Forest Green 0–2 Derby – England League One, 7 Apr 2023

Match facts

Forest Green Derby

3 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 7

1 Corners 6

8 Fouls 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (462 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.99

Expected goals 0.99 – 1.62

Home / Draw / Away

23% 25% 52%

Forest GreenDrawDerby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

52% 48%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

0–1 12% 1–1 11.8% 0–2 9.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Forest Green before this match, all matches

0.67points / match

0.74scored / match

1.85conceded / match

6 8 25

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 29:72

Derby before this match, all matches

1.64points / match

1.51scored / match

1.05conceded / match

18 10 11

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 59:41

Forest Green all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.74 Goals scored 1.51

1.85 Goals conceded 1.05

2.59 Total goals 2.56

8.85 Shots 13.85

2.92 Shots on target 4.92

12.92 Shots faced 9.67

4.18 Corners 5.67

6.15 Corners against 4.56

10.44 Fouls 10.15

2.15 Yellow cards 1.77

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.79

0.90 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

15% Wins 46%

21% Draws 26%

64% Losses 28%

100% Over 0.5 goals 85%

79% Over 1.5 goals 74%

49% Over 2.5 goals 49%

23% Over 3.5 goals 28%

8% Over 4.5 goals 18%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

54% Both teams scored 46%

8% Clean sheets 38%

38% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 44%

31% Draws 36%

49% Losses 21%

79% Over 0.5 goals 67%

36% Over 1.5 goals 31%

10% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Forest Green all matches

2

L

1

D

1

L

4

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

3

L

2

L

1

W

1

L

Derby all matches

1

D

2

W

1

4

L

2

W

2

D

1

2

L

3

2

W

2

L

2

L

2

L

Forest Green before this match, at home

0.84points / match

0.74scored / match

1.68conceded / match

5 1 13

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 14:32

Derby before this match, away

1.26points / match

1.16scored / match

1.21conceded / match

6 6 7

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 22:23

Forest Green at home away Derby

Per match

0.74 Goals scored 1.16

1.68 Goals conceded 1.21

2.42 Total goals 2.37

9.42 Shots 13.21

3.21 Shots on target 4.68

11.37 Shots faced 11.00

4.58 Corners 5.79

6.11 Corners against 5.21

10.63 Fouls 9.79

2.21 Yellow cards 1.58

0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.95 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

26% Wins 32%

5% Draws 32%

68% Losses 37%

100% Over 0.5 goals 79%

74% Over 1.5 goals 68%

53% Over 2.5 goals 42%

16% Over 3.5 goals 26%

0% Over 4.5 goals 21%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

47% Both teams scored 47%

16% Clean sheets 32%

37% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 32%

21% Draws 47%

53% Losses 21%

89% Over 0.5 goals 58%

37% Over 1.5 goals 26%

11% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Forest Green at home

2

1

W

1

W

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

2

L

1

L

1

D

1

3

L

1

W

Derby away

D

1

D

3

2

W

2

1

W

2

3

L

1

4

L

1

2

L

3

2

W

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Forest Green all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.23	Portsmouth – Forest Green	1–0 (0–0)	1.57	3.80	6.50	1.98	1.88
26.03.23	Forest Green – Sheffield Weds	1–0 (1–0)	8.00	4.20	1.44	2.00	1.85
18.03.23	Plymouth – Forest Green	2–0 (1–0)	1.40	5.25	7.50	1.65	2.20
11.03.23	Forest Green – Bristol Rvs	1–3 (1–2)	2.88	3.20	2.55	2.00	1.85
04.03.23	Accrington – Forest Green	2–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.15	1.67
25.02.23	Forest Green – Lincoln	1–1 (0–1)	2.88	3.25	2.50	2.20	1.70
18.02.23	Ipswich – Forest Green	4–0 (2–0)	1.29	6.00	9.00	1.62	2.25
14.02.23	Forest Green – Charlton	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.30	2.38	2.00	1.85
11.02.23	Morecambe – Forest Green	1–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.80	2.05	1.75
04.02.23	Forest Green – Peterboro	0–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.80	1.83	1.75	2.05

