Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: J Linington

Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 Derby

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.80 fair 3.09
Draw 3.50 fair 3.60
Away ✓ 2.00 fair 2.51
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.73
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.36

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milton Keynes Dons Derby
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 9
7 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (200 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.11 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
Milton Keynes DonsDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 0–1 11.8% 1–0 10.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
0.94scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:22
Derby before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.25scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 20:15
Milton Keynes Dons all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 1.25
1.38 Goals conceded 0.94
2.31 Total goals 2.19
9.06 Shots 14.56
4.00 Shots on target 4.81
13.94 Shots faced 10.50
3.69 Corners 6.75
5.00 Corners against 4.88
10.31 Fouls 9.75
1.50 Yellow cards 1.69
0.31 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

25% Wins 44%
13% Draws 25%
63% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 81%
63% Over 1.5 goals 63%
44% Over 2.5 goals 44%
19% Over 3.5 goals 13%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
38% Both teams scored 44%
19% Clean sheets 38%
50% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 38%
25% Draws 44%
50% Losses 19%
75% Over 0.5 goals 56%
31% Over 1.5 goals 25%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Derby all matches
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, at home
0.50points / match
0.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:14
Derby before this match, away
1.13points / match
0.75scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:5
Milton Keynes Dons at home away Derby

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 0.75
1.75 Goals conceded 0.63
2.50 Total goals 1.38
8.50 Shots 15.13
3.63 Shots on target 5.00
13.88 Shots faced 10.13
3.25 Corners 6.63
4.63 Corners against 5.00
11.38 Fouls 8.88
1.63 Yellow cards 1.50
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.38
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

13% Wins 25%
13% Draws 38%
75% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
63% Over 1.5 goals 50%
38% Over 2.5 goals 13%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 13%
0% Clean sheets 50%
50% Failed to score 63%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
13% Draws 50%
63% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 13%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.87 2.25 1.61
25.10.22 Charlton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–2 (0–0) 1.663.804.75 1.95 1.90
22.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Wycombe 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.55 2.05 1.80
15.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Plymouth 1–4 (0–3) 3.303.502.15 1.85 2.00
11.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
08.10.22 Shrewsbury – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (2–0) 2.253.303.20 2.25 1.61
01.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Peterboro 2–3 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Oxford – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.00 1.85
13.09.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bolton 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.402.37 2.15 1.66
03.09.22 Exeter – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 2.10 1.70

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.22 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88
29.10.22 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
21.10.22 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75

Milton Keynes Dons at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Wycombe 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.55 2.05 1.80
15.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Plymouth 1–4 (0–3) 3.303.502.15 1.85 2.00
11.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
01.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Peterboro 2–3 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 2.02 1.83
13.09.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bolton 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.402.37 2.15 1.66
20.08.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.83 2.02
16.08.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Port Vale 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.60
06.08.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.202.30 2.10 1.70
23.04.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.95 1.90
16.04.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Sheffield Weds 2–3 (1–3) 2.873.202.55 2.15 1.66

