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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: P Wright

Burton 4–1 Crewe

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.72 fair 1.94
Draw 3.60 fair 4.06
Away 5.00 fair 4.21
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.99
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.01

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Crewe
20 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 4
12 Fouls 3
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (273 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawCrewe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 11.4% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.09scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 24:28
Crewe before this match, all matches
0.78points / match
0.91scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 21:39
Burton all matches all matches Crewe

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 0.91
1.27 Goals conceded 1.70
2.36 Total goals 2.61
13.36 Shots 9.87
3.73 Shots on target 3.57
12.91 Shots faced 15.65
5.77 Corners 4.22
6.18 Corners against 6.22
12.00 Fouls 10.65
1.86 Yellow cards 1.83
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

36% Wins 17%
18% Draws 26%
45% Losses 57%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 91%
45% Over 2.5 goals 39%
18% Over 3.5 goals 22%
5% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 52%
27% Clean sheets 13%
27% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 17%
36% Draws 35%
41% Losses 48%
73% Over 0.5 goals 78%
32% Over 1.5 goals 39%
5% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Crewe all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.82points / match
1.64scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:12
Crewe before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 9:21
Burton at home away Crewe

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 0.75
1.09 Goals conceded 1.75
2.73 Total goals 2.50
14.82 Shots 9.33
4.55 Shots on target 3.17
11.36 Shots faced 18.00
6.45 Corners 3.83
5.73 Corners against 7.17
11.64 Fouls 9.58
1.82 Yellow cards 2.50
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

55% Wins 8%
18% Draws 25%
27% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 92%
55% Over 2.5 goals 42%
27% Over 3.5 goals 8%
9% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 58%
27% Clean sheets 0%
9% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 8%
27% Draws 42%
45% Losses 50%
82% Over 0.5 goals 67%
36% Over 1.5 goals 33%
9% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Crewe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.21 Rotherham – Burton 3–1 (1–1) 1.454.756.50 1.85 2.00
07.12.21 Wycombe – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 1.953.604.00 1.80 2.05
27.11.21 Burton – Doncaster 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.98 1.88
23.11.21 Burton – Accrington 4–0 (2–0) 2.103.503.50 1.95 1.90
20.11.21 Milton Keynes Dons – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.704.50 1.88 1.98
13.11.21 Burton – Charlton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.98 1.88
30.10.21 Wigan – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.703.605.00 2.05 1.75
23.10.21 Burton – Oxford 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80
19.10.21 Fleetwood Town – Burton 0–1 (0–1) 2.373.303.00 2.15 1.66
15.10.21 Burton – Morecambe 3–2 (2–1) 1.903.604.00 1.95 1.85

Crewe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.21 Morecambe – Crewe 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.603.00 2.00 1.85
11.12.21 Crewe – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–1) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.70
07.12.21 Crewe – Lincoln 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 1.93 1.93
28.11.21 Ipswich – Crewe 2–1 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.75 2.05
23.11.21 AFC Wimbledon – Crewe 3–2 (3–1) 1.853.504.33 2.02 1.83
20.11.21 Crewe – Gillingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.90 2.07 1.72
12.11.21 Bolton – Crewe 2–0 (0–0) 1.664.005.00 1.70 2.10
02.11.21 Crewe – Doncaster 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 2.00 1.80
30.10.21 Crewe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.751.85 1.80 2.00
23.10.21 Wycombe – Crewe 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.337.50 1.80 2.00

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.11.21 Burton – Doncaster 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.98 1.88
23.11.21 Burton – Accrington 4–0 (2–0) 2.103.503.50 1.95 1.90
13.11.21 Burton – Charlton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.98 1.88
23.10.21 Burton – Oxford 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80
15.10.21 Burton – Morecambe 3–2 (2–1) 1.903.604.00 1.95 1.85
28.09.21 Burton – Portsmouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.87 2.15 1.66
25.09.21 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75
11.09.21 Burton – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.10 1.70
27.08.21 Burton – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.15 1.66
17.08.21 Burton – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.15 2.10 1.70

