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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: D Drysdale

Wigan 1–1 Burton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.00 fair 1.91
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 3.83
Away 3.80 fair 4.64
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.73
Over 2.5 2.08 fair 2.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Wigan Burton
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 6
15 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (465 league matches this season so far).
Result Wigan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.51 – 0.86
Home / Draw / Away
WiganDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14.1% 1–1 12.2% 2–0 10.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Wigan before this match, all matches
1.49points / match
1.36scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 53:48
Burton before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.79scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 31:51
Wigan all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 0.79
1.23 Goals conceded 1.31
2.59 Total goals 2.10
10.05 Shots 10.21
3.05 Shots on target 2.92
13.90 Shots faced 14.03
4.38 Corners 3.44
4.95 Corners against 4.92
11.64 Fouls 12.54
2.92 Yellow cards 2.49
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

44% Wins 26%
18% Draws 23%
38% Losses 51%
97% Over 0.5 goals 87%
74% Over 1.5 goals 64%
44% Over 2.5 goals 38%
21% Over 3.5 goals 13%
18% Over 4.5 goals 8%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 41%
33% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 49%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 18%
26% Draws 44%
38% Losses 38%
85% Over 0.5 goals 64%
31% Over 1.5 goals 23%
15% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Wigan all matches
Burton all matches
Wigan before this match, at home
1.90points / match
1.35scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 27:17
Burton before this match, away
0.85points / match
0.70scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 14:29
Wigan at home away Burton

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 0.70
0.85 Goals conceded 1.45
2.20 Total goals 2.15
10.65 Shots 8.60
3.30 Shots on target 2.40
12.40 Shots faced 15.25
4.65 Corners 2.85
4.50 Corners against 4.75
12.00 Fouls 12.20
2.55 Yellow cards 2.70
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.15
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

60% Wins 20%
10% Draws 25%
30% Losses 55%
95% Over 0.5 goals 80%
65% Over 1.5 goals 65%
40% Over 2.5 goals 45%
10% Over 3.5 goals 15%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 40%
50% Clean sheets 25%
15% Failed to score 55%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 10%
25% Draws 40%
35% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 65%
25% Over 1.5 goals 20%
15% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Wigan at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Wigan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Wigan – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 2.10 1.70
12.03.24 Wycombe – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.604.00 2.05 1.75
09.03.24 Wigan – Leyton Orient 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 2.05 1.75
02.03.24 Fleetwood Town – Wigan 4–2 (2–2) 2.403.253.10 1.98 1.88
27.02.24 Wigan – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.95 1.90
23.02.24 Wigan – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Shrewsbury – Wigan 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.20 1.65
13.02.24 Oxford – Wigan 4–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.20 1.88 1.98
10.02.24 Wigan – Exeter 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.08 1.73
03.02.24 Peterboro – Wigan 2–3 (0–1) 1.534.006.50 1.62 2.25

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.03.24 Burton – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.65
16.03.24 Exeter – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.00 2.15 1.67
12.03.24 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.757.50 1.85 2.00
09.03.24 Burton – Peterboro 1–3 (0–0) 4.334.001.73 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.70
27.02.24 Burton – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.15 1.67
24.02.24 Burton – Northampton 0–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
17.02.24 Leyton Orient – Burton 1–2 (1–0) 1.554.206.00 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.85 2.00
03.02.24 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.20 1.65

Wigan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Wigan – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 2.10 1.70
09.03.24 Wigan – Leyton Orient 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 2.05 1.75
27.02.24 Wigan – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.95 1.90
23.02.24 Wigan – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70
10.02.24 Wigan – Exeter 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.08 1.73
27.01.24 Wigan – Stevenage 2–3 (2–1) 3.103.602.20 2.08 1.73
23.01.24 Wigan – Wycombe 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.302.70 2.05 1.75
20.01.24 Wigan – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.08
29.12.23 Wigan – Carlisle 2–0 (2–0) 2.003.404.00 2.08 1.73
26.12.23 Wigan – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.75 1.93 1.93

