Carlisle 2–1 Port Vale – England League One, 1 Jan 2024

Match facts

Carlisle Port Vale

15 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

6 Corners 1

10 Fouls 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (284 league matches this season so far).

Result Carlisle to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.93

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.11

Home / Draw / Away

40% 28% 33%

CarlisleDrawPort Vale

Under / Over 2.5 goals

58% 43%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13.1% 1–0 11.7% 0–1 10.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.71points / match

0.75scored / match

1.46conceded / match

3 8 13

WonDrawnLost 24 played · 18:35

Port Vale before this match, all matches

1.26points / match

1.04scored / match

1.43conceded / match

8 5 10

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 24:33

Carlisle all matches all matches Port Vale

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.04

1.46 Goals conceded 1.43

2.21 Total goals 2.48

11.67 Shots 13.35

3.42 Shots on target 4.43

13.08 Shots faced 11.57

5.63 Corners 6.09

5.04 Corners against 5.70

9.96 Fouls 9.61

1.92 Yellow cards 1.83

0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.35

0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

13% Wins 35%

33% Draws 22%

54% Losses 43%

100% Over 0.5 goals 91%

71% Over 1.5 goals 61%

25% Over 2.5 goals 43%

17% Over 3.5 goals 22%

4% Over 4.5 goals 22%

4% Over 5.5 goals 4%

46% Both teams scored 43%

4% Clean sheets 30%

50% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

4% Wins 22%

50% Draws 48%

46% Losses 30%

67% Over 0.5 goals 61%

25% Over 1.5 goals 26%

4% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches

2

1

W

1

L

1

L

1

D

1

5

L

3

L

2

D

1

L

1

D

2

L

Port Vale all matches

1

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

L

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

2

3

L

3

W

Carlisle before this match, at home

0.92points / match

0.83scored / match

1.17conceded / match

2 5 5

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 10:14

Port Vale before this match, away

1.17points / match

0.83scored / match

1.67conceded / match

3 5 4

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 10:20

Carlisle at home away Port Vale

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 0.83

1.17 Goals conceded 1.67

2.00 Total goals 2.50

12.58 Shots 10.67

3.67 Shots on target 3.25

11.08 Shots faced 13.25

7.00 Corners 5.17

3.75 Corners against 6.50

8.58 Fouls 10.83

1.50 Yellow cards 2.00

0.08 1st-half goals scored 0.25

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

17% Wins 25%

42% Draws 42%

42% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 83%

75% Over 1.5 goals 75%

17% Over 2.5 goals 42%

8% Over 3.5 goals 17%

0% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

50% Both teams scored 50%

8% Clean sheets 25%

42% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 25%

42% Draws 42%

58% Losses 33%

67% Over 0.5 goals 58%

8% Over 1.5 goals 17%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home

2

L

2

W

2

L

1

D

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

D

2

D

1

L

Port Vale away

3

2

W

2

1

W

1

D

3

L

2

L

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.12.23	Wigan – Carlisle	2–0 (2–0)	2.00	3.40	4.00	2.08	1.73
26.12.23	Fleetwood Town – Carlisle	1–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.50	2.03	1.83
23.12.23	Carlisle – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67
16.12.23	Carlisle – Northampton	2–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.25	2.63	2.15	1.67
09.12.23	Blackpool – Carlisle	3–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.20	7.00	1.88	1.98
28.11.23	Reading – Carlisle	5–1 (3–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.95	1.90
25.11.23	Carlisle – Charlton	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.25	1.88	1.98
11.11.23	Carlisle – Bristol Rvs	0–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.38	1.98	1.88
28.10.23	Cambridge – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.70
24.10.23	Carlisle – Burton	2–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.05	1.75

Port Vale all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.12.23	Port Vale – Blackpool	3–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.40	2.15	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Port Vale – Barnsley	2–3 (0–3)	2.75	3.50	2.50	1.98	1.88
23.12.23	Wycombe – Port Vale	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.75
16.12.23	Port Vale – Wigan	3–2 (2–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.00	1.85
09.12.23	Exeter – Port Vale	0–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.60	2.90	2.05	1.75
28.11.23	Port Vale – Derby	0–1 (0–0)	3.75	3.60	1.95	2.00	1.85
25.11.23	Shrewsbury – Port Vale	2–1 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.10	1.70
11.11.23	Lincoln – Port Vale	1–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.70
28.10.23	Port Vale – Cheltenham	1–2 (1–1)	1.67	3.75	5.50	1.95	1.90
24.10.23	Port Vale – Peterboro	0–1 (0–1)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.85	2.00