Crewe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.21 Morecambe – Crewe 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.603.00 2.00 1.85
28.11.21 Ipswich – Crewe 2–1 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.75 2.05
23.11.21 AFC Wimbledon – Crewe 3–2 (3–1) 1.853.504.33 2.02 1.83
12.11.21 Bolton – Crewe 2–0 (0–0) 1.664.005.00 1.70 2.10
23.10.21 Wycombe – Crewe 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.337.50 1.80 2.00
16.10.21 Fleetwood Town – Crewe 3–0 (0–0) 1.903.753.75 1.90 1.90
28.09.21 Plymouth – Crewe 1–1 (0–1) 1.723.754.75 1.85 1.95
25.09.21 Rotherham – Crewe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.80 2.00
11.09.21 Shrewsbury – Crewe 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.15 1.66
28.08.21 Charlton – Crewe 2–0 (2–0) 1.803.754.33 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsCrewe wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.21E2 Crewe – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.65

England League One table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 24 15 4 5 47 26 +21 49
2 Rotherham 23 14 5 4 43 16 +27 47
3 Wigan 21 14 3 4 40 20 +20 45
4 Plymouth 24 12 7 5 38 25 +13 43
5 Oxford 23 12 6 5 39 24 +15 42
6 Wycombe 23 12 6 5 36 27 +9 42
7 Milton Keynes Dons 22 11 5 6 42 29 +13 38
8 Sheffield Weds 23 9 10 4 30 26 +4 37
9 Portsmouth 22 10 6 6 28 22 +6 36
10 Accrington 24 10 4 10 30 39 -9 34
11 Ipswich 24 8 8 8 39 34 +5 32
12 Charlton 23 8 5 10 30 28 +2 29
13 Burton 22 8 4 10 24 28 -4 28
14 Cheltenham 23 7 7 9 29 42 -13 28
15 Bolton 22 7 5 10 29 33 -4 26
16 Shrewsbury 24 7 5 12 25 29 -4 26
17 Cambridge 23 6 8 9 32 38 -6 26
18 AFC Wimbledon 21 6 7 8 30 35 -5 25
19 Fleetwood Town 23 5 7 11 36 43 -7 22
20 Lincoln 22 5 7 10 24 31 -7 22
21 Morecambe 23 5 5 13 30 46 -16 20
22 Crewe 23 4 6 13 21 39 -18 18
23 Gillingham 22 3 8 11 18 34 -16 17
24 Doncaster 22 4 4 14 13 39 -26 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 12 10 1 1 29 6 +23 31
2 Oxford 13 8 3 2 26 12 +14 27
3 Rotherham 12 8 2 2 30 12 +18 26
4 Wycombe 11 8 1 2 19 14 +5 25
5 Plymouth 12 7 3 2 18 11 +7 24
6 Accrington 12 7 1 4 19 18 +1 22
7 Portsmouth 11 6 3 2 16 10 +6 21
8 Ipswich 13 5 6 2 23 18 +5 21
9 Shrewsbury 12 6 3 3 16 12 +4 21
10 Burton 11 6 2 3 18 12 +6 20
11 Wigan 11 6 2 3 15 10 +5 20
12 Milton Keynes Dons 11 6 2 3 17 13 +4 20
13 Sheffield Weds 10 5 4 1 15 8 +7 19
14 Charlton 12 5 3 4 19 14 +5 18
15 Cheltenham 12 5 3 4 15 20 -5 18
16 Bolton 10 4 4 2 16 15 +1 16
17 Doncaster 11 4 3 4 10 13 -3 15
18 Fleetwood Town 12 4 2 6 20 20 0 14
19 Cambridge 12 3 5 4 15 18 -3 14
20 Morecambe 12 3 4 5 15 19 -4 13
21 Crewe 11 3 3 5 12 18 -6 12
22 AFC Wimbledon 9 2 5 2 15 15 0 11
23 Lincoln 11 2 3 6 10 16 -6 9
24 Gillingham 10 2 3 5 7 14 -7 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wigan 10 8 1 1 25 10 +15 25
2 Rotherham 11 6 3 2 13 4 +9 21
3 Plymouth 12 5 4 3 20 14 +6 19
4 Milton Keynes Dons 11 5 3 3 25 16 +9 18
5 Sunderland 12 5 3 4 18 20 -2 18
6 Sheffield Weds 13 4 6 3 15 18 -3 18
7 Wycombe 12 4 5 3 17 13 +4 17
8 Oxford 10 4 3 3 13 12 +1 15
9 Portsmouth 11 4 3 4 12 12 0 15
10 AFC Wimbledon 12 4 2 6 15 20 -5 14
11 Lincoln 11 3 4 4 14 15 -1 13
12 Cambridge 11 3 3 5 17 20 -3 12
13 Accrington 12 3 3 6 11 21 -10 12
14 Ipswich 11 3 2 6 16 16 0 11
15 Charlton 11 3 2 6 11 14 -3 11
16 Bolton 12 3 1 8 13 18 -5 10
17 Cheltenham 11 2 4 5 14 22 -8 10
18 Fleetwood Town 11 1 5 5 16 23 -7 8
19 Gillingham 12 1 5 6 11 20 -9 8
20 Burton 11 2 2 7 6 16 -10 8
21 Morecambe 11 2 1 8 15 27 -12 7
22 Crewe 12 1 3 8 9 21 -12 6
23 Shrewsbury 12 1 2 9 9 17 -8 5
24 Doncaster 11 0 1 10 3 26 -23 1

