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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: L Swabey

Derby 1–1 Portsmouth

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.53 fair 2.09
Draw ✓ 4.20 fair 3.86
Away 6.50 fair 3.81
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.87
Over 2.5 1.88 fair 2.15

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Portsmouth
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 6
10 Corners 3
12 Fouls 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (526 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawPortsmouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 11.8% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 66:44
Portsmouth before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.32scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 58:47
Derby all matches all matches Portsmouth

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.32
1.00 Goals conceded 1.07
2.50 Total goals 2.39
14.32 Shots 12.36
5.14 Shots on target 3.91
9.48 Shots faced 11.86
5.75 Corners 5.16
4.59 Corners against 5.07
10.27 Fouls 11.52
1.82 Yellow cards 1.75
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

48% Wins 39%
27% Draws 39%
25% Losses 23%
86% Over 0.5 goals 89%
75% Over 1.5 goals 73%
45% Over 2.5 goals 39%
25% Over 3.5 goals 30%
16% Over 4.5 goals 7%
2% Over 5.5 goals 2%
48% Both teams scored 50%
39% Clean sheets 39%
27% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 23%
36% Draws 50%
18% Losses 27%
66% Over 0.5 goals 68%
27% Over 1.5 goals 30%
11% Over 2.5 goals 2%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Portsmouth all matches
Derby before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.77scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 39:19
Portsmouth before this match, away
1.41points / match
1.18scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:27
Derby at home away Portsmouth

Per match

1.77 Goals scored 1.18
0.86 Goals conceded 1.23
2.64 Total goals 2.41
15.45 Shots 11.09
5.45 Shots on target 3.68
8.05 Shots faced 14.59
5.86 Corners 4.95
3.91 Corners against 5.86
10.41 Fouls 11.91
1.91 Yellow cards 2.09
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.32 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

59% Wins 36%
23% Draws 32%
18% Losses 32%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
77% Over 1.5 goals 77%
50% Over 2.5 goals 36%
27% Over 3.5 goals 23%
14% Over 4.5 goals 9%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
45% Both teams scored 45%
45% Clean sheets 41%
18% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 32%
27% Draws 32%
18% Losses 36%
73% Over 0.5 goals 77%
32% Over 1.5 goals 23%
9% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Portsmouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
18.04.23 Exeter – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Bristol Rvs – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 1.95 1.90
10.04.23 Derby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.05 1.80
07.04.23 Forest Green – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.60 2.05 1.75
01.04.23 Derby – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.20 2.08 1.73
25.03.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93
18.03.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.337.50 1.90 1.95
11.03.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 3.603.502.00 1.98 1.88
07.03.23 Plymouth – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.55 1.95 1.90

Portsmouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.23 Portsmouth – Accrington 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.755.50 1.98 1.88
18.04.23 Oxford – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.02 1.83
15.04.23 Shrewsbury – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.202.45 2.25 1.62
10.04.23 Portsmouth – Morecambe 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.338.50 1.83 2.02
07.04.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.63 2.20 1.65
01.04.23 Portsmouth – Forest Green 1–0 (0–0) 1.573.806.50 1.98 1.88
25.03.23 Portsmouth – Port Vale 2–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.75 2.20 1.65
18.03.23 Bristol Rvs – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.95 1.90
14.03.23 Accrington – Portsmouth 1–3 (0–1) 3.503.202.25 2.35 1.57
11.03.23 Portsmouth – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.302.00 2.05 1.75

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
10.04.23 Derby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.05 1.80
01.04.23 Derby – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.20 2.08 1.73
18.03.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.337.50 1.90 1.95
04.03.23 Derby – Shrewsbury 2–2 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 2.08 1.73
28.02.23 Derby – Cheltenham 2–0 (1–0) 1.334.7510.00 1.75 2.05
18.02.23 Derby – Charlton 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.88 1.98
14.02.23 Derby – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.337.50 2.00 1.85
04.02.23 Derby – Morecambe 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.70 2.10
21.01.23 Derby – Bolton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.75

Portsmouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.23 Oxford – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.02 1.83
15.04.23 Shrewsbury – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.202.45 2.25 1.62
07.04.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.63 2.20 1.65
18.03.23 Bristol Rvs – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.95 1.90
14.03.23 Accrington – Portsmouth 1–3 (0–1) 3.503.202.25 2.35 1.57
07.03.23 Barnsley – Portsmouth 3–1 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.65
04.03.23 Cambridge – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.00 2.00 1.85
18.02.23 Lincoln – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.60 2.10 1.70
11.02.23 Plymouth – Portsmouth 3–1 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.90 1.95
28.01.23 Peterboro – Portsmouth 2–1 (2–0) 2.053.503.60 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsPortsmouth wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.11.22E2 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 44 29 8 7 78 46 +32 95
2 Ipswich 44 27 13 4 93 33 +60 94
3 Sheffield Weds 44 26 12 6 77 37 +40 90
4 Barnsley 44 26 7 11 76 41 +35 85
5 Bolton 44 21 12 11 57 34 +23 75
6 Derby 44 21 12 11 66 44 +22 75
7 Peterboro 44 23 4 17 73 54 +19 73
8 Portsmouth 44 17 17 10 58 47 +11 68
9 Wycombe 44 20 8 16 57 46 +11 68
10 Lincoln 44 13 20 11 44 44 0 59
11 Charlton 44 15 13 16 65 62 +3 58
12 Fleetwood Town 44 14 15 15 51 47 +4 57
13 Shrewsbury 43 16 8 19 50 56 -6 56
14 Exeter 44 14 11 19 61 60 +1 53
15 Bristol Rvs 43 14 10 19 55 68 -13 52
16 Burton 43 14 10 19 56 78 -22 52
17 Cheltenham 44 13 11 20 40 59 -19 50
18 Port Vale 44 13 10 21 45 65 -20 49
19 Oxford 44 10 14 20 45 54 -9 44
20 Milton Keynes Dons 44 11 10 23 40 62 -22 43
21 Morecambe 44 9 14 21 42 73 -31 41
22 Accrington 44 10 11 23 37 74 -37 41
23 Cambridge 43 11 7 25 37 66 -29 40
24 Forest Green 44 6 9 29 31 84 -53 27
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 22 19 1 2 43 16 +27 58
2 Ipswich 22 15 6 1 54 13 +41 51
3 Sheffield Weds 22 15 6 1 48 16 +32 51
4 Barnsley 22 16 1 5 45 22 +23 49
5 Derby 22 13 5 4 39 19 +20 44
6 Bolton 22 13 5 4 30 13 +17 44
7 Peterboro 22 13 3 6 38 25 +13 42
8 Wycombe 22 11 5 6 32 21 +11 38
9 Portsmouth 22 9 10 3 32 20 +12 37
10 Shrewsbury 21 10 3 8 30 28 +2 33
11 Exeter 22 9 5 8 33 25 +8 32
12 Lincoln 22 6 14 2 21 17 +4 32
13 Charlton 22 8 7 7 41 29 +12 31
14 Cheltenham 22 8 7 7 23 25 -2 31
15 Burton 21 8 6 7 27 33 -6 30
16 Morecambe 22 7 8 7 27 29 -2 29
17 Port Vale 22 8 5 9 22 27 -5 29
18 Fleetwood Town 22 7 7 8 23 23 0 28
19 Cambridge 22 8 4 10 22 26 -4 28
20 Bristol Rvs 22 6 7 9 25 33 -8 25
21 Oxford 22 6 5 11 28 29 -1 23
22 Accrington 22 6 5 11 26 37 -11 23
23 Milton Keynes Dons 22 4 6 12 16 29 -13 18
24 Forest Green 22 5 2 15 15 39 -24 17
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 22 12 7 3 39 20 +19 43
2 Sheffield Weds 22 11 6 5 29 21 +8 39
3 Plymouth 22 10 7 5 35 30 +5 37
4 Barnsley 22 10 6 6 31 19 +12 36
5 Peterboro 22 10 1 11 35 29 +6 31
6 Bolton 22 8 7 7 27 21 +6 31
7 Derby 22 8 7 7 27 25 +2 31
8 Portsmouth 22 8 7 7 26 27 -1 31
9 Wycombe 22 9 3 10 25 25 0 30
10 Fleetwood Town 22 7 8 7 28 24 +4 29
11 Lincoln 22 7 6 9 23 27 -4 27
12 Bristol Rvs 21 8 3 10 30 35 -5 27
13 Charlton 22 7 6 9 24 33 -9 27
14 Milton Keynes Dons 22 7 4 11 24 33 -9 25
15 Shrewsbury 22 6 5 11 20 28 -8 23
16 Burton 22 6 4 12 29 45 -16 22
17 Exeter 22 5 6 11 28 35 -7 21
18 Oxford 22 4 9 9 17 25 -8 21
19 Port Vale 22 5 5 12 23 38 -15 20
20 Cheltenham 22 5 4 13 17 34 -17 19
21 Accrington 22 4 6 12 11 37 -26 18
22 Cambridge 21 3 3 15 15 40 -25 12
23 Morecambe 22 2 6 14 15 44 -29 12
24 Forest Green 22 1 7 14 16 45 -29 10