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Exeter – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.00 2.15 1.67
12.03.24 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.757.50 1.85 2.00
02.03.24 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Leyton Orient – Burton 1–2 (1–0) 1.554.206.00 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.85 2.00
27.01.24 Cambridge – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.20 1.65
15.01.24 Derby – Burton 3–2 (1–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Bolton – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.70 2.10
23.12.23 Charlton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.73 2.08
16.12.23 Oxford – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Wigan winsDrawsBurton wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23E2 Burton – Wigan 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.70 1.98 1.88
12.04.22E2 Burton – Wigan 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.751.66 2.05 1.75
30.10.21E2 Wigan – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.703.605.00 2.05 1.75

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 39 24 11 4 63 32 +31 83
2 Derby 40 24 6 10 69 35 +34 78
3 Bolton 39 22 8 9 71 43 +28 74
4 Peterboro 38 21 8 9 74 46 +28 71
5 Barnsley 38 20 11 7 70 48 +22 71
6 Oxford 39 18 9 12 62 52 +10 63
7 Stevenage 39 17 11 11 51 40 +11 62
8 Lincoln 39 16 13 10 56 33 +23 61
9 Blackpool 39 17 9 13 57 42 +15 60
10 Wigan 39 17 7 15 53 48 +5 58
11 Leyton Orient 39 16 10 13 44 44 0 58
12 Northampton 40 15 8 17 51 60 -9 53
13 Wycombe 38 13 11 14 50 49 +1 50
14 Bristol Rvs 38 14 8 16 48 57 -9 50
15 Reading 39 13 9 17 55 57 -2 48
16 Exeter 39 13 8 18 33 52 -19 47
17 Charlton 39 10 15 14 57 58 -1 45
18 Shrewsbury 39 13 5 21 29 55 -26 44
19 Burton 39 10 9 20 31 51 -20 39
20 Cambridge 38 10 9 19 32 55 -23 39
21 Port Vale 38 9 9 20 36 61 -25 36
22 Cheltenham 37 9 8 20 30 50 -20 35
23 Fleetwood Town 39 7 13 19 41 61 -20 34
24 Carlisle 39 5 9 25 35 69 -34 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 19 13 4 2 34 20 +14 43
2 Bolton 19 13 3 3 42 22 +20 42
3 Derby 20 12 4 4 35 18 +17 40
4 Blackpool 19 11 5 3 38 17 +21 38
5 Wigan 20 12 2 6 27 17 +10 38
6 Peterboro 19 11 4 4 44 21 +23 37
7 Lincoln 20 9 7 4 34 13 +21 34
8 Reading 20 10 4 6 34 21 +13 34
9 Oxford 19 9 6 4 34 22 +12 33
10 Barnsley 20 9 5 6 35 28 +7 32
11 Northampton 20 9 5 6 26 21 +5 32
12 Stevenage 19 8 7 4 22 15 +7 31
13 Wycombe 20 8 6 6 29 25 +4 30
14 Leyton Orient 19 8 4 7 20 25 -5 28
15 Charlton 19 7 5 7 32 27 +5 26
16 Bristol Rvs 18 7 5 6 26 23 +3 26
17 Cambridge 19 7 5 7 17 20 -3 26
18 Shrewsbury 20 8 2 10 17 25 -8 26
19 Exeter 20 6 7 7 14 19 -5 25
20 Burton 19 6 4 9 17 22 -5 22
21 Cheltenham 18 6 4 8 19 26 -7 22
22 Port Vale 19 5 3 11 22 28 -6 18
23 Fleetwood Town 20 4 5 11 20 31 -11 17
24 Carlisle 20 3 6 11 19 35 -16 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 20 11 7 2 29 12 +17 40
2 Barnsley 18 11 6 1 35 20 +15 39
3 Derby 20 12 2 6 34 17 +17 38
4 Peterboro 19 10 4 5 30 25 +5 34
5 Bolton 20 9 5 6 29 21 +8 32
6 Stevenage 20 9 4 7 29 25 +4 31
7 Leyton Orient 20 8 6 6 24 19 +5 30
8 Oxford 20 9 3 8 28 30 -2 30
9 Lincoln 19 7 6 6 22 20 +2 27
10 Bristol Rvs 20 7 3 10 22 34 -12 24
11 Blackpool 20 6 4 10 19 25 -6 22
12 Exeter 19 7 1 11 19 33 -14 22
13 Northampton 20 6 3 11 25 39 -14 21
14 Wycombe 18 5 5 8 21 24 -3 20
15 Wigan 19 5 5 9 26 31 -5 20
16 Charlton 20 3 10 7 25 31 -6 19
17 Shrewsbury 19 5 3 11 12 30 -18 18
18 Port Vale 19 4 6 9 14 33 -19 18
19 Fleetwood Town 19 3 8 8 21 30 -9 17
20 Burton 20 4 5 11 14 29 -15 17
21 Reading 19 3 5 11 21 36 -15 14
22 Cheltenham 19 3 4 12 11 24 -13 13
23 Cambridge 19 3 4 12 15 35 -20 13
24 Carlisle 19 2 3 14 16 34 -18 9