Burton   Crewe

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Fleetwood Town 23 5 18 1.6 1.9 5 7 11 36 43 22
2 1 Sunderland 24 8 16 2.0 1.1 15 4 5 47 26 49
3 7 Milton Keynes Dons 22 7 15 1.9 1.3 11 5 6 42 29 38
4 11 Ipswich 24 9 15 1.6 1.4 8 8 8 39 34 32
5 5 Oxford 23 9 14 1.7 1.0 12 6 5 39 24 42
6 21 Morecambe 23 9 14 1.3 2.0 5 5 13 30 46 20
7 4 Plymouth 24 11 13 1.6 1.0 12 7 5 38 25 43
8 6 Wycombe 23 10 13 1.6 1.2 12 6 5 36 27 42
9 10 Accrington 24 11 13 1.2 1.6 10 4 10 30 39 34
10 14 Cheltenham 23 10 13 1.3 1.8 7 7 9 29 42 28
11 17 Cambridge 23 10 13 1.4 1.7 6 8 9 32 38 26
12 18 AFC Wimbledon 21 8 13 1.4 1.7 6 7 8 30 35 25
13 3 Wigan 21 9 12 1.9 1.0 14 3 4 40 20 45
14 15 Bolton 22 10 12 1.3 1.5 7 5 10 29 33 26
15 12 Charlton 23 12 11 1.3 1.2 8 5 10 30 28 29
16 16 Shrewsbury 24 13 11 1.0 1.2 7 5 12 25 29 26
17 8 Sheffield Weds 23 13 10 1.3 1.1 9 10 4 30 26 37
18 9 Portsmouth 22 12 10 1.3 1.0 10 6 6 28 22 36
19 13 Burton 22 12 10 1.1 1.3 8 4 10 24 28 28
20 20 Lincoln 22 12 10 1.1 1.4 5 7 10 24 31 22
21 24 Doncaster 22 12 10 0.6 1.8 4 4 14 13 39 16
22 22 Crewe 23 14 9 0.9 1.7 4 6 13 21 39 18
23 2 Rotherham 23 15 8 1.9 0.7 14 5 4 43 16 47
24 23 Gillingham 22 15 7 0.8 1.5 3 8 11 18 34 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Fleetwood Town 12 2 10 1.7 1.7 4 2 6 20 20 14
2 5 Oxford 13 5 8 2.0 0.9 8 3 2 26 12 27
3 11 Ipswich 13 5 8 1.8 1.4 5 6 2 23 18 21
4 1 Sunderland 12 5 7 2.4 0.5 10 1 1 29 6 31
5 2 Rotherham 12 5 7 2.5 1.0 8 2 2 30 12 26
6 4 Plymouth 12 5 7 1.5 0.9 7 3 2 18 11 24
7 6 Wycombe 11 4 7 1.7 1.3 8 1 2 19 14 25
8 10 Accrington 12 5 7 1.6 1.5 7 1 4 19 18 22
9 14 Cheltenham 12 5 7 1.2 1.7 5 3 4 15 20 18
10 15 Bolton 10 3 7 1.6 1.5 4 4 2 16 15 16
11 7 Milton Keynes Dons 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 6 2 3 17 13 20
12 13 Burton 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 6 2 3 18 12 20
13 16 Shrewsbury 12 6 6 1.3 1.0 6 3 3 16 12 21
