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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: N Hair

Cheltenham 2–3 Derby

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2022/2023

Home 4.75 fair 3.35
Draw 3.75 fair 3.33
Away ✓ 1.75 fair 2.49
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.52
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cheltenham Derby
14 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 3
10 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (293 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.70
Expected goals 0.94 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
CheltenhamDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 14.3% 1–1 13.4% 0–0 12.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Cheltenham before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
0.79scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 19:27
Derby before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.38scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 33:17
Cheltenham all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.79 Goals scored 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded 0.71
1.92 Total goals 2.08
10.33 Shots 13.75
3.04 Shots on target 4.67
12.92 Shots faced 9.71
3.67 Corners 6.04
5.50 Corners against 4.63
9.92 Fouls 10.21
2.04 Yellow cards 1.96
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.79
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

33% Wins 46%
17% Draws 33%
50% Losses 21%
92% Over 0.5 goals 75%
46% Over 1.5 goals 58%
33% Over 2.5 goals 42%
13% Over 3.5 goals 21%
8% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
33% Both teams scored 38%
38% Clean sheets 50%
38% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 38%
50% Draws 50%
29% Losses 13%
58% Over 0.5 goals 54%
25% Over 1.5 goals 29%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cheltenham all matches
Derby all matches
Cheltenham before this match, at home
1.45points / match
1.00scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:13
Derby before this match, away
1.25points / match
0.83scored / match
0.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 10:7
Cheltenham at home away Derby

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.83
1.18 Goals conceded 0.58
2.18 Total goals 1.42
12.55 Shots 13.92
4.18 Shots on target 4.33
10.45 Shots faced 10.33
4.64 Corners 6.17
3.82 Corners against 5.00
9.09 Fouls 9.33
1.45 Yellow cards 1.83
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

45% Wins 25%
9% Draws 50%
45% Losses 25%
91% Over 0.5 goals 67%
55% Over 1.5 goals 50%
36% Over 2.5 goals 17%
18% Over 3.5 goals 8%
18% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 25%
45% Clean sheets 50%
27% Failed to score 58%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 25%
36% Draws 58%
27% Losses 17%
64% Over 0.5 goals 50%
18% Over 1.5 goals 17%
9% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cheltenham at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cheltenham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.23 Morecambe – Cheltenham 2–1 (1–1) 2.603.202.80 2.02 1.83
01.01.23 Bristol Rvs – Cheltenham 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 1.90 1.95
29.12.22 Shrewsbury – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.254.50 2.30 1.60
26.12.22 Cheltenham – Plymouth 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.93 1.93
10.12.22 Forest Green – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.253.10 2.08 1.73
02.12.22 Charlton – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.90 1.95
19.11.22 Cheltenham – Wycombe 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.402.10 2.02 1.83
12.11.22 Ipswich – Cheltenham 1–1 (1–1) 1.285.5011.00 1.75 2.05
29.10.22 Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.87 2.25 1.61
25.10.22 Cheltenham – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.07 1.72

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.23 Derby – Accrington 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.93 1.93
30.12.22 Derby – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 2.00 1.80
27.12.22 Bolton – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 2.02 1.83
17.12.22 Derby – Forest Green 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.08
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
03.12.22 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
18.11.22 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88
01.11.22 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88
29.10.22 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05

Cheltenham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22 Cheltenham – Plymouth 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.93 1.93
19.11.22 Cheltenham – Wycombe 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.402.10 2.02 1.83
29.10.22 Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.87 2.25 1.61
25.10.22 Cheltenham – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.07 1.72
15.10.22 Cheltenham – Bristol Rvs 1–4 (0–4) 2.373.502.90 2.00 1.85
04.10.22 Cheltenham – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 4.203.401.90 2.05 1.75
01.10.22 Cheltenham – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.102.70 2.25 1.61
13.09.22 Cheltenham – Cambridge 2–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.95 1.90
27.08.22 Cheltenham – Oxford 1–2 (0–0) 3.253.502.20 1.75 2.05
13.08.22 Cheltenham – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.95 1.85

