwich 19 8 1 10 23 23 0 25
20 Leicester 19 7 4 8 26 28 -2 25
21 Portsmouth 19 6 4 9 19 20 -1 22
22 Oxford 19 5 7 7 17 24 -7 22
23 Blackburn 19 4 6 9 18 25 -7 18
24 Sheffield Weds 20 0 5 15 10 41 -31 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 19 10 4 5 32 23 +9 34
2 Hull 19 10 3 6 30 25 +5 33
3 Coventry 19 9 5 5 38 25 +13 32
4 Millwall 18 9 5 4 24 20 +4 32
5 Derby 19 9 3 7 29 23 +6 30
6 Wrexham 18 7 6 5 22 20 +2 27
7 Southampton 20 7 6 7 34 34 0 27
8 Ipswich 18 7 5 6 31 25 +6 26
9 Norwich 18 7 5 6 28 22 +6 26
10 Bristol City 19 7 5 7 21 23 -2 26
11 Blackburn 19 7 3 9 18 24 -6 24
12 QPR 20 6 6 8 20 30 -10 24
13 Sheffield United 20 7 2 11 24 31 -7 23
14 Stoke 19 6 4 9 16 19 -3 22
15 Preston 19 5 7 7 19 25 -6 22
16 Watford 19 4 8 7 21 26 -5 20
17 Charlton 20 4 8 8 18 27 -9 20
18 Leicester 19 4 7 8 25 32 -7 19
19 Portsmouth 18 4 6 8 17 28 -11 18
20 Birmingham 19 5 3 11 15 29 -14 18
21 Oxford 19 4 5 10 19 25 -6 17
22 Swansea 19 5 2 12 16 27 -11 17
23 West Brom 19 3 3 13 16 31 -15 12
24 Sheffield Weds 18 1 4 13 13 35 -22 7

Southampton   Norwich

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 38 13 25 1.6 1.5 19 6 13 59 56 63
2 1 Coventry 38 14 24 2.1 1.1 23 8 7 78 40 77
3 16 QPR 38 14 24 1.3 1.6 14 8 16 49 60 50
4 19 Leicester 38 15 23 1.3 1.6 11 11 16 51 60 44
5 7 Southampton 37 15 22 1.6 1.3 15 12 10 60 48 57
6 15 Sheffield United 38 17 21 1.4 1.4 15 5 18 53 52 50
7 24 Sheffield Weds 38 17 21 0.6 2.0 1 9 28 23 76 12
8 2 Middlesbrough 38 18 20 1.6 1.0 20 10 8 59 37 70
9 3 Ipswich 37 18 19 1.8 1.0 19 11 7 66 38 68
10 4 Millwall 38 19 19 1.4 1.1 20 8 10 52 43 68
11 8 Derby 38 19 19 1.4 1.3 16 9 13 55 48 57
12 23 Oxford 38 19 19 0.9 1.3 9 12 17 36 49 39
13 6 Wrexham 38 20 18 1.5 1.3 16 12 10 58 50 60
14 9 Watford 38 20 18 1.3 1.2 14 13 11 50 46 55
15 10 Birmingham 38 20 18 1.3 1.3 14 11 13 48 48 53
16 12 Norwich 37 19 18 1.4 1.2 15 6 16 51 45 51
17 22 West Brom 38 20 18 1.0 1.4 10 10 18 39 54 40
18 11 Swansea 38 21 17 1.2 1.2 15 7 16 44 46 52
19 13 Stoke 38 21 17 1.2 1.1 14 9 15 45 40 51
20 14 Bristol City 38 21 17 1.3 1.3 14 9 15 49 49 51
21 17 Preston 38 22 16 1.1 1.3 12 13 13 42 48 49
22 20 Blackburn 38 22 16 0.9 1.3 11 9 18 36 49 42
23 21 Portsmouth 37 21 16 1.0 1.3 10 10 17 36 48 40
24 18 Charlton 38 25 13 0.9 1.2 12 12 14 36 45 48
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 QPR 18 4 14 1.6 1.7 8 2 8 29 30 26