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.22 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88
21.10.22 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72
16.08.22 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57
06.08.22 Charlton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.202.62 2.10 1.70
30.04.22E1 Blackpool – Derby 0–2 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.98 1.88
18.04.22E1 QPR – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 17 13 2 2 36 19 +17 41
2 Ipswich 17 11 4 2 35 18 +17 37
3 Sheffield Weds 17 10 4 3 33 16 +17 34
4 Peterboro 17 10 1 6 32 19 +13 31
5 Portsmouth 15 7 6 2 25 17 +8 27
6 Bolton 16 8 3 5 19 14 +5 27
7 Derby 16 7 4 5 20 15 +5 25
8 Barnsley 16 7 3 6 19 14 +5 24
9 Charlton 17 5 8 4 27 23 +4 23
10 Shrewsbury 17 6 5 6 17 19 -2 23
11 Port Vale 17 6 5 6 20 24 -4 23
12 Exeter 17 6 4 7 28 25 +3 22
13 Wycombe 17 6 4 7 23 23 0 22
14 Lincoln 16 5 7 4 18 19 -1 22
15 Fleetwood Town 17 4 9 4 17 15 +2 21
16 Oxford 17 5 5 7 20 20 0 20
17 Bristol Rvs 17 5 5 7 27 31 -4 20
18 Cambridge 17 6 1 10 18 29 -11 19
19 Cheltenham 16 5 3 8 13 20 -7 18
20 Accrington 17 4 5 8 18 29 -11 17
21 Milton Keynes Dons 16 4 2 10 15 22 -7 14
22 Morecambe 17 2 7 8 13 27 -14 13
23 Forest Green 17 3 4 10 15 35 -20 13
24 Burton 17 3 3 11 20 35 -15 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 9 9 0 0 19 5 +14 27
2 Peterboro 9 7 1 1 21 4 +17 22
3 Bolton 9 6 1 2 13 7 +6 19
4 Sheffield Weds 9 5 3 1 22 11 +11 18
5 Ipswich 8 5 2 1 15 6 +9 17
6 Charlton 9 4 4 1 20 12 +8 16
7 Derby 8 5 1 2 14 10 +4 16
8 Portsmouth 8 3 5 0 14 8 +6 14
9 Exeter 8 4 1 3 14 11 +3 13
10 Barnsley 8 4 1 3 10 8 +2 13
11 Cheltenham 9 4 1 4 10 12 -2 13
12 Wycombe 9 3 3 3 14 11 +3 12
13 Port Vale 9 3 3 3 11 11 0 12
14 Cambridge 8 4 0 4 9 12 -3 12
15 Fleetwood Town 9 2 5 2 8 6 +2 11
16 Shrewsbury 8 3 2 3 8 10 -2 11
17 Lincoln 7 1 6 0 8 6 +2 9
18 Accrington 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
19 Bristol Rvs 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
20 Oxford 8 2 2 4 8 10 -2 8
21 Burton 8 2 1 5 5 13 -8 7
22 Morecambe 8 1 3 4 5 13 -8 6
23 Forest Green 8 2 0 6 5 15 -10 6
24 Milton Keynes Dons 8 1 1 6 6 14 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 9 6 2 1 20 12 +8 20
2 Sheffield Weds 8 5 1 2 11 5 +6 16
3 Plymouth 8 4 2 2 17 14 +3 14
4 Portsmouth 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
5 Lincoln 9 4 1 4 10 13 -3 13
6 Oxford 9 3 3 3 12 10 +2 12
7 Shrewsbury 9 3 3 3 9 9 0 12
8 Barnsley 8 3 2 3 9 6 +3 11
9 Bristol Rvs 9 3 2 4 15 16 -1 11
10 Port Vale 8 3 2 3 9 13 -4 11
11 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 1 4 9 8 +1 10
12 Fleetwood Town 8 2 4 2 9 9 0 10
13 Wycombe 8 3 1 4 9 12 -3 10
14 Derby 8 2 3 3 6 5 +1 9
15 Exeter 9 2 3 4 14 14 0 9
16 Peterboro 8 3 0 5 11 15 -4 9
17 Bolton 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
18 Accrington 9 2 2 5 6 14 -8 8
19 Charlton 8 1 4 3 7 11 -4 7
20 Morecambe 9 1 4 4 8 14 -6 7
21 Cambridge 9 2 1 6 9 17 -8 7
22 Forest Green 9 1 4 4 10 20 -10 7
23 Cheltenham 7 1 2 4 3 8 -5 5
24 Burton 9 1 2 6 15 22 -7 5

