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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Allison

Derby 1–2 Port Vale

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.66 fair 2.04
Draw 3.80 fair 3.96
Away ✓ 5.50 fair 3.90
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.95
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.05

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Port Vale
13 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 7
15 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (132 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawPort Vale
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 11.4% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.10scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:9
Port Vale before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
0.91scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:16
Derby all matches all matches Port Vale

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 0.91
0.90 Goals conceded 1.45
2.00 Total goals 2.36
14.80 Shots 11.36
4.80 Shots on target 3.27
10.00 Shots faced 12.00
6.60 Corners 5.27
4.40 Corners against 4.82
8.40 Fouls 9.45
1.40 Yellow cards 1.45
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

50% Wins 27%
20% Draws 27%
30% Losses 45%
80% Over 0.5 goals 91%
60% Over 1.5 goals 73%
40% Over 2.5 goals 55%
10% Over 3.5 goals 18%
10% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 45%
40% Clean sheets 18%
40% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 18%
50% Draws 36%
20% Losses 45%
50% Over 0.5 goals 73%
20% Over 1.5 goals 45%
0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Port Vale all matches
Derby before this match, at home
2.40points / match
1.80scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:6
Port Vale before this match, away
0.80points / match
0.80scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:10
Derby at home away Port Vale

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 0.80
1.20 Goals conceded 2.00
3.00 Total goals 2.80
14.60 Shots 10.60
5.20 Shots on target 3.40
10.60 Shots faced 15.60
6.60 Corners 5.40
4.60 Corners against 5.80
9.40 Fouls 8.20
1.60 Yellow cards 0.80
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 1.20

How often Full Time

80% Wins 20%
0% Draws 20%
20% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
80% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 40%
20% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 0%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 80%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Port Vale away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Derby – Peterboro 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 1.85 2.00
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72
16.08.22 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57
13.08.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.15 1.66
06.08.22 Charlton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.202.62 2.10 1.70
30.07.22 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93

Port Vale all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.22 Port Vale – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.02 1.83
24.09.22 Peterboro – Port Vale 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.604.00 1.93 1.93
17.09.22 Port Vale – Shrewsbury 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.30 2.35 1.57
13.09.22 Barnsley – Port Vale 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.70
03.09.22 Port Vale – Cheltenham 2–2 (2–1) 1.903.753.75 2.02 1.83
27.08.22 Port Vale – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–1) 2.873.402.45 1.98 1.88
20.08.22 Burton – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Port Vale 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.60
13.08.22 Port Vale – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
06.08.22 Exeter – Port Vale 4–0 (2–0) 2.403.203.10 2.10 1.70

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Derby – Peterboro 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 1.85 2.00
13.08.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.15 1.66
30.07.22 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93
07.05.22E1 Derby – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.83 2.02
23.04.22E1 Derby – Bristol City 1–3 (0–2) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
15.04.22E1 Derby – Fulham 2–1 (0–1) 5.754.001.61 1.95 1.90
02.04.22E1 Derby – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.87 2.50 1.53
19.03.22E1 Derby – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.102.50 2.30 1.61

