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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: J Smith

Bolton 3–2 Stevenage

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.60
Draw 3.40 fair 3.81
Away 3.60 fair 2.83
Under 2.5 1.83 fair 1.95
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.05

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Stevenage
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 5
13 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (113 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawStevenage
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 9.8% 0–1 9.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
1.67scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:10
Stevenage before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.50scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:9
Bolton all matches all matches Stevenage

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.50
1.11 Goals conceded 0.90
2.78 Total goals 2.40
13.78 Shots 12.40
4.78 Shots on target 5.10
12.56 Shots faced 10.20
6.67 Corners 5.90
5.78 Corners against 5.80
13.33 Fouls 11.20
2.67 Yellow cards 2.10
1.22 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

56% Wins 50%
22% Draws 30%
22% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
89% Over 1.5 goals 80%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
22% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 40%
33% Clean sheets 50%
11% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 40%
33% Draws 50%
11% Losses 10%
89% Over 0.5 goals 70%
56% Over 1.5 goals 30%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Stevenage all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.80scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:7
Stevenage before this match, away
2.40points / match
1.80scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:3
Bolton at home away Stevenage

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.80
1.40 Goals conceded 0.60
3.20 Total goals 2.40
13.60 Shots 12.40
4.00 Shots on target 5.60
12.40 Shots faced 11.20
6.80 Corners 3.40
6.20 Corners against 6.80
14.00 Fouls 12.00
2.80 Yellow cards 2.20
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.80
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

60% Wins 80%
20% Draws 0%
20% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
80% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 20%
20% Clean sheets 60%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 60%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 20%
40% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Stevenage away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Port Vale – Bolton 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.602.25 1.98 1.88
23.09.23 Bolton – Peterboro 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.88 1.98
16.09.23 Reading – Bolton 2–1 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.83 2.03
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98
19.08.23 Bolton – Wigan 0–4 (0–3) 1.753.804.50 1.93 1.93
15.08.23 Bolton – Fleetwood Town 3–1 (3–0) 1.604.005.75 1.85 2.00
12.08.23 Cheltenham – Bolton 0–3 (0–3) 4.003.401.95 2.05 1.75
05.08.23 Bolton – Lincoln 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.65
07.05.23 Bristol Rvs – Bolton 2–3 (1–1) 2.903.602.30 1.80 2.00

Stevenage all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Stevenage – Oxford 1–3 (1–1) 2.383.602.88 2.08 1.73
23.09.23 Cheltenham – Stevenage 0–3 (0–1) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.70
16.09.23 Stevenage – Charlton 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 1.98 1.88
09.09.23 Stevenage – Carlisle 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.05 1.80
02.09.23 Leyton Orient – Stevenage 0–3 (0–2) 2.883.252.55 2.05 1.75
26.08.23 Stevenage – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.302.70 2.08 1.73
19.08.23 Reading – Stevenage 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.80 2.10 1.70
15.08.23 Cambridge – Stevenage 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.302.70 2.05 1.80
12.08.23 Stevenage – Shrewsbury 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.05 1.80
05.08.23 Northampton – Stevenage 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.35 1.57

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Bolton – Peterboro 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.88 1.98
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
19.08.23 Bolton – Wigan 0–4 (0–3) 1.753.804.50 1.93 1.93
15.08.23 Bolton – Fleetwood Town 3–1 (3–0) 1.604.005.75 1.85 2.00
05.08.23 Bolton – Lincoln 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.65
29.04.23 Bolton – Fleetwood Town 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.335.50 1.93 1.93
25.04.23 Bolton – Accrington 0–1 (0–1) 1.504.506.50 1.73 2.08
22.04.23 Bolton – Shrewsbury 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.007.50 2.08 1.73
10.04.23 Bolton – Cambridge 1–1 (0–0) 1.573.757.00 2.02 1.83
11.03.23 Bolton – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.402.10 2.05 1.80

