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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Nield

Watford 3–2 Norwich

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.86 fair 2.08
Draw 3.60 fair 4.05
Away 3.80 fair 3.68
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Norwich
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 5
12 Fouls 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (217 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawNorwich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 24:23
Norwich before this match, all matches
0.72points / match
1.06scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:29
Watford all matches all matches Norwich

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.06
1.28 Goals conceded 1.61
2.61 Total goals 2.67
14.17 Shots 12.50
4.72 Shots on target 3.94
12.33 Shots faced 14.39
4.33 Corners 5.44
5.11 Corners against 5.67
11.56 Fouls 9.11
1.89 Yellow cards 1.83
0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%
33% Draws 22%
33% Losses 61%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 83%
56% Over 2.5 goals 50%
22% Over 3.5 goals 22%
6% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
72% Both teams scored 72%
6% Clean sheets 6%
22% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 39%
39% Draws 33%
39% Losses 28%
83% Over 0.5 goals 72%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Norwich all matches
Watford before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:9
Norwich before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.11scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:14
Watford at home away Norwich

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.11
1.00 Goals conceded 1.56
2.67 Total goals 2.67
17.44 Shots 11.11
5.67 Shots on target 3.67
11.89 Shots faced 16.56
4.78 Corners 5.44
4.78 Corners against 6.89
10.67 Fouls 9.56
1.56 Yellow cards 2.56
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

56% Wins 22%
33% Draws 33%
11% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 89%
67% Over 2.5 goals 44%
11% Over 3.5 goals 22%
0% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 78%
11% Clean sheets 11%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 44%
44% Draws 22%
22% Losses 33%
89% Over 0.5 goals 89%
67% Over 1.5 goals 44%
22% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Norwich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.25 Birmingham – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.793.604.33 2.10 1.73
25.11.25 Watford – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 1.813.604.20 2.10 1.73
22.11.25 Derby – Watford 2–3 (1–0) 2.453.202.82 2.30 1.62
07.11.25 Watford – Bristol City 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.403.60 2.20 1.67
04.11.25 Ipswich – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 1.663.605.00 1.90 1.95
01.11.25 Watford – Middlesbrough 3–0 (2–0) 2.653.402.45 2.05 1.80
25.10.25 Coventry – Watford 3–1 (3–0) 1.454.756.00 1.67 2.20
22.10.25 Watford – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.653.252.55 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.303.90 2.00 1.80
04.10.25 Watford – Oxford 2–1 (2–1) 1.963.253.90 2.00 1.80

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Norwich – QPR 3–1 (3–1) 2.503.402.75 2.00 1.85
25.11.25 Norwich – Oxford 1–1 (1–0) 1.813.604.10 1.83 2.03
22.11.25 Birmingham – Norwich 4–1 (3–1) 1.623.705.00 1.90 1.95
08.11.25 Norwich – Leicester 1–2 (0–0) 2.953.402.20 1.83 2.03
05.11.25 Sheffield Weds – Norwich 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.05 1.90 1.95
01.11.25 Norwich – Hull 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.803.05 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.93 1.93
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Norwich – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.57 1.83 2.03
05.10.25 Ipswich – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 1.533.905.75 1.73 2.10

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.25 Watford – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 1.813.604.20 2.10 1.73
07.11.25 Watford – Bristol City 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.403.60 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Watford – Middlesbrough 3–0 (2–0) 2.653.402.45 2.05 1.80
22.10.25 Watford – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.653.252.55 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Watford – Oxford 2–1 (2–1) 1.963.253.90 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Watford – Hull 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.10 1.95 1.90
13.09.25 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 2.20 1.67
30.08.25 Watford – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.302.35 2.03 1.83
16.08.25 Watford – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.103.60 2.20 1.67
03.05.25 Watford – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (1–1) 2.753.502.40 1.67 2.20