14 17 Cambridge 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 3 5 4 15 18 14
15 3 Wigan 11 6 5 1.4 0.9 6 2 3 15 10 20
16 9 Portsmouth 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 6 3 2 16 10 21
17 12 Charlton 12 7 5 1.6 1.2 5 3 4 19 14 18
18 18 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 5 1.7 1.7 2 5 2 15 15 11
19 20 Lincoln 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 3 6 10 16 9
20 21 Morecambe 12 7 5 1.2 1.6 3 4 5 15 19 13
21 24 Doncaster 11 6 5 0.9 1.2 4 3 4 10 13 15
22 8 Sheffield Weds 10 6 4 1.5 0.8 5 4 1 15 8 19
23 22 Crewe 11 7 4 1.1 1.6 3 3 5 12 18 12
24 23 Gillingham 10 7 3 0.7 1.4 2 3 5 7 14 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sunderland 12 3 9 1.5 1.7 5 3 4 18 20 18
2 7 Milton Keynes Dons 11 2 9 2.3 1.5 5 3 3 25 16 18
3 21 Morecambe 11 2 9 1.4 2.5 2 1 8 15 27 7
4 18 AFC Wimbledon 12 4 8 1.2 1.7 4 2 6 15 20 14
5 19 Fleetwood Town 11 3 8 1.5 2.1 1 5 5 16 23 8
6 3 Wigan 10 3 7 2.5 1.0 8 1 1 25 10 25
7 11 Ipswich 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 3 2 6 16 16 11
8 17 Cambridge 11 4 7 1.5 1.8 3 3 5 17 20 12
9 4 Plymouth 12 6 6 1.7 1.2 5 4 3 20 14 19
10 5 Oxford 10 4 6 1.3 1.2 4 3 3 13 12 15
11 6 Wycombe 12 6 6 1.4 1.1 4 5 3 17 13 17
12 8 Sheffield Weds 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 4 6 3 15 18 18
13 10 Accrington 12 6 6 0.9 1.8 3 3 6 11 21 12
14 12 Charlton 11 5 6 1.0 1.3 3 2 6 11 14 11
15 14 Cheltenham 11 5 6 1.3 2.0 2 4 5 14 22 10
16 9 Portsmouth 11 6 5 1.1 1.1 4 3 4 12 12 15
17 15 Bolton 12 7 5 1.1 1.5 3 1 8 13 18 10
18 16 Shrewsbury 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 1 2 9 9 17 5
19 20 Lincoln 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 3 4 4 14 15 13
20 22 Crewe 12 7 5 0.8 1.8 1 3 8 9 21 6
21 24 Doncaster 11 6 5 0.3 2.4 0 1 10 3 26 1
22 13 Burton 11 7 4 0.5 1.5 2 2 7 6 16 8
23 23 Gillingham 12 8 4 0.9 1.7 1 5 6 11 20 8
24 2 Rotherham 11 10 1 1.2 0.4 6 3 2 13 4 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51