Wigan   Burton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Oxford 39 13 26 1.6 1.3 18 9 12 62 52 63
2 4 Peterboro 38 13 25 1.9 1.2 21 8 9 74 46 71
3 5 Barnsley 38 14 24 1.8 1.3 20 11 7 70 48 71
4 2 Derby 40 17 23 1.7 0.9 24 6 10 69 35 78
5 12 Northampton 40 18 22 1.3 1.5 15 8 17 51 60 53
6 14 Bristol Rvs 38 16 22 1.3 1.5 14 8 16 48 57 50
7 17 Charlton 39 17 22 1.5 1.5 10 15 14 57 58 45
8 1 Portsmouth 39 18 21 1.6 0.8 24 11 4 63 32 83
9 3 Bolton 39 18 21 1.8 1.1 22 8 9 71 43 74
10 15 Reading 39 18 21 1.4 1.5 13 9 17 55 57 48
11 23 Fleetwood Town 39 19 20 1.1 1.6 7 13 19 41 61 34
12 7 Stevenage 39 20 19 1.3 1.0 17 11 11 51 40 62
13 9 Blackpool 39 20 19 1.5 1.1 17 9 13 57 42 60
14 13 Wycombe 38 20 18 1.3 1.3 13 11 14 50 49 50
15 21 Port Vale 38 20 18 0.9 1.6 9 9 20 36 61 36
16 24 Carlisle 39 21 18 0.9 1.8 5 9 25 35 69 24
17 10 Wigan 39 22 17 1.4 1.2 17 7 15 53 48 58
18 20 Cambridge 38 21 17 0.8 1.4 10 9 19 32 55 39
19 11 Leyton Orient 39 23 16 1.1 1.1 16 10 13 44 44 58
20 16 Exeter 39 23 16 0.8 1.3 13 8 18 33 52 47
21 8 Lincoln 39 24 15 1.4 0.8 16 13 10 56 33 61
22 18 Shrewsbury 39 24 15 0.7 1.4 13 5 21 29 55 44
23 19 Burton 39 24 15 0.8 1.3 10 9 20 31 51 39
24 22 Cheltenham 37 23 14 0.8 1.4 9 8 20 30 50 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 19 5 14 2.3 1.1 11 4 4 44 21 37
2 5 Barnsley 20 6 14 1.8 1.4 9 5 6 35 28 32
3 6 Oxford 19 5 14 1.8 1.2 9 6 4 34 22 33
4 3 Bolton 19 6 13 2.2 1.2 13 3 3 42 22 42
5 17 Charlton 19 6 13 1.7 1.4 7 5 7 32 27 26
6 1 Portsmouth 19 7 12 1.8 1.1 13 4 2 34 20 43
7 2 Derby 20 8 12 1.8 0.9 12 4 4 35 18 40
8 9 Blackpool 19 8 11 2.0 0.9 11 5 3 38 17 38
9 14 Bristol Rvs 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 7 5 6 26 23 26
10 8 Lincoln 20 11 9 1.7 0.7 9 7 4 34 13 34
11 12 Northampton 20 11 9 1.3 1.1 9 5 6 26 21 32
12 15 Reading 20 11 9 1.7 1.1 10 4 6 34 21 34
13 21 Port Vale 19 10 9 1.2 1.5 5 3 11 22 28 18
