Stevenage 3–1 Derby – England League One, 28 Oct 2023

Match facts

Stevenage Derby

11 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 7

11 Fouls 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (164 league matches this season so far).

Result Stevenage to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.96

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.24

Home / Draw / Away

37% 27% 36%

StevenageDrawDerby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.8% 1–0 10.3% 0–1 10.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Stevenage before this match, all matches

1.53points / match

1.27scored / match

1.07conceded / match

6 5 4

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:16

Derby before this match, all matches

1.62points / match

1.54scored / match

0.92conceded / match

6 3 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 20:12

Stevenage all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 1.54

1.07 Goals conceded 0.92

2.33 Total goals 2.46

11.87 Shots 13.08

4.53 Shots on target 4.23

10.73 Shots faced 10.62

5.93 Corners 6.77

5.47 Corners against 6.08

12.13 Fouls 11.31

2.40 Yellow cards 2.00

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.77

0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

40% Wins 46%

33% Draws 23%

27% Losses 31%

87% Over 0.5 goals 92%

73% Over 1.5 goals 77%

47% Over 2.5 goals 46%

20% Over 3.5 goals 15%

7% Over 4.5 goals 8%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

40% Both teams scored 54%

47% Clean sheets 38%

27% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 38%

47% Draws 46%

13% Losses 15%

73% Over 0.5 goals 69%

27% Over 1.5 goals 23%

0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage all matches

3

W

2

D

1

D

3

W

1

3

L

2

3

L

1

W

3

L

D

1

D

Derby all matches

1

W

4

2

W

1

2

L

1

D

2

W

D

3

1

W

1

D

1

L

2

W

Stevenage before this match, at home

1.43points / match

1.00scored / match

0.86conceded / match

2 4 1

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:6

Derby before this match, away

1.86points / match

2.00scored / match

1.00conceded / match

4 1 2

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 14:7

Stevenage at home away Derby

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.00

0.86 Goals conceded 1.00

1.86 Total goals 3.00

12.43 Shots 11.14

4.29 Shots on target 4.57

9.14 Shots faced 12.57

8.00 Corners 5.43

4.86 Corners against 6.86

11.43 Fouls 10.29

2.29 Yellow cards 1.43

0.57 1st-half goals scored 1.14

0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

29% Wins 57%

57% Draws 14%

14% Losses 29%

71% Over 0.5 goals 100%

57% Over 1.5 goals 86%

29% Over 2.5 goals 57%

29% Over 3.5 goals 29%

0% Over 4.5 goals 14%

0% Over 5.5 goals 14%

43% Both teams scored 57%

57% Clean sheets 29%

29% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 43%

71% Draws 57%

0% Losses 0%

57% Over 0.5 goals 71%

29% Over 1.5 goals 43%

0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage at home

2

1

W

1

W

2

W

2

W

D

2

D

1

D

1

3

L

1

W

D

Derby away

1

D

2

1

W

1

L

3

W

4

2

W

1

2

L

2

W

3

1

W

1

D

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Stevenage all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.10.23	Bristol Rvs – Stevenage	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.50	2.80	1.93	1.93
21.10.23	Stevenage – Port Vale	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.05	1.80
14.10.23	Blackpool – Stevenage	3–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.08	1.73
07.10.23	Stevenage – Wigan	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.60	4.75	1.85	2.00
03.10.23	Bolton – Stevenage	3–2 (1–1)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.03	1.83
30.09.23	Stevenage – Oxford	1–3 (1–1)	2.38	3.60	2.88	2.08	1.73
23.09.23	Cheltenham – Stevenage	0–3 (0–1)	4.00	3.40	1.95	2.10	1.70
16.09.23	Stevenage – Charlton	1–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.75	1.98	1.88
09.09.23	Stevenage – Carlisle	2–2 (1–1)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.05	1.80
02.09.23	Leyton Orient – Stevenage	0–3 (0–2)	2.88	3.25	2.55	2.05	1.75

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.10.23	Derby – Exeter	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	5.75	1.85	2.00
21.10.23	Shrewsbury – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.40	1.85	2.05	1.80
07.10.23	Cheltenham – Derby	1–1 (1–1)	7.00	4.00	1.50	1.88	1.98
03.10.23	Blackpool – Derby	1–3 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.05	1.80
30.09.23	Derby – Cambridge	0–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.20	5.50	1.88	1.98
23.09.23	Carlisle – Derby	0–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.93	1.93
16.09.23	Derby – Portsmouth	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.30	1.95	1.90
02.09.23	Bolton – Derby	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.40	3.30	2.00	1.85
26.08.23	Peterboro – Derby	2–4 (1–4)	2.50	3.40	2.80	1.93	1.93
19.08.23	Derby – Fleetwood Town	1–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.33	5.75	1.85	2.00

