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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: R Joyce

Stevenage 1–1 Exeter

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.60 fair 1.72
Draw ✓ 3.80 fair 4.26
Away 6.00 fair 5.47
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 2.08

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stevenage Exeter
11 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
12 Corners 3
10 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (237 league matches this season so far).
Result Stevenage to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.74 – 0.86
Home / Draw / Away
StevenageDrawExeter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.9% 2–0 11.3% 1–1 11.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Stevenage before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
1.48scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 31:20
Exeter before this match, all matches
0.95points / match
0.63scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 12:30
Stevenage all matches all matches Exeter

Per match

1.48 Goals scored 0.63
0.95 Goals conceded 1.58
2.43 Total goals 2.21
11.67 Shots 12.53
4.43 Shots on target 3.68
11.57 Shots faced 13.32
5.76 Corners 6.11
5.57 Corners against 5.84
12.19 Fouls 10.58
2.14 Yellow cards 1.84
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.21
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

52% Wins 26%
29% Draws 16%
19% Losses 58%
90% Over 0.5 goals 89%
71% Over 1.5 goals 63%
52% Over 2.5 goals 37%
24% Over 3.5 goals 11%
5% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
43% Both teams scored 21%
48% Clean sheets 32%
19% Failed to score 58%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 5%
43% Draws 53%
10% Losses 42%
76% Over 0.5 goals 58%
33% Over 1.5 goals 26%
5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage all matches
Exeter all matches
Stevenage before this match, at home
1.70points / match
1.30scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:9
Exeter before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.78scored / match
2.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:20
Stevenage at home away Exeter

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 0.78
0.90 Goals conceded 2.22
2.20 Total goals 3.00
12.40 Shots 9.78
4.60 Shots on target 3.78
10.30 Shots faced 16.11
7.00 Corners 4.00
5.40 Corners against 6.22
11.80 Fouls 11.44
2.10 Yellow cards 1.11
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

40% Wins 33%
50% Draws 0%
10% Losses 67%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 78%
40% Over 2.5 goals 56%
40% Over 3.5 goals 22%
0% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
50% Both teams scored 11%
50% Clean sheets 33%
20% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 11%
60% Draws 44%
0% Losses 44%
60% Over 0.5 goals 67%
40% Over 1.5 goals 44%
10% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage at home
Exeter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stevenage all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Burton – Stevenage 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.25 2.03 1.83
28.11.23 Stevenage – Peterboro 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.402.63 1.93 1.93
25.11.23 Fleetwood Town – Stevenage 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.402.30 1.98 1.88
18.11.23 Stevenage – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.405.00 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Wycombe – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 2.03 1.83
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
24.10.23 Bristol Rvs – Stevenage 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.502.80 1.93 1.93
21.10.23 Stevenage – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.05 1.80
14.10.23 Blackpool – Stevenage 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 2.08 1.73
07.10.23 Stevenage – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.85 2.00

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Exeter – Port Vale 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 2.05 1.75
28.11.23 Exeter – Shrewsbury 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.15 1.67
25.11.23 Bolton – Exeter 7–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Fleetwood Town – Exeter 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.503.20 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Exeter – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Exeter – Wigan 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.30 1.88 1.98
07.10.23 Exeter – Barnsley 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93
03.10.23 Charlton – Exeter 4–1 (1–1) 2.053.603.60 1.73 2.08
30.09.23 Exeter – Northampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.753.30 2.15 1.67

Stevenage at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Stevenage – Peterboro 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.402.63 1.93 1.93
18.11.23 Stevenage – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.405.00 2.15 1.67
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
21.10.23 Stevenage – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Stevenage – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.85 2.00
30.09.23 Stevenage – Oxford 1–3 (1–1) 2.383.602.88 2.08 1.73
16.09.23 Stevenage – Charlton 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 1.98 1.88
09.09.23 Stevenage – Carlisle 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.05 1.80
26.08.23 Stevenage – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.302.70 2.08 1.73
12.08.23 Stevenage – Shrewsbury 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.05 1.80

Exeter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Bolton – Exeter 7–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Fleetwood Town – Exeter 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.503.20 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
03.10.23 Charlton – Exeter 4–1 (1–1) 2.053.603.60 1.73 2.08
23.09.23 Oxford – Exeter 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.804.00 1.85 2.00
02.09.23 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Carlisle – Exeter 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
15.08.23 Portsmouth – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
05.08.23 Wycombe – Exeter 0–3 (0–2) 1.913.604.00 1.88 1.98
29.04.23 Ipswich – Exeter 6–0 (5–0) 1.186.5017.00 1.60 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stevenage winsDrawsExeter wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.03.22E3 Exeter – Stevenage 2–1 (2–1) 1.723.754.75 2.13 1.75
09.10.21E3 Stevenage – Exeter 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.252.60 2.30 1.60