Port Vale away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.09.22 Peterboro – Port Vale 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.604.00 1.93 1.93
13.09.22 Barnsley – Port Vale 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.70
20.08.22 Burton – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Port Vale 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.60
06.08.22 Exeter – Port Vale 4–0 (2–0) 2.403.203.10 2.10 1.70
07.05.22E3 Exeter – Port Vale 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.20 2.02 1.83
23.04.22E3 Walsall – Port Vale 2–0 (0–0) 4.003.302.00 2.40 1.53
15.04.22E3 Hartlepool – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.202.15 2.40 1.53
05.04.22E3 Salford – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.623.102.90 2.15 1.66
02.04.22E3 Barrow – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 3.503.202.20 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 12 9 1 2 21 13 +8 28
2 Ipswich 12 8 3 1 25 10 +15 27
3 Sheffield Weds 12 7 2 3 22 12 +10 23
4 Portsmouth 10 6 3 1 21 11 +10 21
5 Barnsley 11 6 2 3 17 10 +7 20
6 Bolton 11 6 2 3 13 7 +6 20
7 Peterboro 11 6 0 5 20 12 +8 18
8 Derby 10 5 2 3 11 9 +2 17
9 Accrington 11 4 4 3 14 13 +1 16
10 Cambridge 12 5 1 6 14 21 -7 16
11 Exeter 11 4 3 4 18 12 +6 15
12 Fleetwood Town 11 3 6 2 10 9 +1 15
13 Shrewsbury 11 4 3 4 11 13 -2 15
14 Cheltenham 11 4 2 5 11 12 -1 14
15 Lincoln 10 3 4 3 14 16 -2 13
16 Charlton 11 2 6 3 15 15 0 12
17 Port Vale 11 3 3 5 10 16 -6 12
18 Oxford 10 3 2 5 9 11 -2 11
19 Wycombe 11 3 2 6 13 16 -3 11
20 Milton Keynes Dons 10 3 1 6 11 14 -3 10
21 Bristol Rvs 11 2 3 6 15 22 -7 9
22 Forest Green 11 2 2 7 10 25 -15 8
23 Burton 12 2 1 9 14 27 -13 7
24 Morecambe 11 1 4 6 8 21 -13 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 6 6 0 0 10 2 +8 18
2 Bolton 6 5 0 1 10 3 +7 15
3 Ipswich 6 4 2 0 14 5 +9 14
4 Peterboro 5 4 0 1 12 1 +11 12
5 Derby 5 4 0 1 9 6 +3 12
6 Cambridge 6 4 0 2 9 9 0 12
7 Sheffield Weds 6 3 2 1 14 8 +6 11
8 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 11 5 +6 11
9 Exeter 6 3 1 2 10 6 +4 10
10 Barnsley 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
11 Charlton 5 2 3 0 9 4 +5 9
12 Accrington 6 2 3 1 10 9 +1 9
13 Cheltenham 6 3 0 3 8 8 0 9
14 Port Vale 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
15 Wycombe 5 2 1 2 6 4 +2 7
16 Oxford 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
17 Fleetwood Town 6 1 4 1 4 4 0 7
18 Shrewsbury 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
19 Lincoln 4 1 3 0 6 4 +2 6
20 Bristol Rvs 6 1 2 3 8 12 -4 5
21 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
22 Burton 6 1 0 5 3 12 -9 3
23 Forest Green 6 1 0 5 4 14 -10 3
24 Morecambe 5 0 2 3 2 10 -8 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 6 4 1 1 11 5 +6 13
2 Sheffield Weds 6 4 0 2 8 4 +4 12
3 Portsmouth 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
4 Barnsley 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
5 Plymouth 6 3 1 2 11 11 0 10
6 Fleetwood Town 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
7 Shrewsbury 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
8 Accrington 5 2 1 2 4 4 0 7
9 Lincoln 6 2 1 3 8 12 -4 7
10 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 0 3 6 6 0 6
11 Peterboro 6 2 0 4 8 11 -3 6
12 Exeter 5 1 2 2 8 6 +2 5
13 Bolton 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
14 Cheltenham 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
15 Derby 5 1 2 2 2 3 -1 5
16 Forest Green 5 1 2 2 6 11 -5 5
17 Morecambe 6 1 2 3 6 11 -5 5
18 Oxford 5 1 1 3 3 5 -2 4
19 Bristol Rvs 5 1 1 3 7 10 -3 4
20 Burton 6 1 1 4 11 15 -4 4
21 Wycombe 6 1 1 4 7 12 -5 4
22 Port Vale 5 1 1 3 4 10 -6 4
23 Cambridge 6 1 1 4 5 12 -7 4
24 Charlton 6 0 3 3 6 11 -5 3

