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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: J Simpson

Burton 0–1 Lincoln

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.88 fair 2.67
Draw 3.25 fair 3.42
Away ✓ 2.45 fair 3.00
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.59
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Lincoln
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 5
17 Fouls 8
8 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (340 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.13 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawLincoln
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.4% 1–0 12.8% 0–1 11.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
0.86scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 25:38
Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.21points / match
1.03scored / match
1.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 30:30
Burton all matches all matches Lincoln

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.03
1.31 Goals conceded 1.03
2.17 Total goals 2.07
9.31 Shots 10.31
2.83 Shots on target 3.34
15.28 Shots faced 12.28
3.28 Corners 3.76
5.41 Corners against 5.72
12.21 Fouls 10.28
2.34 Yellow cards 1.86
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

28% Wins 28%
28% Draws 38%
45% Losses 34%
86% Over 0.5 goals 90%
69% Over 1.5 goals 69%
38% Over 2.5 goals 34%
14% Over 3.5 goals 14%
10% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
41% Both teams scored 41%
28% Clean sheets 34%
45% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 28%
45% Draws 45%
34% Losses 28%
66% Over 0.5 goals 62%
28% Over 1.5 goals 21%
3% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Lincoln all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.57points / match
1.14scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:14
Lincoln before this match, away
1.13points / match
0.87scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 13:18
Burton at home away Lincoln

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 0.87
1.00 Goals conceded 1.20
2.14 Total goals 2.07
11.29 Shots 9.60
3.50 Shots on target 2.80
13.21 Shots faced 12.33
3.93 Corners 3.73
5.64 Corners against 5.73
12.57 Fouls 10.87
2.21 Yellow cards 2.27
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

43% Wins 27%
29% Draws 33%
29% Losses 40%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
71% Over 1.5 goals 67%
36% Over 2.5 goals 33%
7% Over 3.5 goals 13%
7% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 40%
29% Clean sheets 33%
29% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 27%
43% Draws 47%
21% Losses 27%
71% Over 0.5 goals 60%
29% Over 1.5 goals 20%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Lincoln away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Cambridge – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.20 1.65
20.01.24 Burton – Charlton 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 2.00 1.85
15.01.24 Derby – Burton 3–2 (1–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.75 2.05
06.01.24 Burton – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.302.38 2.10 1.70
01.01.24 Bolton – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Burton – Shrewsbury 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.003.80 2.30 1.60
26.12.23 Burton – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 4.004.001.80 1.93 1.93
23.12.23 Charlton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.73 2.08
16.12.23 Oxford – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
09.12.23 Burton – Stevenage 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.25 2.03 1.83

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Lincoln – Peterboro 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.98 1.88
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
13.01.24 Wycombe – Lincoln 1–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.15 1.67
01.01.24 Blackpool – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 2.03 1.83
29.12.23 Lincoln – Northampton 1–2 (0–1) 2.453.203.10 2.20 1.65
26.12.23 Lincoln – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.20 2.05 1.75
21.12.23 Derby – Lincoln 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 2.03 1.83
16.12.23 Lincoln – Reading 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.73
09.12.23 Wigan – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.20 2.03 1.83
28.11.23 Cambridge – Lincoln 0–3 (0–2) 2.553.202.88 2.40 1.53

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Burton – Charlton 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 2.00 1.85
06.01.24 Burton – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.302.38 2.10 1.70
29.12.23 Burton – Shrewsbury 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.003.80 2.30 1.60
26.12.23 Burton – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 4.004.001.80 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Burton – Stevenage 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.25 2.03 1.83
28.11.23 Burton – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.83 1.93 1.93
28.10.23 Burton – Leyton Orient 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.05 1.80
21.10.23 Burton – Bristol Rvs 4–1 (2–1) 2.603.602.50 1.85 2.00
09.10.23 Burton – Cambridge 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.403.00 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Burton – Wigan 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.70 1.98 1.88

