BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: T Parsons

Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 Morecambe

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 2.32
Draw 3.50 fair 3.70
Away 5.00 fair 3.36
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 2.26

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milton Keynes Dons Morecambe
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 7
7 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (443 league matches this season so far).
Result Milton Keynes Dons to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
Milton Keynes DonsDrawMorecambe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 1–0 11.8% 0–1 9.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
0.97points / match
0.89scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 33:54
Morecambe before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
0.97scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 37:62
Milton Keynes Dons all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

0.89 Goals scored 0.97
1.46 Goals conceded 1.63
2.35 Total goals 2.61
9.73 Shots 9.03
3.38 Shots on target 3.03
12.51 Shots faced 16.97
4.11 Corners 3.37
5.05 Corners against 6.92
9.73 Fouls 11.92
1.81 Yellow cards 1.89
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

27% Wins 18%
16% Draws 34%
57% Losses 47%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
65% Over 1.5 goals 79%
38% Over 2.5 goals 50%
22% Over 3.5 goals 24%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
41% Both teams scored 55%
24% Clean sheets 16%
41% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 21%
30% Draws 37%
43% Losses 42%
78% Over 0.5 goals 79%
30% Over 1.5 goals 39%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Morecambe all matches
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, at home
0.72points / match
0.67scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 12:25
Morecambe before this match, away
0.44points / match
0.67scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 12:36
Milton Keynes Dons at home away Morecambe

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 0.67
1.39 Goals conceded 2.00
2.06 Total goals 2.67
10.72 Shots 8.00
3.28 Shots on target 2.50
11.50 Shots faced 17.67
4.61 Corners 2.78
4.61 Corners against 7.11
9.89 Fouls 11.83
1.72 Yellow cards 2.17
0.28 1st-half goals scored 0.22
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.17

How often Full Time

17% Wins 6%
22% Draws 28%
61% Losses 67%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
56% Over 1.5 goals 78%
28% Over 2.5 goals 56%
17% Over 3.5 goals 28%
11% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 56%
17% Clean sheets 0%
44% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 0%
33% Draws 33%
44% Losses 67%
72% Over 0.5 goals 83%
17% Over 1.5 goals 39%
6% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons at home
Morecambe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.10 1.70
11.03.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Cambridge 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 2.25 1.62
04.03.23 Port Vale – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.304.20 2.25 1.62
28.02.23 Lincoln – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.30 2.40 1.53
25.02.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.001.60 2.10 1.77
18.02.23 Sheffield Weds – Milton Keynes Dons 5–2 (1–2) 1.454.507.50 1.95 1.90
14.02.23 Bolton – Milton Keynes Dons 5–0 (3–0) 1.673.805.50 2.00 1.85
11.02.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Oxford 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.402.70 2.08 1.73
04.02.23 Bristol Rvs – Milton Keynes Dons 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.98 1.88
28.01.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Morecambe – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 3.603.601.95 2.10 1.70
14.03.23 Morecambe – Charlton 1–4 (0–3) 3.303.302.20 2.00 1.80
11.03.23 Shrewsbury – Morecambe 3–1 (2–1) 1.653.606.00 2.15 1.67
07.03.23 Cambridge – Morecambe 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.404.00 2.40 1.53
04.03.23 Morecambe – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.801.67 1.83 2.02
25.02.23 Fleetwood Town – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 2.02 1.83
21.02.23 Morecambe – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.60
18.02.23 Morecambe – Peterboro 0–3 (0–3) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.08
14.02.23 Sheffield Weds – Morecambe 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.65 2.20
11.02.23 Morecambe – Forest Green 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 2.05 1.75

Milton Keynes Dons at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Cambridge 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 2.25 1.62
25.02.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.001.60 2.10 1.77
11.02.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Oxford 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.402.70 2.08 1.73
28.01.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
24.01.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Shrewsbury 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.35 1.57
14.01.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.70
26.12.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Forest Green 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.33 2.00 1.85
10.12.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Fleetwood Town 1–2 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.10 1.70
03.12.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.80
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88