2 1 Coventry 19 7 12 2.1 0.8 14 3 2 40 15 45
3 5 Hull 19 7 12 1.5 1.6 9 3 7 29 31 30
4 15 Sheffield United 18 6 12 1.6 1.2 8 3 7 29 21 27
5 4 Millwall 20 9 11 1.4 1.1 11 3 6 28 23 36
6 6 Wrexham 20 9 11 1.8 1.5 9 6 5 36 30 33
7 13 Stoke 19 8 11 1.5 1.1 8 5 6 29 21 29
8 3 Ipswich 19 9 10 1.8 0.7 12 6 1 35 13 42
9 14 Bristol City 19 9 10 1.5 1.4 7 4 8 28 26 25
10 19 Leicester 19 9 10 1.4 1.5 7 4 8 26 28 25
11 24 Sheffield Weds 20 10 10 0.5 2.0 0 5 15 10 41 5
12 9 Watford 19 10 9 1.5 1.1 10 5 4 29 20 35
13 10 Birmingham 19 10 9 1.7 1.0 9 8 2 33 19 35
14 12 Norwich 19 10 9 1.2 1.2 8 1 10 23 23 25
15 17 Preston 19 10 9 1.2 1.2 7 6 6 23 23 27
16 23 Oxford 19 10 9 0.9 1.3 5 7 7 17 24 22
17 2 Middlesbrough 19 11 8 1.4 0.7 10 6 3 27 14 36
18 7 Southampton 17 9 8 1.5 0.8 8 6 3 26 14 30
19 8 Derby 19 11 8 1.4 1.3 7 6 6 26 25 27
20 11 Swansea 19 11 8 1.5 1.0 10 5 4 28 19 35
21 21 Portsmouth 19 11 8 1.0 1.1 6 4 9 19 20 22
22 22 West Brom 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 7 7 5 23 23 28
23 20 Blackburn 19 12 7 0.9 1.3 4 6 9 18 25 18
24 18 Charlton 18 12 6 1.0 1.0 8 4 6 18 18 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Southampton 20 6 14 1.7 1.7 7 6 7 34 34 27
2 5 Hull 19 6 13 1.6 1.3 10 3 6 30 25 33
3 19 Leicester 19 6 13 1.3 1.7 4 7 8 25 32 19
4 1 Coventry 19 7 12 2.0 1.3 9 5 5 38 25 32
5 2 Middlesbrough 19 7 12 1.7 1.2 10 4 5 32 23 34
6 8 Derby 19 8 11 1.5 1.2 9 3 7 29 23 30
7 24 Sheffield Weds 18 7 11 0.7 1.9 1 4 13 13 35 7
8 16 QPR 20 10 10 1.0 1.5 6 6 8 20 30 24
9 22 West Brom 19 9 10 0.8 1.6 3 3 13 16 31 12
10 23 Oxford 19 9 10 1.0 1.3 4 5 10 19 25 17
11 3 Ipswich 18 9 9 1.7 1.4 7 5 6 31 25 26
12 9 Watford 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 4 8 7 21 26 20
13 10 Birmingham 19 10 9 0.8 1.5 5 3 11 15 29 18
14 11 Swansea 19 10 9 0.8 1.4 5 2 12 16 27 17
15 12 Norwich 18 9 9 1.6 1.2 7 5 6 28 22 26
16 15 Sheffield United 20 11 9 1.2 1.6 7 2 11 24 31 23
17 20 Blackburn 19 10 9 0.9 1.3 7 3 9 18 24 24
18 4 Millwall 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 9 5 4 24 20 32
19 21 Portsmouth 18 10 8 0.9 1.6 4 6 8 17 28 18
20 6 Wrexham 18 11 7 1.2 1.1 7 6 5 22 20 27
21 14 Bristol City 19 12 7 1.1 1.2 7 5 7 21 23 26
22 17 Preston 19 12 7 1.0 1.3 5 7 7 19 25 22
23 18 Charlton 20 13 7 0.9 1.4 4 8 8 18 27 20
24 13 Stoke 19 13 6 0.8 1.0 6 4 9 16 19 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51