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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: G Eltringham

Burton 0–1 Exeter

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.80 fair 3.28
Draw 3.40 fair 3.61
Away ✓ 2.50 fair 2.39
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 1.72
Over 2.5 1.95 fair 2.39

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Exeter
9 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 5
14 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (60 league matches this season so far).
Result Exeter to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.06 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawExeter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 0–1 12.3% 1–0 10.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
0.40points / match
0.40scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 2:8
Exeter before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.40scored / match
0.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:2
Burton all matches all matches Exeter

Per match

0.40 Goals scored 1.40
1.60 Goals conceded 0.40
2.00 Total goals 1.80
11.00 Shots 12.40
3.00 Shots on target 4.00
12.60 Shots faced 10.40
3.80 Corners 5.40
5.40 Corners against 7.40
12.20 Fouls 9.80
2.80 Yellow cards 1.80
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.60
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

0% Wins 60%
40% Draws 20%
60% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 20%
20% Clean sheets 60%
60% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 20%
40% Draws 80%
60% Losses 0%
60% Over 0.5 goals 40%
40% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Exeter all matches
Burton before this match, at home
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:4
Exeter before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.67scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:1
Burton at home away Exeter

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 1.67
2.00 Goals conceded 0.33
2.50 Total goals 2.00
13.50 Shots 10.33
2.50 Shots on target 5.00
12.50 Shots faced 12.00
5.00 Corners 4.67
5.00 Corners against 7.67
12.50 Fouls 11.00
3.50 Yellow cards 1.33
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 67%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 67%
50% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
50% Draws 67%
50% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 33%
0% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Exeter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98
19.08.23 Wycombe – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.88 1.98
15.08.23 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
05.08.23 Blackpool – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
07.05.23 Burton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.88 1.98
03.05.23 Burton – Cambridge 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
29.04.23 Plymouth – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23 Exeter – Reading 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.503.80 2.00 1.85
19.08.23 Carlisle – Exeter 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
15.08.23 Portsmouth – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
12.08.23 Exeter – Blackpool 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 1.93 1.93
05.08.23 Wycombe – Exeter 0–3 (0–2) 1.913.604.00 1.88 1.98
07.05.23 Exeter – Morecambe 3–2 (0–0) 2.453.602.70 1.67 2.15
29.04.23 Ipswich – Exeter 6–0 (5–0) 1.186.5017.00 1.60 2.30
22.04.23 Sheffield Weds – Exeter 2–1 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.90 1.95
18.04.23 Exeter – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Exeter – Plymouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.502.38 1.85 2.00

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
07.05.23 Burton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.88 1.98
03.05.23 Burton – Cambridge 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
18.04.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Burton – Sheffield Weds 3–2 (3–1) 5.504.001.62 1.85 2.00
07.04.23 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
14.03.23 Burton – Peterboro 2–5 (1–3) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
11.03.23 Burton – Wycombe 2–1 (2–0) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.80
25.02.23 Burton – Accrington 0–0 (0–0) 1.834.004.00 1.90 1.95

Exeter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.23 Carlisle – Exeter 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
15.08.23 Portsmouth – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
05.08.23 Wycombe – Exeter 0–3 (0–2) 1.913.604.00 1.88 1.98
29.04.23 Ipswich – Exeter 6–0 (5–0) 1.186.5017.00 1.60 2.30
22.04.23 Sheffield Weds – Exeter 2–1 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.90 1.95
10.04.23 Peterboro – Exeter 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 Fleetwood Town – Exeter 2–2 (2–1) 2.803.252.63 2.08 1.73
18.03.23 Cheltenham – Exeter 3–1 (1–0) 2.803.202.55 2.25 1.62
04.03.23 Wycombe – Exeter 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 2.05 1.75
18.02.23 Port Vale – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsExeter wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23E2 Burton – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.90 1.95
17.09.22E2 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Oxford 5 4 0 1 8 5 +3 12
2 Exeter 5 3 1 1 7 2 +5 10
3 Bolton 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
4 Lincoln 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
5 Wigan 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
6 Stevenage 5 3 1 1 5 3 +2 10
7 Port Vale 5 3 1 1 5 9 -4 10
8 Portsmouth 5 2 3 0 6 1 +5 9
9 Derby 5 3 0 2 10 6 +4 9
10 Cambridge 5 3 0 2 7 4 +3 9
11 Peterboro 5 3 0 2 7 6 +1 9
12 Shrewsbury 5 3 0 2 4 4 0 9
13 Barnsley 5 2 1 2 12 7 +5 7
14 Northampton 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
15 Wycombe 5 2 1 2 5 9 -4 7
16 Reading 5 2 0 3 4 4 0 6
17 Blackpool 5 1 3 1 2 3 -1 6
18 Bristol Rvs 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
19 Leyton Orient 5 1 1 3 4 8 -4 4
20 Charlton 5 1 0 4 5 8 -3 3
21 Carlisle 5 0 2 3 2 6 -4 2
22 Burton 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2
23 Fleetwood Town 5 0 1 4 2 8 -6 1
24 Cheltenham 5 0 1 4 0 6 -6 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 2 2 0 0 6 0 +6 6
2 Cambridge 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6
3 Oxford 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
4 Reading 3 2 0 1 3 1 +2 6
5 Port Vale 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
6 Bolton 3 2 0 1 6 5 +1 6
7 Shrewsbury 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
8 Blackpool 3 1 2 0 2 0 +2 5
9 Portsmouth 3 1 2 0 2 1 +1 5
10 Stevenage 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
11 Exeter 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
12 Northampton 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
13 Wycombe 3 1 1 1 3 5 -2 4
14 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 9 6 +3 3
15 Charlton 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
16 Derby 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3
17 Peterboro 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
18 Wigan 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
19 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2 4 -2 3
20 Carlisle 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
21 Bristol Rvs 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
22 Burton 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1
23 Fleetwood Town 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0
24 Cheltenham 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wigan 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
2 Derby 2 2 0 0 7 2 +5 6
3 Exeter 3 2 0 1 5 1 +4 6
4 Peterboro 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
5 Oxford 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
6 Stevenage 3 2 0 1 3 3 0 6
7 Portsmouth 2 1 1 0 4 0 +4 4
8 Bolton 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4
9 Barnsley 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
10 Bristol Rvs 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
11 Lincoln 3 1 1 1 3 5 -2 4
12 Port Vale 3 1 1 1 3 9 -6 4
13 Cambridge 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
14 Northampton 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
15 Shrewsbury 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
16 Wycombe 2 1 0 1 2 4 -2 3
17 Leyton Orient 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
18 Cheltenham 3 0 1 2 0 2 -2 1
19 Fleetwood Town 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
20 Burton 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
21 Blackpool 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
22 Charlton 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
23 Reading 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
24 Carlisle 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0

