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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: D Handley

Burton 1–1 Morecambe

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.70 fair 2.34
Draw ✓ 3.75 fair 4.05
Away 5.00 fair 3.07
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Morecambe
15 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 2
6 Fouls 14
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (147 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawMorecambe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
0.62points / match
1.15scored / match
2.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:28
Morecambe before this match, all matches
0.58points / match
0.75scored / match
1.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 9:23
Burton all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 0.75
2.15 Goals conceded 1.92
3.31 Total goals 2.67
12.00 Shots 9.00
3.38 Shots on target 3.25
15.23 Shots faced 18.58
5.69 Corners 3.00
5.85 Corners against 7.42
11.54 Fouls 13.67
1.46 Yellow cards 1.83
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

15% Wins 8%
15% Draws 33%
69% Losses 58%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
85% Over 1.5 goals 83%
54% Over 2.5 goals 67%
31% Over 3.5 goals 25%
23% Over 4.5 goals 0%
15% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 58%
8% Clean sheets 8%
46% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 17%
46% Draws 58%
31% Losses 25%
54% Over 0.5 goals 67%
31% Over 1.5 goals 42%
23% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Morecambe all matches
Burton before this match, at home
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 3:12
Morecambe before this match, away
0.83points / match
1.00scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:11
Burton at home away Morecambe

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded 1.83
2.50 Total goals 2.83
11.00 Shots 8.33
3.00 Shots on target 3.00
14.50 Shots faced 17.33
6.00 Corners 2.67
7.33 Corners against 8.33
11.00 Fouls 13.17
1.17 Yellow cards 2.00
0.17 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

17% Wins 17%
0% Draws 33%
83% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
17% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 0%
83% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 0%
50% Draws 67%
33% Losses 33%
50% Over 0.5 goals 67%
17% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Morecambe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.61 2.25
04.10.22 Burton – Fleetwood Town 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.753.40 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Burton – Forest Green 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 1.95 1.90
24.09.22 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
17.09.22 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00
13.09.22 Burton – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.601.90 1.75 2.05
03.09.22 Oxford – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.105.50 1.70 2.10
27.08.22 Cambridge – Burton 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.603.20 1.85 2.00
20.08.22 Burton – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.22 Burton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–0) 5.253.801.66 2.00 1.85

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Morecambe – Ipswich 1–2 (1–0) 8.504.331.40 1.90 1.95
01.10.22 Accrington – Morecambe 3–1 (0–0) 1.663.605.25 1.88 1.98
24.09.22 Morecambe – Cambridge 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.302.37 2.05 1.75
17.09.22 Forest Green – Morecambe 1–2 (1–1) 1.903.504.00 1.98 1.88
13.09.22 Morecambe – Sheffield Weds 0–3 (0–0) 8.504.501.40 1.88 1.98
03.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Morecambe 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.603.60 1.95 1.90
27.08.22 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 0–4 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.77
20.08.22 Oxford – Morecambe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.66 2.15
16.08.22 Bolton – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.75 2.05
13.08.22 Morecambe – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 2.02 1.83

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.22 Burton – Fleetwood Town 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.753.40 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Burton – Forest Green 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Burton – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.601.90 1.75 2.05
20.08.22 Burton – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.22 Burton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–0) 5.253.801.66 2.00 1.85
06.08.22 Burton – Bristol Rvs 0–4 (0–4) 2.703.252.70 2.07 1.72
30.04.22 Burton – Wycombe 1–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.70 1.72 2.07
19.04.22 Burton – Rotherham 2–0 (1–0) 4.753.801.72 1.98 1.88
12.04.22 Burton – Wigan 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.751.66 2.05 1.75
09.04.22 Burton – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 2.02 1.83