Norwich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Birmingham – Norwich 4–1 (3–1) 1.623.705.00 1.90 1.95
05.11.25 Sheffield Weds – Norwich 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.05 1.90 1.95
25.10.25 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.93 1.93
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
05.10.25 Ipswich – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 1.533.905.75 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
13.09.25 Coventry – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.904.33 1.67 2.20
30.08.25 Blackburn – Norwich 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.403.00 2.10 1.73
16.08.25 Portsmouth – Norwich 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.75 1.98 1.88
26.04.25 Middlesbrough – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.335.25 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsNorwich wins
8matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
63%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25E1 Watford – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 1.88 1.98
21.09.24E1 Norwich – Watford 4–1 (2–1) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
13.02.24E1 Norwich – Watford 4–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.40 1.93 1.93
28.11.23E1 Watford – Norwich 3–2 (2–2) 2.153.503.30 1.88 1.98
02.01.23E1 Norwich – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.98 1.88
15.10.22E1 Watford – Norwich 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.302.55 2.00 1.85
21.01.22E0 Watford – Norwich 0–3 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.94 1.96
18.09.21E0 Norwich – Watford 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 18 13 4 1 50 18 +32 43
2 Middlesbrough 19 10 6 3 28 20 +8 36
3 Millwall 18 9 4 5 22 25 -3 31
4 Stoke 18 9 3 6 26 14 +12 30
5 Preston 18 8 6 4 25 19 +6 30
6 Bristol City 18 8 5 5 26 20 +6 29
7 Ipswich 18 7 7 4 30 19 +11 28
8 Birmingham 18 8 4 6 27 20 +7 28
9 Hull 19 8 4 7 31 34 -3 28
10 Wrexham 18 6 8 4 23 20 +3 26
11 Derby 18 7 5 6 25 25 0 26
12 West Brom 18 7 4 7 20 22 -2 25
13 QPR 18 7 4 7 22 28 -6 25
14 Southampton 18 6 6 6 28 25 +3 24
15 Watford 18 6 6 6 24 23 +1 24
16 Leicester 18 6 6 6 22 23 -1 24
17 Charlton 18 6 5 7 18 23 -5 23
18 Blackburn 18 6 3 9 18 23 -5 21
19 Sheffield United 18 6 1 11 20 28 -8 19
20 Oxford 18 4 6 8 20 25 -5 18
21 Swansea 18 4 5 9 18 27 -9 17
22 Portsmouth 18 4 5 9 15 25 -10 17
23 Norwich 18 3 4 11 19 29 -10 13
24 Sheffield Weds 18 1 5 12 14 36 -22 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 9 7 2 0 25 7 +18 23
2 Birmingham 9 6 2 1 21 8 +13 20
3 Middlesbrough 9 6 2 1 13 9 +4 20
4 Millwall 10 6 1 3 12 12 0 19
5 Watford 9 5 3 1 15 9 +6 18
6 Preston 9 5 2 2 13 9 +4 17
7 Hull 10 5 2 3 16 18 -2 17
8 Stoke 9 5 1 3 15 7 +8 16
9 Ipswich 9 4 4 1 15 9 +6 16
10 West Brom 9 4 4 1 11 8 +3 16
11 Wrexham 10 4 4 2 15 13 +2 16
12 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 14 10 +4 14
13 Charlton 8 4 2 2 10 9 +1 14
14 Leicester 9 3 4 2 11 10 +1 13
15 Southampton 8 3 3 2 10 7 +3 12
16 Derby 9 3 3 3 12 13 -1 12
17 QPR 8 3 2 3 11 12 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 3 2 5 9 11 -2 11
19 Oxford 9 2 4 3 10 13 -3 10
20 Swansea 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9
21 Sheffield United 8 2 1 5 7 11 -4 7
22 Blackburn 9 1 2 6 8 15 -7 5
23 Norwich 9 1 1 7 9 15 -6 4
24 Sheffield Weds 10 0 2 8 5 24 -19 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 9 6 2 1 25 11 +14 20
2 Middlesbrough 10 4 4 2 15 11 +4 16
3 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 10 8 +2 16
4 Bristol City 9 4 3 2 12 10 +2 15
5 Stoke 9 4 2 3 11 7 +4 14
6 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14
7 QPR 10 4 2 4 11 16 -5 14
8 Preston 9 3 4 2 12 10 +2 13
9 Ipswich 9 3 3 3 15 10 +5 12
10 Southampton 10 3 3 4 18 18 0 12
11 Millwall 8 3 3 2 10 13 -3 12
12 Sheffield United 10 4 0 6 13 17 -4 12
13 Hull 9 3 2 4 15 16 -1 11
14 Leicester 9 3 2 4 11 13 -2 11
15 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 8 7 +1 10
16 Norwich 9 2 3 4 10 14 -4 9
17 West Brom 9 3 0 6 9 14 -5 9
18 Charlton 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
19 Oxford 9 2 2 5 10 12 -2 8
20 Swansea 9 2 2 5 8 12 -4 8
21 Birmingham 9 2 2 5 6 12 -6 8
22 Sheffield Weds 8 1 3 4 9 12 -3 6
23 Watford 9 1 3 5 9 14 -5 6
24 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 6 14 -8 6