14 23 Fleetwood Town 20 11 9 1.0 1.6 4 5 11 20 31 17
15 24 Carlisle 20 11 9 0.9 1.8 3 6 11 19 35 15
16 10 Wigan 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 12 2 6 27 17 38
17 11 Leyton Orient 19 11 8 1.1 1.3 8 4 7 20 25 28
18 13 Wycombe 20 12 8 1.4 1.2 8 6 6 29 25 30
19 18 Shrewsbury 20 12 8 0.8 1.2 8 2 10 17 25 26
20 22 Cheltenham 18 10 8 1.1 1.4 6 4 8 19 26 22
21 7 Stevenage 19 13 6 1.2 0.8 8 7 4 22 15 31
22 16 Exeter 20 14 6 0.7 0.9 6 7 7 14 19 25
23 19 Burton 19 13 6 0.9 1.2 6 4 9 17 22 22
24 20 Cambridge 19 13 6 0.9 1.1 7 5 7 17 20 26
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Stevenage 20 7 13 1.4 1.2 9 4 7 29 25 31
2 12 Northampton 20 7 13 1.2 1.9 6 3 11 25 39 21
3 6 Oxford 20 8 12 1.4 1.5 9 3 8 28 30 30
4 15 Reading 19 7 12 1.1 1.9 3 5 11 21 36 14
5 2 Derby 20 9 11 1.7 0.8 12 2 6 34 17 38
6 4 Peterboro 19 8 11 1.6 1.3 10 4 5 30 25 34
7 14 Bristol Rvs 20 9 11 1.1 1.7 7 3 10 22 34 24
8 20 Cambridge 19 8 11 0.8 1.8 3 4 12 15 35 13
9 23 Fleetwood Town 19 8 11 1.1 1.6 3 8 8 21 30 17
10 5 Barnsley 18 8 10 1.9 1.1 11 6 1 35 20 39
11 13 Wycombe 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 21 24 20
12 16 Exeter 19 9 10 1.0 1.7 7 1 11 19 33 22
13 1 Portsmouth 20 11 9 1.4 0.6 11 7 2 29 12 40
14 10 Wigan 19 10 9 1.4 1.6 5 5 9 26 31 20
15 17 Charlton 20 11 9 1.2 1.6 3 10 7 25 31 19
16 19 Burton 20 11 9 0.7 1.4 4 5 11 14 29 17
17 21 Port Vale 19 10 9 0.7 1.7 4 6 9 14 33 18
18 24 Carlisle 19 10 9 0.8 1.8 2 3 14 16 34 9
19 3 Bolton 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 6 29 21 32
20 9 Blackpool 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 6 4 10 19 25 22
21 11 Leyton Orient 20 12 8 1.2 0.9 8 6 6 24 19 30
22 18 Shrewsbury 19 12 7 0.6 1.6 5 3 11 12 30 18
23 8 Lincoln 19 13 6 1.2 1.1 7 6 6 22 20 27
24 22 Cheltenham 19 13 6 0.6 1.3 3 4 12 11 24 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38