Morecambe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.22 Accrington – Morecambe 3–1 (0–0) 1.663.605.25 1.88 1.98
17.09.22 Forest Green – Morecambe 1–2 (1–1) 1.903.504.00 1.98 1.88
03.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Morecambe 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.603.60 1.95 1.90
20.08.22 Oxford – Morecambe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.66 2.15
16.08.22 Bolton – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.75 2.05
06.08.22 Peterboro – Morecambe 3–0 (2–0) 1.444.337.50 1.85 2.00
23.04.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.95 1.90
15.04.22 Charlton – Morecambe 2–3 (0–2) 1.803.804.50 1.93 1.93
09.04.22 Cambridge – Morecambe 2–1 (1–0) 2.373.403.00 2.05 1.80
19.03.22 Wigan – Morecambe 4–1 (2–0) 1.404.758.00 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsMorecambe wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.22E2 Morecambe – Burton 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.402.55 2.00 1.85
15.10.21E2 Burton – Morecambe 3–2 (2–1) 1.903.604.00 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 13 10 1 2 24 13 +11 31
2 Ipswich 13 9 3 1 27 11 +16 30
3 Sheffield Weds 13 8 2 3 25 12 +13 26
4 Peterboro 13 7 1 5 25 14 +11 22
5 Portsmouth 11 6 4 1 22 12 +10 22
6 Barnsley 12 6 2 4 17 12 +5 20
7 Bolton 12 6 2 4 13 8 +5 20
8 Exeter 13 5 3 5 22 16 +6 18
9 Shrewsbury 12 5 3 4 13 14 -1 18
10 Derby 11 5 2 4 12 11 +1 17
11 Charlton 13 3 7 3 19 17 +2 16
12 Fleetwood Town 12 3 7 2 11 10 +1 16
13 Accrington 12 4 4 4 14 16 -2 16
14 Cambridge 13 5 1 7 15 23 -8 16
15 Bristol Rvs 13 4 3 6 18 23 -5 15
16 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 12 17 -5 15
17 Lincoln 11 3 5 3 14 16 -2 14
18 Wycombe 12 4 2 6 14 16 -2 14
19 Cheltenham 12 4 2 6 11 15 -4 14
20 Oxford 11 3 2 6 9 12 -3 11
21 Forest Green 13 3 2 8 12 29 -17 11
22 Milton Keynes Dons 12 3 1 8 12 17 -5 10
23 Burton 13 2 2 9 15 28 -13 8
24 Morecambe 12 1 4 7 9 23 -14 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 7 7 0 0 13 2 +11 21
2 Peterboro 7 5 1 1 17 3 +14 16
3 Bolton 6 5 0 1 10 3 +7 15
4 Sheffield Weds 7 4 2 1 17 8 +9 14
5 Ipswich 6 4 2 0 14 5 +9 14
6 Charlton 6 3 3 0 13 6 +7 12
7 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0 12 6 +6 12
8 Derby 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
9 Cambridge 6 4 0 2 9 9 0 12
10 Exeter 6 3 1 2 10 6 +4 10
11 Barnsley 6 3 1 2 8 7 +1 10
12 Shrewsbury 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10
13 Accrington 6 2 3 1 10 9 +1 9
14 Cheltenham 6 3 0 3 8 8 0 9
15 Port Vale 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
16 Bristol Rvs 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 8
17 Lincoln 5 1 4 0 6 4 +2 7
18 Wycombe 5 2 1 2 6 4 +2 7
19 Fleetwood Town 6 1 4 1 4 4 0 7
20 Oxford 6 2 1 3 6 7 -1 7
21 Forest Green 7 2 0 5 5 14 -9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 6 1 1 4 5 9 -4 4
23 Burton 6 1 0 5 3 12 -9 3
24 Morecambe 6 0 2 4 3 12 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 7 5 1 1 13 6 +7 16
2 Sheffield Weds 6 4 0 2 8 4 +4 12
3 Portsmouth 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
4 Barnsley 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
5 Plymouth 6 3 1 2 11 11 0 10
6 Fleetwood Town 6 2 3 1 7 6 +1 9
7 Exeter 7 2 2 3 12 10 +2 8
8 Shrewsbury 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
9 Bristol Rvs 6 2 1 3 8 10 -2 7
10 Accrington 6 2 1 3 4 7 -3 7
11 Lincoln 6 2 1 3 8 12 -4 7
12 Wycombe 7 2 1 4 8 12 -4 7
13 Port Vale 6 2 1 3 6 11 -5 7
14 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 0 4 7 8 -1 6
15 Peterboro 6 2 0 4 8 11 -3 6
16 Derby 5 1 2 2 2 3 -1 5
17 Bolton 6 1 2 3 3 5 -2 5
18 Burton 7 1 2 4 12 16 -4 5
19 Cheltenham 6 1 2 3 3 7 -4 5
20 Morecambe 6 1 2 3 6 11 -5 5
21 Forest Green 6 1 2 3 7 15 -8 5
22 Oxford 5 1 1 3 3 5 -2 4
23 Charlton 7 0 4 3 6 11 -5 4
24 Cambridge 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4