Watford   Norwich

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Hull 19 5 14 1.6 1.8 8 4 7 31 34 28
2 1 Coventry 18 5 13 2.8 1.0 13 4 1 50 18 43
3 14 Southampton 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 6 6 6 28 25 24
4 24 Sheffield Weds 18 7 11 0.8 2.0 1 5 12 14 36 8
5 2 Middlesbrough 19 9 10 1.5 1.1 10 6 3 28 20 36
6 13 QPR 18 8 10 1.2 1.6 7 4 7 22 28 25
7 15 Watford 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 6 6 6 24 23 24
8 19 Sheffield United 18 8 10 1.1 1.6 6 1 11 20 28 19
9 20 Oxford 18 8 10 1.1 1.4 4 6 8 20 25 18
10 3 Millwall 18 9 9 1.2 1.4 9 4 5 22 25 31
11 7 Ipswich 18 9 9 1.7 1.1 7 7 4 30 19 28
12 8 Birmingham 18 9 9 1.5 1.1 8 4 6 27 20 28
13 11 Derby 18 9 9 1.4 1.4 7 5 6 25 25 26
14 16 Leicester 18 9 9 1.2 1.3 6 6 6 22 23 24
15 21 Swansea 18 9 9 1.0 1.5 4 5 9 18 27 17
16 23 Norwich 18 9 9 1.1 1.6 3 4 11 19 29 13
17 4 Stoke 18 10 8 1.4 0.8 9 3 6 26 14 30
18 5 Preston 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 8 6 4 25 19 30
19 6 Bristol City 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 8 5 5 26 20 29
20 12 West Brom 18 10 8 1.1 1.2 7 4 7 20 22 25
21 18 Blackburn 18 10 8 1.0 1.3 6 3 9 18 23 21
22 22 Portsmouth 18 10 8 0.8 1.4 4 5 9 15 25 17
23 17 Charlton 18 11 7 1.0 1.3 6 5 7 18 23 23
24 10 Wrexham 18 12 6 1.3 1.1 6 8 4 23 20 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Hull 10 3 7 1.6 1.8 5 2 3 16 18 17
2 1 Coventry 9 3 6 2.8 0.8 7 2 0 25 7 23
3 8 Birmingham 9 3 6 2.3 0.9 6 2 1 21 8 20
4 15 Watford 9 3 6 1.7 1.0 5 3 1 15 9 18
5 24 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 0.5 2.4 0 2 8 5 24 2
6 2 Middlesbrough 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 6 2 1 13 9 20
7 5 Preston 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 5 2 2 13 9 17
8 6 Bristol City 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 4 2 3 14 10 14
9 7 Ipswich 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 4 4 1 15 9 16
10 13 QPR 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 3 2 3 11 12 11
11 18 Blackburn 9 4 5 0.9 1.7 1 2 6 8 15 5
12 20 Oxford 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 2 4 3 10 13 10
13 21 Swansea 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 4 10 15 9
14 23 Norwich 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 1 7 9 15 4
15 3 Millwall 10 6 4 1.2 1.2 6 1 3 12 12 19
16 4 Stoke 9 5 4 1.7 0.8 5 1 3 15 7 16
17 10 Wrexham 10 6 4 1.5 1.3 4 4 2 15 13 16
18 14 Southampton 8 4 4 1.2 0.9 3 3 2 10 7 12
19 19 Sheffield United 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 2 1 5 7 11 7
20 22 Portsmouth 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 5 9 11 11
21 11 Derby 9 6 3 1.3 1.4 3 3 3 12 13 12
22 12 West Brom 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 4 4 1 11 8 16
23 16 Leicester 9 6 3 1.2 1.1 3 4 2 11 10 13
24 17 Charlton 8 5 3 1.2 1.1 4 2 2 10 9 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Southampton 10 2 8 1.8 1.8 3 3 4 18 18 12
2 1 Coventry 9 2 7 2.8 1.2 6 2 1 25 11 20
3 9 Hull 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 3 2 4 15 16 11
4 11 Derby 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14
5 16 Leicester 9 3 6 1.2 1.4 3 2 4 11 13 11
6 19 Sheffield United 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 4 0 6 13 17 12
7 2 Middlesbrough 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 2 15 11 16
8 3 Millwall 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 3 3 2 10 13 12
9 12 West Brom 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 3 0 6 9 14 9
10 13 QPR 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 4 2 4 11 16 14
11 20 Oxford 9 4 5 1.1 1.3 2 2 5 10 12 8
12 24 Sheffield Weds 8 3 5 1.1 1.5 1 3 4 9 12 6
13 4 Stoke 9 5 4 1.2 0.8 4 2 3 11 7 14
14 7 Ipswich 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 3 3 3 15 10 12
15 15 Watford 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 5 9 14 6
16 17 Charlton 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
17 21 Swansea 9 5 4 0.9 1.3 2 2 5 8 12 8
18 22 Portsmouth 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 1 3 4 6 14 6
19 23 Norwich 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 4 10 14 9
20 5 Preston 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 4 2 12 10 13
21 6 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 3 2 12 10 15
22 8 Birmingham 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 2 2 5 6 12 8
23 18 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.1 0.9 5 1 3 10 8 16
24 10 Wrexham 8 6 2 1.0 0.9 2 4 2 8 7 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51