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 20 13 6 1 34 16 +18 45
2 Bolton 19 12 3 4 37 20 +17 39
3 Stevenage 21 11 6 4 31 20 +11 39
4 Peterboro 20 11 5 4 40 20 +20 38
5 Oxford 20 11 4 5 32 22 +10 37
6 Derby 19 11 3 5 34 16 +18 36
7 Barnsley 19 10 4 5 37 21 +16 34
8 Blackpool 21 9 6 6 36 25 +11 33
9 Wigan 20 9 4 7 30 23 +7 31
10 Lincoln 21 8 7 6 26 20 +6 31
11 Charlton 19 7 6 6 32 27 +5 27
12 Shrewsbury 21 8 3 10 13 27 -14 27
13 Northampton 20 8 2 10 24 26 -2 26
14 Bristol Rvs 19 6 7 6 25 24 +1 25
15 Wycombe 19 6 4 9 23 28 -5 22
16 Leyton Orient 20 5 7 8 18 27 -9 22
17 Port Vale 19 6 4 9 15 27 -12 22
18 Cambridge 20 5 6 9 16 27 -11 21
19 Burton 20 5 5 10 17 29 -12 20
20 Reading 20 5 3 12 24 34 -10 18
21 Exeter 19 5 3 11 12 30 -18 18
22 Fleetwood Town 19 4 4 11 18 34 -16 16
23 Carlisle 20 3 6 11 15 29 -14 15
24 Cheltenham 19 3 4 12 11 28 -17 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 11 7 3 1 16 10 +6 24
2 Peterboro 10 7 2 1 25 7 +18 23
3 Blackpool 12 7 2 3 25 13 +12 23
4 Bolton 10 7 1 2 23 13 +10 22
5 Charlton 11 6 2 3 23 15 +8 20
6 Wigan 10 6 1 3 16 10 +6 19
7 Shrewsbury 10 6 1 3 10 9 +1 19
8 Oxford 9 5 3 1 15 7 +8 18
9 Derby 9 5 2 2 15 6 +9 17
10 Stevenage 10 4 5 1 13 9 +4 17
11 Northampton 11 5 2 4 16 13 +3 17
12 Lincoln 9 4 3 2 15 8 +7 15
13 Reading 11 4 3 4 16 13 +3 15
14 Cambridge 10 4 3 3 9 11 -2 15
15 Bristol Rvs 9 3 5 1 15 9 +6 14
16 Barnsley 9 4 1 4 19 12 +7 13
17 Burton 10 3 3 4 11 13 -2 12
18 Wycombe 10 3 2 5 10 13 -3 11
19 Leyton Orient 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11
20 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 8 11 -3 10
21 Port Vale 8 3 0 5 6 8 -2 9
22 Exeter 10 2 3 5 5 10 -5 9
23 Cheltenham 9 2 2 5 5 13 -8 8
24 Fleetwood Town 9 2 1 6 8 17 -9 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 11 7 1 3 18 11 +7 22
2 Portsmouth 9 6 3 0 18 6 +12 21
3 Barnsley 10 6 3 1 18 9 +9 21
4 Derby 10 6 1 3 19 10 +9 19
5 Oxford 11 6 1 4 17 15 +2 19
6 Bolton 9 5 2 2 14 7 +7 17
7 Lincoln 12 4 4 4 11 12 -1 16
8 Peterboro 10 4 3 3 15 13 +2 15
9 Port Vale 11 3 4 4 9 19 -10 13
10 Wigan 10 3 3 4 14 13 +1 12
11 Leyton Orient 10 2 5 3 9 10 -1 11
12 Wycombe 9 3 2 4 13 15 -2 11
13 Bristol Rvs 10 3 2 5 10 15 -5 11
14 Blackpool 9 2 4 3 11 12 -1 10
15 Northampton 9 3 0 6 8 13 -5 9
16 Fleetwood Town 10 2 3 5 10 17 -7 9
17 Exeter 9 3 0 6 7 20 -13 9
18 Burton 10 2 2 6 6 16 -10 8
19 Shrewsbury 11 2 2 7 3 18 -15 8
20 Charlton 8 1 4 3 9 12 -3 7
21 Cambridge 10 1 3 6 7 16 -9 6
22 Cheltenham 10 1 2 7 6 15 -9 5
23 Carlisle 10 1 2 7 7 18 -11 5
24 Reading 9 1 0 8 8 21 -13 3