Burton   Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 13 4 9 2.1 0.8 9 3 1 27 11 30
2 21 Forest Green 13 4 9 0.9 2.2 3 2 8 12 29 11
3 1 Plymouth 13 5 8 1.8 1.0 10 1 2 24 13 31
4 4 Peterboro 13 5 8 1.9 1.1 7 1 5 25 14 22
5 14 Cambridge 13 5 8 1.2 1.8 5 1 7 15 23 16
6 15 Bristol Rvs 13 5 8 1.4 1.8 4 3 6 18 23 15
7 24 Morecambe 12 4 8 0.8 1.9 1 4 7 9 23 7
8 3 Sheffield Weds 13 6 7 1.9 0.9 8 2 3 25 12 26
9 8 Exeter 13 6 7 1.7 1.2 5 3 5 22 16 18
10 16 Port Vale 12 5 7 1.0 1.4 4 3 5 12 17 15
11 18 Wycombe 12 5 7 1.2 1.3 4 2 6 14 16 14
12 23 Burton 13 6 7 1.2 2.2 2 2 9 15 28 8
13 5 Portsmouth 11 5 6 2.0 1.1 6 4 1 22 12 22
14 6 Barnsley 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 6 2 4 17 12 20
15 9 Shrewsbury 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 5 3 4 13 14 18
16 22 Milton Keynes Dons 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 3 1 8 12 17 10
17 10 Derby 11 6 5 1.1 1.0 5 2 4 12 11 17
18 11 Charlton 13 8 5 1.5 1.3 3 7 3 19 17 16
19 13 Accrington 12 7 5 1.2 1.3 4 4 4 14 16 16
20 19 Cheltenham 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 4 2 6 11 15 14
21 17 Lincoln 11 7 4 1.3 1.5 3 5 3 14 16 14
22 20 Oxford 11 7 4 0.8 1.1 3 2 6 9 12 11
23 12 Fleetwood Town 12 9 3 0.9 0.8 3 7 2 11 10 16
24 7 Bolton 12 10 2 1.1 0.7 6 2 4 13 8 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 2.4 1.1 4 2 1 17 8 14
2 10 Derby 6 1 5 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
3 21 Forest Green 7 2 5 0.7 2.0 2 0 5 5 14 6
4 2 Ipswich 6 2 4 2.3 0.8 4 2 0 14 5 14
5 4 Peterboro 7 3 4 2.4 0.4 5 1 1 17 3 16
6 5 Portsmouth 6 2 4 2.0 1.0 3 3 0 12 6 12
7 9 Shrewsbury 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10
8 15 Bristol Rvs 7 3 4 1.4 1.9 2 2 3 10 13 8
9 24 Morecambe 6 2 4 0.5 2.0 0 2 4 3 12 2
10 1 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.9 0.3 7 0 0 13 2 21
11 6 Barnsley 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 1 2 8 7 10
12 8 Exeter 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 3 1 2 10 6 10
13 13 Accrington 6 3 3 1.7 1.5 2 3 1 10 9 9
14 14 Cambridge 6 3 3 1.5 1.5 4 0 2 9 9 12
15 16 Port Vale 6 3 3 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8
16 19 Cheltenham 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 3 0 3 8 8 9
17 20 Oxford 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 2 1 3 6 7 7
18 7 Bolton 6 4 2 1.7 0.5 5 0 1 10 3 15
19 11 Charlton 6 4 2 2.2 1.0 3 3 0 13 6 12
20 18 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 1 2 6 4 7
21 22 Milton Keynes Dons 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 1 1 4 5 9 4
22 23 Burton 6 4 2 0.5 2.0 1 0 5 3 12 3
23 12 Fleetwood Town 6 5 1 0.7 0.7 1 4 1 4 4 7
24 17 Lincoln 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 1 4 0 6 4 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 6 1 5 1.8 1.8 3 1 2 11 11 10
2 2 Ipswich 7 2 5 1.9 0.9 5 1 1 13 6 16
3 14 Cambridge 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
4 18 Wycombe 7 2 5 1.1 1.7 2 1 4 8 12 7
5 23 Burton 7 2 5 1.7 2.3 1 2 4 12 16 5
6 4 Peterboro 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 2 0 4 8 11 6
7 8 Exeter 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 2 2 3 12 10 8
8 15 Bristol Rvs 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 2 1 3 8 10 7
9 16 Port Vale 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 2 1 3 6 11 7
10 21 Forest Green 6 2 4 1.2 2.5 1 2 3 7 15 5
11 22 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 2 0 4 7 8 6
12 24 Morecambe 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 3 6 11 5
13 6 Barnsley 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
14 11 Charlton 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 0 4 3 6 11 4
15 17 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.3 2.0 2 1 3 8 12 7
16 3 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 4 0 2 8 4 12
17 5 Portsmouth 5 3 2 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
18 9 Shrewsbury 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8
19 12 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 3 1 7 6 9
20 13 Accrington 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 2 1 3 4 7 7
21 19 Cheltenham 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 1 2 3 3 7 5
22 20 Oxford 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 1 3 3 5 4
23 7 Bolton 6 6 0 0.5 0.8 1 2 3 3 5 5
24 10 Derby 5 5 0 0.4 0.6 1 2 2 2 3 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51