Stevenage away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Cheltenham – Stevenage 0–3 (0–1) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.70
02.09.23 Leyton Orient – Stevenage 0–3 (0–2) 2.883.252.55 2.05 1.75
19.08.23 Reading – Stevenage 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.80 2.10 1.70
15.08.23 Cambridge – Stevenage 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.302.70 2.05 1.80
05.08.23 Northampton – Stevenage 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.35 1.57
08.05.23E3 Barrow – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.302.20 2.15 1.73
25.04.23E3 Swindon – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.252.15 2.15 1.67
22.04.23E3 Mansfield – Stevenage 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.202.80 2.25 1.62
10.04.23E3 Hartlepool – Stevenage 1–1 (0–1) 4.203.501.91 2.15 1.67
01.04.23E3 Northampton – Stevenage 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.102.90 2.40 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 10 6 4 0 17 7 +10 22
2 Oxford 9 7 0 2 18 8 +10 21
3 Stevenage 10 5 3 2 15 9 +6 18
4 Bolton 9 5 2 2 15 10 +5 17
5 Peterboro 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
6 Port Vale 10 5 2 3 11 15 -4 17
7 Barnsley 10 5 1 4 20 12 +8 16
8 Exeter 10 5 1 4 10 9 +1 16
9 Wycombe 9 5 1 3 11 12 -1 16
10 Lincoln 9 4 3 2 14 9 +5 15
11 Blackpool 9 4 3 2 9 7 +2 15
12 Derby 9 4 2 3 14 9 +5 14
13 Cambridge 9 4 2 3 10 7 +3 14
14 Wigan 9 4 1 4 14 14 0 13
15 Bristol Rvs 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
16 Charlton 9 3 2 4 11 11 0 11
17 Leyton Orient 10 3 2 5 8 14 -6 11
18 Northampton 9 3 1 5 8 9 -1 10
19 Reading 9 3 1 5 7 10 -3 10
20 Shrewsbury 9 3 1 5 4 9 -5 10
21 Carlisle 10 1 4 5 7 13 -6 7
22 Burton 10 1 4 5 6 14 -8 7
23 Fleetwood Town 9 1 2 6 5 14 -9 5
24 Cheltenham 10 0 1 9 0 17 -17 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 5 3 2 0 8 2 +6 11
2 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 7 3 +4 11
3 Lincoln 4 3 1 0 9 1 +8 10
4 Peterboro 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
5 Cambridge 5 3 1 1 7 3 +4 10
6 Reading 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10
7 Bolton 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
8 Wycombe 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
9 Oxford 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
10 Charlton 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
11 Port Vale 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
12 Exeter 5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 7
13 Shrewsbury 5 2 1 2 3 4 -1 7
14 Barnsley 6 2 0 4 13 10 +3 6
15 Stevenage 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
16 Wigan 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6
17 Leyton Orient 4 2 0 2 3 7 -4 6
18 Bristol Rvs 4 1 2 1 7 5 +2 5
19 Derby 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
20 Carlisle 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
21 Northampton 5 1 1 3 4 6 -2 4
22 Fleetwood Town 4 1 0 3 1 6 -5 3
23 Burton 4 0 2 2 2 6 -4 2
24 Cheltenham 4 0 0 4 0 9 -9 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Oxford 5 4 0 1 11 5 +6 12
2 Stevenage 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12
3 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
4 Barnsley 4 3 1 0 7 2 +5 10
5 Derby 4 3 0 1 10 4 +6 9
6 Exeter 5 3 0 2 6 4 +2 9
7 Port Vale 5 2 2 1 6 11 -5 8
8 Bolton 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
9 Wigan 5 2 1 2 9 8 +1 7
10 Peterboro 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
11 Bristol Rvs 5 2 1 2 5 6 -1 7
12 Northampton 4 2 0 2 4 3 +1 6
13 Wycombe 4 2 0 2 4 7 -3 6
14 Leyton Orient 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
15 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
16 Burton 6 1 2 3 4 8 -4 5
17 Cambridge 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 4
18 Blackpool 4 1 1 2 1 5 -4 4
19 Shrewsbury 4 1 0 3 1 5 -4 3
20 Charlton 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
21 Fleetwood Town 5 0 2 3 4 8 -4 2
22 Carlisle 5 0 2 3 3 7 -4 2
23 Cheltenham 6 0 1 5 0 8 -8 1
24 Reading 4 0 0 4 2 8 -6 0