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.23	Derby – Ipswich	0–2 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.20	2.08	1.73
25.03.23	Peterboro – Derby	2–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.50	2.63	1.93	1.93
18.03.23	Derby – Fleetwood Town	0–2 (0–2)	1.44	4.33	7.50	1.90	1.95
11.03.23	Oxford – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	3.60	3.50	2.00	1.98	1.88
07.03.23	Plymouth – Derby	2–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.60	2.55	1.95	1.90
04.03.23	Derby – Shrewsbury	2–2 (2–0)	1.65	4.00	5.25	2.08	1.73
28.02.23	Derby – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	1.33	4.75	10.00	1.75	2.05
25.02.23	Barnsley – Derby	4–1 (3–1)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.08	1.73
18.02.23	Derby – Charlton	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.88	1.98
14.02.23	Derby – Lincoln	1–1 (0–1)	1.44	4.33	7.50	2.00	1.85

Forest Green at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.03.23	Forest Green – Sheffield Weds	1–0 (1–0)	8.00	4.20	1.44	2.00	1.85
11.03.23	Forest Green – Bristol Rvs	1–3 (1–2)	2.88	3.20	2.55	2.00	1.85
25.02.23	Forest Green – Lincoln	1–1 (0–1)	2.88	3.25	2.50	2.20	1.70
14.02.23	Forest Green – Charlton	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.30	2.38	2.00	1.85
04.02.23	Forest Green – Peterboro	0–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.80	1.83	1.75	2.05
21.01.23	Forest Green – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.40	2.55	1.98	1.88
01.01.23	Forest Green – Port Vale	1–3 (1–0)	3.30	3.40	2.20	2.02	1.83
29.12.22	Forest Green – Burton	1–2 (0–1)	2.60	3.50	2.60	1.90	1.95
10.12.22	Forest Green – Cheltenham	1–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.25	3.10	2.08	1.73
03.12.22	Forest Green – Cambridge	2–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.80	2.10	1.70

Derby away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.03.23	Peterboro – Derby	2–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.50	2.63	1.93	1.93
11.03.23	Oxford – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	3.60	3.50	2.00	1.98	1.88
07.03.23	Plymouth – Derby	2–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.60	2.55	1.95	1.90
25.02.23	Barnsley – Derby	4–1 (3–1)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.08	1.73
11.02.23	Wycombe – Derby	3–2 (1–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.98	1.88
24.01.23	Port Vale – Derby	1–2 (0–0)	3.80	3.40	2.00	2.25	1.62
14.01.23	Cheltenham – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	4.75	3.75	1.75	2.05	1.80
27.12.22	Bolton – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.90	2.02	1.83
10.12.22	Burton – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.00	1.85
18.11.22	Portsmouth – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	2.37	3.40	2.90	1.95	1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Forest Green winsDrawsDerby wins

1matches

4.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.12.22E2	Derby – Forest Green	4–0 (2–0)	1.44	4.50	7.50	1.73	2.08

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield Weds	39	23	11	5	67	31	+36	80
2	Plymouth	38	24	8	6	67	41	+26	80
3	Ipswich	38	22	12	4	74	31	+43	78
4	Barnsley	38	23	6	9	66	34	+32	75
5	Bolton	38	18	10	10	52	31	+21	64
6	Peterboro	39	20	4	15	65	47	+18	64
7	Derby	39	18	10	11	59	41	+18	64
8	Wycombe	39	18	8	13	53	38	+15	62
9	Portsmouth	39	16	13	10	54	44	+10	61
10	Shrewsbury	38	16	7	15	47	47	0	55
11	Exeter	39	14	11	14	58	51	+7	53
12	Charlton	39	13	13	13	59	50	+9	52
13	Fleetwood Town	39	12	14	13	43	41	+2	50
14	Lincoln	38	9	19	10	35	41	-6	46
15	Bristol Rvs	37	12	9	16	50	60	-10	45
16	Cheltenham	39	12	9	18	34	49	-15	45
17	Port Vale	39	12	9	18	40	57	-17	45
18	Burton	37	11	9	17	47	70	-23	42
19	Milton Keynes Dons	39	11	7	21	36	56	-20	40
20	Oxford	38	9	11	18	39	49	-10	38
21	Accrington	38	8	11	19	30	63	-33	35
22	Morecambe	40	7	13	20	37	68	-31	34
23	Cambridge	38	9	6	23	30	59	-29	33
24	Forest Green	39	6	8	25	29	72	-43	26