Derby   Portsmouth

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Peterboro 44 17 27 1.7 1.2 23 4 17 73 54 73
2 2 Ipswich 44 19 25 2.1 0.8 27 13 4 93 33 94
3 1 Plymouth 44 20 24 1.8 1.0 29 8 7 78 46 95
4 4 Barnsley 44 20 24 1.7 0.9 26 7 11 76 41 85
5 16 Burton 43 19 24 1.3 1.8 14 10 19 56 78 52
6 15 Bristol Rvs 43 20 23 1.3 1.6 14 10 19 55 68 52
7 18 Port Vale 44 22 22 1.0 1.5 13 10 21 45 65 49
8 21 Morecambe 44 22 22 1.0 1.7 9 14 21 42 73 41
9 11 Charlton 44 23 21 1.5 1.4 15 13 16 65 62 58
10 13 Shrewsbury 43 22 21 1.2 1.3 16 8 19 50 56 56
11 14 Exeter 44 23 21 1.4 1.4 14 11 19 61 60 53
12 24 Forest Green 44 23 21 0.7 1.9 6 9 29 31 84 27
13 6 Derby 44 24 20 1.5 1.0 21 12 11 66 44 75
14 22 Accrington 44 24 20 0.8 1.7 10 11 23 37 74 41
15 3 Sheffield Weds 44 25 19 1.8 0.8 26 12 6 77 37 90
16 12 Fleetwood Town 44 25 19 1.2 1.1 14 15 15 51 47 57
17 17 Cheltenham 44 25 19 0.9 1.3 13 11 20 40 59 50
18 23 Cambridge 43 24 19 0.9 1.5 11 7 25 37 66 40
19 9 Wycombe 44 26 18 1.3 1.0 20 8 16 57 46 68
20 8 Portsmouth 44 27 17 1.3 1.1 17 17 10 58 47 68
21 19 Oxford 44 27 17 1.0 1.2 10 14 20 45 54 44
22 20 Milton Keynes Dons 44 28 16 0.9 1.4 11 10 23 40 62 43
23 5 Bolton 44 29 15 1.3 0.8 21 12 11 57 34 75
24 10 Lincoln 44 32 12 1.0 1.0 13 20 11 44 44 59
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 22 8 14 2.5 0.6 15 6 1 54 13 51
2 4 Barnsley 22 8 14 2.0 1.0 16 1 5 45 22 49
3 7 Peterboro 22 8 14 1.7 1.1 13 3 6 38 25 42
4 13 Shrewsbury 21 9 12 1.4 1.3 10 3 8 30 28 33
5 19 Oxford 22 10 12 1.3 1.3 6 5 11 28 29 23
6 1 Plymouth 22 11 11 2.0 0.7 19 1 2 43 16 58
7 3 Sheffield Weds 22 11 11 2.2 0.7 15 6 1 48 16 51
8 6 Derby 22 11 11 1.8 0.9 13 5 4 39 19 44
9 11 Charlton 22 11 11 1.9 1.3 8 7 7 41 29 31
10 14 Exeter 22 11 11 1.5 1.1 9 5 8 33 25 32
11 22 Accrington 22 11 11 1.2 1.7 6 5 11 26 37 23
12 24 Forest Green 22 11 11 0.7 1.8 5 2 15 15 39 17