Lincoln away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24 Wycombe – Lincoln 1–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.15 1.67
01.01.24 Blackpool – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 2.03 1.83
21.12.23 Derby – Lincoln 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 2.03 1.83
09.12.23 Wigan – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.20 2.03 1.83
28.11.23 Cambridge – Lincoln 0–3 (0–2) 2.553.202.88 2.40 1.53
21.11.23 Leyton Orient – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.10 1.70
18.11.23 Stevenage – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.405.00 2.15 1.67
28.10.23 Exeter – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
21.10.23 Fleetwood Town – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.403.25 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Peterboro – Lincoln 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsLincoln wins
5matches
2.20goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.23E2 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
25.04.23E2 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82
26.12.22E2 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
29.01.22E2 Lincoln – Burton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.02 1.83
25.09.21E2 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 30 17 9 4 46 27 +19 60
2 Bolton 27 18 3 6 50 26 +24 57
3 Peterboro 28 16 8 4 54 29 +25 56
4 Derby 29 17 5 7 52 28 +24 56
5 Barnsley 28 15 7 6 52 32 +20 52
6 Oxford 30 15 6 9 49 37 +12 51
7 Stevenage 27 14 7 6 41 27 +14 49
8 Blackpool 29 13 7 9 47 34 +13 46
9 Wigan 29 12 6 11 40 34 +6 42
10 Northampton 28 12 4 12 35 38 -3 40
11 Leyton Orient 28 10 9 9 30 32 -2 39
12 Bristol Rvs 28 10 7 11 39 39 0 37
13 Lincoln 29 8 11 10 30 30 0 35
14 Exeter 29 9 6 14 21 40 -19 33
15 Shrewsbury 29 10 3 16 20 39 -19 33
16 Reading 29 8 8 13 37 44 -7 32
17 Cambridge 27 8 8 11 23 33 -10 32
18 Burton 29 8 8 13 25 38 -13 32
19 Charlton 29 7 10 12 43 45 -2 31
20 Wycombe 28 7 10 11 32 38 -6 31
21 Port Vale 26 8 6 12 28 39 -11 30
22 Cheltenham 27 6 5 16 20 37 -17 23
23 Carlisle 29 4 8 17 24 47 -23 20
24 Fleetwood Town 28 4 7 17 25 50 -25 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 16 10 3 3 33 15 +18 33
2 Bolton 14 10 1 3 29 17 +12 31
3 Peterboro 13 8 4 1 31 12 +19 28
4 Wigan 15 9 1 5 22 14 +8 28
5 Portsmouth 14 8 4 2 19 15 +4 28
6 Derby 14 8 3 3 26 14 +12 27
7 Oxford 15 7 5 3 25 15 +10 26
8 Reading 15 7 4 4 23 16 +7 25
9 Cambridge 15 7 4 4 15 15 0 25
10 Barnsley 15 7 3 5 28 19 +9 24
11 Northampton 15 7 3 5 20 17 +3 24
12 Bristol Rvs 14 6 5 3 23 15 +8 23
13 Burton 14 6 4 4 16 14 +2 22
14 Shrewsbury 14 7 1 6 14 16 -2 22
15 Stevenage 12 5 6 1 17 10 +7 21
16 Charlton 15 6 3 6 28 23 +5 21
17 Lincoln 14 4 6 4 17 12 +5 18
18 Leyton Orient 13 5 3 5 11 17 -6 18
19 Wycombe 14 4 5 5 17 19 -2 17
20 Exeter 14 4 5 5 8 11 -3 17
21 Port Vale 13 5 1 7 17 17 0 16
22 Cheltenham 13 4 3 6 12 18 -6 15
23 Carlisle 15 3 5 7 14 22 -8 14
24 Fleetwood Town 14 2 2 10 10 25 -15 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 16 9 5 2 27 12 +15 32
2 Derby 15 9 2 4 26 14 +12 29
3 Barnsley 13 8 4 1 24 13 +11 28
4 Stevenage 15 9 1 5 24 17 +7 28
5 Peterboro 15 8 4 3 23 17 +6 28
6 Bolton 13 8 2 3 21 9 +12 26
7 Oxford 15 8 1 6 24 22 +2 25
8 Leyton Orient 15 5 6 4 19 15 +4 21
9 Lincoln 15 4 5 6 13 18 -5 17
10 Northampton 13 5 1 7 15 21 -6 16
11 Exeter 15 5 1 9 13 29 -16 16
12 Wigan 14 3 5 6 18 20 -2 14
13 Wycombe 14 3 5 6 15 19 -4 14
14 Bristol Rvs 14 4 2 8 16 24 -8 14
15 Port Vale 13 3 5 5 11 22 -11 14
16 Blackpool 13 3 4 6 14 19 -5 13
17 Fleetwood Town 14 2 5 7 15 25 -10 11
18 Shrewsbury 15 3 2 10 6 23 -17 11
19 Charlton 14 1 7 6 15 22 -7 10
20 Burton 15 2 4 9 9 24 -15 10
21 Cheltenham 14 2 2 10 8 19 -11 8
22 Cambridge 12 1 4 7 8 18 -10 7
23 Reading 14 1 4 9 14 28 -14 7
24 Carlisle 14 1 3 10 10 25 -15 6