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	19	17	1	1	38	13	+25	52
2	Sheffield Weds	20	13	6	1	43	15	+28	45
3	Barnsley	19	14	1	4	41	18	+23	43
4	Ipswich	19	12	6	1	42	12	+30	42
5	Derby	20	12	4	4	37	18	+19	40
6	Bolton	19	12	4	3	28	11	+17	40
7	Peterboro	20	12	3	5	35	21	+14	39
8	Wycombe	20	10	5	5	30	19	+11	35
9	Portsmouth	20	8	9	3	31	20	+11	33
10	Exeter	19	9	5	5	32	21	+11	32
11	Shrewsbury	18	10	2	6	28	22	+6	32
12	Charlton	20	7	7	6	36	24	+12	28
13	Cheltenham	20	7	6	7	19	23	-4	27
14	Morecambe	20	6	8	6	25	26	-1	26
15	Lincoln	18	4	13	1	16	14	+2	25
16	Fleetwood Town	20	6	7	7	21	21	0	25
17	Port Vale	20	7	4	9	20	27	-7	25
18	Burton	18	6	5	7	21	29	-8	23
19	Cambridge	19	6	4	9	17	23	-6	22
20	Bristol Rvs	19	5	6	8	22	30	-8	21
21	Accrington	19	5	5	9	20	30	-10	20
22	Oxford	18	5	3	10	22	26	-4	18
23	Milton Keynes Dons	19	4	4	11	13	25	-12	16
24	Forest Green	19	5	1	13	14	32	-18	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ipswich	19	10	6	3	32	19	+13	36
2	Sheffield Weds	19	10	5	4	24	16	+8	35
3	Barnsley	19	9	5	5	25	16	+9	32
4	Plymouth	19	7	7	5	29	28	+1	28
5	Portsmouth	19	8	4	7	23	24	-1	28
6	Wycombe	19	8	3	8	23	19	+4	27
7	Peterboro	19	8	1	10	30	26	+4	25
8	Fleetwood Town	19	6	7	6	22	20	+2	25
9	Bolton	19	6	6	7	24	20	+4	24
10	Derby	19	6	6	7	22	23	-1	24
11	Bristol Rvs	18	7	3	8	28	30	-2	24
12	Charlton	19	6	6	7	23	26	-3	24
13	Milton Keynes Dons	20	7	3	10	23	31	-8	24
14	Shrewsbury	20	6	5	9	19	25	-6	23
15	Exeter	20	5	6	9	26	30	-4	21
16	Lincoln	20	5	6	9	19	27	-8	21
17	Oxford	20	4	8	8	17	23	-6	20
18	Port Vale	19	5	5	9	20	30	-10	20
19	Burton	19	5	4	10	26	41	-15	19
20	Cheltenham	19	5	3	11	15	26	-11	18
21	Accrington	19	3	6	10	10	33	-23	15
22	Cambridge	19	3	2	14	13	36	-23	11
23	Forest Green	20	1	7	12	15	40	-25	10
24	Morecambe	20	1	5	14	12	42	-30	8

Forest Green Derby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Peterboro	39	16	23	1.7	1.2	20	4	15	65	47	64
2	2	Plymouth	38	17	21	1.8	1.1	24	8	6	67	41	80
3	15	Bristol Rvs	37	16	21	1.4	1.6	12	9	16	50	60	45
4	18	Burton	37	16	21	1.3	1.9	11	9	17	47	70	42
5	3	Ipswich	38	18	20	1.9	0.8	22	12	4	74	31	78
6	4	Barnsley	38	18	20	1.7	0.9	23	6	9	66	34	75
7	22	Morecambe	40	20	20	0.9	1.7	7	13	20	37	68	34
8	7	Derby	39	20	19	1.5	1.1	18	10	11	59	41	64
9	17	Port Vale	39	20	19	1.0	1.5	12	9	18	40	57	45
10	24	Forest Green	39	20	19	0.7	1.8	6	8	25	29	72	26
11	10	Shrewsbury	38	20	18	1.2	1.2	16	7	15	47	47	55
12	11	Exeter	39	21	18	1.5	1.3	14	11	14	58	51	53
13	12	Charlton	39	21	18	1.5	1.3	13	13	13	59	50	52
14	9	Portsmouth	39	22	17	1.4	1.1	16	13	10	54	44	61
15	8	Wycombe	39	23	16	1.4	1.0	18	8	13	53	38	62
16	13	Fleetwood Town	39	23	16	1.1	1.1	12	14	13	43	41	50
17	16	Cheltenham	39	23	16	0.9	1.3	12	9	18	34	49	45
18	20	Oxford	38	22	16	1.0	1.3	9	11	18	39	49	38
19	21	Accrington	38	22	16	0.8	1.7	8	11	19	30	63	35
20	23	Cambridge	38	22	16	0.8	1.6	9	6	23	30	59	33
21	1	Sheffield Weds	39	24	15	1.7	0.8	23	11	5	67	31	80
22	5	Bolton	38	23	15	1.4	0.8	18	10	10	52	31	64
23	19	Milton Keynes Dons	39	24	15	0.9	1.4	11	7	21	36	56	40
24	14	Lincoln	38	27	11	0.9	1.1	9	19	10	35	41	46