Stevenage   Exeter

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackpool 21 8 13 1.7 1.2 9 6 6 36 25 33
2 11 Charlton 19 6 13 1.7 1.4 7 6 6 32 27 27
3 5 Oxford 20 8 12 1.6 1.1 11 4 5 32 22 37
4 13 Northampton 20 8 12 1.2 1.3 8 2 10 24 26 26
5 20 Reading 20 8 12 1.2 1.7 5 3 12 24 34 18
6 2 Bolton 19 8 11 1.9 1.1 12 3 4 37 20 39
7 3 Stevenage 21 10 11 1.5 1.0 11 6 4 31 20 39
8 4 Peterboro 20 9 11 2.0 1.0 11 5 4 40 20 38
9 6 Derby 19 8 11 1.8 0.8 11 3 5 34 16 36
10 7 Barnsley 19 8 11 1.9 1.1 10 4 5 37 21 34
11 9 Wigan 20 9 11 1.5 1.1 9 4 7 30 23 31
12 15 Wycombe 19 8 11 1.2 1.5 6 4 9 23 28 22
13 22 Fleetwood Town 19 8 11 0.9 1.8 4 4 11 18 34 16
14 1 Portsmouth 20 10 10 1.7 0.8 13 6 1 34 16 45
15 19 Burton 20 11 9 0.8 1.4 5 5 10 17 29 20
16 10 Lincoln 21 13 8 1.2 1.0 8 7 6 26 20 31
17 14 Bristol Rvs 19 11 8 1.3 1.3 6 7 6 25 24 25
18 16 Leyton Orient 20 12 8 0.9 1.4 5 7 8 18 27 22
19 18 Cambridge 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 5 6 9 16 27 21
20 17 Port Vale 19 12 7 0.8 1.4 6 4 9 15 27 22
21 21 Exeter 19 12 7 0.6 1.6 5 3 11 12 30 18
22 12 Shrewsbury 21 15 6 0.6 1.3 8 3 10 13 27 27
23 24 Cheltenham 19 13 6 0.6 1.5 3 4 12 11 28 13
24 23 Carlisle 20 15 5 0.8 1.4 3 6 11 15 29 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackpool 12 3 9 2.1 1.1 7 2 3 25 13 23
2 11 Charlton 11 2 9 2.1 1.4 6 2 3 23 15 20
3 2 Bolton 10 2 8 2.3 1.3 7 1 2 23 13 22
4 13 Northampton 11 4 7 1.5 1.2 5 2 4 16 13 17
5 4 Peterboro 10 4 6 2.5 0.7 7 2 1 25 7 23
6 5 Oxford 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 5 3 1 15 7 18
7 7 Barnsley 9 3 6 2.1 1.3 4 1 4 19 12 13
8 9 Wigan 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 6 1 3 16 10 19
9 1 Portsmouth 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 7 3 1 16 10 24
10 6 Derby 9 4 5 1.7 0.7 5 2 2 15 6 17
11 16 Leyton Orient 10 5 5 0.9 1.7 3 2 5 9 17 11
12 19 Burton 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 3 3 4 11 13 12
13 20 Reading 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 4 3 4 16 13 15
14 22 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 0.9 1.9 2 1 6 8 17 7
15 3 Stevenage 10 6 4 1.3 0.9 4 5 1 13 9 17
16 10 Lincoln 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 4 3 2 15 8 15
17 14 Bristol Rvs 9 5 4 1.7 1.0 3 5 1 15 9 14
18 15 Wycombe 10 6 4 1.0 1.3 3 2 5 10 13 11
19 12 Shrewsbury 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 6 1 3 10 9 19
20 18 Cambridge 10 7 3 0.9 1.1 4 3 3 9 11 15
21 17 Port Vale 8 6 2 0.8 1.0 3 0 5 6 8 9
22 21 Exeter 10 8 2 0.5 1.0 2 3 5 5 10 9
23 24 Cheltenham 9 7 2 0.6 1.4 2 2 5 5 13 8
24 23 Carlisle 10 9 1 0.8 1.1 2 4 4 8 11 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Stevenage 11 4 7 1.6 1.0 7 1 3 18 11 22
2 15 Wycombe 9 2 7 1.4 1.7 3 2 4 13 15 11
3 20 Reading 9 2 7 0.9 2.3 1 0 8 8 21 3
4 5 Oxford 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 6 1 4 17 15 19
5 6 Derby 10 4 6 1.9 1.0 6 1 3 19 10 19
6 22 Fleetwood Town 10 4 6 1.0 1.7 2 3 5 10 17 9
7 1 Portsmouth 9 4 5 2.0 0.7 6 3 0 18 6 21
8 4 Peterboro 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 4 3 3 15 13 15
9 7 Barnsley 10 5 5 1.8 0.9 6 3 1 18 9 21
10 9 Wigan 10 5 5 1.4 1.3 3 3 4 14 13 12
11 13 Northampton 9 4 5 0.9 1.4 3 0 6 8 13 9
12 17 Port Vale 11 6 5 0.8 1.7 3 4 4 9 19 13
13 18 Cambridge 10 5 5 0.7 1.6 1 3 6 7 16 6
14 21 Exeter 9 4 5 0.8 2.2 3 0 6 7 20 9
15 8 Blackpool 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 2 4 3 11 12 10
16 10 Lincoln 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 4 4 4 11 12 16
17 11 Charlton 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 1 4 3 9 12 7
18 14 Bristol Rvs 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 3 2 5 10 15 11
19 19 Burton 10 6 4 0.6 1.6 2 2 6 6 16 8
20 23 Carlisle 10 6 4 0.7 1.8 1 2 7 7 18 5
21 24 Cheltenham 10 6 4 0.6 1.5 1 2 7 6 15 5
22 2 Bolton 9 6 3 1.6 0.8 5 2 2 14 7 17
23 12 Shrewsbury 11 8 3 0.3 1.6 2 2 7 3 18 8
24 16 Leyton Orient 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 2 5 3 9 10 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51