Burton   Lincoln

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Oxford 30 10 20 1.6 1.2 15 6 9 49 37 51
2 19 Charlton 29 11 18 1.5 1.6 7 10 12 43 45 31
3 3 Peterboro 28 11 17 1.9 1.0 16 8 4 54 29 56
4 4 Derby 29 12 17 1.8 1.0 17 5 7 52 28 56
5 5 Barnsley 28 11 17 1.9 1.1 15 7 6 52 32 52
6 8 Blackpool 29 12 17 1.6 1.2 13 7 9 47 34 46
7 10 Northampton 28 11 17 1.2 1.4 12 4 12 35 38 40
8 1 Portsmouth 30 14 16 1.5 0.9 17 9 4 46 27 60
9 12 Bristol Rvs 28 12 16 1.4 1.4 10 7 11 39 39 37
10 7 Stevenage 27 12 15 1.5 1.0 14 7 6 41 27 49
11 16 Reading 29 14 15 1.3 1.5 8 8 13 37 44 32
12 24 Fleetwood Town 28 13 15 0.9 1.8 4 7 17 25 50 19
13 2 Bolton 27 13 14 1.9 1.0 18 3 6 50 26 57
14 9 Wigan 29 16 13 1.4 1.2 12 6 11 40 34 42
15 20 Wycombe 28 15 13 1.1 1.4 7 10 11 32 38 31
16 21 Port Vale 26 14 12 1.1 1.5 8 6 12 28 39 30
17 11 Leyton Orient 28 17 11 1.1 1.1 10 9 9 30 32 39
18 17 Cambridge 27 16 11 0.9 1.2 8 8 11 23 33 32
19 18 Burton 29 18 11 0.9 1.3 8 8 13 25 38 32
20 23 Carlisle 29 18 11 0.8 1.6 4 8 17 24 47 20
21 13 Lincoln 29 19 10 1.0 1.0 8 11 10 30 30 35
22 14 Exeter 29 19 10 0.7 1.4 9 6 14 21 40 33
23 15 Shrewsbury 29 19 10 0.7 1.3 10 3 16 20 39 33
24 22 Cheltenham 27 17 10 0.7 1.4 6 5 16 20 37 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Charlton 15 3 12 1.9 1.5 6 3 6 28 23 21
2 2 Bolton 14 4 10 2.1 1.2 10 1 3 29 17 31
3 5 Barnsley 15 5 10 1.9 1.3 7 3 5 28 19 24
4 6 Oxford 15 5 10 1.7 1.0 7 5 3 25 15 26
5 8 Blackpool 16 6 10 2.1 0.9 10 3 3 33 15 33
6 3 Peterboro 13 4 9 2.4 0.9 8 4 1 31 12 28
7 4 Derby 14 5 9 1.9 1.0 8 3 3 26 14 27
8 10 Northampton 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 7 3 5 20 17 24
9 12 Bristol Rvs 14 6 8 1.6 1.1 6 5 3 23 15 23
10 1 Portsmouth 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 8 4 2 19 15 28
11 9 Wigan 15 8 7 1.5 0.9 9 1 5 22 14 28
12 15 Shrewsbury 14 8 6 1.0 1.1 7 1 6 14 16 22