Morecambe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.23 Shrewsbury – Morecambe 3–1 (2–1) 1.653.606.00 2.15 1.67
07.03.23 Cambridge – Morecambe 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.404.00 2.40 1.53
25.02.23 Fleetwood Town – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 2.02 1.83
14.02.23 Sheffield Weds – Morecambe 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.65 2.20
04.02.23 Derby – Morecambe 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.70 2.10
24.01.23 Ipswich – Morecambe 4–0 (4–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.60 2.30
26.12.22 Port Vale – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 2.08 1.73
17.12.22 Plymouth – Morecambe 2–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.67 2.15
19.11.22 Lincoln – Morecambe 2–1 (1–0) 1.853.604.33 2.02 1.83
29.10.22 Wycombe – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons winsDrawsMorecambe wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22E2 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 0–4 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.77
23.04.22E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.95 1.90
27.11.21E2 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 0–4 (0–2) 3.603.602.00 1.85 2.00

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 38 24 8 6 67 41 +26 80
2 Sheffield Weds 36 23 9 4 64 27 +37 78
3 Ipswich 37 21 12 4 72 31 +41 75
4 Barnsley 36 22 6 8 60 31 +29 72
5 Derby 37 18 10 9 59 37 +22 64
6 Bolton 38 18 10 10 52 31 +21 64
7 Peterboro 37 19 3 15 63 47 +16 60
8 Wycombe 37 18 6 13 50 35 +15 60
9 Portsmouth 37 15 12 10 51 42 +9 57
10 Shrewsbury 37 16 7 14 47 41 +6 55
11 Charlton 37 12 12 13 52 49 +3 48
12 Fleetwood Town 37 11 13 13 39 38 +1 46
13 Exeter 36 12 10 14 48 48 0 46
14 Lincoln 36 9 18 9 33 38 -5 45
15 Bristol Rvs 37 12 9 16 50 60 -10 45
16 Port Vale 37 12 8 17 38 53 -15 44
17 Cheltenham 37 12 7 18 32 47 -15 43
18 Burton 36 11 8 17 47 70 -23 41
19 Oxford 37 9 10 18 39 49 -10 37
20 Milton Keynes Dons 37 10 6 21 33 54 -21 36
21 Accrington 37 8 11 18 30 58 -28 35
22 Morecambe 38 7 13 18 37 62 -25 34
23 Cambridge 37 8 6 23 28 59 -31 30
24 Forest Green 37 5 8 24 28 71 -43 23
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 19 17 1 1 38 13 +25 52
2 Sheffield Weds 19 13 5 1 42 14 +28 44
3 Ipswich 19 12 6 1 42 12 +30 42
4 Derby 19 12 4 3 37 16 +21 40
5 Barnsley 18 13 1 4 36 18 +18 40
6 Bolton 19 12 4 3 28 11 +17 40
7 Peterboro 18 11 2 5 33 21 +12 35
8 Wycombe 19 10 4 5 28 17 +11 34
9 Shrewsbury 18 10 2 6 28 22 +6 32
10 Portsmouth 18 7 8 3 28 18 +10 29
11 Exeter 17 7 5 5 24 20 +4 26
12 Morecambe 20 6 8 6 25 26 -1 26
13 Lincoln 18 4 13 1 16 14 +2 25
14 Cheltenham 18 7 4 7 17 21 -4 25
15 Port Vale 19 7 4 8 20 25 -5 25
16 Charlton 18 6 6 6 29 23 +6 24
17 Burton 18 6 5 7 21 29 -8 23
18 Cambridge 19 6 4 9 17 23 -6 22
19 Fleetwood Town 18 5 6 7 17 18 -1 21
20 Bristol Rvs 19 5 6 8 22 30 -8 21
21 Accrington 19 5 5 9 20 30 -10 20
22 Oxford 18 5 3 10 22 26 -4 18
23 Milton Keynes Dons 18 3 4 11 12 25 -13 13
24 Forest Green 18 4 1 13 13 32 -19 13
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 17 10 4 3 22 13 +9 34
2 Ipswich 18 9 6 3 30 19 +11 33
3 Barnsley 18 9 5 4 24 13 +11 32
4 Plymouth 19 7 7 5 29 28 +1 28
5 Portsmouth 19 8 4 7 23 24 -1 28
6 Wycombe 18 8 2 8 22 18 +4 26
7 Peterboro 19 8 1 10 30 26 +4 25
8 Fleetwood Town 19 6 7 6 22 20 +2 25
9 Bolton 19 6 6 7 24 20 +4 24
10 Derby 18 6 6 6 22 21 +1 24
11 Bristol Rvs 18 7 3 8 28 30 -2 24
12 Charlton 19 6 6 7 23 26 -3 24
13 Shrewsbury 19 6 5 8 19 19 0 23
14 Milton Keynes Dons 19 7 2 10 21 29 -8 23
15 Exeter 19 5 5 9 24 28 -4 20
16 Lincoln 18 5 5 8 17 24 -7 20
17 Oxford 19 4 7 8 17 23 -6 19
18 Port Vale 18 5 4 9 18 28 -10 19
19 Cheltenham 19 5 3 11 15 26 -11 18
20 Burton 18 5 3 10 26 41 -15 18
21 Accrington 18 3 6 9 10 28 -18 15
22 Forest Green 19 1 7 11 15 39 -24 10
23 Morecambe 18 1 5 12 12 36 -24 8
24 Cambridge 18 2 2 14 11 36 -25 8