Stevenage at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.10.23	Stevenage – Port Vale	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.05	1.80
07.10.23	Stevenage – Wigan	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.60	4.75	1.85	2.00
30.09.23	Stevenage – Oxford	1–3 (1–1)	2.38	3.60	2.88	2.08	1.73
16.09.23	Stevenage – Charlton	1–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.75	1.98	1.88
09.09.23	Stevenage – Carlisle	2–2 (1–1)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.05	1.80
26.08.23	Stevenage – Portsmouth	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.70	2.08	1.73
12.08.23	Stevenage – Shrewsbury	2–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.05	1.80
29.04.23E3	Stevenage – Grimsby	2–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.75	5.75	2.15	1.67
18.04.23E3	Stevenage – Doncaster	1–0 (1–0)	1.40	4.20	9.50	1.95	1.90
15.04.23E3	Stevenage – AFC Wimbledon	2–1 (1–1)	1.62	3.60	6.50	2.15	1.67

Derby away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.10.23	Shrewsbury – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.40	1.85	2.05	1.80
07.10.23	Cheltenham – Derby	1–1 (1–1)	7.00	4.00	1.50	1.88	1.98
03.10.23	Blackpool – Derby	1–3 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.05	1.80
23.09.23	Carlisle – Derby	0–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.93	1.93
02.09.23	Bolton – Derby	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.40	3.30	2.00	1.85
26.08.23	Peterboro – Derby	2–4 (1–4)	2.50	3.40	2.80	1.93	1.93
12.08.23	Burton – Derby	0–3 (0–1)	4.33	3.60	1.85	1.93	1.93
07.05.23	Sheffield Weds – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.50	2.60	1.95	1.90
18.04.23	Exeter – Derby	1–2 (0–0)	3.40	3.30	2.20	2.05	1.80
15.04.23	Bristol Rvs – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	4.33	3.60	1.83	1.95	1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	14	9	5	0	22	8	+14	32
2	Oxford	13	9	1	3	24	12	+12	28
3	Barnsley	14	8	2	4	29	13	+16	26
4	Bolton	13	8	2	3	25	18	+7	26
5	Peterboro	14	7	4	3	21	14	+7	25
6	Blackpool	14	6	5	3	19	15	+4	23
7	Stevenage	15	6	5	4	19	16	+3	23
8	Derby	13	6	3	4	20	12	+8	21
9	Lincoln	13	6	3	4	18	13	+5	21
10	Wycombe	13	6	2	5	20	21	-1	20
11	Wigan	13	6	1	6	19	17	+2	19
12	Burton	15	5	4	6	16	19	-3	19
13	Leyton Orient	14	5	4	5	14	18	-4	19
14	Charlton	13	5	3	5	22	17	+5	18
15	Port Vale	14	5	3	6	11	21	-10	18
16	Shrewsbury	14	5	2	7	7	16	-9	17
17	Bristol Rvs	13	4	4	5	18	18	0	16
18	Cambridge	14	4	4	6	12	15	-3	16
19	Exeter	14	5	1	8	11	18	-7	16
20	Northampton	13	4	2	7	14	15	-1	14
21	Carlisle	15	3	5	7	13	18	-5	14
22	Fleetwood Town	13	3	2	8	10	20	-10	11
23	Reading	13	3	1	9	10	21	-11	10
24	Cheltenham	14	1	2	11	4	23	-19	5