Burton   Exeter

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bolton 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
2 4 Lincoln 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
3 9 Derby 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 2 10 6 9
4 15 Wycombe 5 1 4 1.0 1.8 2 1 2 5 9 7
5 1 Oxford 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 4 0 1 8 5 12
6 5 Wigan 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
7 13 Barnsley 5 2 3 2.4 1.4 2 1 2 12 7 7
8 20 Charlton 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 0 4 5 8 3
9 2 Exeter 5 3 2 1.4 0.4 3 1 1 7 2 10
10 7 Port Vale 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 3 1 1 5 9 10
11 11 Peterboro 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 3 0 2 7 6 9
12 14 Northampton 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
13 18 Bristol Rvs 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
14 19 Leyton Orient 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 1 3 4 8 4
15 22 Burton 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 2 3 2 8 2
16 6 Stevenage 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 3 1 1 5 3 10
17 8 Portsmouth 5 4 1 1.2 0.2 2 3 0 6 1 9
18 10 Cambridge 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 3 0 2 7 4 9
19 12 Shrewsbury 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 3 0 2 4 4 9
20 16 Reading 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 0 3 4 4 6
21 17 Blackpool 5 4 1 0.4 0.6 1 3 1 2 3 6
22 23 Fleetwood Town 5 4 1 0.4 1.6 0 1 4 2 8 1
23 24 Cheltenham 5 4 1 0.0 1.2 0 1 4 0 6 1
24 21 Carlisle 5 5 0 0.4 1.2 0 2 3 2 6 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bolton 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 2 0 1 6 5 6
2 13 Barnsley 3 0 3 3.0 2.0 1 0 2 9 6 3
3 4 Lincoln 2 0 2 3.0 0.0 2 0 0 6 0 6
4 9 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3
5 15 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 1 1 3 5 4
6 20 Charlton 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
7 1 Oxford 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
8 2 Exeter 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
9 5 Wigan 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
10 10 Cambridge 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6
11 11 Peterboro 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
12 12 Shrewsbury 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
13 14 Northampton 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
14 18 Bristol Rvs 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
15 19 Leyton Orient 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 1 0 1 2 4 3
16 22 Burton 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1
17 24 Cheltenham 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
18 6 Stevenage 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
19 7 Port Vale 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
20 8 Portsmouth 3 3 0 0.7 0.3 1 2 0 2 1 5
21 16 Reading 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 0 1 3 1 6
22 17 Blackpool 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 1 2 0 2 0 5
23 21 Carlisle 3 3 0 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
24 23 Fleetwood Town 2 2 0 0.0 1.5 0 0 2 0 3 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Oxford 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
2 4 Lincoln 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 1 1 3 5 4
3 5 Wigan 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
4 7 Port Vale 3 1 2 1.0 3.0 1 1 1 3 9 4
5 9 Derby 2 0 2 3.5 1.0 2 0 0 7 2 6
6 15 Wycombe 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 1 2 4 3
7 2 Exeter 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 0 1 5 1 6
8 3 Bolton 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4
9 6 Stevenage 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 1 3 3 6
10 8 Portsmouth 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 1 1 0 4 0 4
11 11 Peterboro 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
12 14 Northampton 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
13 16 Reading 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
14 17 Blackpool 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
15 18 Bristol Rvs 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
16 19 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
17 20 Charlton 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
18 22 Burton 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1
19 23 Fleetwood Town 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
20 10 Cambridge 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
21 12 Shrewsbury 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
22 13 Barnsley 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
23 21 Carlisle 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0
24 24 Cheltenham 3 3 0 0.0 0.7 0 1 2 0 2 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51