Bolton   Stevenage

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Oxford 9 2 7 2.0 0.9 7 0 2 18 8 21
2 14 Wigan 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 1 4 14 14 13
3 4 Bolton 9 3 6 1.7 1.1 5 2 2 15 10 17
4 1 Portsmouth 10 5 5 1.7 0.7 6 4 0 17 7 22
5 3 Stevenage 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 5 3 2 15 9 18
6 7 Barnsley 10 5 5 2.0 1.2 5 1 4 20 12 16
7 9 Wycombe 9 4 5 1.2 1.3 5 1 3 11 12 16
8 10 Lincoln 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 4 3 2 14 9 15
9 12 Derby 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 4 2 3 14 9 14
10 16 Charlton 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 3 2 4 11 11 11
11 5 Peterboro 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
12 6 Port Vale 10 6 4 1.1 1.5 5 2 3 11 15 17
13 8 Exeter 10 6 4 1.0 0.9 5 1 4 10 9 16
14 17 Leyton Orient 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 3 2 5 8 14 11
15 11 Blackpool 9 6 3 1.0 0.8 4 3 2 9 7 15
16 15 Bristol Rvs 9 6 3 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
17 18 Northampton 9 6 3 0.9 1.0 3 1 5 8 9 10
18 19 Reading 9 6 3 0.8 1.1 3 1 5 7 10 10
19 22 Burton 10 7 3 0.6 1.4 1 4 5 6 14 7
20 23 Fleetwood Town 9 6 3 0.6 1.6 1 2 6 5 14 5
21 24 Cheltenham 10 7 3 0.0 1.7 0 1 9 0 17 1
22 13 Cambridge 9 7 2 1.1 0.8 4 2 3 10 7 14
23 20 Shrewsbury 9 8 1 0.4 1.0 3 1 5 4 9 10
24 21 Carlisle 10 9 1 0.7 1.3 1 4 5 7 13 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Bolton 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
2 7 Barnsley 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 2 0 4 13 10 6
3 16 Charlton 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
4 2 Oxford 4 1 3 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
5 14 Wigan 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6
6 1 Portsmouth 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 2 0 7 3 11
7 3 Stevenage 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
8 5 Peterboro 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
9 8 Exeter 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 2 1 2 4 5 7
10 9 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
11 10 Lincoln 4 2 2 2.2 0.2 3 1 0 9 1 10
12 11 Blackpool 5 3 2 1.6 0.4 3 2 0 8 2 11
13 12 Derby 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
14 15 Bristol Rvs 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 1 2 1 7 5 5
15 17 Leyton Orient 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 2 0 2 3 7 6
16 18 Northampton 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 3 4 6 4
17 24 Cheltenham 4 2 2 0.0 2.2 0 0 4 0 9 0
18 6 Port Vale 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
19 13 Cambridge 5 4 1 1.4 0.6 3 1 1 7 3 10
20 19 Reading 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10
21 20 Shrewsbury 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 2 1 2 3 4 7
22 22 Burton 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 0 2 2 2 6 2
23 23 Fleetwood Town 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 1 0 3 1 6 3
24 21 Carlisle 5 5 0 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Oxford 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 4 0 1 11 5 12
2 14 Wigan 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 2 1 2 9 8 7
3 1 Portsmouth 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
4 3 Stevenage 5 2 3 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12
5 6 Port Vale 5 2 3 1.2 2.2 2 2 1 6 11 8
6 9 Wycombe 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 2 0 2 4 7 6
7 10 Lincoln 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
8 12 Derby 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 3 0 1 10 4 9
9 4 Bolton 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
10 5 Peterboro 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
11 8 Exeter 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 3 0 2 6 4 9
12 17 Leyton Orient 6 4 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 3 5 7 5
13 19 Reading 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 0 4 2 8 0
14 22 Burton 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 2 3 4 8 5
15 23 Fleetwood Town 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 0 2 3 4 8 2
16 7 Barnsley 4 3 1 1.8 0.5 3 1 0 7 2 10
17 11 Blackpool 4 3 1 0.2 1.2 1 1 2 1 5 4
18 13 Cambridge 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 1 2 3 4 4
19 15 Bristol Rvs 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 2 1 2 5 6 7
20 16 Charlton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2
21 18 Northampton 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 0 2 4 3 6
22 21 Carlisle 5 4 1 0.6 1.4 0 2 3 3 7 2
23 24 Cheltenham 6 5 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 5 0 8 1
24 20 Shrewsbury 4 4 0 0.2 1.2 1 0 3 1 5 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51