Derby   Port Vale

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 12 4 8 2.1 0.8 8 3 1 25 10 27
2 22 Forest Green 11 3 8 0.9 2.3 2 2 7 10 25 8
3 1 Plymouth 12 5 7 1.8 1.1 9 1 2 21 13 28
4 7 Peterboro 11 4 7 1.8 1.1 6 0 5 20 12 18
5 10 Cambridge 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 5 1 6 14 21 16
6 19 Wycombe 11 4 7 1.2 1.5 3 2 6 13 16 11
7 21 Bristol Rvs 11 4 7 1.4 2.0 2 3 6 15 22 9
8 23 Burton 12 5 7 1.2 2.2 2 1 9 14 27 7
9 24 Morecambe 11 4 7 0.7 1.9 1 4 6 8 21 7
10 3 Sheffield Weds 12 6 6 1.8 1.0 7 2 3 22 12 23
11 4 Portsmouth 10 4 6 2.1 1.1 6 3 1 21 11 21
12 5 Barnsley 11 5 6 1.5 0.9 6 2 3 17 10 20
13 11 Exeter 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 4 3 4 18 12 15
14 17 Port Vale 11 5 6 0.9 1.5 3 3 5 10 16 12
15 13 Shrewsbury 11 6 5 1.0 1.2 4 3 4 11 13 15
16 20 Milton Keynes Dons 10 5 5 1.1 1.4 3 1 6 11 14 10
17 8 Derby 10 6 4 1.1 0.9 5 2 3 11 9 17
18 9 Accrington 11 7 4 1.3 1.2 4 4 3 14 13 16
19 14 Cheltenham 11 7 4 1.0 1.1 4 2 5 11 12 14
20 15 Lincoln 10 6 4 1.4 1.6 3 4 3 14 16 13
21 16 Charlton 11 7 4 1.4 1.4 2 6 3 15 15 12
22 18 Oxford 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 5 9 11 11
23 12 Fleetwood Town 11 8 3 0.9 0.8 3 6 2 10 9 15
24 6 Bolton 11 9 2 1.2 0.6 6 2 3 13 7 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 22 Forest Green 6 1 5 0.7 2.3 1 0 5 4 14 3
2 2 Ipswich 6 2 4 2.3 0.8 4 2 0 14 5 14
3 3 Sheffield Weds 6 2 4 2.3 1.3 3 2 1 14 8 11
4 4 Portsmouth 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 3 2 0 11 5 11
5 8 Derby 5 1 4 1.8 1.2 4 0 1 9 6 12
6 5 Barnsley 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
7 7 Peterboro 5 2 3 2.4 0.2 4 0 1 12 1 12
8 9 Accrington 6 3 3 1.7 1.5 2 3 1 10 9 9
9 10 Cambridge 6 3 3 1.5 1.5 4 0 2 9 9 12
10 11 Exeter 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 3 1 2 10 6 10
11 13 Shrewsbury 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
12 14 Cheltenham 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 3 0 3 8 8 9
13 17 Port Vale 6 3 3 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8
14 18 Oxford 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
15 21 Bristol Rvs 6 3 3 1.3 2.0 1 2 3 8 12 5
16 24 Morecambe 5 2 3 0.4 2.0 0 2 3 2 10 2
17 1 Plymouth 6 4 2 1.7 0.3 6 0 0 10 2 18
18 6 Bolton 6 4 2 1.7 0.5 5 0 1 10 3 15
19 19 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 1 2 6 4 7
20 20 Milton Keynes Dons 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
21 23 Burton 6 4 2 0.5 2.0 1 0 5 3 12 3
22 12 Fleetwood Town 6 5 1 0.7 0.7 1 4 1 4 4 7
23 15 Lincoln 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 1 3 0 6 4 6
24 16 Charlton 5 4 1 1.8 0.8 2 3 0 9 4 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 6 1 5 1.8 1.8 3 1 2 11 11 10
2 19 Wycombe 6 1 5 1.2 2.0 1 1 4 7 12 4
3 23 Burton 6 1 5 1.8 2.5 1 1 4 11 15 4
4 2 Ipswich 6 2 4 1.8 0.8 4 1 1 11 5 13
5 7 Peterboro 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 2 0 4 8 11 6
6 10 Cambridge 6 2 4 0.8 2.0 1 1 4 5 12 4
7 21 Bristol Rvs 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 1 1 3 7 10 4
8 24 Morecambe 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 3 6 11 5
9 5 Barnsley 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
10 11 Exeter 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 1 2 2 8 6 5
11 15 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.3 2.0 2 1 3 8 12 7
12 16 Charlton 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 0 3 3 6 11 3
13 17 Port Vale 5 2 3 0.8 2.0 1 1 3 4 10 4
14 20 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 0 3 6 6 6
15 22 Forest Green 5 2 3 1.2 2.2 1 2 2 6 11 5
16 3 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 4 0 2 8 4 12
17 4 Portsmouth 5 3 2 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
18 12 Fleetwood Town 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
19 13 Shrewsbury 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8
20 9 Accrington 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 1 2 4 4 7
21 14 Cheltenham 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5
22 18 Oxford 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 1 3 3 5 4
23 6 Bolton 5 5 0 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5
24 8 Derby 5 5 0 0.4 0.6 1 2 2 2 3 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51