13 15 Bristol Rvs 22 12 10 1.1 1.5 6 7 9 25 33 25
14 16 Burton 21 11 10 1.3 1.6 8 6 7 27 33 30
15 21 Morecambe 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 7 8 7 27 29 29
16 8 Portsmouth 22 13 9 1.5 0.9 9 10 3 32 20 37
17 12 Fleetwood Town 22 13 9 1.0 1.0 7 7 8 23 23 28
18 17 Cheltenham 22 13 9 1.0 1.1 8 7 7 23 25 31
19 18 Port Vale 22 13 9 1.0 1.2 8 5 9 22 27 29
20 23 Cambridge 22 13 9 1.0 1.2 8 4 10 22 26 28
21 9 Wycombe 22 14 8 1.5 1.0 11 5 6 32 21 38
22 5 Bolton 22 15 7 1.4 0.6 13 5 4 30 13 44
23 20 Milton Keynes Dons 22 16 6 0.7 1.3 4 6 12 16 29 18
24 10 Lincoln 22 18 4 1.0 0.8 6 14 2 21 17 32
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Burton 22 8 14 1.3 2.0 6 4 12 29 45 22
2 1 Plymouth 22 9 13 1.6 1.4 10 7 5 35 30 37
3 7 Peterboro 22 9 13 1.6 1.3 10 1 11 35 29 31
4 15 Bristol Rvs 21 8 13 1.4 1.7 8 3 10 30 35 27
5 18 Port Vale 22 9 13 1.0 1.7 5 5 12 23 38 20
6 21 Morecambe 22 10 12 0.7 2.0 2 6 14 15 44 12
7 2 Ipswich 22 11 11 1.8 0.9 12 7 3 39 20 43
8 4 Barnsley 22 12 10 1.4 0.9 10 6 6 31 19 36
9 9 Wycombe 22 12 10 1.1 1.1 9 3 10 25 25 30
10 11 Charlton 22 12 10 1.1 1.5 7 6 9 24 33 27
11 12 Fleetwood Town 22 12 10 1.3 1.1 7 8 7 28 24 29
12 14 Exeter 22 12 10 1.3 1.6 5 6 11 28 35 21
13 17 Cheltenham 22 12 10 0.8 1.5 5 4 13 17 34 19
14 20 Milton Keynes Dons 22 12 10 1.1 1.5 7 4 11 24 33 25
15 23 Cambridge 21 11 10 0.7 1.9 3 3 15 15 40 12
16 24 Forest Green 22 12 10 0.7 2.0 1 7 14 16 45 10
17 6 Derby 22 13 9 1.2 1.1 8 7 7 27 25 31
18 13 Shrewsbury 22 13 9 0.9 1.3 6 5 11 20 28 23
19 22 Accrington 22 13 9 0.5 1.7 4 6 12 11 37 18
20 3 Sheffield Weds 22 14 8 1.3 1.0 11 6 5 29 21 39
21 5 Bolton 22 14 8 1.2 1.0 8 7 7 27 21 31
22 8 Portsmouth 22 14 8 1.2 1.2 8 7 7 26 27 31
23 10 Lincoln 22 14 8 1.0 1.2 7 6 9 23 27 27
24 19 Oxford 22 17 5 0.8 1.1 4 9 9 17 25 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40