Carlisle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.12.23	Carlisle – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67
16.12.23	Carlisle – Northampton	2–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.25	2.63	2.15	1.67
25.11.23	Carlisle – Charlton	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.25	1.88	1.98
11.11.23	Carlisle – Bristol Rvs	0–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.38	1.98	1.88
24.10.23	Carlisle – Burton	2–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.05	1.75
14.10.23	Carlisle – Leyton Orient	0–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.25	2.80	2.08	1.73
03.10.23	Carlisle – Peterboro	1–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.60	1.95	1.85	2.00
23.09.23	Carlisle – Derby	0–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.93	1.93
02.09.23	Carlisle – Shrewsbury	2–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.30	3.10	2.10	1.78
19.08.23	Carlisle – Exeter	0–2 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.70	2.08	1.73

Port Vale away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.12.23	Wycombe – Port Vale	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.75
09.12.23	Exeter – Port Vale	0–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.60	2.90	2.05	1.75
25.11.23	Shrewsbury – Port Vale	2–1 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.10	1.70
11.11.23	Lincoln – Port Vale	1–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.70
21.10.23	Stevenage – Port Vale	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.05	1.80
07.10.23	Portsmouth – Port Vale	2–0 (0–0)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.85	2.00
03.10.23	Bristol Rvs – Port Vale	3–0 (2–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	1.93	1.93
23.09.23	Cambridge – Port Vale	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.20	2.03	1.83
02.09.23	Oxford – Port Vale	1–2 (0–0)	1.75	3.75	4.75	1.93	1.93
19.08.23	Charlton – Port Vale	2–3 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	1.93	1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Carlisle winsDrawsPort Vale wins

3matches

1.67goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.08.23E2	Port Vale – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.75	4.20	1.98	1.88
08.02.22E3	Carlisle – Port Vale	1–3 (1–2)	3.10	3.20	2.40	2.40	1.53
17.08.21E3	Port Vale – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.25	1.61

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	24	14	8	2	39	19	+20	50
2	Bolton	23	15	3	5	44	24	+20	48
3	Peterboro	24	13	7	4	47	25	+22	46
4	Derby	23	14	4	5	42	20	+22	46
5	Stevenage	24	12	7	5	36	23	+13	43
6	Oxford	24	13	4	7	40	28	+12	43
7	Barnsley	23	12	6	5	45	27	+18	42
8	Blackpool	25	10	6	9	40	32	+8	36
9	Wigan	24	10	4	10	34	29	+5	34
10	Bristol Rvs	23	9	7	7	32	30	+2	34
11	Northampton	24	10	3	11	30	33	-3	33
12	Lincoln	25	8	8	9	29	27	+2	32
13	Charlton	23	7	8	8	35	32	+3	29
14	Leyton Orient	24	7	8	9	23	31	-8	29
15	Port Vale	23	8	5	10	24	33	-9	29
16	Cambridge	23	7	6	10	21	30	-9	27
17	Burton	24	7	6	11	20	33	-13	27
18	Shrewsbury	25	8	3	14	14	35	-21	27
19	Wycombe	23	6	7	10	25	31	-6	25
20	Reading	24	6	6	12	31	39	-8	24
21	Exeter	23	6	5	12	14	33	-19	23
22	Cheltenham	23	5	5	13	17	32	-15	20
23	Fleetwood Town	23	4	6	13	20	39	-19	18
24	Carlisle	24	3	8	13	18	35	-17	17