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Barnsley	19	7	12	2.2	0.9	14	1	4	41	18	43
2	6	Peterboro	20	8	12	1.8	1.1	12	3	5	35	21	39
3	3	Ipswich	19	8	11	2.2	0.6	12	6	1	42	12	42
4	7	Derby	20	9	11	1.9	0.9	12	4	4	37	18	40
5	20	Oxford	18	7	11	1.2	1.4	5	3	10	22	26	18
6	2	Plymouth	19	9	10	2.0	0.7	17	1	1	38	13	52
7	10	Shrewsbury	18	8	10	1.6	1.2	10	2	6	28	22	32
8	11	Exeter	19	9	10	1.7	1.1	9	5	5	32	21	32
9	24	Forest Green	19	9	10	0.7	1.7	5	1	13	14	32	16
10	1	Sheffield Weds	20	11	9	2.1	0.8	13	6	1	43	15	45
11	9	Portsmouth	20	11	9	1.6	1.0	8	9	3	31	20	33
12	12	Charlton	20	11	9	1.8	1.2	7	7	6	36	24	28
13	15	Bristol Rvs	19	10	9	1.2	1.6	5	6	8	22	30	21
14	17	Port Vale	20	11	9	1.0	1.4	7	4	9	20	27	25
15	22	Morecambe	20	11	9	1.2	1.3	6	8	6	25	26	26
16	8	Wycombe	20	12	8	1.5	0.9	10	5	5	30	19	35
17	13	Fleetwood Town	20	12	8	1.1	1.1	6	7	7	21	21	25
18	16	Cheltenham	20	12	8	0.9	1.1	7	6	7	19	23	27
19	18	Burton	18	10	8	1.2	1.6	6	5	7	21	29	23
20	21	Accrington	19	11	8	1.1	1.6	5	5	9	20	30	20
21	5	Bolton	19	12	7	1.5	0.6	12	4	3	28	11	40
22	23	Cambridge	19	12	7	0.9	1.2	6	4	9	17	23	22
23	19	Milton Keynes Dons	19	14	5	0.7	1.3	4	4	11	13	25	16
24	14	Lincoln	18	15	3	0.9	0.8	4	13	1	16	14	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Burton	19	6	13	1.4	2.2	5	4	10	26	41	19
2	15	Bristol Rvs	18	6	12	1.6	1.7	7	3	8	28	30	24
3	2	Plymouth	19	8	11	1.5	1.5	7	7	5	29	28	28
4	6	Peterboro	19	8	11	1.6	1.4	8	1	10	30	26	25
5	22	Morecambe	20	9	11	0.6	2.1	1	5	14	12	42	8
6	17	Port Vale	19	9	10	1.1	1.6	5	5	9	20	30	20
7	19	Milton Keynes Dons	20	10	10	1.1	1.6	7	3	10	23	31	24
8	3	Ipswich	19	10	9	1.7	1.0	10	6	3	32	19	36
9	12	Charlton	19	10	9	1.2	1.4	6	6	7	23	26	24
10	23	Cambridge	19	10	9	0.7	1.9	3	2	14	13	36	11
11	24	Forest Green	20	11	9	0.8	2.0	1	7	12	15	40	10
12	4	Barnsley	19	11	8	1.3	0.8	9	5	5	25	16	32
13	5	Bolton	19	11	8	1.3	1.1	6	6	7	24	20	24
14	7	Derby	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	6	6	7	22	23	24
15	8	Wycombe	19	11	8	1.2	1.0	8	3	8	23	19	27
16	9	Portsmouth	19	11	8	1.2	1.3	8	4	7	23	24	28
17	10	Shrewsbury	20	12	8	0.9	1.2	6	5	9	19	25	23
18	11	Exeter	20	12	8	1.3	1.5	5	6	9	26	30	21
19	13	Fleetwood Town	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	6	7	6	22	20	25
20	14	Lincoln	20	12	8	0.9	1.4	5	6	9	19	27	21
21	16	Cheltenham	19	11	8	0.8	1.4	5	3	11	15	26	18
22	21	Accrington	19	11	8	0.5	1.7	3	6	10	10	33	15
23	1	Sheffield Weds	19	13	6	1.3	0.8	10	5	4	24	16	35
24	20	Oxford	20	15	5	0.8	1.1	4	8	8	17	23	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.