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	8	6	2	0	12	4	+8	20
2	Blackpool	8	5	2	1	15	7	+8	17
3	Charlton	8	5	1	2	19	10	+9	16
4	Oxford	7	5	1	1	13	5	+8	16
5	Bolton	8	5	1	2	15	13	+2	16
6	Peterboro	7	4	2	1	13	7	+6	14
7	Lincoln	6	4	1	1	12	3	+9	13
8	Shrewsbury	7	4	1	2	5	4	+1	13
9	Cambridge	8	3	3	2	8	8	0	12
10	Burton	7	3	2	2	10	9	+1	11
11	Reading	6	3	1	2	6	4	+2	10
12	Stevenage	7	2	4	1	7	6	+1	10
13	Wycombe	6	3	1	2	9	9	0	10
14	Leyton Orient	6	3	1	2	6	9	-3	10
15	Barnsley	7	3	0	4	16	10	+6	9
16	Bristol Rvs	6	2	3	1	11	6	+5	9
17	Wigan	5	3	0	2	7	6	+1	9
18	Port Vale	6	3	0	3	5	5	0	9
19	Carlisle	8	2	3	3	7	9	-2	9
20	Derby	6	2	2	2	6	5	+1	8
21	Northampton	7	2	2	3	9	9	0	8
22	Exeter	7	2	1	4	4	8	-4	7
23	Cheltenham	7	1	1	5	2	12	-10	4
24	Fleetwood Town	6	1	0	5	2	11	-9	3

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnsley	7	5	2	0	13	3	+10	17
2	Derby	7	4	1	2	14	7	+7	13
3	Stevenage	8	4	1	3	12	10	+2	13
4	Portsmouth	6	3	3	0	10	4	+6	12
5	Oxford	6	4	0	2	11	7	+4	12
6	Peterboro	7	3	2	2	8	7	+1	11
7	Bolton	5	3	1	1	10	5	+5	10
8	Wigan	8	3	1	4	12	11	+1	10
9	Wycombe	7	3	1	3	11	12	-1	10
10	Leyton Orient	8	2	3	3	8	9	-1	9
11	Exeter	7	3	0	4	7	10	-3	9
12	Port Vale	8	2	3	3	6	16	-10	9
13	Fleetwood Town	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1	8
14	Burton	8	2	2	4	6	10	-4	8
15	Lincoln	7	2	2	3	6	10	-4	8
16	Bristol Rvs	7	2	1	4	7	12	-5	7
17	Northampton	6	2	0	4	5	6	-1	6
18	Blackpool	6	1	3	2	4	8	-4	6
19	Carlisle	7	1	2	4	6	9	-3	5
20	Cambridge	6	1	1	4	4	7	-3	4
21	Shrewsbury	7	1	1	5	2	12	-10	4
22	Charlton	5	0	2	3	3	7	-4	2
23	Cheltenham	7	0	1	6	2	11	-9	1
24	Reading	7	0	0	7	4	17	-13	0

Stevenage Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Bolton	13	3	10	1.9	1.4	8	2	3	25	18	26
2	2	Oxford	13	4	9	1.8	0.9	9	1	3	24	12	28
3	10	Wycombe	13	4	9	1.5	1.6	6	2	5	20	21	20
4	14	Charlton	13	4	9	1.7	1.3	5	3	5	22	17	18
5	11	Wigan	13	5	8	1.5	1.3	6	1	6	19	17	19
6	3	Barnsley	14	7	7	2.1	0.9	8	2	4	29	13	26
7	6	Blackpool	14	7	7	1.4	1.1	6	5	3	19	15	23
8	7	Stevenage	15	8	7	1.3	1.1	6	5	4	19	16	23
9	12	Burton	15	8	7	1.1	1.3	5	4	6	16	19	19
10	23	Reading	13	6	7	0.8	1.6	3	1	9	10	21	10
11	1	Portsmouth	14	8	6	1.6	0.6	9	5	0	22	8	32
12	8	Derby	13	7	6	1.5	0.9	6	3	4	20	12	21
13	9	Lincoln	13	7	6	1.4	1.0	6	3	4	18	13	21
14	13	Leyton Orient	14	8	6	1.0	1.3	5	4	5	14	18	19
15	17	Bristol Rvs	13	7	6	1.4	1.4	4	4	5	18	18	16
16	20	Northampton	13	7	6	1.1	1.2	4	2	7	14	15	14
17	5	Peterboro	14	9	5	1.5	1.0	7	4	3	21	14	25
18	15	Port Vale	14	9	5	0.8	1.5	5	3	6	11	21	18
19	19	Exeter	14	9	5	0.8	1.3	5	1	8	11	18	16
20	22	Fleetwood Town	13	8	5	0.8	1.5	3	2	8	10	20	11
21	18	Cambridge	14	10	4	0.9	1.1	4	4	6	12	15	16
22	24	Cheltenham	14	10	4	0.3	1.6	1	2	11	4	23	5
23	16	Shrewsbury	14	11	3	0.5	1.1	5	2	7	7	16	17
24	21	Carlisle	15	12	3	0.9	1.2	3	5	7	13	18	14