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Blackpool	13	8	2	3	28	14	+14	26
2	Peterboro	12	7	4	1	29	11	+18	25
3	Bolton	12	8	1	3	27	17	+10	25
4	Portsmouth	12	7	4	1	17	11	+6	25
5	Oxford	12	7	3	2	22	11	+11	24
6	Wigan	12	7	1	4	18	11	+7	22
7	Derby	11	6	3	2	19	8	+11	21
8	Charlton	12	6	3	3	24	16	+8	21
9	Stevenage	12	5	6	1	17	10	+7	21
10	Cambridge	12	6	3	3	13	12	+1	21
11	Bristol Rvs	11	5	5	1	19	11	+8	20
12	Northampton	12	6	2	4	18	14	+4	20
13	Shrewsbury	12	6	1	5	11	14	-3	19
14	Reading	12	5	3	4	18	13	+5	18
15	Burton	12	5	3	4	13	13	0	18
16	Barnsley	11	5	2	4	22	14	+8	17
17	Lincoln	12	4	4	4	17	12	+5	16
18	Port Vale	11	5	0	6	14	13	+1	15
19	Leyton Orient	12	4	3	5	10	17	-7	15
20	Exeter	12	3	4	5	6	10	-4	13
21	Wycombe	11	3	3	5	11	14	-3	12
22	Cheltenham	12	3	3	6	10	17	-7	12
23	Carlisle	12	2	5	5	10	14	-4	11
24	Fleetwood Town	12	2	2	8	9	21	-12	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	12	7	4	1	22	8	+14	25
2	Derby	12	8	1	3	23	12	+11	25
3	Barnsley	12	7	4	1	23	13	+10	25
4	Bolton	11	7	2	2	17	7	+10	23
5	Stevenage	12	7	1	4	19	13	+6	22
6	Peterboro	12	6	3	3	18	14	+4	21
7	Oxford	12	6	1	5	18	17	+1	19
8	Lincoln	13	4	4	5	12	15	-3	16
9	Leyton Orient	12	3	5	4	13	14	-1	14
10	Bristol Rvs	12	4	2	6	13	19	-6	14
11	Port Vale	12	3	5	4	10	20	-10	14
12	Wycombe	12	3	4	5	14	17	-3	13
13	Northampton	12	4	1	7	12	19	-7	13
14	Wigan	12	3	3	6	16	18	-2	12
15	Blackpool	12	2	4	6	12	18	-6	10
16	Fleetwood Town	11	2	4	5	11	18	-7	10
17	Exeter	11	3	1	7	8	23	-15	10
18	Burton	12	2	3	7	7	20	-13	9
19	Charlton	11	1	5	5	11	16	-5	8
20	Cheltenham	11	2	2	7	7	15	-8	8
21	Shrewsbury	13	2	2	9	3	21	-18	8
22	Cambridge	11	1	3	7	8	18	-10	6
23	Reading	12	1	3	8	13	26	-13	6
24	Carlisle	12	1	3	8	8	21	-13	6

Carlisle Port Vale

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Oxford	24	8	16	1.7	1.2	13	4	7	40	28	43
2	8	Blackpool	25	9	16	1.6	1.3	10	6	9	40	32	36
3	11	Northampton	24	8	16	1.2	1.4	10	3	11	30	33	33
4	3	Peterboro	24	10	14	2.0	1.0	13	7	4	47	25	46
5	7	Barnsley	23	9	14	2.0	1.2	12	6	5	45	27	42
6	13	Charlton	23	9	14	1.5	1.4	7	8	8	35	32	29
7	20	Reading	24	10	14	1.3	1.6	6	6	12	31	39	24
8	2	Bolton	23	10	13	1.9	1.0	15	3	5	44	24	48
9	4	Derby	23	10	13	1.8	0.9	14	4	5	42	20	46
10	5	Stevenage	24	11	13	1.5	1.0	12	7	5	36	23	43
11	1	Portsmouth	24	12	12	1.6	0.8	14	8	2	39	19	50
12	9	Wigan	24	12	12	1.4	1.2	10	4	10	34	29	34
13	10	Bristol Rvs	23	11	12	1.4	1.3	9	7	7	32	30	34
14	19	Wycombe	23	12	11	1.1	1.3	6	7	10	25	31	25
15	23	Fleetwood Town	23	12	11	0.9	1.7	4	6	13	20	39	18
16	12	Lincoln	25	15	10	1.2	1.1	8	8	9	29	27	32
17	14	Leyton Orient	24	14	10	1.0	1.3	7	8	9	23	31	29
18	15	Port Vale	23	13	10	1.0	1.4	8	5	10	24	33	29
19	16	Cambridge	23	13	10	0.9	1.3	7	6	10	21	30	27
20	17	Burton	24	14	10	0.8	1.4	7	6	11	20	33	27
21	18	Shrewsbury	25	17	8	0.6	1.4	8	3	14	14	35	27
22	22	Cheltenham	23	15	8	0.7	1.4	5	5	13	17	32	20
23	21	Exeter	23	16	7	0.6	1.4	6	5	12	14	33	23
24	24	Carlisle	24	18	6	0.8	1.5	3	8	13	18	35	17