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.22 Bolton – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
18.11.22 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88
01.11.22 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88
21.10.22 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 26 17 6 3 46 26 +20 57
2 Sheffield Weds 25 15 7 3 45 18 +27 52
3 Ipswich 25 14 8 3 47 25 +22 50
4 Derby 24 11 8 5 33 17 +16 41
5 Bolton 25 11 8 6 30 20 +10 41
6 Barnsley 23 12 4 7 30 21 +9 40
7 Wycombe 25 11 5 9 33 26 +7 38
8 Bristol Rvs 26 10 7 9 42 43 -1 37
9 Peterboro 24 11 2 11 39 31 +8 35
10 Port Vale 24 10 5 9 27 32 -5 35
11 Exeter 25 9 7 9 38 36 +2 34
12 Charlton 25 7 10 8 38 36 +2 31
13 Portsmouth 22 7 10 5 29 27 +2 31
14 Fleetwood Town 24 6 11 7 28 25 +3 29
15 Oxford 24 7 8 9 29 27 +2 29
16 Lincoln 24 6 11 7 24 30 -6 29
17 Shrewsbury 24 8 5 11 23 29 -6 29
18 Cheltenham 24 8 4 12 19 27 -8 28
19 Morecambe 25 5 9 11 26 35 -9 24
20 Cambridge 25 7 3 15 22 41 -19 24
21 Accrington 23 5 7 11 21 38 -17 22
22 Burton 25 5 7 13 32 50 -18 22
23 Milton Keynes Dons 24 6 3 15 23 36 -13 21
24 Forest Green 25 5 5 15 21 49 -28 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 13 12 0 1 25 9 +16 36
2 Sheffield Weds 13 8 4 1 30 11 +19 28
3 Derby 12 8 2 2 23 10 +13 26
4 Peterboro 12 8 1 3 24 9 +15 25
5 Ipswich 12 7 4 1 22 9 +13 25
6 Bolton 13 7 4 2 16 8 +8 25
7 Barnsley 12 7 1 4 17 13 +4 22
8 Wycombe 12 6 3 3 19 12 +7 21
9 Charlton 13 5 5 3 24 17 +7 20
10 Bristol Rvs 13 5 4 4 21 22 -1 19
11 Exeter 12 5 3 4 18 16 +2 18
12 Port Vale 11 5 3 3 13 11 +2 18
13 Morecambe 13 4 5 4 16 16 0 17
14 Shrewsbury 13 5 2 6 13 17 -4 17
15 Cambridge 13 5 2 6 12 16 -4 17
16 Lincoln 12 2 10 0 13 10 +3 16
17 Portsmouth 12 3 7 2 17 15 +2 16
18 Cheltenham 11 5 1 5 11 13 -2 16
19 Oxford 12 4 3 5 16 13 +3 15
20 Burton 12 3 4 5 14 19 -5 13
21 Forest Green 13 4 0 9 10 23 -13 12
22 Fleetwood Town 11 2 5 4 10 10 0 11
23 Accrington 11 2 5 4 14 18 -4 11
24 Milton Keynes Dons 12 2 2 8 10 20 -10 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 13 7 4 2 25 16 +9 25
2 Sheffield Weds 12 7 3 2 15 7 +8 24
3 Plymouth 13 5 6 2 21 17 +4 21
4 Barnsley 11 5 3 3 13 8 +5 18
5 Fleetwood Town 13 4 6 3 18 15 +3 18
6 Bristol Rvs 13 5 3 5 21 21 0 18
7 Wycombe 13 5 2 6 14 14 0 17
8 Port Vale 13 5 2 6 14 21 -7 17
9 Bolton 12 4 4 4 14 12 +2 16
10 Exeter 13 4 4 5 20 20 0 16
11 Derby 12 3 6 3 10 7 +3 15
12 Portsmouth 10 4 3 3 12 12 0 15
13 Oxford 12 3 5 4 13 14 -1 14
14 Milton Keynes Dons 12 4 1 7 13 16 -3 13
15 Lincoln 12 4 1 7 11 20 -9 13
16 Shrewsbury 11 3 3 5 10 12 -2 12
17 Cheltenham 13 3 3 7 8 14 -6 12
18 Charlton 12 2 5 5 14 19 -5 11
19 Accrington 12 3 2 7 7 20 -13 11
20 Peterboro 12 3 1 8 15 22 -7 10
21 Burton 13 2 3 8 18 31 -13 9
22 Forest Green 12 1 5 6 11 26 -15 8
23 Morecambe 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
24 Cambridge 12 2 1 9 10 25 -15 7