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Bolton	8	1	7	1.9	1.6	5	1	2	15	13	16
2	14	Charlton	8	1	7	2.4	1.2	5	1	2	19	10	16
3	2	Oxford	7	2	5	1.9	0.7	5	1	1	13	5	16
4	3	Barnsley	7	2	5	2.3	1.4	3	0	4	16	10	9
5	6	Blackpool	8	3	5	1.9	0.9	5	2	1	15	7	17
6	12	Burton	7	3	4	1.4	1.3	3	2	2	10	9	11
7	20	Northampton	7	3	4	1.3	1.3	2	2	3	9	9	8
8	1	Portsmouth	8	5	3	1.5	0.5	6	2	0	12	4	20
9	5	Peterboro	7	4	3	1.9	1.0	4	2	1	13	7	14
10	9	Lincoln	6	3	3	2.0	0.5	4	1	1	12	3	13
11	10	Wycombe	6	3	3	1.5	1.5	3	1	2	9	9	10
12	11	Wigan	5	2	3	1.4	1.2	3	0	2	7	6	9
13	13	Leyton Orient	6	3	3	1.0	1.5	3	1	2	6	9	10
14	17	Bristol Rvs	6	3	3	1.8	1.0	2	3	1	11	6	9
15	7	Stevenage	7	5	2	1.0	0.9	2	4	1	7	6	10
16	8	Derby	6	4	2	1.0	0.8	2	2	2	6	5	8
17	18	Cambridge	8	6	2	1.0	1.0	3	3	2	8	8	12
18	19	Exeter	7	5	2	0.6	1.1	2	1	4	4	8	7
19	22	Fleetwood Town	6	4	2	0.3	1.8	1	0	5	2	11	3
20	23	Reading	6	4	2	1.0	0.7	3	1	2	6	4	10
21	24	Cheltenham	7	5	2	0.3	1.7	1	1	5	2	12	4
22	15	Port Vale	6	5	1	0.8	0.8	3	0	3	5	5	9
23	16	Shrewsbury	7	6	1	0.7	0.6	4	1	2	5	4	13
24	21	Carlisle	8	7	1	0.9	1.1	2	3	3	7	9	9

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Wycombe	7	1	6	1.6	1.7	3	1	3	11	12	10
2	7	Stevenage	8	3	5	1.5	1.2	4	1	3	12	10	13
3	11	Wigan	8	3	5	1.5	1.4	3	1	4	12	11	10
4	23	Reading	7	2	5	0.6	2.4	0	0	7	4	17	0
5	2	Oxford	6	2	4	1.8	1.2	4	0	2	11	7	12
6	8	Derby	7	3	4	2.0	1.0	4	1	2	14	7	13
7	15	Port Vale	8	4	4	0.8	2.0	2	3	3	6	16	9
8	1	Portsmouth	6	3	3	1.7	0.7	3	3	0	10	4	12
9	4	Bolton	5	2	3	2.0	1.0	3	1	1	10	5	10
10	9	Lincoln	7	4	3	0.9	1.4	2	2	3	6	10	8
11	12	Burton	8	5	3	0.8	1.2	2	2	4	6	10	8
12	13	Leyton Orient	8	5	3	1.0	1.1	2	3	3	8	9	9
13	17	Bristol Rvs	7	4	3	1.0	1.7	2	1	4	7	12	7
14	19	Exeter	7	4	3	1.0	1.4	3	0	4	7	10	9
15	22	Fleetwood Town	7	4	3	1.1	1.3	2	2	3	8	9	8
16	3	Barnsley	7	5	2	1.9	0.4	5	2	0	13	3	17
17	5	Peterboro	7	5	2	1.1	1.0	3	2	2	8	7	11
18	6	Blackpool	6	4	2	0.7	1.3	1	3	2	4	8	6
19	14	Charlton	5	3	2	0.6	1.4	0	2	3	3	7	2
20	16	Shrewsbury	7	5	2	0.3	1.7	1	1	5	2	12	4
21	18	Cambridge	6	4	2	0.7	1.2	1	1	4	4	7	4
22	20	Northampton	6	4	2	0.8	1.0	2	0	4	5	6	6
23	21	Carlisle	7	5	2	0.9	1.3	1	2	4	6	9	5
24	24	Cheltenham	7	5	2	0.3	1.6	0	1	6	2	11	1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.