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Bolton	12	2	10	2.2	1.4	8	1	3	27	17	25
2	8	Blackpool	13	3	10	2.2	1.1	8	2	3	28	14	26
3	6	Oxford	12	3	9	1.8	0.9	7	3	2	22	11	24
4	13	Charlton	12	3	9	2.0	1.3	6	3	3	24	16	21
5	3	Peterboro	12	4	8	2.4	0.9	7	4	1	29	11	25
6	11	Northampton	12	4	8	1.5	1.2	6	2	4	18	14	20
7	7	Barnsley	11	4	7	2.0	1.3	5	2	4	22	14	17
8	4	Derby	11	5	6	1.7	0.7	6	3	2	19	8	21
9	9	Wigan	12	6	6	1.5	0.9	7	1	4	18	11	22
10	10	Bristol Rvs	11	5	6	1.7	1.0	5	5	1	19	11	20
11	1	Portsmouth	12	7	5	1.4	0.9	7	4	1	17	11	25
12	5	Stevenage	12	7	5	1.4	0.8	5	6	1	17	10	21
13	12	Lincoln	12	7	5	1.4	1.0	4	4	4	17	12	16
14	14	Leyton Orient	12	7	5	0.8	1.4	4	3	5	10	17	15
15	15	Port Vale	11	6	5	1.3	1.2	5	0	6	14	13	15
16	17	Burton	12	7	5	1.1	1.1	5	3	4	13	13	18
17	18	Shrewsbury	12	7	5	0.9	1.2	6	1	5	11	14	19
18	20	Reading	12	7	5	1.5	1.1	5	3	4	18	13	18
19	23	Fleetwood Town	12	7	5	0.8	1.8	2	2	8	9	21	8
20	16	Cambridge	12	8	4	1.1	1.0	6	3	3	13	12	21
21	19	Wycombe	11	7	4	1.0	1.3	3	3	5	11	14	12
22	22	Cheltenham	12	8	4	0.8	1.4	3	3	6	10	17	12
23	21	Exeter	12	10	2	0.5	0.8	3	4	5	6	10	13
24	24	Carlisle	12	10	2	0.8	1.2	2	5	5	10	14	11

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Reading	12	3	9	1.1	2.2	1	3	8	13	26	6
2	5	Stevenage	12	4	8	1.6	1.1	7	1	4	19	13	22
3	11	Northampton	12	4	8	1.0	1.6	4	1	7	12	19	13
4	1	Portsmouth	12	5	7	1.8	0.7	7	4	1	22	8	25
5	4	Derby	12	5	7	1.9	1.0	8	1	3	23	12	25
6	6	Oxford	12	5	7	1.5	1.4	6	1	5	18	17	19
7	7	Barnsley	12	5	7	1.9	1.1	7	4	1	23	13	25
8	19	Wycombe	12	5	7	1.2	1.4	3	4	5	14	17	13
9	3	Peterboro	12	6	6	1.5	1.2	6	3	3	18	14	21
10	8	Blackpool	12	6	6	1.0	1.5	2	4	6	12	18	10
11	9	Wigan	12	6	6	1.3	1.5	3	3	6	16	18	12
12	10	Bristol Rvs	12	6	6	1.1	1.6	4	2	6	13	19	14
13	16	Cambridge	11	5	6	0.7	1.6	1	3	7	8	18	6
14	23	Fleetwood Town	11	5	6	1.0	1.6	2	4	5	11	18	10
15	12	Lincoln	13	8	5	0.9	1.2	4	4	5	12	15	16
16	13	Charlton	11	6	5	1.0	1.5	1	5	5	11	16	8
17	14	Leyton Orient	12	7	5	1.1	1.2	3	5	4	13	14	14
18	15	Port Vale	12	7	5	0.8	1.7	3	5	4	10	20	14
19	17	Burton	12	7	5	0.6	1.7	2	3	7	7	20	9
20	21	Exeter	11	6	5	0.7	2.1	3	1	7	8	23	10
21	22	Cheltenham	11	7	4	0.6	1.4	2	2	7	7	15	8
22	24	Carlisle	12	8	4	0.7	1.8	1	3	8	8	21	6
23	2	Bolton	11	8	3	1.5	0.6	7	2	2	17	7	23
24	18	Shrewsbury	13	10	3	0.2	1.6	2	2	9	3	21	8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.