Milton Keynes Dons   Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
#
1 7 Peterboro 37 14 23 1.7 1.3 19 3 15 63 47 60
2 1 Plymouth 38 17 21 1.8 1.1 24 8 6 67 41 80
3 15 Bristol Rvs 37 16 21 1.4 1.6 12 9 16 50 60 45
4 18 Burton 36 15 21 1.3 1.9 11 8 17 47 70 41
5 3 Ipswich 37 17 20 1.9 0.8 21 12 4 72 31 75
6 5 Derby 37 18 19 1.6 1.0 18 10 9 59 37 64
7 22 Morecambe 38 19 19 1.0 1.6 7 13 18 37 62 34
8 24 Forest Green 37 18 19 0.8 1.9 5 8 24 28 71 23
9 4 Barnsley 36 18 18 1.7 0.9 22 6 8 60 31 72
10 16 Port Vale 37 19 18 1.0 1.4 12 8 17 38 53 44
11 10 Shrewsbury 37 20 17 1.3 1.1 16 7 14 47 41 55
12 11 Charlton 37 20 17 1.4 1.3 12 12 13 52 49 48
13 9 Portsmouth 37 21 16 1.4 1.1 15 12 10 51 42 57
14 19 Oxford 37 21 16 1.1 1.3 9 10 18 39 49 37
15 23 Cambridge 37 21 16 0.8 1.6 8 6 23 28 59 30
16 6 Bolton 38 23 15 1.4 0.8 18 10 10 52 31 64
17 8 Wycombe 37 22 15 1.4 0.9 18 6 13 50 35 60
18 13 Exeter 36 21 15 1.3 1.3 12 10 14 48 48 46
19 17 Cheltenham 37 22 15 0.9 1.3 12 7 18 32 47 43
20 21 Accrington 37 22 15 0.8 1.6 8 11 18 30 58 35
21 2 Sheffield Weds 36 22 14 1.8 0.8 23 9 4 64 27 78
22 12 Fleetwood Town 37 23 14 1.1 1.0 11 13 13 39 38 46
23 20 Milton Keynes Dons 37 23 14 0.9 1.5 10 6 21 33 54 36
24 14 Lincoln 36 26 10 0.9 1.1 9 18 9 33 38 45
#
1 7 Peterboro 18 6 12 1.8 1.2 11 2 5 33 21 35
2 3 Ipswich 19 8 11 2.2 0.6 12 6 1 42 12 42
3 4 Barnsley 18 7 11 2.0 1.0 13 1 4 36 18 40
4 5 Derby 19 8 11 1.9 0.8 12 4 3 37 16 40
5 19 Oxford 18 7 11 1.2 1.4 5 3 10 22 26 18
6 1 Plymouth 19 9 10 2.0 0.7 17 1 1 38 13 52
7 10 Shrewsbury 18 8 10 1.6 1.2 10 2 6 28 22 32
8 24 Forest Green 18 8 10 0.7 1.8 4 1 13 13 32 13
9 2 Sheffield Weds 19 10 9 2.2 0.7 13 5 1 42 14 44
10 15 Bristol Rvs 19 10 9 1.2 1.6 5 6 8 22 30 21
11 16 Port Vale 19 10 9 1.1 1.3 7 4 8 20 25 25
12 22 Morecambe 20 11 9 1.2 1.3 6 8 6 25 26 26