Milton Keynes Dons   Derby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 17 5 12 2.1 1.1 13 2 2 36 19 41
2 2 Ipswich 17 6 11 2.1 1.1 11 4 2 35 18 37
3 4 Peterboro 17 6 11 1.9 1.1 10 1 6 32 19 31
4 17 Bristol Rvs 17 6 11 1.6 1.8 5 5 7 27 31 20
5 11 Port Vale 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 6 5 6 20 24 23
6 12 Exeter 17 7 10 1.6 1.5 6 4 7 28 25 22
7 13 Wycombe 17 7 10 1.4 1.4 6 4 7 23 23 22
8 23 Forest Green 17 7 10 0.9 2.1 3 4 10 15 35 13
9 18 Cambridge 17 8 9 1.1 1.7 6 1 10 18 29 19
10 20 Accrington 17 8 9 1.1 1.7 4 5 8 18 29 17
11 24 Burton 17 8 9 1.2 2.1 3 3 11 20 35 12
12 3 Sheffield Weds 17 9 8 1.9 0.9 10 4 3 33 16 34
13 22 Morecambe 17 9 8 0.8 1.6 2 7 8 13 27 13
14 5 Portsmouth 15 8 7 1.7 1.1 7 6 2 25 17 27
15 7 Derby 16 9 7 1.2 0.9 7 4 5 20 15 25
16 9 Charlton 17 10 7 1.6 1.4 5 8 4 27 23 23
17 10 Shrewsbury 17 10 7 1.0 1.1 6 5 6 17 19 23
18 16 Oxford 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 5 5 7 20 20 20
19 21 Milton Keynes Dons 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 2 10 15 22 14
20 8 Barnsley 16 10 6 1.2 0.9 7 3 6 19 14 24
21 19 Cheltenham 16 10 6 0.8 1.2 5 3 8 13 20 18
22 6 Bolton 16 11 5 1.2 0.9 8 3 5 19 14 27
23 15 Fleetwood Town 17 12 5 1.0 0.9 4 9 4 17 15 21
24 14 Lincoln 16 12 4 1.1 1.2 5 7 4 18 19 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 2.4 1.2 5 3 1 22 11 18
2 7 Derby 8 2 6 1.8 1.2 5 1 2 14 10 16
3 1 Plymouth 9 4 5 2.1 0.6 9 0 0 19 5 27
4 4 Peterboro 9 4 5 2.3 0.4 7 1 1 21 4 22
5 11 Port Vale 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 3 3 3 11 11 12
6 12 Exeter 8 3 5 1.8 1.4 4 1 3 14 11 13
7 13 Wycombe 9 4 5 1.6 1.2 3 3 3 14 11 12
8 17 Bristol Rvs 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
9 20 Accrington 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
10 23 Forest Green 8 3 5 0.6 1.9 2 0 6 5 15 6
11 2 Ipswich 8 4 4 1.9 0.8 5 2 1 15 6 17
12 5 Portsmouth 8 4 4 1.8 1.0 3 5 0 14 8 14
13 6 Bolton 9 5 4 1.4 0.8 6 1 2 13 7 19
14 9 Charlton 9 5 4 2.2 1.3 4 4 1 20 12 16
15 10 Shrewsbury 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 3 2 3 8 10 11
16 16 Oxford 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 2 4 8 10 8
17 19 Cheltenham 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 4 1 4 10 12 13
18 22 Morecambe 8 4 4 0.6 1.6 1 3 4 5 13 6
19 8 Barnsley 8 5 3 1.2 1.0 4 1 3 10 8 13
20 18 Cambridge 8 5 3 1.1 1.5 4 0 4 9 12 12
21 21 Milton Keynes Dons 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 6 6 14 4
22 15 Fleetwood Town 9 7 2 0.9 0.7 2 5 2 8 6 11
23 24 Burton 8 6 2 0.6 1.6 2 1 5 5 13 7
24 14 Lincoln 7 6 1 1.1 0.9 1 6 0 8 6 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.1 1.8 4 2 2 17 14 14
2 2 Ipswich 9 2 7 2.2 1.3 6 2 1 20 12 20
3 24 Burton 9 2 7 1.7 2.4 1 2 6 15 22 5
4 4 Peterboro 8 2 6 1.4 1.9 3 0 5 11 15 9
5 17 Bristol Rvs 9 3 6 1.7 1.8 3 2 4 15 16 11
6 18 Cambridge 9 3 6 1.0 1.9 2 1 6 9 17 7
7 11 Port Vale 8 3 5 1.1 1.6 3 2 3 9 13 11
8 12 Exeter 9 4 5 1.6 1.6 2 3 4 14 14 9
9 13 Wycombe 8 3 5 1.1 1.5 3 1 4 9 12 10
10 23 Forest Green 9 4 5 1.1 2.2 1 4 4 10 20 7
11 20 Accrington 9 5 4 0.7 1.6 2 2 5 6 14 8
12 21 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 4 1.1 1.0 3 1 4 9 8 10
13 22 Morecambe 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 1 4 4 8 14 7
14 5 Portsmouth 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
15 8 Barnsley 8 5 3 1.1 0.8 3 2 3 9 6 11
16 9 Charlton 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 1 4 3 7 11 7
17 10 Shrewsbury 9 6 3 1.0 1.0 3 3 3 9 9 12
18 14 Lincoln 9 6 3 1.1 1.4 4 1 4 10 13 13
19 15 Fleetwood Town 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 2 9 9 10
20 16 Oxford 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 3 3 12 10 12
21 3 Sheffield Weds 8 6 2 1.4 0.6 5 1 2 11 5 16
22 19 Cheltenham 7 5 2 0.4 1.1 1 2 4 3 8 5
23 6 Bolton 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
24 7 Derby 8 7 1 0.8 0.6 2 3 3 6 5 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51