13 16 Reading 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 7 4 4 23 16 25
14 20 Wycombe 14 8 6 1.2 1.4 4 5 5 17 19 17
15 21 Port Vale 13 7 6 1.3 1.3 5 1 7 17 17 16
16 24 Fleetwood Town 14 8 6 0.7 1.8 2 2 10 10 25 8
17 7 Stevenage 12 7 5 1.4 0.8 5 6 1 17 10 21
18 11 Leyton Orient 13 8 5 0.8 1.3 5 3 5 11 17 18
19 13 Lincoln 14 9 5 1.2 0.9 4 6 4 17 12 18
20 17 Cambridge 15 10 5 1.0 1.0 7 4 4 15 15 25
21 18 Burton 14 9 5 1.1 1.0 6 4 4 16 14 22
22 22 Cheltenham 13 8 5 0.9 1.4 4 3 6 12 18 15
23 23 Carlisle 15 10 5 0.9 1.5 3 5 7 14 22 14
24 14 Exeter 14 11 3 0.6 0.8 4 5 5 8 11 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Oxford 15 5 10 1.6 1.5 8 1 6 24 22 25
2 7 Stevenage 15 5 10 1.6 1.1 9 1 5 24 17 28
3 1 Portsmouth 16 7 9 1.7 0.8 9 5 2 27 12 32
4 10 Northampton 13 4 9 1.2 1.6 5 1 7 15 21 16
5 16 Reading 14 5 9 1.0 2.0 1 4 9 14 28 7
6 24 Fleetwood Town 14 5 9 1.1 1.8 2 5 7 15 25 11
7 3 Peterboro 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 8 4 3 23 17 28
8 4 Derby 15 7 8 1.7 0.9 9 2 4 26 14 29
9 12 Bristol Rvs 14 6 8 1.1 1.7 4 2 8 16 24 14
10 5 Barnsley 13 6 7 1.8 1.0 8 4 1 24 13 28
11 8 Blackpool 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 3 4 6 14 19 13
12 14 Exeter 15 8 7 0.9 1.9 5 1 9 13 29 16
13 20 Wycombe 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 3 5 6 15 19 14
14 9 Wigan 14 8 6 1.3 1.4 3 5 6 18 20 14
15 11 Leyton Orient 15 9 6 1.3 1.0 5 6 4 19 15 21
16 17 Cambridge 12 6 6 0.7 1.5 1 4 7 8 18 7
17 18 Burton 15 9 6 0.6 1.6 2 4 9 9 24 10
18 19 Charlton 14 8 6 1.1 1.6 1 7 6 15 22 10
19 21 Port Vale 13 7 6 0.8 1.7 3 5 5 11 22 14
20 23 Carlisle 14 8 6 0.7 1.8 1 3 10 10 25 6
21 13 Lincoln 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 4 5 6 13 18 17
22 22 Cheltenham 14 9 5 0.6 1.4 2 2 10 8 19 8
23 2 Bolton 13 9 4 1.6 0.7 8 2 3 21 9 26
24 15 Shrewsbury 15 11 4 0.4 1.5 3 2 10 6 23 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51