13 9 Portsmouth 18 10 8 1.6 1.0 7 8 3 28 18 29
14 11 Charlton 18 10 8 1.6 1.3 6 6 6 29 23 24
15 13 Exeter 17 9 8 1.4 1.2 7 5 5 24 20 26
16 18 Burton 18 10 8 1.2 1.6 6 5 7 21 29 23
17 21 Accrington 19 11 8 1.1 1.6 5 5 9 20 30 20
18 6 Bolton 19 12 7 1.5 0.6 12 4 3 28 11 40
19 8 Wycombe 19 12 7 1.5 0.9 10 4 5 28 17 34
20 17 Cheltenham 18 11 7 0.9 1.2 7 4 7 17 21 25
21 23 Cambridge 19 12 7 0.9 1.2 6 4 9 17 23 22
22 12 Fleetwood Town 18 12 6 0.9 1.0 5 6 7 17 18 21
23 20 Milton Keynes Dons 18 13 5 0.7 1.4 3 4 11 12 25 13
24 14 Lincoln 18 15 3 0.9 0.8 4 13 1 16 14 25
#
1 18 Burton 18 5 13 1.4 2.3 5 3 10 26 41 18
2 15 Bristol Rvs 18 6 12 1.6 1.7 7 3 8 28 30 24
3 1 Plymouth 19 8 11 1.5 1.5 7 7 5 29 28 28
4 7 Peterboro 19 8 11 1.6 1.4 8 1 10 30 26 25
5 22 Morecambe 18 8 10 0.7 2.0 1 5 12 12 36 8
6 3 Ipswich 18 9 9 1.7 1.1 9 6 3 30 19 33
7 11 Charlton 19 10 9 1.2 1.4 6 6 7 23 26 24
8 16 Port Vale 18 9 9 1.0 1.6 5 4 9 18 28 19
9 20 Milton Keynes Dons 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 7 2 10 21 29 23
10 23 Cambridge 18 9 9 0.6 2.0 2 2 14 11 36 8
11 24 Forest Green 19 10 9 0.8 2.1 1 7 11 15 39 10
12 5 Derby 18 10 8 1.2 1.2 6 6 6 22 21 24
13 6 Bolton 19 11 8 1.3 1.1 6 6 7 24 20 24
14 8 Wycombe 18 10 8 1.2 1.0 8 2 8 22 18 26
15 9 Portsmouth 19 11 8 1.2 1.3 8 4 7 23 24 28
16 12 Fleetwood Town 19 11 8 1.2 1.1 6 7 6 22 20 25
17 17 Cheltenham 19 11 8 0.8 1.4 5 3 11 15 26 18
18 4 Barnsley 18 11 7 1.3 0.7 9 5 4 24 13 32
19 10 Shrewsbury 19 12 7 1.0 1.0 6 5 8 19 19 23
20 13 Exeter 19 12 7 1.3 1.5 5 5 9 24 28 20
21 14 Lincoln 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 5 5 8 17 24 20
22 21 Accrington 18 11 7 0.6 1.6 3 6 9 10 28 15
23 2 Sheffield Weds 17 12 5 1.3 0.8 10 4 3 22 13 34
24 19 Oxford 19 14 5 0.9 1.2 4 7 8 17 23 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51

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