Cheltenham   Derby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Bristol Rvs 26 9 17 1.6 1.7 10 7 9 42 43 37
2 1 Plymouth 26 11 15 1.8 1.0 17 6 3 46 26 57
3 9 Peterboro 24 9 15 1.6 1.3 11 2 11 39 31 35
4 3 Ipswich 25 11 14 1.9 1.0 14 8 3 47 25 50
5 22 Burton 25 11 14 1.3 2.0 5 7 13 32 50 22
6 24 Forest Green 25 11 14 0.8 2.0 5 5 15 21 49 20
7 20 Cambridge 25 12 13 0.9 1.6 7 3 15 22 41 24
8 7 Wycombe 25 13 12 1.3 1.0 11 5 9 33 26 38
9 10 Port Vale 24 12 12 1.1 1.3 10 5 9 27 32 35
10 11 Exeter 25 13 12 1.5 1.4 9 7 9 38 36 34
11 12 Charlton 25 13 12 1.5 1.4 7 10 8 38 36 31
12 19 Morecambe 25 13 12 1.0 1.4 5 9 11 26 35 24
13 14 Fleetwood Town 24 13 11 1.2 1.0 6 11 7 28 25 29
14 23 Milton Keynes Dons 24 13 11 1.0 1.5 6 3 15 23 36 21
15 2 Sheffield Weds 25 15 10 1.8 0.7 15 7 3 45 18 52
16 4 Derby 24 14 10 1.4 0.7 11 8 5 33 17 41
17 6 Barnsley 23 13 10 1.3 0.9 12 4 7 30 21 40
18 15 Oxford 24 14 10 1.2 1.1 7 8 9 29 27 29
19 17 Shrewsbury 24 14 10 1.0 1.2 8 5 11 23 29 29
20 21 Accrington 23 13 10 0.9 1.7 5 7 11 21 38 22
21 13 Portsmouth 22 13 9 1.3 1.2 7 10 5 29 27 31
22 5 Bolton 25 17 8 1.2 0.8 11 8 6 30 20 41
23 18 Cheltenham 24 16 8 0.8 1.1 8 4 12 19 27 28
24 16 Lincoln 24 17 7 1.0 1.2 6 11 7 24 30 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Derby 12 4 8 1.9 0.8 8 2 2 23 10 26
2 8 Bristol Rvs 13 5 8 1.6 1.7 5 4 4 21 22 19
3 24 Forest Green 13 5 8 0.8 1.8 4 0 9 10 23 12
4 1 Plymouth 13 6 7 1.9 0.7 12 0 1 25 9 36
5 2 Sheffield Weds 13 6 7 2.3 0.8 8 4 1 30 11 28
6 9 Peterboro 12 5 7 2.0 0.8 8 1 3 24 9 25
7 3 Ipswich 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 7 4 1 22 9 25
8 6 Barnsley 12 6 6 1.4 1.1 7 1 4 17 13 22
9 7 Wycombe 12 6 6 1.6 1.0 6 3 3 19 12 21
10 11 Exeter 12 6 6 1.5 1.3 5 3 4 18 16 18
11 12 Charlton 13 7 6 1.8 1.3 5 5 3 24 17 20
12 13 Portsmouth 12 6 6 1.4 1.2 3 7 2 17 15 16
13 15 Oxford 12 6 6 1.3 1.1 4 3 5 16 13 15
14 17 Shrewsbury 13 7 6 1.0 1.3 5 2 6 13 17 17
15 19 Morecambe 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 4 5 4 16 16 17
16 10 Port Vale 11 6 5 1.2 1.0 5 3 3 13 11 18
17 20 Cambridge 13 8 5 0.9 1.2 5 2 6 12 16 17
18 21 Accrington 11 6 5 1.3 1.6 2 5 4 14 18 11
19 22 Burton 12 7 5 1.2 1.6 3 4 5 14 19 13
20 23 Milton Keynes Dons 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 2 2 8 10 20 8
21 5 Bolton 13 9 4 1.2 0.6 7 4 2 16 8 25
22 14 Fleetwood Town 11 7 4 0.9 0.9 2 5 4 10 10 11
23 18 Cheltenham 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 5 1 5 11 13 16
24 16 Lincoln 12 10 2 1.1 0.8 2 10 0 13 10 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Bristol Rvs 13 4 9 1.6 1.6 5 3 5 21 21 18
2 22 Burton 13 4 9 1.4 2.4 2 3 8 18 31 9
3 1 Plymouth 13 5 8 1.6 1.3 5 6 2 21 17 21
4 3 Ipswich 13 5 8 1.9 1.2 7 4 2 25 16 25
5 9 Peterboro 12 4 8 1.2 1.8 3 1 8 15 22 10
6 20 Cambridge 12 4 8 0.8 2.1 2 1 9 10 25 7
7 10 Port Vale 13 6 7 1.1 1.6 5 2 6 14 21 17
8 14 Fleetwood Town 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 4 6 3 18 15 18
9 7 Wycombe 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 6 14 14 17
10 11 Exeter 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 4 4 5 20 20 16
11 12 Charlton 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 2 5 5 14 19 11
12 19 Morecambe 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
13 23 Milton Keynes Dons 12 6 6 1.1 1.3 4 1 7 13 16 13
14 24 Forest Green 12 6 6 0.9 2.2 1 5 6 11 26 8
15 16 Lincoln 12 7 5 0.9 1.7 4 1 7 11 20 13
16 21 Accrington 12 7 5 0.6 1.7 3 2 7 7 20 11
17 5 Bolton 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 4 14 12 16
18 6 Barnsley 11 7 4 1.2 0.7 5 3 3 13 8 18
19 15 Oxford 12 8 4 1.1 1.2 3 5 4 13 14 14
20 17 Shrewsbury 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 3 3 5 10 12 12
21 18 Cheltenham 13 9 4 0.6 1.1 3 3 7 8 14 12
22 2 Sheffield Weds 12 9 3 1.2 0.6 7 3 2 15 7 24
23 13 Portsmouth 10 7 3 1.2 1.2 4 3 3 12 12 15
24 4 Derby 12 10 2 0.8 0.6 3 6 3 10 7 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51